FIVE TO GRAB / FIVE TO AVOID (1 Viewer)

[BustedKnuckles]

FIVE TO GRAB

1. Frank Gore, 49ers. He averaged 4.8 yards per carry in his rookie season and got noticeably better as the season wore on.

2. DeAngelo Williams, Panthers. This little fella can make big plays, and there's no way starter DeShaun Foster stays healthy.

3. Joseph Addai, Colts. Talented back, big-time offense ... you finish the analysis.

4. Warrick Dunn, Falcons. Those of you who think he'll wear down must not have seen him play much last year.

5. Corey Dillon, Patriots. Relax about the drop in yardage. He's still scoring TDs and is motivated to bounce back ... but try to handcuff him to Laurence Maroney later in the draft, just in case

FIVE TO AVOID

1. Reggie Bush/Deuce McAllister, Saints. As long as both are playing, both players' upsides are limited. Bush has the all-around potential for more yardage, but McAllister is the incumbent starter and has more goal-line capabilities.

2. Julius Jones, Cowboys. Forget his 2004 success. Injuries and Barber's presence make him a risk as a top back.

3. Jamal Lewis, Ravens. Unfortunately, you can't expect the numbers from the overworked Lewis than you once did.

4. Fred Taylor, Jaguars. We can call him Fragile Fred once again. And if Greg Jones continues to emerge, we can call Taylor Backup Fred.

5. Kevan Barlow, Jets. He has a new opportunity with the Jets, but the Jets' offense isn't much better than San Fran's, and we haven't seen anything the last two years that indicates Barlow would do anything even with regular carries. Anybody who has owned him the past two years knows why he's here.

SMART MONEY

Rising: Frank Gore, 49ers

Falling: Fred Taylor, Jaguars

Comeback candidate: Corey Dillon, Patriots

Biggest risk/reward: Brian Westbrook, Eagles

Top goal-line threat: Shaun Alexander, Seahawks

Will succeed with new team: Chester Taylor, Vikings

Will struggle with new team: Mike Anderson, Ravens

Top rookie: Joseph Addai, Colts

(note---i did not compile this list...cut and paste)

 

[jurb26]

3. Jamal Lewis, Ravens. Unfortunately, you can't expect the numbers from the overworked Lewis than you once did.

 

[jerseydevil20]

3. Joseph Addai, Colts. Talented back, big-time offense ... you finish the analysis....Top rookie: Joseph Addai, Colts

I really want to get on the Addai bandwagon, but his size, injury history and the fact that he hasn't had more than 180 carries in a season (as I recall) is leading me elsewhere. He may blow up, but there are a lot of Qs...Contrast that with all the carries DWill had over the past two seasons. Which one is likely to handle the load when given a chance? Maybe there isn't enough information to draw a valid conclusion, but my gut says no to Addai. edit to add: I agree 100% with the other 4, nice job. I would add TJones to the list...

 

[Sopranos]

3. Joseph Addai, Colts. Talented back, big-time offense ... you finish the analysis....Top rookie: Joseph Addai, Colts

I really want to get on the Addai bandwagon, but his size, injury history and the fact that he hasn't had more than 180 carries in a season (as I recall) is leading me elsewhere. He may blow up, but there are a lot of Qs...Contrast that with all the carries DWill had over the past two seasons. Which one is likely to handle the load when given a chance? Maybe there isn't enough information to draw a valid conclusion, but my gut says no to Addai. edit to add: I agree 100% with the other 4, nice job. I would add TJones to the list...

Why do people think he is small. He is 5'11" 214lbs same size as Portis..Plus he is very fast. I agree about the workload,he will be introduced slow. But his size is ideal.

 

[2banalias]

I really want to get on the Addai bandwagon, but his size, injury history and the fact that he hasn't had more than 180 carries in a season (as I recall) is leading me elsewhere. He may blow up, but there are a lot of Qs...

I bet Addai and JJ Arrington become friends

 

[strong]

Top goal-line threat: Shaun Alexander, Seahawks

Yeah, Morris owners are going to hate it when SA takes away all his short yardage touchdowns...

 

[Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll]

FIVE TO GRAB

1. Frank Gore, 49ers. He averaged 4.8 yards per carry in his rookie season and got noticeably better as the season wore on.

2. DeAngelo Williams, Panthers. This little fella can make big plays, and there's no way starter DeShaun Foster stays healthy.

3. Joseph Addai, Colts. Talented back, big-time offense ... you finish the analysis.

4. Warrick Dunn, Falcons. Those of you who think he'll wear down must not have seen him play much last year.

5. Corey Dillon, Patriots. Relax about the drop in yardage. He's still scoring TDs and is motivated to bounce back ... but try to handcuff him to Laurence Maroney later in the draft, just in case

FIVE TO AVOID

1. Reggie Bush/Deuce McAllister, Saints. As long as both are playing, both players' upsides are limited. Bush has the all-around potential for more yardage, but McAllister is the incumbent starter and has more goal-line capabilities.

2. Julius Jones, Cowboys. Forget his 2004 success. Injuries and Barber's presence make him a risk as a top back.

3. Jamal Lewis, Ravens. Unfortunately, you can't expect the numbers from the overworked Lewis than you once did.

4. Fred Taylor, Jaguars. We can call him Fragile Fred once again. And if Greg Jones continues to emerge, we can call Taylor Backup Fred.

5. Kevan Barlow, Jets. He has a new opportunity with the Jets, but the Jets' offense isn't much better than San Fran's, and we haven't seen anything the last two years that indicates Barlow would do anything even with regular carries. Anybody who has owned him the past two years knows why he's here.

SMART MONEY

Rising: Frank Gore, 49ers

Falling: Fred Taylor, Jaguars

Comeback candidate: Corey Dillon, Patriots

Biggest risk/reward: Brian Westbrook, Eagles

Top goal-line threat: Shaun Alexander, Seahawks

Will succeed with new team: Chester Taylor, Vikings

Will struggle with new team: Mike Anderson, Ravens

Top rookie: Joseph Addai, Colts

(note---i did not compile this list...cut and paste)

The guy covers these same bolded backs in his "Grab/Avoid" section right before it. "Smart Money", ooh, that's catchy...Just a "writer" trying to fill some space...

 

[hankey2mlh]

FIVE TO GRAB

1. Frank Gore, 49ers. He averaged 4.8 yards per carry in his rookie season and got noticeably better as the season wore on.

2. DeAngelo Williams, Panthers. This little fella can make big plays, and there's no way starter DeShaun Foster stays healthy.

3. Joseph Addai, Colts. Talented back, big-time offense ... you finish the analysis.

4. Warrick Dunn, Falcons. Those of you who think he'll wear down must not have seen him play much last year.

5. Corey Dillon, Patriots. Relax about the drop in yardage. He's still scoring TDs and is motivated to bounce back ... but try to handcuff him to Laurence Maroney later in the draft, just in case

FIVE TO AVOID

1. Reggie Bush/Deuce McAllister, Saints. As long as both are playing, both players' upsides are limited. Bush has the all-around potential for more yardage, but McAllister is the incumbent starter and has more goal-line capabilities.

2. Julius Jones, Cowboys. Forget his 2004 success. Injuries and Barber's presence make him a risk as a top back.

3. Jamal Lewis, Ravens. Unfortunately, you can't expect the numbers from the overworked Lewis than you once did.

4. Fred Taylor, Jaguars. We can call him Fragile Fred once again. And if Greg Jones continues to emerge, we can call Taylor Backup Fred.

5. Kevan Barlow, Jets. He has a new opportunity with the Jets, but the Jets' offense isn't much better than San Fran's, and we haven't seen anything the last two years that indicates Barlow would do anything even with regular carries. Anybody who has owned him the past two years knows why he's here.

SMART MONEY

Rising: Frank Gore, 49ers

Falling: Fred Taylor, Jaguars

Comeback candidate: Corey Dillon, Patriots

Biggest risk/reward: Brian Westbrook, Eagles

Top goal-line threat: Shaun Alexander, Seahawks

Will succeed with new team: Chester Taylor, Vikings

Will struggle with new team: Mike Anderson, Ravens

Top rookie: Joseph Addai, Colts

(note---i did not compile this list...cut and paste)

The guy covers these same bolded backs in his "Grab/Avoid" section right before it. "Smart Money", ooh, that's catchy...Just a "writer" trying to fill some space...

Sounds like TSN fantasy football mag...

 

[remote controller]

FIVE TO GRAB 1. Frank Gore, 49ers. He averaged 4.8 yards per carry in his rookie season and got noticeably better as the season wore on.2. DeAngelo Williams, Panthers. This little fella can make big plays, and there's no way starter DeShaun Foster stays healthy.3. Joseph Addai, Colts. Talented back, big-time offense ... you finish the analysis.4. Warrick Dunn, Falcons. Those of you who think he'll wear down must not have seen him play much last year.5. Corey Dillon, Patriots. Relax about the drop in yardage. He's still scoring TDs and is motivated to bounce back ... but try to handcuff him to Laurence Maroney later in the draft, just in caseFIVE TO AVOID 1. Reggie Bush/Deuce McAllister, Saints. As long as both are playing, both players' upsides are limited. Bush has the all-around potential for more yardage, but McAllister is the incumbent starter and has more goal-line capabilities.2. Julius Jones, Cowboys. Forget his 2004 success. Injuries and Barber's presence make him a risk as a top back.3. Jamal Lewis, Ravens. Unfortunately, you can't expect the numbers from the overworked Lewis than you once did.4. Fred Taylor, Jaguars. We can call him Fragile Fred once again. And if Greg Jones continues to emerge, we can call Taylor Backup Fred.5. Kevan Barlow, Jets. He has a new opportunity with the Jets, but the Jets' offense isn't much better than San Fran's, and we haven't seen anything the last two years that indicates Barlow would do anything even with regular carries. Anybody who has owned him the past two years knows why he's here. SMART MONEY Rising: Frank Gore, 49ersFalling: Fred Taylor, JaguarsComeback candidate: Corey Dillon, PatriotsBiggest risk/reward: Brian Westbrook, EaglesTop goal-line threat: Shaun Alexander, SeahawksWill succeed with new team: Chester Taylor, VikingsWill struggle with new team: Mike Anderson, RavensTop rookie: Joseph Addai, Colts(note---i did not compile this list...cut and paste)

I can safely say, I will only consider one of these 10 in a draft, that being Dunn.

 

[pizzatyme]

I've said it in other threads, I'll say it here. Addai will be very good for the Colts, NEXT YEAR. This is Rhodes team barring injury this season.

My picks on the 5/5

GRAB

1. W. Dunn- Top 6 RB this year barring injury

2. Chester Taylor- Finally gets his chance to shine

3. Caddy- ready after a year of seasoning to the Pro game

4. Rhodes- Can be had in 6th round or later in most redrafts

5. Rudi- I like him to be even more of a workhorse while Palmer regains confidence in his knee

AVOID

1. Westbrook- Injury risk and playing for a potential cellar dweller

2. Dom Davis- obvious injury questions and emergence of backups

3. Jets- bad RBBC on a very bad team

4. C. Benson- TJ is here to stay, too much bad karma

5. Ahman Green- has seen his better days, emergence of GADO!!!

 

[Deuce'sWild]

Hate seeing all this Dunn love....I traded CJ and Dunn for Holt and FWP the other day.

Starting to second guess now.

 

[Football Menace]

Hate seeing all this Dunn love....I traded CJ and Dunn for Holt and FWP the other day.Starting to second guess now.

Wash to me.

 

[BustedKnuckles]

I've said it in other threads, I'll say it here. Addai will be very good for the Colts, NEXT YEAR. This is Rhodes team barring injury this season.

My picks on the 5/5

GRAB

1. W. Dunn- Top 6 RB this year barring injury

2. Chester Taylor- Finally gets his chance to shine

3. Caddy- ready after a year of seasoning to the Pro game

4. Rhodes- Can be had in 6th round or later in most redrafts

5. Rudi- I like him to be even more of a workhorse while Palmer regains confidence in his knee

AVOID

1. Westbrook- Injury risk and playing for a potential cellar dweller

2. Dom Davis- obvious injury questions and emergence of backups

3. Jets- bad RBBC on a very bad team

4. C. Benson- TJ is here to stay, too much bad karma

5. Ahman Green- has seen his better days, emergence of GADO!!!

Lets not forget he wont have C.Perry looking over his shoulder for 6 weeks

 

[radballs]

Hate seeing all this Dunn love....I traded CJ and Dunn for Holt and FWP the other day.Starting to second guess now.

Wash to me.

 

[radballs]

I'm still trying to figure out if the original poster is factoring ADP into who he's picking or not picking on each of these players. I never go into draft saying that I'm going or I'm not going to draft so and so. It all depends on where you'd have to draft each one.

 

[Bailiver]

I've said it in other threads, I'll say it here. Addai will be very good for the Colts, NEXT YEAR. This is Rhodes team barring injury this season.

My picks on the 5/5

GRAB

1. W. Dunn- Top 6 RB this year barring injury

2. Chester Taylor- Finally gets his chance to shine

3. Caddy- ready after a year of seasoning to the Pro game

4. Rhodes- Can be had in 6th round or later in most redrafts

5. Rudi- I like him to be even more of a workhorse while Palmer regains confidence in his knee

AVOID

1. Westbrook- Injury risk and playing for a potential cellar dweller

2. Dom Davis- obvious injury questions and emergence of backups

3. Jets- bad RBBC on a very bad team

4. C. Benson- TJ is here to stay, too much bad karma

5. Ahman Green- has seen his better days, emergence of GADO!!!

Lets not forget he wont have C.Perry looking over his shoulder for 6 weeks

I have been thinking about that. I would like to bump Rudi's catches (and thus his value in PPR leagues), but I am not sure if his relatively few number of projected catches (20ish) is a result of bad hands or the presence of Perry. If the former, then Rudi doesn't get the bump. But if the latter, Rudi may deserve a significant bump in PPR value.

 

[David Yudkin]

GRAB1. W. Dunn- Top 6 RB this year barring injury

I have been the President of the FBG Warrick Dunn Fan Club FOR YEARS. But I can't see him in the Top 6. Dunn will be 32 the first week of January and has never even been in the Top 10 in his 9 years in the league. He's never had more than 9 TD (and I doubt he starts getting more than that now).Last year, even with 6 more TD he would have only ranked 9th.While anything is possible, I would file this one under UNLIKELY.

 

[shadyridr]

Agree on the Corey Dillon pick. I am shocked to see his ADP is in the 4th round

 

[brednbuddah]

with TJ in DC, you gotta bump the undervalued Dunn up.

 

[broncofan13000]

FIVE TO GRAB 2. DeAngelo Williams, Panthers. This little fella can make big plays, and there's no way starter DeShaun Foster stays healthy.

Do you really believe in him? I drafted him early 3rd in my dynasty draft, and have been questioning myself ever since. All reports have said that he has looked unimpressive (which i hope are wrong) ... i hope you're right. oh and i like the thread

 

[Tau837]

GRAB1. W. Dunn- Top 6 RB this year barring injury

I have been the President of the FBG Warrick Dunn Fan Club FOR YEARS. But I can't see him in the Top 6. Dunn will be 32 the first week of January and has never even been in the Top 10 in his 9 years in the league. He's never had more than 9 TD (and I doubt he starts getting more than that now).Last year, even with 6 more TD he would have only ranked 9th.While anything is possible, I would file this one under UNLIKELY.

Agree Dunn isn't likely to reach top 6, but he is likely still great value. Post from the Dunn thread:

Dunn had a total of 22 rushing TDs from 2002 to 2005. 7 of those came in games Duckett missed... counting the 0 touch games for Duckett as missed games, that's a ratio of 7 TDs in 11 games. One could argue that it is reasonable to project this 7/11 ratio out to 16 games for Dunn... which would project to 10.2 rushing TDs.Assuming the Falcons don't come up with another good short yardage runner before the season, I think this makes it a very safe bet that Dunn will have a minimum of 8 TDs this season, with upside for 10+.Last season, Dunn was RB12 with only 4 TDs (FBG scoring). Another 4 TDs (total of 8) would have pushed him to RB9. Another 7 (total of 11) would have pushed him to RB7. So the potential is there for Dunn to be a top 10 back now.Probably the biggest question now is what this does to his ADP. If he can still be had after 18-20 RBs or so are off the board, he should be a great value. I'd still be a bit wary of taking him in the top 15. Really, what this does is give me further confidence on waiting until the 3rd round to take my RB2.

 

[Scorehoard]

I disagree w/ the Bush/McAllister assumption. Though it is easily observed that Deuce will steal goaline carries and w/ all do respect he should BUT......... Coach Payton will give the people what they are wanting to see! That forward summersalt into the endzone. No in all honesty I feel that there will be a lot of deception thrown in the way of the defense to confuse them. That would include Bush, McAllister, Hilton, etc. It will surely be a closely watched phenomenon but I'll take my chances on Bush for keeper for yrs and yrs....Oh and by the way Maroney would be my 2nd choice

NO Warrick Dunn

I like Chester

I also like to gamble and I think DeShaun Foster could suprise many

 

[mbuehner]

Complete agreement with the list.

 

[PatsWillWin]

I disagree w/ the Bush/McAllister assumption. Though it is easily observed that Deuce will steal goaline carries and w/ all do respect he should BUT......... Coach Payton will give the people what they are wanting to see! That forward summersalt into the endzone. No in all honesty I feel that there will be a lot of deception thrown in the way of the defense to confuse them. That would include Bush, McAllister, Hilton, etc. It will surely be a closely watched phenomenon but I'll take my chances on Bush for keeper for yrs and yrs....Oh and by the way Maroney would be my 2nd choiceNO Warrick DunnI like ChesterI also like to gamble and I think DeShaun Foster could suprise many

Bush owners should put an asterik next to everything they say about the Saints.Payton will GIVE THE PEOPLE WHAT THEY WANT TO SEE? It's that easy, huh? Who'da thunk? And relying on HILTON to create "confusion" for opposing defenses, lol. The Saints are more likely to confuse themselves.

 

[dlptown]

I understand the history of Fragile Fred, but clarify as even with Jones sharing some of the load, he is supposed to be having a nice camp. Additionally, while A Green is coming off of the injury, I thought it was his job and that he might provide some nice value- can anyone clarify/expand on these two please.

 

[Armando]

I'm talking Dynasty here:

BUY NOW and LOW:

1) Cedric Benson

2) Chris Perry

3) Greg Jones

4) Michael Turner

5) Brian Calhoun (Kevin Jones looks sluggish as hell again this year)

AVOID:

1) Fraud Taylor (1st injury and his job is toast)

2) D'Angelo Williams (Foster isn't a pushover by any means)

3) Julius Jones (Parcells is giving him every shot in the world. He flat out doesn't look better than Barber)

4) Dillon

5) Barlow (The Jets will find their RB of the future in next year's draft)

 

[Noahs Troopers]

5 to Grab:

1. Willis McGahee

2. Frank Gore

3. Cadillac Williams

4. Rudi Johnson

5. V. Morency

5 to Avoid:

1. Ahman Green

2. Addai

3. Portis

4. Edge (Sorry, I hate that O-line)

5. J. Jones

 

[gocats]

5 to Grab:1. Willis McGahee2. Frank Gore3. Cadillac Williams4. Rudi Johnson5. V. Morency5 to Avoid:1. Ahman Green2. Addai3. Portis4. Edge (Sorry, I hate that O-line)5. J. Jones

Nail meet head

 

[Hellfire Snail]

5 to Grab:

1. Willis McGahee

2. Frank Gore

3. Cadillac Williams

4. Rudi Johnson

5. V. Morency

5 to Avoid:

1. Ahman Green

2. Addai

3. Portis

4. Edge (Sorry, I hate that O-line)

5. J. Jones

 

[rascal]

5 to Grab:1. Willis McGahee2. Frank Gore3. Cadillac Williams4. Rudi Johnson5. V. Morency5 to Avoid:1. Ahman Green2. Addai3. Portis4. Edge (Sorry, I hate that O-line)5. J. Jones

You hate the o-line in Arizona but like it enough to like McGahee and Gore (I'll slide on Morency because of his possible value)?

 

[knowledge dropper]

FIVE TO GRAB 1. Frank Gore, 49ers. He averaged 4.8 yards per carry in his rookie season and got noticeably better as the season wore on.2. DeAngelo Williams, Panthers. This little fella can make big plays, and there's no way starter DeShaun Foster stays healthy.3. Joseph Addai, Colts. Talented back, big-time offense ... you finish the analysis.4. Warrick Dunn, Falcons. Those of you who think he'll wear down must not have seen him play much last year.5. Corey Dillon, Patriots. Relax about the drop in yardage. He's still scoring TDs and is motivated to bounce back ... but try to handcuff him to Laurence Maroney later in the draft, just in case

Anyone having to start 2 of these 5 RB's on their fantasy team is in for a long season.

 

[Noahs Troopers]

5 to Grab:1. Willis McGahee2. Frank Gore3. Cadillac Williams4. Rudi Johnson5. V. Morency5 to Avoid:1. Ahman Green2. Addai3. Portis4. Edge (Sorry, I hate that O-line)5. J. Jones

You hate the o-line in Arizona but like it enough to like McGahee and Gore (I'll slide on Morency because of his possible value)?

Gore's OLine is not that bad, it's much better than Arizona or Buffalo. Willis is going much later in drafts than Edge as I just grabbed Willis in the 5th while Edge went in the 1st, to me Willis is value with his ADP and James in overvalued with his ADP, Arizona is no Indy.

 

[mojorizin]

5 to Grab:1. Willis McGahee2. Frank Gore3. Cadillac Williams4. Rudi Johnson5. V. Morency5 to Avoid:1. Ahman Green2. Addai3. Portis4. Edge (Sorry, I hate that O-line)5. J. Jones

You hate the o-line in Arizona but like it enough to like McGahee and Gore (I'll slide on Morency because of his possible value)?

Gore's OLine is not that bad, it's much better than Arizona or Buffalo. Willis is going much later in drafts than Edge as I just grabbed Willis in the 5th while Edge went in the 1st, to me Willis is value with his ADP and James in overvalued with his ADP, Arizona is no Indy.

I wouldnt pass up McGahee in the 3rd, baby.

 

[pk2448]

I've said it in other threads, I'll say it here. Addai will be very good for the Colts, NEXT YEAR. This is Rhodes team barring injury this season.My picks on the 5/5GRAB1. W. Dunn- Top 6 RB this year barring injury2. Chester Taylor- Finally gets his chance to shine3. Caddy- ready after a year of seasoning to the Pro game4. Rhodes- Can be had in 6th round or later in most redrafts5. Rudi- I like him to be even more of a workhorse while Palmer regains confidence in his kneeAVOID1. Westbrook- Injury risk and playing for a potential cellar dweller2. Dom Davis- obvious injury questions and emergence of backups3. Jets- bad RBBC on a very bad team4. C. Benson- TJ is here to stay, too much bad karma5. Ahman Green- has seen his better days, emergence of GADO!!!

Not sure how your league drafts but Rhodes will not last to round 6 in many drafts. I have seen him go as high as in second round but he should be gone in the 3rd or forth in 12 team redraft leagues. A starting back with the returning indy line, is a bargin.I just heard that Mungro is out for the season. Hollings should and Joe should fight for the #2 spot when the season starts, i liked Hollings before but it should be a good competition. Rhodes will have to perform porr for a couple of games or get injured to lose the top spot.

 

[pyite76]

I bet Addai and JJ Arrington become friends

 

[joffer]

Not sure how your league drafts but Rhodes will not last to round 6 in many drafts. I have seen him go as high as in second round but he should be gone in the 3rd or forth in 12 team redraft leagues. A starting back with the returning indy line, is a bargin.

disagree. the six omega leagues (12 team) drafted on Sunday. They are always very competitive, and Rhodes went7.01

6.07 (to me)

6.01

6.08

8.09

8.02

It is ppr which affects things slightly. Addai went earlier in 4 of the 6 leagues.

 

[Otis]

Is there a more obvious list anywhere?

 

[thecardiackid]

I'm still trying to figure out if the original poster is factoring ADP into who he's picking or not picking on each of these players. I never go into draft saying that I'm going or I'm not going to draft so and so. It all depends on where you'd have want to draft each one.

edited for MHO.

My picks on the 5/5

GRAB

1. W. Dunn- Top 6 12 RB this year barring injury *agreed*

2. Chester Taylor- Finally gets his chance to shine *check*

3. Caddy- ready after a year of seasoning to the Pro game *I'd rather R Brown @ this ADP*

4. Rhodes- Can be had in 6th round or later in most redrafts *R Droughns - will > tds to go w/ 1100 yds*

5. Rudi- I like him to be even more of a workhorse while Palmer regains confidence in his knee *Unless you've got the 5th or 6th pick considering the Portis saga, he'll be gone now*

5a. GORE! considering his ADP he looks like a nice value pick this yr.

(try to) AVOID

1. Westbrook- Injury risk and playing for a potential cellar dweller wha? *non ppr here so not for me*

2. Dom Davis- obvious injury questions and emergence of backups *check*

3. Jets- bad RBBC on a very bad team *double check*

4. C. Benson- TJ is here to stay, too much bad karma *check - got TJ*

5. Ahman Green- has seen his better days, emergence of GADO!!!

5. Maroney/Addai/DWill UNLESS you're cuffing them and willing to burn the pick.

 

[Guzalot]

Is there a more obvious list anywhere?

Do you have any actual input or are you just here to be an a##hole? Just askin...

 

[pizzatyme]

Not sure how your league drafts but Rhodes will not last to round 6 in many drafts. I have seen him go as high as in second round but he should be gone in the 3rd or forth in 12 team redraft leagues. A starting back with the returning indy line, is a bargin.

disagree. the six omega leagues (12 team) drafted on Sunday. They are always very competitive, and Rhodes went7.01

6.07 (to me)

6.01

6.08

8.09

8.02

It is ppr which affects things slightly. Addai went earlier in 4 of the 6 leagues.

This is what I'm seeing as well. Addai is being drafted before Rhodes. This is nuts!

 

[pizzatyme]

GRAB1. W. Dunn- Top 6 RB this year barring injury

I have been the President of the FBG Warrick Dunn Fan Club FOR YEARS. But I can't see him in the Top 6. Dunn will be 32 the first week of January and has never even been in the Top 10 in his 9 years in the league. He's never had more than 9 TD (and I doubt he starts getting more than that now).Last year, even with 6 more TD he would have only ranked 9th.While anything is possible, I would file this one under UNLIKELY.

Ok David, I was drunk on my newly found manlove for Dunn this year. I'm thinking he gets his CuMart season where he goes off, especially with the absence of Duckett. He may not be long for the NFL world with his age, so Mora lets him go out with a bang and getting some of the long overdue respect.Top 12 is more LIKELY, however, I wish for his sake, a top 6 season.I wouldn't draft him as a top 12 RB, but I expect him to be there. Value baby!

 

[Franknbeans]

GRAB:

FWP - He will get a chance to show he is the best goalline back option for the Steelers

Dunn- See FWP except for the Falcons

Bush - Deuce will not be much of a factor until his knee stops swelling

K.Jones - He will get his in Detroit and this offense in general will be much improved

F.Taylor - Best shape of his life so he says and he'll be playing for a contract somewhere

AVOID:

McCallister - Still having trouble with swelling, this is Bush's show until further notice

D.Davis - See McCallister except with the Texans. Kubiak won't wait around for him to get healthy

Rhodes - the handwriting is on the wall. I say by Week 6 he's an afterthought in Indy.

Jamal Lewis - There are plenty of options when he inevitably falters out of the gates.

C.Taylor - I know people love his potential but I see the Vikings O falling apart like a house of cards this year. He may have a decent season but I wouldn't pay what most would to acquire him.

 

[-OZ-]

Drafting tonight, so here's my list, based on ADP

GRAB:

RB41: Mike Anderson

RB34: Marion Barber

RB28: Thomas Jones

RB27: Tatum Bell

RB18: Warrick Dunn

 

[nygiants56]

FIVE TO GRAB

1. Frank Gore, 49ers. He averaged 4.8 yards per carry in his rookie season and got noticeably better as the season wore on.

2. DeAngelo Williams, Panthers. This little fella can make big plays, and there's no way starter DeShaun Foster stays healthy.

3. Joseph Addai, Colts. Talented back, big-time offense ... you finish the analysis.

4. Warrick Dunn, Falcons. Those of you who think he'll wear down must not have seen him play much last year.

5. Corey Dillon, Patriots. Relax about the drop in yardage. He's still scoring TDs and is motivated to bounce back ... but try to handcuff him to Laurence Maroney later in the draft, just in case

FIVE TO AVOID

1. Reggie Bush/Deuce McAllister, Saints. As long as both are playing, both players' upsides are limited. Bush has the all-around potential for more yardage, but McAllister is the incumbent starter and has more goal-line capabilities.

2. Julius Jones, Cowboys. Forget his 2004 success. Injuries and Barber's presence make him a risk as a top back.

3. Jamal Lewis, Ravens. Unfortunately, you can't expect the numbers from the overworked Lewis than you once did.

4. Fred Taylor, Jaguars. We can call him Fragile Fred once again. And if Greg Jones continues to emerge, we can call Taylor Backup Fred.

5. Kevan Barlow, Jets. He has a new opportunity with the Jets, but the Jets' offense isn't much better than San Fran's, and we haven't seen anything the last two years that indicates Barlow would do anything even with regular carries. Anybody who has owned him the past two years knows why he's here.

SMART MONEY

Rising: Frank Gore, 49ers

Falling: Fred Taylor, Jaguars

Comeback candidate: Corey Dillon, Patriots

Biggest risk/reward: Brian Westbrook, Eagles

Top goal-line threat: Shaun Alexander, Seahawks

Will succeed with new team: Chester Taylor, Vikings

Will struggle with new team: Mike Anderson, Ravens

Top rookie: Joseph Addai, Colts

(note---i did not compile this list...cut and paste)

Dillon - only 4 rb's in NFL history have rushed form more than 1200 yards in a single season,at or over the age of 32..Dillon is 32 in Oct..he's finished..he'll be lucky to rush for 600 yards this year..the tread is WAY off the tire by now.D'Angelo Williams has done squat in preseason so far..he's a non-factor this year..

Addai hasn't looked good in preseason either..this is going to be a full blown RBBC situation, remember, Dungy used RBBC extensively in TB, before coming to Indy.

Chester Taylor will succeed with his new team? ok, whats that mean? describe what you mean by 'succeed'..what do YOU think his stats will look like this year in Minnesota..??

 

[JAA]

there should be ADP next to the players.

All players have value. There is never a player "to avoid". There are always players to avoid at parts of the draft though ...

 

[BassNBrew]

I hope this was a cut and paste job, because it's a steaming pile.

 

[PatsWillWin]

I hope this was a cut and paste job, because it's a steaming pile.

Like reading the ESPN mag. I'm surprised he didn't mention Edge because his situation got worse over the off-season (so I heard). Turn to pg 72 for details and a funny article from Billl Simmons.

 

[[icon]]

Is there a more obvious list anywhere?

Do you have any actual input or are you just here to be an a##hole? Just askin...

New here?

 

[snogger]

Agree on the Corey Dillon pick. I am shocked to see his ADP is in the 4th round

Have you seen a kid by the name Laurence Maroney?Thinking Dillon gets, on the high side, 15 carries a game. Maroney has just shown too much in camps and pre-saeson for Billick to just sit him on the bench.Thnking if they run 30 times in the game, Dillon gets 13-15Maroney gets 10-12The left overs for Faulk & Brady.Just my

 

[2112]

Drafting tonight, so here's my list, based on ADP

GRAB:

RB41: Mike Anderson

RB34: Marion Barber

RB28: Thomas Jones

RB27: Tatum Bell

RB18: Warrick Dunn

Agree here...just got Anderson at RB49 (131st overall) Love the value.