Man In The Box
Footballguy
Stafford u297.5 for a half unit.
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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (5 Viewers)
- Thread starter John Bender
- Start date
optionmaven
Footballguy
I don't see a letdown for the 9ers here and i believe they are the better team defensively and all around. 1st quarter -.5, 1st half -4. ML and over parlay. ML, over, FalconsML parlay. With the beat up secondary you guys mentioned, I'll also take Alex Smith over 1.5 t.ds.
modogg
Footballguy
I also think we can throw the NE-Tenn game from week 1 in this mix too. I did not see NE struggle like they did today, and i really thought Tenn would make a game of it.
ChainsawU
Footballguy
Live In-Play Football Spread Money Line Total Points Team Total PointsSun 9/16 9223 Detroit Lions +11½ -105 +625 o44½ -110 o15½ -135 u15½ +105 8:25PM 9224 49ers -11½ -115 -950 u44½ -110 o27½ -125 u27½ -105
This was the latest live betting at 5D for anyone wanting a head start on the halftime line...
This was the latest live betting at 5D for anyone wanting a head start on the halftime line...
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optionmaven
Footballguy
Stafford yes pick 2nd half +120.
niceteaser sweep this week
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
United picked up a little ground and is sitting at around +175 in Europe. They went with a "B" lineup this week and won pretty handily, whereas City drew with Stoke.PSG is around -300. They trail Marseilles by 6 points and currently sit fourth in the table, but have registered back-to-back wins against Lille and a tough Toulouse team after drawing their first three Ligue 1 matches, quelling Parisian boo-birds, whose expectations for this team are impossibly high.
Juventus is up to -160 or so, and are at the top with a perfect 9 points so far. AC Milan's already showing the ill effects of having to sell off players to right their ship financially, looking dead in the water after losing at home to Atalanta, which leaves only Inter and Napoli to really give them trouble. I don't see it.
Best news of all, Barcelona has already put 8 points between them and Real Madrid, after RM lost away to Sevilla, who made an early goal stand up for 90. They're all the way up to -333, and you can get a bit of value on them at Sportsbook, who have them at -250. Worse for Madrid, they have a very difficult Champions League draw, which means possibly a couple more games where they won't be able to get away with deploying some reserves. Their schedule gets a bit easier the next couple weeks, but a Clasico looms on October 7 at the Camp Nou.
You could also do worse than Lionel Messi Top Goalscorer -162 right now. He already leads the pack with 6 goals (several are tied at 3), and Ronaldo only has 2. He might win it anyway, but if Ronaldo reiterates his transfer demands in December and gets his wish, this is a done deal barring a massive injury.
The Ref
Footballguy
11.5 - 12.5We move on,....Cant have Wed-Thur-Fri football and not have an interest, and I think the SEC/Ore is not as respected as it should be..5 Unit Buff -3.5 Unit BYU +7.5.5 Unit UL Monroe +7.5.5 Unit LSU -18.51 Unit Ark -5.5 Unit Ore -23.5This weeks slate2 units UCF/FI Over 50.51 Unit Tenn -2.5
.5 Unit K State -27.5
John Bender
Footballguy
You have a lot of political capital in this thread. Posting past winners are allowed.Watching ULM go on the road and hang with ARK and AU, I've got to believer they are going to be extremely jacked up at home for a prime time game.In for .5u also...especially getting the hook11.5 - 12.5We move on,....This weeks slate
2 units UCF/FI Over 50.5
1 Unit Ohio St -16.5
1 Unit Tenn -2.5
1 Unit Utah St +14
.5 Unit Ark +20 (Steele pick)
.5 Unit K State -27.5
College record 8.5-9.5
Cant have Wed-Thur-Fri football and not have an interest, and I think the SEC/Ore is not as respected as it should be.
.5 Unit Buff -3
.5 Unit BYU +7.5
.5 Unit UL Monroe +7.5
.5 Unit LSU -18.5
1 Unit Ark -5
.5 Unit Ore -23.5
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Billy Bats
Footballguy
Have my SF teaser left open for tonight. What's the play?
Den +9
Atl +3
O 46.5
U 58.5
I'm thinking Den +9.
Still feeling that NE -3.5 teaser that lost after having the TD called back. And then losing survivor on the shank.
Den +9
Atl +3
O 46.5
U 58.5
I'm thinking Den +9.
Still feeling that NE -3.5 teaser that lost after having the TD called back. And then losing survivor on the shank.
gmbacm
Footballguy
Im thinking the same as this seems like the easy call. But the easy calls are usually the ones that blow up...Have my SF teaser left open for tonight. What's the play?
Den +9
Atl +3
O 46.5
U 58.5
I'm thinking Den +9.
The Ref
Footballguy
I agree. I was going to add originaly that if UL Monroe was some other random Big 10 team or even a MAC team I'd probably like this for more then .5 units.Watching ULM go on the road and hang with ARK and AU, I've got to believer they are going to be extremely jacked up at home for a prime time game.In for .5u also...especially getting the hook11.5 - 12.5We move on,....This weeks slate
2 units UCF/FI Over 50.5
1 Unit Ohio St -16.5
1 Unit Tenn -2.5
1 Unit Utah St +14
.5 Unit Ark +20 (Steele pick)
.5 Unit K State -27.5
College record 8.5-9.5
Cant have Wed-Thur-Fri football and not have an interest, and I think the SEC/Ore is not as respected as it should be.
.5 Unit Buff -3
.5 Unit BYU +7.5
.5 Unit UL Monroe +7.5
.5 Unit LSU -18.5
1 Unit Ark -5
.5 Unit Ore -23.5
The Ref
Footballguy
For those of you with Sportsbook accounts the first score prop has some interestig value. They will double the wager up to $50 if the first score is in he first 5 min of the game. So for a combined $23.16 you can take both the ATL and DEN passing TD to win $50. Thats probably about right, maybe a few bucks over priced. But if there is going to be a first 5 min score it's most likely going to be a passing TD. Anyway for $23 it's a nice little gamble.
John Bender
Footballguy
Weird deal on RB with the game tonight...
To buy a half point on Atlanta the juice is -150
To buy enough points to bet them down to a PK it's -200
Yet the moneyline is -160
To buy a half point on Atlanta the juice is -150
To buy enough points to bet them down to a PK it's -200
Yet the moneyline is -160
TheWick
Footballguy
Any worries about the Denver O against that Falcons secondary? Should be a lot of points tonight.
Billy Bats
Footballguy
Yea, kinda like NE -3.5 and survivor!Im thinking the same as this seems like the easy call. But the easy calls are usually the ones that blow up...Have my SF teaser left open for tonight. What's the play?
Den +9
Atl +3
O 46.5
U 58.5
I'm thinking Den +9.
Peyton is usually money in primetime and in a dome, and getting 9 seems like a no brainer, right?! AMIRIGHT?! 
No ML on SB yet. Interested to see what that might be.I agree. I was going to add originaly that if UL Monroe was some other random Big 10 team or even a MAC team I'd probably like this for more then .5 units.Watching ULM go on the road and hang with ARK and AU, I've got to believer they are going to be extremely jacked up at home for a prime time game.In for .5u also...especially getting the hook11.5 - 12.5We move on,....This weeks slate
2 units UCF/FI Over 50.5
1 Unit Ohio St -16.5
1 Unit Tenn -2.5
1 Unit Utah St +14
.5 Unit Ark +20 (Steele pick)
.5 Unit K State -27.5
College record 8.5-9.5
Cant have Wed-Thur-Fri football and not have an interest, and I think the SEC/Ore is not as respected as it should be.
.5 Unit Buff -3
.5 Unit BYU +7.5
.5 Unit UL Monroe +7.5
.5 Unit LSU -18.5
1 Unit Ark -5
.5 Unit Ore -23.5
Man In The Box
Footballguy
I lean ATL tonight but will be on the over for sure.
already punched the over for 1u at 52.5
Man In The Box
Footballguy
Same. Also both TT over for a half unit. Den o24.5/ Atl o28.ETA: Put another unit on o51
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ChainsawU
Footballguy
Good observation. On a related note, I am going to go take a look at who Atlanta played last week.
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Does anyone here regularly chase steam? Any methods/notifications? Preferred books? Or events? TIA!
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
It doesn't work.And thanks for making me go all-in on the Pats!
John Bender
Footballguy
I believe that's what bmj's plays are based on
I tried to bet Over 51 tonight and accidentally bet the Under. Oof.
culdeus
Footballguy
Steam chasing is pretty 2007.
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
I'm out too.'Raider Nation said:It doesn't work.And thanks for making me go all-in on the Pats!'Good said:
mquinnjr
Footballguy
Never root for injury and that sucks that both of them will be out. But, can't imagine the people in the RGIII thread are sad to hear this. That includes me.Just cashed in some fantasy baseball season winnings, so going parlay with the Falcons -3.5 +115 and O51. 1U to win 3.1. The hook is a 25 point swing (-110 to +115) here, love the value there and thinking I'll take the plunge on the Falcons doing this by 4 at home in the dome. Everyone talks about Peyton getting ready to shine in prime time. I do think that will happen to an extent, but everyone gets caught up in that hysteria and forgets how good Matty Ice looked last week in this offense. He's at home in the dome, and I think he is out to prove that this is the season he gets the playoff monkey off his back, and it starts here on MNF. I'll take that bet.'ChainsawU said:
BOL tonight guys.
ETA: 5D wouldn't let me parlay an adjusted spread/total so I went Falcons -2.5 @ -130 and O49.5 @ -120.
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Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
I don't mind being outre as long as it's profitable.'culdeus said:
John Bender
Footballguy
No deus ex machina will save you from losing all your money doing this.I don't mind being outre as long as it's profitable.'culdeus said:
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
No deus ex machina will save you from losing all your money doing this.I don't mind being outre as long as it's profitable.'culdeus said:
Now look...
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Billy Bats
Footballguy
Interesting. I seen it at 51.5 a couple hours ago and it continues to go down. Begging us to take the overs now. Filled in my SF teaser with Den +9 anyway, decided to stay away from the total because of the move.
lumpy19
Footballguy
The only sport I've found this profitable on is baseball totals. When they move they usually don't move back. In all other sports that I've followed it's hard to tell what the real moves are and what the setups are.Any book that you actively chase steam at will cut your limits pretty quick. Pretty easy to spread it around and avoid detection if you have several outs.'Good said:
