FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (20 Viewers)

[mquinnjr]

spent a lot of the afternoon watching the Warriors on youtube:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WCPwp8BBKUY

caused me to take Golden St. +4.5, would hit it for more if they used Swan as their mascot, or at least Cochise

Never actually saw this. Instant airplay to Apple TV, thanks mo!

Watched Training Day, Waiting, and Grandma's Boy today. Movies I love that I hadn't seen in forever.

hah, Waiting and Grandma's boy were on the TV in bkgd, Warriors on laptop. have to get the wires to hook up laptop to TV for next time. but yeah, good movie

Warriors - come out and play-i-yay!

I've seen that quote before, never knew what it was from. Awesome movie.

 

[mquinnjr]

I have no idea what Grandma's Boy is.

,s

Great under-rated comedy movie. I'd definitely check this out: http://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/grandmas_boy/

 

[Raider Nation]

Nothing like a 5-on-3 for 18 quick shots on goal.

 

[got_nugs]

Wolves o100 110/100

Really asking for trouble, but considering the history of O/U in this matchup and they average 103.0 on 0 days' rest.

JESUS MAN this stressed me out and I didn't even play it. BREWER!

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

With a 2-0 lead, there's no good reason for Dallas to have 11 shots in the 3rd, unless they just want to hurt our feelings.

Stay out of the box, Yotes!

I'm confused on what you played here.

I sent you Phoenix Under 30.5 SOG and Dallas Over 31.5 SOG, didn't I?

 

[Raider Nation]

With a 2-0 lead, there's no good reason for Dallas to have 11 shots in the 3rd, unless they just want to hurt our feelings.

Stay out of the box, Yotes!

I'm confused on what you played here.

I sent you Phoenix Under 30.5 SOG and Dallas Over 31.5 SOG, didn't I?

Yeah, I'm an idiot. Put in Dallas over for the max, but had it written down as under on the sheet I've been looking at all night.



Well this is a pretty good feeling!

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Saturday hockey is not my friend, it's getting weird now.

 

[Raider Nation]

Good day, Rude. Ref made a late-night comeback as well.

That's two days in a row where things were not looking great, but rebounded. Gonna miss the NHL for a few weeks.

 

[got_nugs]

With a 2-0 lead, there's no good reason for Dallas to have 11 shots in the 3rd, unless they just want to hurt our feelings.

Stay out of the box, Yotes!

I'm confused on what you played here.

I sent you Phoenix Under 30.5 SOG and Dallas Over 31.5 SOG, didn't I?

Yeah, I'm an idiot. Put in Dallas over for the max, but had it written down as under on the sheet I've been looking at all night.



Well this is a pretty good feeling!

Awesome haha

 

[Raider Nation]

Totally sucks knowing I was rooting for the wrong thing all night, but it worked out.

 

[got_nugs]

Totally sucks knowing I was rooting for the wrong thing all night, but it worked out.

Did you "lose" before your realized that you won?

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

Good day, Rude. Ref made a late-night comeback as well.

That's two days in a row where things were not looking great, but rebounded. Gonna miss the NHL for a few weeks.

when did things not look great? when you thought you bet the opposite of what you actually played?

I went 8-2 in save props and 3-0 SOG props posted here (3-1 in the ones I sent you).

 

[ChainsawU]

Wolves o100 110/100

Really asking for trouble, but considering the history of O/U in this matchup and they average 103.0 on 0 days' rest.

JESUS MAN this stressed me out and I didn't even play it. BREWER!

People went ape#### on the under when the Love news broke. They brought it all the way down to 204 from 211. Yet the 211 still hit by a 16-point margin. That makes the O/U in this matchup 12-1-1 (.923) since 2010. Strong trend that not even zero days of rest and early-morning flights could derail. They play again on the 23rd and Pekovic should be back by then.

 

[Raider Nation]

Good day, Rude. Ref made a late-night comeback as well.

That's two days in a row where things were not looking great, but rebounded. Gonna miss the NHL for a few weeks.

when did things not look great? when you thought you bet the opposite of what you actually played?

I went 8-2 in save props and 3-0 SOG props posted here (3-1 in the ones I sent you).

Ha! I made the mistake of trying to correlate what you liked at Bovada into SOG plays at SB. I won't try that experiment again. The Leafs f--ked me hard but I still made a few bucks.

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

Good day, Rude. Ref made a late-night comeback as well.

That's two days in a row where things were not looking great, but rebounded. Gonna miss the NHL for a few weeks.

when did things not look great? when you thought you bet the opposite of what you actually played?

I went 8-2 in save props and 3-0 SOG props posted here (3-1 in the ones I sent you).

Ha! I made the mistake of trying to correlate what you liked at Bovada into SOG plays at SB. I won't try that experiment again. The Leafs f--ked me hard but I still made a few bucks.

I had Leafs projected with 29.5 shots and 26.5 saves for Luongo.

So, the 28.5 SOG for Toronto was a non-play for me but the 25 saves for Luongo was a small play.

Leafs only average 27.8 shots/game so taking an over for them is rarely a good idea. I just thought the saves line on Luongo was a tad lower than it should be. Definitely wouldn't have recommended playing Over for SOG there since it was already set 3.5 above the saves line (which is usually the sharper line).

 

[Raider Nation]

Live and learn. I got my own $$$ at SB to mess around but the Bovada account is a partnership. Hard to get Ref away from the felt on a weekend.

 

[mquinnjr]

Live and learn. I got my own $$$ at SB to mess around but the Bovada account is a partnership. Hard to get Ref away from the felt on a weekend.

Does Bovada offer SOG props, or is that just SB?

I'm going to fund and start tailing Bovada if they have SOG, my local doesn't post them.

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

Live and learn. I got my own $$$ at SB to mess around but the Bovada account is a partnership. Hard to get Ref away from the felt on a weekend.

sorry. I'm trying to only pass along plays that I feel pretty strongly about.

At my $3 limit per bet, I had a pretty good day (10-4) but a lot of these are just coin flips that happened to go my way.

Spoiler

Straight Wager 02/08/14 11:47 ET

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bet 3.60 to win 3.00 (paid 6.60) Result: Wager Won

Stars - Total Shots on Goal

Shots on Goal 33

Shots on Goal 0 02/08/14(20:05 ET)

Over 31.5 (-120)

Straight Wager 02/08/14 11:47 ET

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bet 3.60 to win 3.00 (paid 6.60) Result: Wager Won

Coyotes - Total Shots on Goal

Shots on Goal 27

Shots on Goal 0 02/08/14(20:05 ET)

Under 30.5 (-120)

Straight Wager 02/08/14 11:47 ET

bet 3.60 to win 3.00 Result: Wager Lost

Capitals - Total Shots on Goal

Shots on Goal 26

Shots on Goal 0 02/08/14(20:05 ET)

Over 28.5 (-120)

Straight Wager 02/08/14 11:47 ET

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bet 3.60 to win 3.00 (paid 6.60) Result: Wager Won

Lightning - Total Shots on Goal

Shots on Goal 28

Shots on Goal 0 02/08/14(19:05 ET)

Under 30.5 (-120)

Straight Wager 02/08/14 11:47 ET

bet 3.60 to win 3.00 Result: Wager Lost

Red Wings - Total Shots on Goal

Shots on Goal 33

Shots on Goal 0 02/08/14(19:05 ET)

Under 30.5 (-120)

Straight Wager 02/08/14 11:47 ET

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bet 3.60 to win 3.00 (paid 6.60) Result: Wager Won

Islanders - Total Shots on Goal

Shots on Goal 32

Shots on Goal 0 02/08/14(19:05 ET)

Over 31.5 (-120)

Straight Wager 02/08/14 11:47 ET

bet 3.60 to win 3.00 Result: Wager Lost

Maple Leafs - Total Shots on Goal

Shots on Goal 24

Shots on Goal 0 02/08/14(18:05 ET)

Over 28.5 (-120)

Straight Wager 02/08/14 11:47 ET

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bet 4.20 to win 3.00 (paid 7.20) Result: Wager Won

Canucks - Total Shots on Goal

Shots on Goal 33

Shots on Goal 0 02/08/14(18:05 ET)

Over 32 (-140)

Straight Wager 02/08/14 11:47 ET

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bet 3.60 to win 3.00 (paid 6.60) Result: Wager Won

Hurricanes - Total Shots on Goal

Shots on Goal 32

Shots on Goal 0 02/08/14(18:05 ET)

Over 30.5 (-120)

Straight Wager 02/08/14 11:47 ET

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bet 3.60 to win 3.00 (paid 6.60) Result: Wager Won

Predators - Total Shots on Goal

Shots on Goal 38

Shots on Goal 0 02/08/14(20:05 ET)

Over 28.5 (-120)

Straight Wager 02/08/14 11:47 ET

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bet 3.60 to win 3.00 (paid 6.60) Result: Wager Won

Ducks - Total Shots on Goal

Shots on Goal 24

Shots on Goal 0 02/08/14(20:05 ET)

Under 29.5 (-120)

Straight Wager 02/08/14 11:27 ET

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bet 3.90 to win 3.00 (paid 6.90) Result: Wager Won

Bruins - Total Shots on Goal

Shots on Goal 42

Shots on Goal 0 02/08/14(15:05 ET)

Over 31.5 (-130)

Straight Wager 02/08/14 11:27 ET

bet 3.60 to win 3.00 Result: Wager Lost

Jets - Total Shots on Goal

Shots on Goal 31

Shots on Goal 0 02/08/14(14:05 ET)

Under 28.5 (-120)

Straight Wager 02/08/14 11:27 ET

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bet 3.60 to win 3.00 (paid 6.60) Result: Wager Won

Flames - Total Shots on Goal

Shots on Goal 33

Shots on Goal 0 02/08/14(13:05 ET)

Over 26.5 (-120)

 

[got_nugs]

Live and learn. I got my own $$$ at SB to mess around but the Bovada account is a partnership. Hard to get Ref away from the felt on a weekend.

Does Bovada offer SOG props, or is that just SB?

I'm going to fund and start tailing Bovada if they have SOG, my local doesn't post them.

If they're on at Bovada i'd happily pick 1/2 each day to play for a low amt (25ish). Bovada is my favorite site that you have to prefund.

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

Live and learn. I got my own $$$ at SB to mess around but the Bovada account is a partnership. Hard to get Ref away from the felt on a weekend.

Does Bovada offer SOG props, or is that just SB?

I'm going to fund and start tailing Bovada if they have SOG, my local doesn't post them.

Bovada has goalie save props

Sportsbook has SOG props

Bovada lines are a bit sharper and obviously you have to worry about how many goals are given up and whether a goalie will get pulled so that makes them a bit tougher. I've been afraid to share much there as I don't want to get my limits cut.

 

[Raider Nation]

Yeah, Anderson getting pulled today was just about the last straw for me on Bovada overs. He was on pace to SAIL over the number, but he got yanked. Such a horrible way to lose, and it's happened several times. It's almost under-or-nothing.

 

[The Ref]

Live and learn. I got my own $$$ at SB to mess around but the Bovada account is a partnership. Hard to get Ref away from the felt on a weekend.

Yeah.... it's been a hectic week or two for me. My pals were down to visit. I've been busy with work (but my promotion just came through 25% raise.... boy do I have them fooled). And now the WSOP is in town for the Palm Beach circut events and the PLO8 games have been..... adventitious so far to say the least.

 

[The Ref]

Yeah, Anderson getting pulled today was just about the last straw for me on Bovada overs. He was on pace to SAIL over the number, but he got yanked. Such a horrible way to lose, and it's happened several times. It's almost under-or-nothing.

Nothing worse then starting off the day nailing a Under only to watch it go up in flames in OT and follow that up with an easy over and watch that goalie get pulled.

I have always said there is more money in playing unders then overs..... but the overs are still +EV in the right spots.

Today was tough with the OT/Pull but we have had some days where I boned an under only to watch a goalie get pulled and pull out the cheep W.

 

[modogg]

spent a lot of the afternoon watching the Warriors on youtube:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WCPwp8BBKUY

caused me to take Golden St. +4.5, would hit it for more if they used Swan as their mascot, or at least Cochise

Never actually saw this. Instant airplay to Apple TV, thanks mo!

Watched Training Day, Waiting, and Grandma's Boy today. Movies I love that I hadn't seen in forever.

so what did you think?

 

[Raider Nation]

PSA: Healthy Choice has a new line of frozen dinners .... "steamers" they call them, inspired by the winners of Top Chef. This is a game-changer, folks. The nutritional content will satisfy almost any diet plan, and they are all freakin delicious. I'm having the spicy General Tso's chicken now.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Thanks for the under Nugs!

Put a hockey-sized unit also.

 

[got_nugs]

Thanks for the under Nugs!

Put a hockey-sized unit also.

I hope that's a baeffinzillion dollars man! We did it!

I shoulda touched up Benders acct too...San Antonio had no reason not to win that game by 10.

 

[mquinnjr]

spent a lot of the afternoon watching the Warriors on youtube:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WCPwp8BBKUY

caused me to take Golden St. +4.5, would hit it for more if they used Swan as their mascot, or at least Cochise

Never actually saw this. Instant airplay to Apple TV, thanks mo!

Watched Training Day, Waiting, and Grandma's Boy today. Movies I love that I hadn't seen in forever.

so what did you think?

Dude, awesome movie! Glad I finally checked this out, can't believe I hadn't seen it before.

Thought Luther was Sean Penn

 

[Doctor Detroit]

I bet on almost every Olympic hockey game.

 

[Tiger Fan]

####, I didn't know hockey was done for 2 weeks. Now I need to play this $500 free bet on baseketball. :X

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

####, I didn't know hockey was done for 2 weeks. Now I need to play this $500 free bet on baseketball. :X

You have until the 13th?

 

[got_nugs]

Who we betting in Olympic pucks, dr snow pig?

 

[got_nugs]

####, I didn't know hockey was done for 2 weeks. Now I need to play this $500 free bet on baseketball. :X

Nba has allstar wknd coming up. Lines/teams are gonna be screwy.

 

[Raider Nation]

I bet on almost every Olympic hockey game.

I'll tail! Whatcha got?

 

[Raider Nation]

Is my boy Bob getting the call in net for Russia?

 

[swirvenirvin]

So maruc Smart pulled a Ron Artest and pushed some guy in the stands.. Brilliant!

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Is my boy Bob getting the call in net for Russia?

Yeah, he's gonna have to be big because the Russians have a shallow blueline and are generally indifferent to defense.

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

Is my boy Bob getting the call in net for Russia?

Not sure. Varlamov has been a bit better this year.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Is my boy Bob getting the call in net for Russia?

Not sure. Varlamov has been a bit better this year.

I think they go Bob to start, but regardless of the big ice, I see the Russians falling flat again. Too much pressure, not enough talent on the blueline.

Hopefully Switzerland gets some nice dog lines, they are going to be sneaky in this tourney and could threaten to medal.

 

[Raider Nation]

Opening round parlay: Russia -10000/Canada -5000.

Risking $10 to win $0.30.



Edit: No joke. That's what it pays.

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

I have no idea what I'm doing but I bet on these snowboarder chicks:

Anna Gasser 9/4

Torah Bright 9/1

Also bet on Sweden in Women's Curling. 7/4.

Johan Olsson in cross country 15k skiing. 8/1

Frida Hansdotter in Women's Slalom skiing 10/1

 

[Raider Nation]

Men's Olympic Hockey TV Schedule:


Wednesday February 12th

Noon-Czech Republic Vs Sweden USA Network

Noon-Latavia Vs Switzerland MSNBC

Thursday February 13th

3am-Finland Vs Austria NBCSN

7:30- Russia Vs Slovania MSNBC

7:30 USA vs Slovakia NBCSN

Noon- Norway vs Canada USA

Friday February 14th

3am- Latavia vs Czech Republic MSNBC

Noon-Sweden Vs Switzerland-NBCSN

Noon- Canada vs Austria USA

11am-Norway vs Finland MSNBC

Saturday February 15th

3am-Slovakia vs Slovania MSNBC

7:30- USA vs Russia NBCSN

Noon-Switzerland vs Czech Republic-NBCSN

Noon-Sweden vs Latavia-USA

Sunday February 16th

3am-Austria Vs Norway-USA

7:30 Russia Vs Slovakia-USA

7:30 Slovakia vs USA-NBCSN

Noon-Finland vs Canada USA

Tuesday February 18th

3am- Qualification Round NBCSN

7:30-Qualification Round-USA

Noon-Qualification Round-NBCSN

Noon-Qualification Round-MSNBC

Wednesday February 19th

3am- Quarterfinals-NBCSN

7:30- Quarterfinals-USA

Noon -Quarterfinals-NBCSN

Noon -Quarterfinals-MSNBC

Friday February 21st

7am-Semifinal-NBCSN

Noon-Semifinal-NBCSN

Saturday February 22nd

10am Bronze Medal Match-NBCSN

Sunday February 23rd

7am- Gold Medal Match-NBC

 

[Raider Nation]

nugs, the Thunder should absolutely bum-rape the Knicks, no?

 

[Tiger Fan]

####, I didn't know hockey was done for 2 weeks. Now I need to play this $500 free bet on baseketball. :X

You have until the 13th?

yep

 

[ChainsawU]

The Knicks have played one game a year at OKC since the Thunder moved there in 2008. The Knicks were 0-4 SU, 1-3 ATS (avg line 5.5), 0-4 O/U (avg total 208.4), and averaged 94.2 points per game the first four years. Last year on April 7, a Sunday, at 1 PM EST, they went to OKC and beat the Thunder 125-120 as 8-point underdogs. They are 3-7 SU and 6-4 ATS (avg line 4.3) against the Thunder all-time.

 

[ChainsawU]

Thunder on Sunday (all home games):

SU: 9-1 (13.00, 90.0%) ATS: 6-4-0 (3.45, 60.0%) avg line: -9.6 O/U: 5-5-0 (-0.40, 50.0%) avg total: 203.0

Avg score: 108 (±8.7) to 95 (±9.6)

 

[swirvenirvin]

5-3 yesterday

238-158 1/2u
9-18 1u

Umass -3 1/2

Uconn -6
Colo -6 -116

 

[John Bender]

On a terrible cold streak

 

[Dan Lambskin]

Race 8 Santa Anita (Robert Lewis Stakes)

taking a chance on the #7 Chitu (7/2 Morning Line...currently 6-1 with 20 min to post)

4th choice behind 2 heavy favorites but speed numbers figure with the top 2 (bobbled start last out and still got to the lead and held on)

couple of nice workouts too

at the current odds I think he's worth a small play

Went ATB. Small wins are wins!

 

[ChainsawU]

If you're looking at the Clips' team total, opposing teams have scored more than 117 against the Sixers seven times in Sixers home games, but only three times when the Sixers are on the road. How does that happen. To their credit, they are 7-3 ATS getting double digits, and 5-0 ATS when they get 11 or more. But in their L4 games against the Clippers they are 0-4 ATS with an average score of 80-95. So there is your 15 points.

The Clippers are 6-4 ATS laying double digits, average score 107-92; so there's your 15 points again. They have only been favorites by this much three times since 1995, all three in February and April of last year, and they won all three games ATS by margins of 6.0, 8.5, and 0.5.