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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (20 Viewers)
- Thread starter John Bender
- Start date
regularguy
Footballguy
The Ref
Footballguy
Crap I'd take a second mortgage out for that.... I got it at -26
Added
Georgia -12.5 2 Units
LSU -7.5 2 units
Big Day.... Pray for me.
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got_nugs
Footballguy
I'm opposite you on UGA and LSU for small amounts.
My big play is FSU TT o37 but it's a homer all heart play so I didn't wanna post pre-kick.
Also looking to fade UF vs Ark and play the Canes to cover.
I'd wager my Jack Daniels Elvis decanter if I got -14 1/2 Oregon, good job whoever pulled that chicken dinner.
I'm also tailing you Ref and others in here as well as Stuckey on various plays. Lets make some skrill.
eta I also like o39 TT Clemson
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The Ref
Footballguy
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
An Arena League game has broken out at Kinnick Stadium all of a sudden. <_<
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Anyone ever use this What If Sports website (for our purposes) that Doc linked to a while back?
Their record is incredible, but I believe it's just a SU mark.... not ATS. Here are their week 6 simulations.... scroll just a bit.
Last night, I was going to play every game for just $25 or $30 where the computer simulation showed a difference of 4 points or more from the actual spread. Well, before I was ever 2/3 through the card, I already had $600 in bets cued up, so I backed out. So naturally, almost all of them are currently winning.
Might need to keep an eye on this.
Their record is incredible, but I believe it's just a SU mark.... not ATS. Here are their week 6 simulations.... scroll just a bit.
Last night, I was going to play every game for just $25 or $30 where the computer simulation showed a difference of 4 points or more from the actual spread. Well, before I was ever 2/3 through the card, I already had $600 in bets cued up, so I backed out. So naturally, almost all of them are currently winning.
Might need to keep an eye on this.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
While I'm talking to myself, how on earth is Verlander only -120 over Sonny Gray?
The first time I've ever heard of Sonny Gray was three minutes ago.
The first time I've ever heard of Sonny Gray was three minutes ago.
got_nugs
Footballguy
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
May I ask why? The Tigers appear to have the better pitcher and the better offense, no?
Limp Ditka
Footballguy
I know V hasn't been V this year, but he owns Oak bats.
on current A's roster combined for .195/.271/.285 against him
Verlander hasn't had great success in the postseason and isn't as dominant on the road
Billy Bats
Footballguy
#Athletics are 4-0 when @SonnyGray2 *starts following a loss. Gray is 3-0 w 1.13 ERA in the four games.
*Note: none of those starts came against Justin Verlander or were in the playoffs.
*Note: none of those starts came against Justin Verlander or were in the playoffs.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Hmmm... might the u7 be the better play?
got_nugs
Footballguy
I asked my wife about the matchup. She's become a baseball wagering guru. As soon as I said Gray she got all hot and bothered and had to excuse herself to the shower.
I figured that was a good enough reason for me.
derek245583
Footballguy
Down in the basement tiling and putting baseboards up.
Have a toilet and vanity to go next. Taking a break to check scores. What a #### show layout of games at noon.
I have bet every single underdog in the Presidents cup so far. That is a winning strategy imo.
ChainsawU
Footballguy
got_nugs
Footballguy
Grazzyass! I'm so excited about this QB Winston. Maryland was allowing an average of less than 11 points/game so far and one snap into the 4 quarter Winston put up 49.Congrats, brohan.
Clemson/FSU in 2 weeks is going to be ..... just wow.
ChainsawU
Footballguy
Just reading the line movement, gut feeling says La Tech/Over. The total seems way too high, and taking the under seems way too easy. With the high number of times they turned the ball over, La Tech should have allowed way more points to be scored on them this season, but they haven't. A couple different matchup data I looked at says that the SOS is either about even, or that UTEP has had a super easy SOS to this point. I think that may be the case. I even listened to some crappy hour-long La Tech podcast earlier this week and the dudes on there were really surprised and optimistic that Vegas was calling this game a pick 'em. Adding it all up, I would go with La Tech o31, and wouldn't be surprised if they won by 2 TDs, but another part of me thinks some tout must have pimped La Tech this week and moved the line.
lumpy19
Footballguy
Where the f are all your kids? I only have 2 and there's no way in hell I'd have time to finish a basement
Down in the basement tiling and putting baseboards up.
Have a toilet and vanity to go next. Taking a break to check scores. What a #### show layout of games at noon.
I have bet every single underdog in the Presidents cup so far. That is a winning strategy imo.
got_nugs
Footballguy
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
Fresno/Idaho Over 1u
LSU -7 3u
LSU -7 3u
John Bender
Footballguy
+10 at SB. Let's make this FFAWT official.FWIW, Prediction Machine has Washington +7.5 covering 56.3% of the time. I'm seeing +9.5 right now, which should put it in a "lock" category
just did my broseph+10 at SB. Let's make this FFAWT official.FWIW, Prediction Machine has Washington +7.5 covering 56.3% of the time. I'm seeing +9.5 right now, which should put it in a "lock" category
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Gray is oakland's best pitcher imo.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
JB, guess what I'm eating for lunch right now?
Willow Tree chicken salad on a fresh Calise roll.
Leroy Hoard
Footballguy
True, but still lots of pressure on the rookie not to go 0-2 @ home while sharing the mound with a former cy young winner.
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Said former Cy Young winner's also taken a decent-sized step back this year, and the A's offense is better than Detroit's once you adjust for park effects.True, but still lots of pressure on the rookie not to go 0-2 @ home while sharing the mound with a former cy young winner.
I'm not saying I'd play Oakland, but I definitely wouldn't play Detroit.
Leroy Hoard
Footballguy
You may be right but that A's offense still struck out 16 times last night.Said former Cy Young winner's also taken a decent-sized step back this year, and the A's offense is better than Detroit's once you adjust for park effects.True, but still lots of pressure on the rookie not to go 0-2 @ home while sharing the mound with a former cy young winner.
I'm not saying I'd play Oakland, but I definitely wouldn't play Detroit.
John Bender
Footballguy
mother####er!JB, guess what I'm eating for lunch right now?
Willow Tree chicken salad on a fresh Calise roll.
Just got jealous..
Do you like cranberry sauce? Keep a can of that in the fridge and shmear it in the roll like mayo. Goes perfect with willow tree. Trust me
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Sure, and against a great pitcher. The biggest argument against Oakland is that they do relatively more damage against lefties than righties.You may be right but that A's offense still struck out 16 times last night.Said former Cy Young winner's also taken a decent-sized step back this year, and the A's offense is better than Detroit's once you adjust for park effects.True, but still lots of pressure on the rookie not to go 0-2 @ home while sharing the mound with a former cy young winner.
I'm not saying I'd play Oakland, but I definitely wouldn't play Detroit.
On the flip side, Cabrera clearly is not right. Like I said, laying off this one.
Leroy Hoard
Footballguy
Same here, just playing devils advocate. Tigers having no lefty starters I agree is actually working for them .Sure, and against a great pitcher. The biggest argument against Oakland is that they do relatively more damage against lefties than righties.You may be right but that A's offense still struck out 16 times last night.Said former Cy Young winner's also taken a decent-sized step back this year, and the A's offense is better than Detroit's once you adjust for park effects.True, but still lots of pressure on the rookie not to go 0-2 @ home while sharing the mound with a former cy young winner.
I'm not saying I'd play Oakland, but I definitely wouldn't play Detroit.
On the flip side, Cabrera clearly is not right. Like I said, laying off this one.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
JB, guess what I'm eating for lunch right now?
Willow Tree chicken salad on a fresh Calise roll.
mother####er!
Just got jealous..
Do you like cranberry sauce? Keep a can of that in the fridge and shmear it in the roll like mayo. Goes perfect with willow tree. Trust me
Just got jealous..
Do you like cranberry sauce? Keep a can of that in the fridge and shmear it in the roll like mayo. Goes perfect with willow tree. Trust me
Leroy Hoard
Footballguy
JB, guess what I'm eating for lunch right now?
Willow Tree chicken salad on a fresh Calise roll.mother####er!
Just got jealous..
Do you like cranberry sauce? Keep a can of that in the fridge and shmear it in the roll like mayo. Goes perfect with willow tree. Trust me
I really don't. Just never been a fan, even with Thanksgiving dinner.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Any Rays/Sox action? We only have about 10 minutes.
![[icon]](/data/avatars/m/5/5167.jpg?1660313464){kind=avatar}
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Longo more H/R/RBI over Papi?
I'm on
LSU -7 -115
WASH +10
AZ St -6.5
LSU -7 -115
WASH +10
AZ St -6.5
