ZWK
Footballguy
Using historical data, here are some generic dynasty rookie rankings for this year's draft class, based only on position and draft pick (last year's version here). That means that Tavon Austin is evaluated only as "WR who was taken with the 8th overall pick" and EJ Manuel is just "QB taken #16 overall."
Standard Scoring:
8 WR Tavon Austin St. Louis Rams
27 WR DeAndre Hopkins Houston Texans
21 TE Tyler Eifert Cincinnati Bengals
29 WR Cordarrelle Patterson Minnesota Vikings
37 RB Giovani Bernard Cincinnati Bengals
16 QB E. J. Manuel Buffalo Bills
34 WR Justin Hunter Tennessee Titans
48 RB Le'Veon Bell Pittsburgh Steelers
58 RB Montee Ball Denver Broncos
61 RB Eddie Lacy Green Bay Packers
62 RB Christine Michael Seattle Seahawks
41 WR Robert Woods Buffalo Bills
35 TE Zach Ertz Philadelphia Eagles
59 WR Aaron Dobson New England Patriots
74 WR Terrance Williams Dallas Cowboys
76 WR Keenan Allen San Diego Chargers
78 WR Marquise Goodwin Buffalo Bills
79 WR Markus Wheaton Pittsburgh Steelers
39 QB Geno Smith New York Jets
96 RB Knile Davis Kansas City Chiefs
47 TE Gavin Escobar Dallas Cowboys
92 WR Stedman Bailey St. Louis Rams
55 TE Vance McDonald San Francisco 49ers
63 TE Travis Kelce Kansas City Chiefs
101 WR Ace Sanders Jacksonville Jaguars
102 WR Josh Boyce New England Patriots
85 TE Jordan Reed Washington Redskins
106 TE Dion Sims Miami Dolphins
125 RB Johnathan Franklin Green Bay Packers
123 WR Chris Harper Seattle Seahawks
131 RB Marcus Lattimore San Francisco 49ers
128 WR Quinton Patton San Francisco 49ers
135 WR Denard Robinson Jacksonville Jaguars
140 RB Stepfan Taylor Arizona Cardinals
73 QB Mike Glennon Tampa Bay Buccaneers
98 QB Matt Barkley Philadelphia Eagles
110 QB Ryan Nassib New York Giants
112 QB Tyler Wilson Oakland Raiders
115 QB Landry Jones Pittsburgh Steelers
Rankings are based on historical data for career VBD, in a league with no PPR starting 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE. Basically, for each position I looked at the career VBD of every player drafted 1993-2003 and plotted a best-fit curve based on draft pick. That means that within position, players just go by draft order, but the data give a sense of the relative values of the positions and where the big dropoffs are.
Because TE has become much more of a receiving position, at TE I'm using the average of the historical numbers for TEs and WRs (Eifert would be between Manuel & Hunter with the historical TE data, or ahead of Hopkins if you treat him as a WR).
PPR:
8 WR Tavon Austin St. Louis Rams
27 WR DeAndre Hopkins Houston Texans
21 TE Tyler Eifert Cincinnati Bengals
29 WR Cordarrelle Patterson Minnesota Vikings
34 WR Justin Hunter Tennessee Titans
37 RB Giovani Bernard Cincinnati Bengals
41 WR Robert Woods Buffalo Bills
35 TE Zach Ertz Philadelphia Eagles
16 QB E. J. Manuel Buffalo Bills
48 RB Le'Veon Bell Pittsburgh Steelers
58 RB Montee Ball Denver Broncos
61 RB Eddie Lacy Green Bay Packers
62 RB Christine Michael Seattle Seahawks
59 WR Aaron Dobson New England Patriots
74 WR Terrance Williams Dallas Cowboys
76 WR Keenan Allen San Diego Chargers
78 WR Marquise Goodwin Buffalo Bills
79 WR Markus Wheaton Pittsburgh Steelers
47 TE Gavin Escobar Dallas Cowboys
92 WR Stedman Bailey St. Louis Rams
96 RB Knile Davis Kansas City Chiefs
55 TE Vance McDonald San Francisco 49ers
63 TE Travis Kelce Kansas City Chiefs
101 WR Ace Sanders Jacksonville Jaguars
102 WR Josh Boyce New England Patriots
39 QB Geno Smith New York Jets
85 TE Jordan Reed Washington Redskins
106 TE Dion Sims Miami Dolphins
123 WR Chris Harper Seattle Seahawks
128 WR Quinton Patton San Francisco 49ers
125 RB Johnathan Franklin Green Bay Packers
135 WR Denard Robinson Jacksonville Jaguars
131 RB Marcus Lattimore San Francisco 49ers
140 RB Stepfan Taylor Arizona Cardinals
133 TE Levine Toilolo Atlanta Falcons
144 WR Kenny Stills New Orleans Saints
73 QB Mike Glennon Tampa Bay Buccaneers
98 QB Matt Barkley Philadelphia Eagles
110 QB Ryan Nassib New York Giants
112 QB Tyler Wilson Oakland Raiders
115 QB Landry Jones Pittsburgh Steelers
Standard Scoring:
8 WR Tavon Austin St. Louis Rams
27 WR DeAndre Hopkins Houston Texans
21 TE Tyler Eifert Cincinnati Bengals
29 WR Cordarrelle Patterson Minnesota Vikings
37 RB Giovani Bernard Cincinnati Bengals
16 QB E. J. Manuel Buffalo Bills
34 WR Justin Hunter Tennessee Titans
48 RB Le'Veon Bell Pittsburgh Steelers
58 RB Montee Ball Denver Broncos
61 RB Eddie Lacy Green Bay Packers
62 RB Christine Michael Seattle Seahawks
41 WR Robert Woods Buffalo Bills
35 TE Zach Ertz Philadelphia Eagles
59 WR Aaron Dobson New England Patriots
74 WR Terrance Williams Dallas Cowboys
76 WR Keenan Allen San Diego Chargers
78 WR Marquise Goodwin Buffalo Bills
79 WR Markus Wheaton Pittsburgh Steelers
39 QB Geno Smith New York Jets
96 RB Knile Davis Kansas City Chiefs
47 TE Gavin Escobar Dallas Cowboys
92 WR Stedman Bailey St. Louis Rams
55 TE Vance McDonald San Francisco 49ers
63 TE Travis Kelce Kansas City Chiefs
101 WR Ace Sanders Jacksonville Jaguars
102 WR Josh Boyce New England Patriots
85 TE Jordan Reed Washington Redskins
106 TE Dion Sims Miami Dolphins
125 RB Johnathan Franklin Green Bay Packers
123 WR Chris Harper Seattle Seahawks
131 RB Marcus Lattimore San Francisco 49ers
128 WR Quinton Patton San Francisco 49ers
135 WR Denard Robinson Jacksonville Jaguars
140 RB Stepfan Taylor Arizona Cardinals
73 QB Mike Glennon Tampa Bay Buccaneers
98 QB Matt Barkley Philadelphia Eagles
110 QB Ryan Nassib New York Giants
112 QB Tyler Wilson Oakland Raiders
115 QB Landry Jones Pittsburgh Steelers
Rankings are based on historical data for career VBD, in a league with no PPR starting 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE. Basically, for each position I looked at the career VBD of every player drafted 1993-2003 and plotted a best-fit curve based on draft pick. That means that within position, players just go by draft order, but the data give a sense of the relative values of the positions and where the big dropoffs are.
Because TE has become much more of a receiving position, at TE I'm using the average of the historical numbers for TEs and WRs (Eifert would be between Manuel & Hunter with the historical TE data, or ahead of Hopkins if you treat him as a WR).
PPR:
8 WR Tavon Austin St. Louis Rams
27 WR DeAndre Hopkins Houston Texans
21 TE Tyler Eifert Cincinnati Bengals
29 WR Cordarrelle Patterson Minnesota Vikings
34 WR Justin Hunter Tennessee Titans
37 RB Giovani Bernard Cincinnati Bengals
41 WR Robert Woods Buffalo Bills
35 TE Zach Ertz Philadelphia Eagles
16 QB E. J. Manuel Buffalo Bills
48 RB Le'Veon Bell Pittsburgh Steelers
58 RB Montee Ball Denver Broncos
61 RB Eddie Lacy Green Bay Packers
62 RB Christine Michael Seattle Seahawks
59 WR Aaron Dobson New England Patriots
74 WR Terrance Williams Dallas Cowboys
76 WR Keenan Allen San Diego Chargers
78 WR Marquise Goodwin Buffalo Bills
79 WR Markus Wheaton Pittsburgh Steelers
47 TE Gavin Escobar Dallas Cowboys
92 WR Stedman Bailey St. Louis Rams
96 RB Knile Davis Kansas City Chiefs
55 TE Vance McDonald San Francisco 49ers
63 TE Travis Kelce Kansas City Chiefs
101 WR Ace Sanders Jacksonville Jaguars
102 WR Josh Boyce New England Patriots
39 QB Geno Smith New York Jets
85 TE Jordan Reed Washington Redskins
106 TE Dion Sims Miami Dolphins
123 WR Chris Harper Seattle Seahawks
128 WR Quinton Patton San Francisco 49ers
125 RB Johnathan Franklin Green Bay Packers
135 WR Denard Robinson Jacksonville Jaguars
131 RB Marcus Lattimore San Francisco 49ers
140 RB Stepfan Taylor Arizona Cardinals
133 TE Levine Toilolo Atlanta Falcons
144 WR Kenny Stills New Orleans Saints
73 QB Mike Glennon Tampa Bay Buccaneers
98 QB Matt Barkley Philadelphia Eagles
110 QB Ryan Nassib New York Giants
112 QB Tyler Wilson Oakland Raiders
115 QB Landry Jones Pittsburgh Steelers
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