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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (3 Viewers)

The 8th run scores in Minnesota in the top of the 9th with two outs on a WILD F-CKING PITCH.

Longoria boots a routine ground ball so that two more can score in Anaheim.

 
Good Posting Judge said:
got_nugs said:
The Marlins dealt that guy for a bunch of crackerjacks and a sandwich.

Jesus.
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The guys they got were highly regarded at the time, but they rolled a snake-eyes. Apparently the Doyers were dangling Kershaw.
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Andrew Miller and Cameron Maybin? Yeah, I remember the trade very well, was a season ticket holder at the time. It's the reason I didn't renew. They weren't anything close to Migi. I don't recall the minor leaguers offhand....maybe they were better. Badenhop was one i'm pretty sure. It wasn't the first time the Marlins sold high without trying to build a team the people could get behind. Of course they had to do this financially since there were only like 4 of us with season tickets and the year after, no ####, I bought 4 tickets for 30 home games for $4 each in a package. Nobody was going to the games. Ended up selling most of them on eBay and heading north to Tampa instead. The Rays had this new quirky manager that I really liked and started following them. And that's the story of how I became a Rays fan.

eta: it was also quite nice that in Tampa they played inside in the A/C instead of the super steamy humid Dolphins stadium. I can't friggin believe the Rays can't get more support in Tampa even though 90% of the baseball fans in Tampa aren't from Tampa...but this is a story for another evening.

 
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got_nugs said:
Good Posting Judge said:
got_nugs said:
The Marlins dealt that guy for a bunch of crackerjacks and a sandwich.

Jesus.
Click to expand...
The guys they got were highly regarded at the time, but they rolled a snake-eyes. Apparently the Doyers were dangling Kershaw.
Click to expand...
Andrew Miller and Cameron Maybin? Yeah, I remember the trade very well, was a season ticket holder at the time. It's the reason I didn't renew. They weren't anything close to Migi. I don't recall the minor leaguers offhand....maybe they were better. Badenhop was one i'm pretty sure. It wasn't the first time the Marlins sold high without trying to build a team the people could get behind. Of course they had to do this financially since there were only like 4 of us with season tickets and the year after, no ####, I bought 4 tickets for 30 home games for $4 each in a package. Nobody was going to the games. Ended up selling most of them on eBay and heading north to Tampa instead. The Rays had this new quirky manager that I really liked and started following them. And that's the story of how I became a Rays fan.

eta: it was also quite nice that in Tampa they played inside in the A/C instead of the super steamy humid Dolphins stadium. I can't friggin believe the Rays can't get more support in Tampa even though 90% of the baseball fans in Tampa aren't from Tampa...but this is a story for another evening.
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I think Maybin was the #5 prospect in baseball at the time, and I still have never seen a guy go faster from home to third as he did in a spring training game I was at in 2007. Miller was top 20 I think, Badenhop top 100, Euligio De La Cruz was hitting 100 at low A ball.

All in all the Tigers barely won the trade IMO, we did after all not only take Dontrelle Willis back, but we gave him a big fat extension.

 
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At the time, how big of a prospect was Miggy? Lets ask Rocket, shall we? DTrain used to bring people to the stadium when on the mound...last guy that has done this until JoseF.

Speaking of the devil....how about a fatty over the plate for ol times sake, Andy?

 
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I expected to see the Habs at -160 or so, given that another loss at home would put them in a monster hole. But they are still sitting there at -130, just like game 1. Even though I hate them, it's very, very tempting to hammer them.

 
Raider Nation said:
I expected to see the Habs at -160 or so, given that another loss at home would put them in a monster hole. But they are still sitting there at -130, just like game 1. Even though I hate them, it's very, very tempting to hammer them.
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Posted this in the Stanley Cup thread. I think this explains the line.

The Montreal Canadiens are pondering the notion of going without star goalie Carey Price in the NHL's Eastern Conference final.It isn't pretty.

Coach Michel Therrien admitted Sunday he's as anxious as the team's nervous fans to find out how Price will respond to therapy after he was plowed into, skates-first, by New York's Chris Kreider in the Rangers' 7-2 romp in the opener of the best-of-seven series on Saturday.

Price tested the suspected right knee injury briefly ahead of an optional practice, but his fitness for Game 2 on Monday night at the Bell Centre remains in doubt.

"We'll see how he reacts to the therapy and on (Monday) I'll be in a better position to say if he can play or not," said Therrien. "Right now I can't, although I wish I could."

About an hour ahead of practice at the team's suburban training center, Price went on the ice with goaltending coach Stephane Waite for about five minutes, mostly moving side to side in the crease and not taking any shots. Then they left the ice.

If he can't play, backup Peter Budaj will likely get the call. Third-stringer Dustin Tokarski is also available.

Budaj, who has awful numbers in his limited career playoff experience, replaced Price for the third period in Game 1 and allowed three goals on eight shots, although two of the goals were on the power play, including one on a two-man advantage.

"I'm ready if I have to go but nobody told me anything," said Budaj. "I don't know if I'm playing or not. I'll be ready if I get the chance to play. We'll see how he feels."

In seven playoff games, Budaj is 0-2-0 with an .843 save percentage and 5.13 goals-against average.
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Glad I saw that before pulling the trigger.

 
Raider Nation said:
Raider Nation said:
I expected to see the Habs at -160 or so, given that another loss at home would put them in a monster hole. But they are still sitting there at -130, just like game 1. Even though I hate them, it's very, very tempting to hammer them.
Click to expand...
Posted this in the Stanley Cup thread. I think this explains the line.

The Montreal Canadiens are pondering the notion of going without star goalie Carey Price in the NHL's Eastern Conference final.

It isn't pretty.

Coach Michel Therrien admitted Sunday he's as anxious as the team's nervous fans to find out how Price will respond to therapy after he was plowed into, skates-first, by New York's Chris Kreider in the Rangers' 7-2 romp in the opener of the best-of-seven series on Saturday.

Price tested the suspected right knee injury briefly ahead of an optional practice, but his fitness for Game 2 on Monday night at the Bell Centre remains in doubt.

"We'll see how he reacts to the therapy and on (Monday) I'll be in a better position to say if he can play or not," said Therrien. "Right now I can't, although I wish I could."

About an hour ahead of practice at the team's suburban training center, Price went on the ice with goaltending coach Stephane Waite for about five minutes, mostly moving side to side in the crease and not taking any shots. Then they left the ice.

If he can't play, backup Peter Budaj will likely get the call. Third-stringer Dustin Tokarski is also available.

Budaj, who has awful numbers in his limited career playoff experience, replaced Price for the third period in Game 1 and allowed three goals on eight shots, although two of the goals were on the power play, including one on a two-man advantage.

"I'm ready if I have to go but nobody told me anything," said Budaj. "I don't know if I'm playing or not. I'll be ready if I get the chance to play. We'll see how he feels."

In seven playoff games, Budaj is 0-2-0 with an .843 save percentage and 5.13 goals-against average.
Click to expand...
Glad I saw that before pulling the trigger.
Click to expand...
Rangers +115

O5.0 +105

 
tonydead said:
Raider Nation said:
Raider Nation said:
I expected to see the Habs at -160 or so, given that another loss at home would put them in a monster hole. But they are still sitting there at -130, just like game 1. Even though I hate them, it's very, very tempting to hammer them.
Click to expand...
Posted this in the Stanley Cup thread. I think this explains the line.

The Montreal Canadiens are pondering the notion of going without star goalie Carey Price in the NHL's Eastern Conference final.

It isn't pretty.

Coach Michel Therrien admitted Sunday he's as anxious as the team's nervous fans to find out how Price will respond to therapy after he was plowed into, skates-first, by New York's Chris Kreider in the Rangers' 7-2 romp in the opener of the best-of-seven series on Saturday.

Price tested the suspected right knee injury briefly ahead of an optional practice, but his fitness for Game 2 on Monday night at the Bell Centre remains in doubt.

"We'll see how he reacts to the therapy and on (Monday) I'll be in a better position to say if he can play or not," said Therrien. "Right now I can't, although I wish I could."

About an hour ahead of practice at the team's suburban training center, Price went on the ice with goaltending coach Stephane Waite for about five minutes, mostly moving side to side in the crease and not taking any shots. Then they left the ice.

If he can't play, backup Peter Budaj will likely get the call. Third-stringer Dustin Tokarski is also available.

Budaj, who has awful numbers in his limited career playoff experience, replaced Price for the third period in Game 1 and allowed three goals on eight shots, although two of the goals were on the power play, including one on a two-man advantage.

"I'm ready if I have to go but nobody told me anything," said Budaj. "I don't know if I'm playing or not. I'll be ready if I get the chance to play. We'll see how he feels."

In seven playoff games, Budaj is 0-2-0 with an .843 save percentage and 5.13 goals-against average.
Click to expand...
Glad I saw that before pulling the trigger.
Click to expand...
Rangers +115

O5.0 +105
Click to expand...
Price out for the remainder of conference final. Not sure how "new" this news is coming from a dope like me.

 
fantasycurse42 said:
Heat minus 3 tomorrow...

ML - $150

Does anyone suspect they just come out and roll Indy tomorrow?
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I expect much less Pacers scoring, that defense the Heat play is about passion and effort which we didn't see much of in the beginning of the game, allowing Indy to get out early. Blowing Indy out will be predicated on the Heat hitting more than 4 or 5 3s. I expect both 3 point totals to regress back to the mean and Miami wins this one. I also expected under 181.5 in the last game so don't listen to me.

Hoping for a Shawn Bradley sighting tomorrow!

 
That was only the third time since 1995, and the first time since 2004, that a home team had been given points in the first game of a playoff series in round 3 or above. The home team won that game like 69% of the time. They won game two about 60% of the time, but it dropped down to 56% if they won game one.

 
ChainsawU said:
Thunder lost their first four games as the dog this season, but proceeded to go 7-2 SU and ATS (avg line 2.8) as the dog since Dec 21. Three of those were B2B away games, and I think a couple of those were without Westbrook as well.
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They are now 9-3 SU and 10-2 ATS as the underdog since Dec 21. They lost by margins of -4,-5,-2 in those three games. The Thunder are 5-9 SU lifetime at San Antonio. Seven of those 14 games were in the second game of B2B and they went 1-6 SU. The Thunder are 4-3 SU and 6-1 ATS lifetime at San Antonio when they have had at least one day of rest (avg line 5.9).

The Spurs have been strong in this playoff spot under Gregg Popovich. They are 13-1 SU and 10-4 ATS in game one at home in round two or greater. If I could call an exact score I would say San Antonio wins by three.

action junkie parlay:

Spurs -245

Indians F5 +½ -150

 
Clevelend is just a public fade. The consensus #s combined with the line movement don't make sense. And Detroit is 9-1 SU L10 in Cleveland, so it really doesn't make sense. So I'm fading it.

 
You guys think the Indians -115 is a line that is obscenely incorrect? Have you seen the Indians hit?

I think the under might be a good play there and while I'd probably take the Indians tonight also if I ever bet against the Tigers, I wouldn't do it enthusiastically.

 
Drew Smyly is the best pitching matchup of the abbreviated day because he gets to face a Cleveland Indians team that has been putrid against left-handed pitching. Cleveland has hit just .212/.286/.326 against southpaws this season. Michael Brantley, Asdrubal Cabrera and Mike Aviles are the only batters in the lineup hitting better than .250 against lefties, while regulars such as Carlos Santana and Nick Swisher are hitting below .200 against them. link
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This is from ESPN's daily notes. They are especially good for a fade sometimes if Brian Gramling is putting them together. Not sure how well the guy who wrote today's version, Jason Collette, sees the MLB. The Indians are 4-11 SU versus LHP this season, but they are 4-3 SU versus LHP at home.

 
Smyly has a 6.00 ERA and 1.50 WHIP lifetime in Progressive. While the official lineups aren't out and Cleveland can't hit lefties, 7 potentional Indians starters have an OPS of 1.000 or greater against Smyly lifetime per dailybaseball

Detroit has swept two road series in a row (six overall) and Cleveland got swept by the Athletics at home (lost 4 in a row) so it seems really easy to take Detroit but is contrary to how the line is moving.

 
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tjnc09 said:
Smyly has a 6.00 ERA and 1.50 WHIP lifetime in Progressive. While the official lineups aren't out and Cleveland can't hit lefties, 7 potentional Indians starters have an OPS of 1.000 or greater against Smyly lifetime per dailybaseball
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That's based on 26 plate appearances in five games, none of them starts. Seems like that means very little.

Cleveland has hit Smyly well in limited chances against him, but that's when Cleveland could actually hit.

 
Doctor Detroit said:
got_nugs said:
Price is out, is our expos cup futures toast dr?

Do we like goals tonight?
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Not necessarily. They won't win the cup without price but they can still win this series IMO. They have to win tonight though, and I think they will.
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Yay! (I'd be shot on site by mrs nugs if I ever actually uttered the word yay irl, so yay the internet too!)

I got an expos hat from early marlins days, may break that ##### out tonight.

 
Doctor Detroit said:
tjnc09 said:
Smyly has a 6.00 ERA and 1.50 WHIP lifetime in Progressive. While the official lineups aren't out and Cleveland can't hit lefties, 7 potentional Indians starters have an OPS of 1.000 or greater against Smyly lifetime per dailybaseball
Click to expand...
That's based on 26 plate appearances in five games, none of them starts. Seems like that means very little.

Cleveland has hit Smyly well in limited chances against him, but that's when Cleveland could actually hit.
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Honestly, I'm projecting a Tigers win and over. I was trying to find an angle that explained why the line was moving away from Cleveland although the plane news probably explains that.

 
Okay, I'm confused. Price is out and the o5 is even money. :confused:

Are they expecting the Habs to go to Dean Smith's 4-corners offense to milk the clock?

 
ChainsawU said:
Drew Smyly is the best pitching matchup of the abbreviated day because he gets to face a Cleveland Indians team that has been putrid against left-handed pitching. Cleveland has hit just .212/.286/.326 against southpaws this season. Michael Brantley, Asdrubal Cabrera and Mike Aviles are the only batters in the lineup hitting better than .250 against lefties, while regulars such as Carlos Santana and Nick Swisher are hitting below .200 against them. link
Click to expand...
This is from ESPN's daily notes. They are especially good for a fade sometimes if Brian Gramling is putting them together. Not sure how well the guy who wrote today's version, Jason Collette, sees the MLB. The Indians are 4-11 SU versus LHP this season, but they are 4-3 SU versus LHP at home.
Click to expand...
Collette is a former poster here - Knightro
 
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