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Gonzo: Ryan Not Elite (1 Viewer)

I do not think too many people will disagree with Tony
Give me a full season with both WRs at full ability then I like Ryan as an elite candidate.
Haven't we seen that? IMO Ryan is an excellent player who had put up great #s with possibly the best skill players in the league. What I have not seen from Ryan is that ability to elevate the team when needed like an elite qb would do. I'd like to see him assert his will and lead his team to victory in adverse circumstances.

I think he's a rung below elite and I question if he can make the jump.

 
I do not think too many people will disagree with Tony
Give me a full season with both WRs at full ability then I like Ryan as an elite candidate.
Haha, the fantasy football mentality. His supporting cast doesn't make him elite. His supporting cast could make him an elite fantasy QB (probably not, though, since I feel strongly that he's overrated in both fantasy and real life). If you are an elite QB then you are an elite QB. Your stats will fluctuate with your supporting cast, offensive coordinator, and other situational factors (like how many passing attempts, types of routes run by receivers, deep plays called, passing plays called at the goal line, etc.) but you'll be elite either way. Ryan has had an elite supporting cast the past few years and he's had a ton of passing attempts which confuses fantasy owners into thinking he's great. I predicted in another thread that he'd be mediocre without his supporting cast and voila, see the 2014 season. Ranking second in passing attempts yet 4th in yards and 10th in touchdowns. Meh. Put him in San Diego with crap receivers and only 550 passing attempts and people would lump him in with Joe Flacco and Alex Smith when talking about QB talent. Hell, he might not even do that well.

 
I do not think too many people will disagree with Tony
Give me a full season with both WRs at full ability then I like Ryan as an elite candidate.
Haha, the fantasy football mentality. His supporting cast doesn't make him elite. His supporting cast could make him an elite fantasy QB (probably not, though, since I feel strongly that he's overrated in both fantasy and real life). If you are an elite QB then you are an elite QB. Your stats will fluctuate with your supporting cast, offensive coordinator, and other situational factors (like how many passing attempts, types of routes run by receivers, deep plays called, passing plays called at the goal line, etc.) but you'll be elite either way. Ryan has had an elite supporting cast the past few years and he's had a ton of passing attempts which confuses fantasy owners into thinking he's great. I predicted in another thread that he'd be mediocre without his supporting cast and voila, see the 2014 season. Ranking second in passing attempts yet 4th in yards and 10th in touchdowns. Meh. Put him in San Diego with crap receivers and only 550 passing attempts and people would lump him in with Joe Flacco and Alex Smith when talking about QB talent. Hell, he might not even do that well.
I disagree that Ryan is overrated in fantasy, but I agree 100% that he's overrated as an NFL QB.

Essentially, if you had a draft to see which QB you wanted to lead your team this year (say assuming that the talent level on offense was pretty even throughout the league), where do you think Ryan would be drafted? Clearly not in the top 5. I would take Peyton, Brees, Rodgers, Brady and Luck in the top 5.....order is kind of irrelevant, I would be happy with any of these QBs leading my team in 2014. The you would have to think guys like Cam, R Wilson, Rivers, Roethlisberger, Foles and Kapernick would be taken ahead of Ryan. So your left with Ryan being drafted in a deep tier with Romo, RGIII, Stafford, Cutler, Dalton, E Manning and Flacco. So Ryan would be drafted probably around 13-16, which makes him a slightly above average NFL QB.....which is what I think he is. He does a lot of things good, but nothing really great. Elite WRs can make a QB look better than they normally would. I don't think Dalton is that good, but AJ Green makes him look better. Daunte Culpepper was a terrible NFL QB.....but throwing to one of the best WRs of all time in Randy Moss made him look good. Same thing applies to Ryan.....Julio's elite talent (as well as Roddy being a top 20 WR talent wise) makes Ryan look better than he actually is. Elite NFL QBs make their WRs look better than they actually are.

 
fightingillini said:
FF Ninja said:
False Start said:
5Rings said:
I do not think too many people will disagree with Tony
Give me a full season with both WRs at full ability then I like Ryan as an elite candidate.
Haha, the fantasy football mentality. His supporting cast doesn't make him elite. His supporting cast could make him an elite fantasy QB (probably not, though, since I feel strongly that he's overrated in both fantasy and real life). If you are an elite QB then you are an elite QB. Your stats will fluctuate with your supporting cast, offensive coordinator, and other situational factors (like how many passing attempts, types of routes run by receivers, deep plays called, passing plays called at the goal line, etc.) but you'll be elite either way. Ryan has had an elite supporting cast the past few years and he's had a ton of passing attempts which confuses fantasy owners into thinking he's great. I predicted in another thread that he'd be mediocre without his supporting cast and voila, see the 2014 season. Ranking second in passing attempts yet 4th in yards and 10th in touchdowns. Meh. Put him in San Diego with crap receivers and only 550 passing attempts and people would lump him in with Joe Flacco and Alex Smith when talking about QB talent. Hell, he might not even do that well.
I disagree that Ryan is overrated in fantasy, but I agree 100% that he's overrated as an NFL QB.

Essentially, if you had a draft to see which QB you wanted to lead your team this year (say assuming that the talent level on offense was pretty even throughout the league), where do you think Ryan would be drafted? Clearly not in the top 5. I would take Peyton, Brees, Rodgers, Brady and Luck in the top 5.....order is kind of irrelevant, I would be happy with any of these QBs leading my team in 2014. The you would have to think guys like Cam, R Wilson, Rivers, Roethlisberger, Foles and Kapernick would be taken ahead of Ryan. So your left with Ryan being drafted in a deep tier with Romo, RGIII, Stafford, Cutler, Dalton, E Manning and Flacco. So Ryan would be drafted probably around 13-16, which makes him a slightly above average NFL QB.....which is what I think he is. He does a lot of things good, but nothing really great. Elite WRs can make a QB look better than they normally would. I don't think Dalton is that good, but AJ Green makes him look better. Daunte Culpepper was a terrible NFL QB.....but throwing to one of the best WRs of all time in Randy Moss made him look good. Same thing applies to Ryan.....Julio's elite talent (as well as Roddy being a top 20 WR talent wise) makes Ryan look better than he actually is. Elite NFL QBs make their WRs look better than they actually are.
If you consider age, I would only take Rodgers, Luck, Wilson over Ryan (no Cam or Kap). If just for one season I would take Rodgers, Peyton, Brees, and Wilson over Ryan (I like Ryan over Luck, Cam, Kap, and Brady who played very poorly in 2013).

 
Well, he did just get a 1000 yard season out of Harry Douglas. Not that Id say that makes him elite, but it says something about his ability to elevate other players.

 
Well, he did just get a 1000 yard season out of Harry Douglas. Not that Id say that makes him elite, but it says something about his ability to elevate other players.
The team was 4-12 though. It's not all on him but he didn't really help.

 
There are oy 4 elite QBs in the NFL right now,in no particular order:

Brees

Rodgers

Manning

Brady

Then there are the Romos, Elis, Rivers, Cams, Ryans, Flaccos and so forth.

Please who ever mentioned RGIII AND Romo together ,please never do that again. RGIII isn't a professional quarterback. He's Devin Hester.

 
There are oy 4 elite QBs in the NFL right now,in no particular order:

Brees

Rodgers

Manning

Brady

Then there are the Romos, Elis, Rivers, Cams, Ryans, Flaccos and so forth.

Please who ever mentioned RGIII AND Romo together ,please never do that again. RGIII isn't a professional quarterback. He's Devin Hester.
Trying to upstage Jojo as the most delusional poster on the boards?

 
Insein said:
Well, he did just get a 1000 yard season out of Harry Douglas. Not that Id say that makes him elite, but it says something about his ability to elevate other players.
The team was 4-12 though. It's not all on him but he didn't really help.
Having one of the five worst defenses didn't help, nor did missing Julio Jones for the bulk of the season, or Roddy White not being healthy till December. Ryan still had a solid season, all things considered. No, he's not elite, but he's in that 7-10 range.

 
There are oy 4 elite QBs in the NFL right now,in no particular order:

Brees

Rodgers

Manning

Brady

Then there are the Romos, Elis, Rivers, Cams, Ryans, Flaccos and so forth.

Please who ever mentioned RGIII AND Romo together ,please never do that again. RGIII isn't a professional quarterback. He's Devin Hester.
Is your goal to turn every thread into a "RG3 is terrible thread"?

 
Gonzo may as well have said that water is wet and fire is hot.

Of course Ryan is NOT elite. He is very good though.

 
Insein said:
Well, he did just get a 1000 yard season out of Harry Douglas. Not that Id say that makes him elite, but it says something about his ability to elevate other players.
The team was 4-12 though. It's not all on him but he didn't really help.
Having one of the five worst defenses didn't help, nor did missing Julio Jones for the bulk of the season, or Roddy White not being healthy till December. Ryan still had a solid season, all things considered. No, he's not elite, but he's in that 7-10 range.
They also had the worst running game. Trent Richardson would have been an upgrade.

 
Well, he did just get a 1000 yard season out of Harry Douglas. Not that Id say that makes him elite, but it says something about his ability to elevate other players.
Whooptie-do. He targeted him 132 times. Rivers got a 1000 yard season out of a rookie on just 104 targets.

The only thing the stats say about Ryan is the ability of high attempts to elevate fans' perceptions of talent. If he was throwing the ball <550 times a year, people would rank his talent in the 14-18 range. When he's throwing it over 600 times, his talent is magically top 12. Funny how that works.

He's a good enough QB that you can win a super bowl with him if you've got the right surrounding pieces, but he get jittery under pressure so he'll need a good o-line. Also, he's no comeback expert so he'll need a decent defense. But he's durable and accurate. As a Houston fan, I'd say he's a lot like Matt Schaub but more durable and with a better arm. Yet Ryan may never have a season where he cracks 8 ypa like Schaub did a few times.

 
great value in FF though. With a healthy Julio and Roddy, he's capable of top 5 numbers but will come at a discounted price.

 
Well, he did just get a 1000 yard season out of Harry Douglas. Not that Id say that makes him elite, but it says something about his ability to elevate other players.
Whooptie-do. He targeted him 132 times. Rivers got a 1000 yard season out of a rookie on just 104 targets.
Yeah, like the arguably best WR from last years class and Harry freakin Douglas are near equivalents in talent.

 
Well, he did just get a 1000 yard season out of Harry Douglas. Not that Id say that makes him elite, but it says something about his ability to elevate other players.
Whooptie-do. He targeted him 132 times. Rivers got a 1000 yard season out of a rookie on just 104 targets.
Yeah, like the arguably best WR from last years class and Harry freakin Douglas are near equivalents in talent.
Glad you brought stats into this conversation FFNinja. How about these stats:

In 2013:

- Atlanta finished LAST in rushing offense

- Atlanta finished 27th in total defense

- Atlanta had the 24th ranked O-Line in the NFL (according to Football Outsiders)

- Matt Ryan was the 3rd most sacked QB in the NFL

- Ryan Lost his #1 WR, for the season, in the 5th game of the season

- His #2 WR was injured/hobbled through first 2/3rds of the season

and yes, like Kenny Powers commented, you compared a perennial #3WR to a highly-talented rookie (on an offense that ranked #13 in rushing).

So, all the said, the fact that people are bashing on Ryan's 2013 performance is completely laughable. His team was a complete and utter disaster in all areas, and yet it's all his fault?

 
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Well, he did just get a 1000 yard season out of Harry Douglas. Not that Id say that makes him elite, but it says something about his ability to elevate other players.
Whooptie-do. He targeted him 132 times. Rivers got a 1000 yard season out of a rookie on just 104 targets.
Yeah, like the arguably best WR from last years class and Harry freakin Douglas are near equivalents in talent.
Allen was a raw third round draft pick who began the season like 5th or 6th on the depth chart. Douglas was a 5th year WR selected in the third round playing for the same team with the same QB for the 5th straight year and was 3rd on the depth chart. It's not like we're talking about Patrick Crayton here.

You've also got a bit of a circular reference going here. Because he performed well he is considered arguably the best WR from his class. Had Rivers not been able to produce so well with a raw rookie, there's no way you'd consider him the best. Whether a third round rookie and Harry Douglas are equivalent in talents is a fair question, however it ignores that Douglas got 28 more targets. Ryan doesn't elevate the players around him. If Ryan was a running back, he'd be described as a guy who gets what's blocked for him and nothing more. As a QB he doens't hold his guys back but he sure doesn't make something from nothing.

24 guys got 124 targets or more and 22 of them got 1000 yards, so I'm sorry if I'm not impressed that Ryan squeezed 1000 yards out of Douglas with 132 targets.

 
Well, he did just get a 1000 yard season out of Harry Douglas. Not that Id say that makes him elite, but it says something about his ability to elevate other players.
Whooptie-do. He targeted him 132 times. Rivers got a 1000 yard season out of a rookie on just 104 targets.
Yeah, like the arguably best WR from last years class and Harry freakin Douglas are near equivalents in talent.
Glad you brought stats into this conversation FFNinja. How about these stats:

In 2013:

- Atlanta finished LAST in rushing offense

- Atlanta finished 27th in total defense

- Atlanta had the 24th ranked O-Line in the NFL (according to Football Outsiders)

- Matt Ryan was the 3rd most sacked QB in the NFL

- Ryan Lost his #1 WR, for the season, in the 5th game of the season

- His #2 WR was injured/hobbled through first 2/3rds of the season

and yes, like Kenny Powers commented, you compared a perennial #3WR to a highly-talented rookie (on an offense that ranked #13 in rushing).

So, all the said, the fact that people are bashing on Ryan's 2013 performance is completely laughable. His team was a complete and utter disaster in all areas, and yet it's all his fault?
Wtf are you talking about? Atlanta finished 28th in rushing yards. And that combo of bad defense and bad rushing offense tends to lead to some good statistical performances from QBs. Stafford, also a guy I think it overrated, had his best statistical season when his team was 27th in rushing yards and 23rd in defense. Schaub's best season was when his team was 26th in rushing yards.

And continuing the wtf... who is saying Atlanta's season is all his fault? I'm not bashing on his 2013 performance. I'm simply saying he's barely above average and always has been. The guy has a career 7.1 ypa and has never been very cool under pocket pressure despite his horrible nickname. He's as much Matty Ice as Michael Turner is a burner. If Ryan hadn't compiled such a volume of passing attempts the last 4 years, nobody would even ask Tony G if Ryan was elite because it wouldn't even be a question, but Ryan ranks #2 in pass attempts in the last 4 years (601 per season) only to Drew Brees. But his 4th place ranking in yards makes people think maybe he deserves to be in the conversation of elite QBs. No. Aggregate totals don't make you good or elite. Rivers, who was seen as a has been last year, actually has more passing yards over the last 4 years than Ryan despite 204 less attempts than Ryan. He's also got the same number of passing touchdowns. All the while who has his leading WR been over those 4 years?? Malcom Floyd. That's right, an injury prone WR older and even less heralded (undrafted) than the suddenly lowly Harry Douglas. Vincent Jackson who only played 21 games for SD in the last 4 years is his second leading receiver. Keenan Allen who was a 5th string rookie coming into the season is his 3rd leading receiver.

So while Ryan has been chunking the ball 600 times a year to Roddy White and Julio Jones and getting talked up on FF boards, Rivers has been throwing it 550 times a year to scrubs and getting bashed. It's silly. Nobody cares about context here. It's all about how many fantasy points you put up, which is fine for fantasy football discussion, but you guys can't discern the difference between fantasy football points and actual talent evaluation.

Ryan is not close to elite and never will be.

 
Well, he did just get a 1000 yard season out of Harry Douglas. Not that Id say that makes him elite, but it says something about his ability to elevate other players.
The team was 4-12 though. It's not all on him but he didn't really help.
Having one of the five worst defenses didn't help, nor did missing Julio Jones for the bulk of the season, or Roddy White not being healthy till December. Ryan still had a solid season, all things considered. No, he's not elite, but he's in that 7-10 range.
They also had the worst running game. Trent Richardson would have been an upgrade.
Which is why I snicker when people say his supporting cast has been elite. People look at Roddy and Julio on paper and assume so much. Julio just finished his third season and missed most of it. While freakishly athletic, he wasn't an elite WR his first two seasons. He put up promising but inconsistent numbers as the secondary target on his team and has had his share of games missed due to being dinged up. And Harry Douglas is now considered an elite third WR now? Michael Turner and Steven Jackson? Really? That's his elite backfield? Tony Gonzalez was an upgrade, but let's not kid ourselves about him being elite anymore, either.

Ryan hasn't been scraping the bottom of the barrel, but let's temper this supporting cast nonsense. It's humorous that #2 in attempts and #4 in yards is somehow seen as an indictment.

 
Well, he did just get a 1000 yard season out of Harry Douglas. Not that Id say that makes him elite, but it says something about his ability to elevate other players.
Whooptie-do. He targeted him 132 times. Rivers got a 1000 yard season out of a rookie on just 104 targets.

The only thing the stats say about Ryan is the ability of high attempts to elevate fans' perceptions of talent. If he was throwing the ball <550 times a year, people would rank his talent in the 14-18 range. When he's throwing it over 600 times, his talent is magically top 12. Funny how that works.

He's a good enough QB that you can win a super bowl with him if you've got the right surrounding pieces, but he get jittery under pressure so he'll need a good o-line. Also, he's no comeback expert so he'll need a decent defense. But he's durable and accurate. As a Houston fan, I'd say he's a lot like Matt Schaub but more durable and with a better arm. Yet Ryan may never have a season where he cracks 8 ypa like Schaub did a few times.
Matt Ryan has the most 4th quarter comebacks of any QB in football since he entered the league because he has never had a good defense

 
As a New Englander and therefore forced to follow Boston College, I can tell you that Ryan's career has turned out much better than I envisioned. I was sure he was going to be a bust.

 
JamesTheScot said:
Well, he did just get a 1000 yard season out of Harry Douglas. Not that Id say that makes him elite, but it says something about his ability to elevate other players.
The team was 4-12 though. It's not all on him but he didn't really help.
Having one of the five worst defenses didn't help, nor did missing Julio Jones for the bulk of the season, or Roddy White not being healthy till December. Ryan still had a solid season, all things considered. No, he's not elite, but he's in that 7-10 range.
They also had the worst running game. Trent Richardson would have been an upgrade.
Which is why I snicker when people say his supporting cast has been elite. People look at Roddy and Julio on paper and assume so much. Julio just finished his third season and missed most of it. While freakishly athletic, he wasn't an elite WR his first two seasons. He put up promising but inconsistent numbers as the secondary target on his team and has had his share of games missed due to being dinged up. And Harry Douglas is now considered an elite third WR now? Michael Turner and Steven Jackson? Really? That's his elite backfield? Tony Gonzalez was an upgrade, but let's not kid ourselves about him being elite anymore, either.

Ryan hasn't been scraping the bottom of the barrel, but let's temper this supporting cast nonsense. It's humorous that #2 in attempts and #4 in yards is somehow seen as an indictment.
Haha, yeah, snicker away. It's almost like Michael Turner was always a 32 year old fat guy. Let's just ignore 2008-2011 where he was dominant. Actually, from 2008 to 2012, the Falcons were 9th in rushing yards and 6th in rushing TDs. And Julio Jones was a JAG his first two years, right? His 2000+ yards, 16 YPR, and 18 TDs could've been produced by anybody. And you're right, Tony G wasn't elite when he came to Atlanta. I mean, he just came off of back-to-back seasons with over 95 receptions and almost 1100 yards when he came to ATL. Clearly a shell of his former self. And you're right, I see people calling Harry Douglas an elite WR all over this thread... except not. A little reading comprehension and you'd see I've only said that he's not a scrub like you guys want to make him out to be. Nobody said he was elite.

Geez, Ryan apologists are delusional. He had a good run game to prop him up his first few years in the league while he was averaging a Bradford-esque 6.5 YPA. Then he gets a trio of Julio, White, and Gonzo with 600 attempts a season and he's still not able to keep up with the elite QBs with worse weapons and less attempts. Finally, we got to see how he did this year without the run game and without all the receiving talent and how did he look? Like an average QB with 615 attempts. Surprise surprise.

 
FF Ninja said:
Well, he did just get a 1000 yard season out of Harry Douglas. Not that Id say that makes him elite, but it says something about his ability to elevate other players.
Whooptie-do. He targeted him 132 times. Rivers got a 1000 yard season out of a rookie on just 104 targets.
Yeah, like the arguably best WR from last years class and Harry freakin Douglas are near equivalents in talent.
Allen was a raw third round draft pick who began the season like 5th or 6th on the depth chart. Douglas was a 5th year WR selected in the third round playing for the same team with the same QB for the 5th straight year and was 3rd on the depth chart. It's not like we're talking about Patrick Crayton here.

You've also got a bit of a circular reference going here. Because he performed well he is considered arguably the best WR from his class. Had Rivers not been able to produce so well with a raw rookie, there's no way you'd consider him the best. Whether a third round rookie and Harry Douglas are equivalent in talents is a fair question, however it ignores that Douglas got 28 more targets. Ryan doesn't elevate the players around him. If Ryan was a running back, he'd be described as a guy who gets what's blocked for him and nothing more. As a QB he doens't hold his guys back but he sure doesn't make something from nothing.

24 guys got 124 targets or more and 22 of them got 1000 yards, so I'm sorry if I'm not impressed that Ryan squeezed 1000 yards out of Douglas with 132 targets.
Seriously?! Youre still trying to make it sound like Allen and Douglas are comparable talents? Who cares if Harry Douglas was a 5th round pick 6 years ago? He never had over 40 catches or 500 yards in any of those 5 years prior to this past season. As for Allen, he was not raw by any means, not sure where you're getting that from. He was considered one of the more polished WRs entering the draft, Cordarrelle Patterson was considered raw. He was projected to be a 1st round pick, but he dropped because of a knee injury that ended his season at Cal, prevented him from working out at the combine, and a bad 40 time at his pro day when he still wasnt healthy.

I dont love Ryan, but this nonsense that Allen and Douglas are comparable NFL WRs is borderline delusional.

 
FF Ninja said:
Well, he did just get a 1000 yard season out of Harry Douglas. Not that Id say that makes him elite, but it says something about his ability to elevate other players.
Whooptie-do. He targeted him 132 times. Rivers got a 1000 yard season out of a rookie on just 104 targets.
Yeah, like the arguably best WR from last years class and Harry freakin Douglas are near equivalents in talent.
Allen was a raw third round draft pick who began the season like 5th or 6th on the depth chart. Douglas was a 5th year WR selected in the third round playing for the same team with the same QB for the 5th straight year and was 3rd on the depth chart. It's not like we're talking about Patrick Crayton here.

You've also got a bit of a circular reference going here. Because he performed well he is considered arguably the best WR from his class. Had Rivers not been able to produce so well with a raw rookie, there's no way you'd consider him the best. Whether a third round rookie and Harry Douglas are equivalent in talents is a fair question, however it ignores that Douglas got 28 more targets. Ryan doesn't elevate the players around him. If Ryan was a running back, he'd be described as a guy who gets what's blocked for him and nothing more. As a QB he doens't hold his guys back but he sure doesn't make something from nothing.

24 guys got 124 targets or more and 22 of them got 1000 yards, so I'm sorry if I'm not impressed that Ryan squeezed 1000 yards out of Douglas with 132 targets.
Seriously?! Youre still trying to make it sound like Allen and Douglas are comparable talents? Who cares if Harry Douglas was a 5th round pick 6 years ago? He never had over 40 catches or 500 yards in any of those 5 years prior to this past season. As for Allen, he was not raw by any means, not sure where you're getting that from. He was considered one of the more polished WRs entering the draft, Cordarrelle Patterson was considered raw. He was projected to be a 1st round pick, but he dropped because of a knee injury that ended his season at Cal, prevented him from working out at the combine, and a bad 40 time at his pro day when he still wasnt healthy.

I dont love Ryan, but this nonsense that Allen and Douglas are comparable NFL WRs is borderline delusional.
Douglas was a 3rd round pick and I never said they were apples to apples. I also said that Allen had 28 less targets which should more than offset that talent disparity you keep talking about. This is really a side topic so there' not much point in arguing about it. I was just pointing out how stupid your "he managed a 1000 yard season out of harry freaking douglas" was. Harry Douglas was never a scrub, he's in his prime, he's got chemistry with Ryan now, and he was 3rd on the depth chart. Yet you act as if they pulled an UDFA off the street and Ryan made him a star.

And yes, Allen was raw. All rookies are raw. Especially ones who have been running with the second or third team during the offseason/preseason. It's not like he was being groomed to be the WR1 of that team since April.

 
I don't think Harry Douglas, Julio Jones or Roddy Whites performance should have a great deal to do with Matt Ryan evaluations.

Yes he does throw the ball short a lot which hits his ypa. He also takes very few sacks unlike ypa masters like Aaron Rodgers.

Ryan's strengths ahead of other QBs are in the 2 minute offense - he can run this as well as anyone but the Falcons philosophy will not allow him to run no huddle consistently.

This is why the Falcons have a disproportionate amount of wins in one possession games and why Ryan has the most comeback wins of any QB in the league the last 5 years.if they ever let him off the leash or draft an o-line or defense maybe the Falcons go one better

 
Well, he did just get a 1000 yard season out of Harry Douglas. Not that Id say that makes him elite, but it says something about his ability to elevate other players.
The team was 4-12 though. It's not all on him but he didn't really help.
Having one of the five worst defenses didn't help, nor did missing Julio Jones for the bulk of the season, or Roddy White not being healthy till December. Ryan still had a solid season, all things considered. No, he's not elite, but he's in that 7-10 range.
They also had the worst running game. Trent Richardson would have been an upgrade.
Which is why I snicker when people say his supporting cast has been elite. People look at Roddy and Julio on paper and assume so much. Julio just finished his third season and missed most of it. While freakishly athletic, he wasn't an elite WR his first two seasons. He put up promising but inconsistent numbers as the secondary target on his team and has had his share of games missed due to being dinged up. And Harry Douglas is now considered an elite third WR now? Michael Turner and Steven Jackson? Really? That's his elite backfield? Tony Gonzalez was an upgrade, but let's not kid ourselves about him being elite anymore, either.

Ryan hasn't been scraping the bottom of the barrel, but let's temper this supporting cast nonsense. It's humorous that #2 in attempts and #4 in yards is somehow seen as an indictment.
Haha, yeah, snicker away. It's almost like Michael Turner was always a 32 year old fat guy. Let's just ignore 2008-2011 where he was dominant. Actually, from 2008 to 2012, the Falcons were 9th in rushing yards and 6th in rushing TDs. And Julio Jones was a JAG his first two years, right? His 2000+ yards, 16 YPR, and 18 TDs could've been produced by anybody. And you're right, Tony G wasn't elite when he came to Atlanta. I mean, he just came off of back-to-back seasons with over 95 receptions and almost 1100 yards when he came to ATL. Clearly a shell of his former self. And you're right, I see people calling Harry Douglas an elite WR all over this thread... except not. A little reading comprehension and you'd see I've only said that he's not a scrub like you guys want to make him out to be. Nobody said he was elite.

Geez, Ryan apologists are delusional. He had a good run game to prop him up his first few years in the league while he was averaging a Bradford-esque 6.5 YPA. Then he gets a trio of Julio, White, and Gonzo with 600 attempts a season and he's still not able to keep up with the elite QBs with worse weapons and less attempts. Finally, we got to see how he did this year without the run game and without all the receiving talent and how did he look? Like an average QB with 615 attempts. Surprise surprise.
:shrug: while he threw 6 more INTs, his season's stats weren't that different from Tom Brady's.

7 of his INTs came in two games, back to back; against the Cardinals and Panthers - in games his team had very little chance of winning for most of the game.

 
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Is Gonzo a FA now? He just came back for one season so can he sign anywhere now or does Atlanta hold his rights? I would love to see him in GB for his real last season, it would be awesome to have a TE that can actually catch.

 
If Harry Douglas and Keenan Allen were free agents until March and had to be ranked for redraft purposes (age could skew dynasty rankings which may not be relevant for the purposes here), where would they be ranked? The closer together, fair to compare them, the further apart, it would make less sense.

I wouldn't go as far as to say it is a stupid position to think they are comparable, but my guess it is a contrarian and outlier one.

 
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I think Douglas benefited from White being injured most the year and Allen seems like a truly talented receiver on a team without any other wr threat and had a very good rapport with Rivers. I personally don't see these two as close in talent or value, but I don't claim to be an expert.

 
If he had made one last pass to Gonzo in the endzone in 2012 playoffs to beat the 49ers he would have made the Super Bowl, elevated to "elite" status, and I personally think would have beaten the Ravens.

That's how close he is...

 
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Matt Ryan has been an excellent QB for the Falcons and will cotinue be. He will be considered elite when he notches a SB or two. And no Flacco isn't better than Ryan either.

 
:shrug: while he threw 6 more INTs, his season's stats weren't that different from Tom Brady's.

7 of his INTs came in two games, back to back; against the Cardinals and Panthers - in games his team had very little chance of winning for most of the game.
Yes, let's compare him to an aging, big name QB who had his worst season since 2003. And whose top target was Edelman. That'll really tip this argument in your favor.

 
:shrug: while he threw 6 more INTs, his season's stats weren't that different from Tom Brady's.

7 of his INTs came in two games, back to back; against the Cardinals and Panthers - in games his team had very little chance of winning for most of the game.
Yes, let's compare him to an aging, big name QB who had his worst season since 2003. And whose top target was Edelman. That'll really tip this argument in your favor.
my favor? Don't try to put me in the Ryan camp. Just pointing out that considering the injuries he dealt with, his season wasn't completely putrid.

 
He's not elite. How many are, 3 or 4? For FF, he's a big time value QB. He's been tough as nails behind a terrible line. No run game. Loses Julio and has a mostly absent, gimpy Roddy, and still produced some nice games. Sign me up next year.

 
Well, he did just get a 1000 yard season out of Harry Douglas. Not that Id say that makes him elite, but it says something about his ability to elevate other players.
The team was 4-12 though. It's not all on him but he didn't really help.
Having one of the five worst defenses didn't help, nor did missing Julio Jones for the bulk of the season, or Roddy White not being healthy till December. Ryan still had a solid season, all things considered. No, he's not elite, but he's in that 7-10 range.
They also had the worst running game. Trent Richardson would have been an upgrade.
Which is why I snicker when people say his supporting cast has been elite. People look at Roddy and Julio on paper and assume so much. Julio just finished his third season and missed most of it. While freakishly athletic, he wasn't an elite WR his first two seasons. He put up promising but inconsistent numbers as the secondary target on his team and has had his share of games missed due to being dinged up. And Harry Douglas is now considered an elite third WR now? Michael Turner and Steven Jackson? Really? That's his elite backfield? Tony Gonzalez was an upgrade, but let's not kid ourselves about him being elite anymore, either.

Ryan hasn't been scraping the bottom of the barrel, but let's temper this supporting cast nonsense. It's humorous that #2 in attempts and #4 in yards is somehow seen as an indictment.
Haha, yeah, snicker away. It's almost like Michael Turner was always a 32 year old fat guy. Let's just ignore 2008-2011 where he was dominant. Actually, from 2008 to 2012, the Falcons were 9th in rushing yards and 6th in rushing TDs. And Julio Jones was a JAG his first two years, right? His 2000+ yards, 16 YPR, and 18 TDs could've been produced by anybody. And you're right, Tony G wasn't elite when he came to Atlanta. I mean, he just came off of back-to-back seasons with over 95 receptions and almost 1100 yards when he came to ATL. Clearly a shell of his former self. And you're right, I see people calling Harry Douglas an elite WR all over this thread... except not. A little reading comprehension and you'd see I've only said that he's not a scrub like you guys want to make him out to be. Nobody said he was elite.

Geez, Ryan apologists are delusional. He had a good run game to prop him up his first few years in the league while he was averaging a Bradford-esque 6.5 YPA. Then he gets a trio of Julio, White, and Gonzo with 600 attempts a season and he's still not able to keep up with the elite QBs with worse weapons and less attempts. Finally, we got to see how he did this year without the run game and without all the receiving talent and how did he look? Like an average QB with 615 attempts. Surprise surprise.
First, I never said Julio was JAG - nice strawman there. But he wasn't an elite WR either. He was a talented but developing player like many rookie WR's are. So it's not like Ryan has had two elite WR's on either side for his career. And in 2013, when Julio is coming into his prime and White should still be effective, they both are injured so Ryan never really has the benefit of both.

Second, Turner did have some good years...when Ryan was young and developing. Turner hasn't been good for years.

Third, Gonzalez is past his prime. Even in 2012 he was a shadow of his former self. An upgrade in Atlanta? For sure. But people act as if it was the dominant Gonzalez that rolled into Atlanta, not the aging and declining one that KC let go.

If you make a list of the players he has played with, Ryan does look to have had a great supporting cast. But if you look at the fact that they haven't all been in Atlanta, or at the their peak, during the same seasons, it's not nearly as impressive. Like I said, 2013 was going to be a good year, but we saw how injuries derailed that opportunity.

That said, I don't think he's elite. He's pretty good and he's the kind of guy that can put up elite numbers when he has the supporting cast.

 
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Well, he did just get a 1000 yard season out of Harry Douglas. Not that Id say that makes him elite, but it says something about his ability to elevate other players.
The team was 4-12 though. It's not all on him but he didn't really help.
Having one of the five worst defenses didn't help, nor did missing Julio Jones for the bulk of the season, or Roddy White not being healthy till December. Ryan still had a solid season, all things considered. No, he's not elite, but he's in that 7-10 range.
They also had the worst running game. Trent Richardson would have been an upgrade.
Which is why I snicker when people say his supporting cast has been elite. People look at Roddy and Julio on paper and assume so much. Julio just finished his third season and missed most of it. While freakishly athletic, he wasn't an elite WR his first two seasons. He put up promising but inconsistent numbers as the secondary target on his team and has had his share of games missed due to being dinged up. And Harry Douglas is now considered an elite third WR now? Michael Turner and Steven Jackson? Really? That's his elite backfield? Tony Gonzalez was an upgrade, but let's not kid ourselves about him being elite anymore, either.

Ryan hasn't been scraping the bottom of the barrel, but let's temper this supporting cast nonsense. It's humorous that #2 in attempts and #4 in yards is somehow seen as an indictment.
Haha, yeah, snicker away. It's almost like Michael Turner was always a 32 year old fat guy. Let's just ignore 2008-2011 where he was dominant. Actually, from 2008 to 2012, the Falcons were 9th in rushing yards and 6th in rushing TDs. And Julio Jones was a JAG his first two years, right? His 2000+ yards, 16 YPR, and 18 TDs could've been produced by anybody. And you're right, Tony G wasn't elite when he came to Atlanta. I mean, he just came off of back-to-back seasons with over 95 receptions and almost 1100 yards when he came to ATL. Clearly a shell of his former self. And you're right, I see people calling Harry Douglas an elite WR all over this thread... except not. A little reading comprehension and you'd see I've only said that he's not a scrub like you guys want to make him out to be. Nobody said he was elite.

Geez, Ryan apologists are delusional. He had a good run game to prop him up his first few years in the league while he was averaging a Bradford-esque 6.5 YPA. Then he gets a trio of Julio, White, and Gonzo with 600 attempts a season and he's still not able to keep up with the elite QBs with worse weapons and less attempts. Finally, we got to see how he did this year without the run game and without all the receiving talent and how did he look? Like an average QB with 615 attempts. Surprise surprise.
First, I never said Julio was JAG - nice strawman there. But he wasn't an elite WR either. He was a talented but developing player like many rookie WR's are. So it's not like Ryan has had two elite WR's on either side for his career. And in 2013, when Julio is coming into his prime and White should still be effective, they both are injured so Ryan never really has the benefit of both.

Second, Turner did have some good years...when Ryan was young and developing. Turner hasn't been good for years.

Third, Gonzalez is past his prime. Even in 2012 he was a shadow of his former self. An upgrade in Atlanta? For sure. But people act as if it was the dominant Gonzalez that rolled into Atlanta, not the aging and declining one that KC let go.

If you make a list of the players he has played with, Ryan does look to have had a great supporting cast. But if you look at the fact that they haven't all been in Atlanta, or at the their peak, during the same seasons, it's not nearly as impressive. Like I said, 2013 was going to be a good year, but we saw how injuries derailed that opportunity.

That said, I don't think he's elite. He's pretty good and he's the kind of guy that can put up elite numbers when he has the supporting cast.
:rolleyes: I set up no straw man. I asked a question. I mean, sure, I'll grant that he wasn't "elite" as a rookie, but on only 94 targets in 13 games, he put up almost 1000/8. On a per touch or per target basis, that's pretty close to elite and one of the best WR2s in the league.

Second... yes, you just said exactly what I said. Turner had some good years while Ryan was young and averaging 6.5 ypa. However, he hasn't been good in years? Obviously, he was done during his last year, but in just 2011 (2 years ago, technically plural but not as long as implied), he put up 1340/11 rushing. So really, Ryan has only had to lean on his receivers the last two years - which is very fortunate since Julio was only awesome his rookie year instead of elite.

Third, Gonzo is past his prime. Yes, captain obvious. But he clearly wasn't very far past his prime when he initially arrived, having come to ATL off of back to back seasons averaging 98/1115 - his 2nd and 3rd best years of his career. Let's not forget he just finished his 5th season in ATL. The Tony G you saw last year was not the Tony G that Ryan was throwing to five years ago.

In summary, Ryan is only as good as his surrounding cast and his opportunities. Put him on a team where he only throws the ball 500 times and his best receiver is Rod Streater or Nate Washington and he's a nobody.

 
Matt Ryan - QB - Falcons
ESPN Falcons reporter Vaughn McClure expects the team to remain a pass-happy offense.
One offensive player told McClure that he expects the offense to be "50-50" in terms of balance, but McClure isn't "buying it." We aren't, either. Atlanta's defense is going to struggle mightily, putting the offense in shootouts. McClure expects Ryan to again be top-five in passing yards for the third consecutive season, a year after attempting a career-high 651 passes. With Julio Jones and Roddy White returning to full health and Steven Jackson a year older, OC Dirk Koetter is going to lean on his aerial attack. Harry Douglas could even offer WR3 value.


Source: ESPN.com
Jun 27 - 1:50 PM

 
I'm starting to agree with Bloom and company, and feel he could approach top 5 numbers this year. That assertion has more to do with his supporting cast and putrid D, rather than his overall talent.

 
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I can't believe coaching/front office hasn't been mentioned yet. If you are rating this coaching staff I don't even think it falls in the top half. The team has terrible depth. There is a reason they had a terrible running game and terrible line play. The FO making terrible decisions and/or the coaches not coaching up good enough. Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers aren't doing it alone. Their teams might be low on talent sometimes but the staffs are usually pretty good at making do. Peyton Manning is the only guy I could see really carrying a team and he's only going to do that by running the same 5 plays over and over to perfection.

As for Gonzo, I respect his opinion I guess. I don't like how he acted like he was so interested in a championship when there were and are teams that had have had a much better shot than the Falcons to win.

 
Rivers is elite. 5th in yardage. 4th in TDs. 4th in passer rating. 4th in passing yards per attempt. Only 11 interceptions. Doesn't get sacked. Only downside last year was the Chargers were run-first. But Rivers is BACK!

 
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