I havent heard anyone say they are concerned about Cook missing time because of his acl tear last year. most people are concerned about a dip in play. there was that study that showed a large dip in year 1 following an acl tear, but after looking at it more closely, it had its flaws in terms of its sample size. all signs point to cook being fully good to go.Funny thing is, people are worried about his injury where I think he is safer to play the whole season than Fournette is.
yes, if I picked based on floor and not ceiling as I did above, then I would take fournette over cook, as I think his floor is saferI’m leaning Fournette by a hair over Cook I’m really excited about Cook this year though.
I’m not taking hunt until the middle of the 2nd. Spencer Ware and that division make me nervous with him having the lowest weekly floor.
brown/Hopkins are making it to the end of round 1? because they should both be gone by pick 8. none of the 3 in this discussion should go that early.I think I need more preseason time to analyze this decision. For the time being, I've been drafting Brown/Hopkins over these guys.
I originally projected Hunt the highest by a good margin, but I have some recent concerns with the offense perhaps taking a step back with Mahomes and some concern about a decline in usage with Ware back. Hunt is way more talented. I think Ware cuts into his playing a bit, but nothing too substantial. How good will the offense be is my main question. I like his upside the most.
Fournette: I had him last year, but he was great and frustrating to own at the same time. How long-term and nagging are those leg injuries? I think Fournette catches 40 ball, but that's 15-20 less than I projected Hunt to catch. It limits his upside.
You have to love what Cook did in his limited time last year. The ACL injury probably has an impact on him, but probably not as much as in the older days. My concern would be his playing time. Last year Murray wasn't healthy when Cook started. The new OC comes from a team that employed RBBC. Why wouldn't they use Murray a bit more, especially earlier in the season? I think everyone assumes that Cook will be a bellcow again and I see some risk there along with a somewhat slower start from his ACL recovery.
I meant mostly Hopkins as I've taken him several times in the 9-11 range. I've done 20 drafts so far. Brown once at 9 when it was all RBs first. And yes, I thanked my lucky stars.brown/Hopkins are making it to the end of round 1? because they should both be gone by pick 8. none of the 3 in this discussion should go that early.
we are talking about picks 1.10-2.3 really. If Brown and Hopkins are there, thank your lucky stars
This is a pretty sound analysis. It isn't always simply about the player; you have to look at the whole situation.This is a great year for feature backs - don't think you can go wrong with any of them.
None have top 15 offensive lines, though.
Personally, like Gordon's PPR upside and the fact that Henry is gone ... maybe more TD looks.
Cook is going to get a ton of points. Two great WRs and a competent QB means no loading boxes - and that defense is going to allow them to run A LOT.
Fournette is also going to benefit from game script and has no competition for touches.
I take any two of these guys at the turn and feel great about it - then load up on WRs the next four rounds.
So is this assuming Gordon is already taken? Or do you rank him even below these 3? (I rank Gordon above fwiw)I'm finding these three avail at end of rd 1 and into 2. Who do you prefer and why?
Who's team has the better OL?
I wouldn't worry about Vikings OL and its possible negative impact on Cook's potential FF production this year. Hell, he ran behind one of the worst OLs during his time at Florida yet he still produced. He has an exceptional vision and balance, augmenting his physical talent (despite his lousy / terrible combine metrics).I have serious concerns about Minnesota OL. Injuries mounting.
We need to be fair here. If Fournette was dealing with a new qb that would be an advantage as well.Fournette is the best talent of this group. All three look to be volume dominant.
As I see Fournette carrying the lowest overall risk (not returning from ACL or dealing with a QB change), I’d take him before Cook and Hunt.
What am I missing here? Fournette got fed the ball over 20 rushes a game and couldn’t break the 4.0 ypc barrier. Plus he has a history of ankle issues that put some risk in the equation.
Cook is coming back from a tweaked knee and has Murray (and possible Thomas on passing downs now) to share with.
Yet the reigning NFL’s leading rusher who is also a very good receiver is left out of the equation as the weak sister in this group? Why? Because JAG Ware is back? Because Mahomes is under center (and thus he may see more rushes and dump passes)?
I don’t get you guys at all.
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I could not agree more, regarding Fournette.What am I missing here? Fournette got fed the ball over 20 rushes a game and couldn’t break the 4.0 ypc barrier. Plus he has a history of ankle issues that put some risk in the equation.
Cook is coming back from a tweaked knee and has Murray (and possible Thomas on passing downs now) to share with.
Yet the reigning NFL’s leading rusher who is also a very good receiver is left out of the equation as the weak sister in this group? Why? Because JAG Ware is back? Because Mahomes is under center (and thus he may see more rushes and dump passes)?
I don’t get you guys at all.
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You make some good points. Where I have a difference of opinion is with the importance of a QB change. Smith, for all his limitations, was very well known. The offense in KC was well defined and we knew that the lead back in KC would do well. Ware is a JAG but he preformed well, in part because the other variables, were well defined.What am I missing here? Fournette got fed the ball over 20 rushes a game and couldn’t break the 4.0 ypc barrier. Plus he has a history of ankle issues that put some risk in the equation.
Cook is coming back from a tweaked knee and has Murray (and possible Thomas on passing downs now) to share with.
Yet the reigning NFL’s leading rusher who is also a very good receiver is left out of the equation as the weak sister in this group? Why? Because JAG Ware is back? Because Mahomes is under center (and thus he may see more rushes and dump passes)?
I don’t get you guys at all.
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As a Vikings fan I was too and still do have some concerns that no pre season game could alleviate.I have serious concerns about Minnesota OL. Injuries mounting.
I asked exactly the same thing up thread. I’m sitting at 1.7 in my main 0.5ppr league and I’m liking Gordon over these guys all the way up at 7th.Dont we throw gordon in this mix too?? Or is he assumed in front of them all....
I’m not on board with Hunt being a top talent. I like Cook and Fournette more as prospects in dynasty, as I do see Hunt regressing while the other two have strong years and more wow factor when I’m watching on Sundays (and Mondays, Thursdays).What dont you like about hunt @JPeso
I too am blessed with Kamara as a keeper and pick 7th. I'm targeting OBJ then CMC fwiw (which is nada)I was gonna say something about Gordon too - Gordon and Cook are the two guys I’m targeting beginning of 2nd if still there. Have Kamara as a keeper so would love to pair the consistency of Gordon with him.
This is if Hopkins or OBJ are there at 8. If both gone I may go Gordon/Fournette in the 1st. Honestly don’t see a bad outcome from the first 2 rounds. According to CBS, Fournette has the best schedule.
Sand and I’m going Gordon. True 3 down workhorse.I asked exactly the same thing up thread. I’m sitting at 1.7 in my main 0.5ppr league and I’m liking Gordon over these guys all the way up at 7th.
Agreed, there are 14 first round talents this year and getting two is a great way to start your draft. Can either go RB/RB or RB/WR. I’d rather be at 11 so you can get your preference before the next team picks twice. Should also be insane value at WR at the 3/4 turn landing you two very good WR.It is a solid year to draft at the turn in 12 team leagues. Here is PPR ADP from FantasyPros:
I'd be pretty happy pairing any 2 of Gordon, Fournette, and Cook. (I would take Cook before Jones.) Actually, I would be happy pairing any 2 of the top 14 here. So drafting at 11 or 12 in 12 team PPR leagues seems like a solid spot to be this year. Even after that, the next few guys would include McCaffrey, Freeman, and Allen... so pairing any of the top 17 or so is pretty strong.
- RB Gurley
- RB Bell
- RB Elliott
- RB Johnson
- WR Brown
- RB Kamara
- RB Barkley
- WR Hopkins
- RB Hunt
- WR Beckham
- RB Gordon
- RB Fournette
- WR Jones
- RB Cook
Ultimately the difference between Fournette, Cook, and Hunt will likely have more to do with health, both of those players and their key teammates (QB, OL), than anything else, and that is not possible to predict.
Good point. I don't think Dalvin is quite in that 1st round just based on him only having played 3.5 games. He looked good but he also was getting a ton of work. I expect Murray to be used signficantly and especially around the GL. Especially with Cook cominh back from injury, the Vikings might want to take it slow. ACL recoveries are really good but Cook did that terrinle combine where he tested as a poor athlete. Maybe he has less room for error with the recovery of his knee?Agreed, there are 14 first round talents this year and getting two is a great way to start your draft. Can either go RB/RB or RB/WR. I’d rather be at 11 so you can get your preference before the next team picks twice. Should also be insane value at WR at the 3/4 turn landing you two very good WR.