bigmiiiiike
Footballguy
So I'm browsing through the various prop bets available for this week on a particular gambling website and I see an over/under for total (rush and rec) yards for Jamaal Charles this week, set at 75.5, with both sides of the bet at -115. I decide that this must be a free money promotion put on by this website and Vegas, as there is no person in their right mind who would look at that line and say "yep, Charles is going to have less than 75 yards this week." The only explanation is that Vegas is giving money away as some sort of Vegas Bailout Campaign. The ONLY way this doesn't hit is if Jamaal gets injured during the game.
I'm looking for someone to slap me back into reality to think this is not a gold mine. The Chiefs have no legitimate RB behind him to steal carries. If the game is close or the Chiefs get a big lead, he'll get carries, which should make it easy to clear 75.5 yards. If the Chiefs get blown out, he'll get garbage dump passes which should still have him clear the total easily. The Jags are BAD against the speedier backs, and if Charles gets a THIRD of what Chris Johnson got last week, he clears the number. Footballguys projects him for 105 total yards (70 rush, 35 rec). Someone tell me I'm not dreaming...
I'm looking for someone to slap me back into reality to think this is not a gold mine. The Chiefs have no legitimate RB behind him to steal carries. If the game is close or the Chiefs get a big lead, he'll get carries, which should make it easy to clear 75.5 yards. If the Chiefs get blown out, he'll get garbage dump passes which should still have him clear the total easily. The Jags are BAD against the speedier backs, and if Charles gets a THIRD of what Chris Johnson got last week, he clears the number. Footballguys projects him for 105 total yards (70 rush, 35 rec). Someone tell me I'm not dreaming...





No dream. A nightmare. Jamaal Charles slapped you back into reality.