Here's a different perspective on MJD's value.
MJD vs. Bush
Most people will agree Bush will be selected ahead of MJD. So, with that being said, here are some facts.
MJD outperformed Bush last year in total yards, touchdowns and carries. And not by just a little, but by a whole lot.
So, with that being said. How is Bush a better pick than Jones-Drew when Reggie has a younger, stronger, back to contend with in McCallister than MJD has with Taylor. In other words, how are people not knocking Bush for the same logic as they are for Jones-Drew?
Let's not forget something here:
MJD OUTPERFORMED BUSH BY A LARGER MARGIN LAST YEAR!!!
All-in-all it's a crapshoot. Who knows, maybe Taylor has a career year and holds off Jones-Drew. But, if I'm a coach and I want to win games, which train and I going to jump on? The Taylor locomotive or the Jones-Drew express.
There is absolutely no logic to support this at all. Other than the fact that these people like Bush and don't like MJD. Therefor, they are searching for reasons to knock MJD down and searching for reasons to raise Bush up. It simply amazes me every time I look at peoples ranks how high Bush is and how much lower MJD is.
Very interesting point. How much does college effect rankings for rookies, 2nd year players, 3rd year players.I've noticed on RBs, people will hang onto hope for YEARS. Look at Ron Dayne. Chris Perry. Great college RBs, who suck in the NFL, but people hold out hope for years and years.
WRs, people usually let go much quicker. Mike Williams lasted about a year. Charles Rogers maybe two.
QBs, people will discount within 3-4 games. You couldn't give away Harrington, Couch, Carr after their first year starting. People sour very quickly on QBs. If you don't do well, you don't get it.
So back to MJD/Bush.
Is it 50% college, 50% 1st year in the NFL? How many NFL games does MJD need to outperform Bush to make up for the lack of college hype? 80% 1st year in NFL 20% college? Obvious college has some ratio, because people think Bush is a top 5-6 RB. Is it ESPN? Subway?
What makes people think, after year 1 in the NFL, Bush is better. Talent? Team? Supporting cast? Situation?
If they were WRs, Bush wouldn't be anywhere close to MJD.
If they were QBs, Bush would be far below MJD.
But with RBs, people cling to that college hype/experience. They can blame the o-line, the blocking, the system, injuries. I've even seen Dwill over MJD. Does "talent" (which btw, MJD has out the ###) trump NFL production?
Regardless, it's interesting to see how values ebb and flow over the years.