Good read from the yahoo sports guys! (1 Viewer)

[m_sell31]

http://fantasysports.yahoo.com/analysis/ne...gue=fantasy/nfl

:X

 

[GroveDiesel]

I love this article. I hope everyone else in my league reads it.

 

[David Yudkin]

Just to prove that you can be competitive without going RB crazy, last year I invested very little in the RB spot, ending up with Addai, MBell, Henry, and Norwood on one of my teams IIRC. I was loaded at every other spot and ended up coming in second, succumbing in the final week in a 16-team league.

Sure, having a stable of RBs is not a bad thing, but having a bevvy of mediocre ones won't help your team any. IMO, after the top 15 RBs are taken, the success rate of the next tier of RBs is about the same (RB16-25). The likelihood of hitting on a top flight RB beyond that drops incrementally, and there will normally be servicable WR on the board when there will only be backup RBs needing help to get in the lineup left. so I would not go out of my way to pick up someone like Ciatrick Fason.

 

[m_sell31]

Just to prove that you can be competitive without going RB crazy, last year I invested very little in the RB spot, ending up with Addai, MBell, Henry, and Norwood on one of my teams IIRC. I was loaded at every other spot and ended up coming in second, succumbing in the final week in a 16-team league.Sure, having a stable of RBs is not a bad thing, but having a bevvy of mediocre ones won't help your team any. IMO, after the top 15 RBs are taken, the success rate of the next tier of RBs is about the same (RB16-25). The likelihood of hitting on a top flight RB beyond that drops incrementally, and there will normally be servicable WR on the board when there will only be backup RBs needing help to get in the lineup left. so I would not go out of my way to pick up someone like Ciatrick Fason.

Wrong David!You can only draft RB's in Round one or two, WR's in round 3 or later, and QB's in round 7 or later! Those are the rules, you must follow them!

 

[GroveDiesel]

Just to prove that you can be competitive without going RB crazy, last year I invested very little in the RB spot, ending up with Addai, MBell, Henry, and Norwood on one of my teams IIRC. I was loaded at every other spot and ended up coming in second, succumbing in the final week in a 16-team league.Sure, having a stable of RBs is not a bad thing, but having a bevvy of mediocre ones won't help your team any. IMO, after the top 15 RBs are taken, the success rate of the next tier of RBs is about the same (RB16-25). The likelihood of hitting on a top flight RB beyond that drops incrementally, and there will normally be servicable WR on the board when there will only be backup RBs needing help to get in the lineup left. so I would not go out of my way to pick up someone like Ciatrick Fason.

Drinen had an excellent series of articles last year where he crunched a ton of numbers. It assumed a 12 team league only and he was very careful not to say that the results necessarily carried over to other formats. But his results showed that some combination of RB+WR in the first two rounds was clearly created the best teams. With the crazy runs on RBs in the first two rounds there is great value at the WR position at the end of Round 1 and throughout Round 2. I always make sure to talk up the stud RB theory in my leagues for this very reason. It's amazing that nobody has caught on that I still end up taking WRs early.

 

[Exile]

Should you depend on [Edgerrin James] as your RB1 despite the numerous goose-eggs from a year ago? Absolutely.

Money.

 

[Hawk]

You guys can scoff all you want, but I thought his tips were pretty sound advice. Maybe stated in more definitive terms than they should be, you have to be flexible depending on how it falls on draft day, and a lot will depend on the scoring system. But overall his approach is quite similar to mine which has been very successful for me for many years in my standard scoring league.

 

[Pipes]

You guys can scoff all you want, but I thought his tips were pretty sound advice. Maybe stated in more definitive terms than they should be, you have to be flexible depending on how it falls on draft day, and a lot will depend on the scoring system. But overall his approach is quite similar to mine which has been very successful for me for many years in my standard scoring league.

The problem with his arguement though is over the years the top RB's are far from consistent like he agrues. Portis, Jordan, Edge, Cadillac, R Brown, & Alexander were all 1st or early 2nd rounders that were busts for some reason or another last year while the consensus top WR's (Holt, Harrison, CJ, Smith) all had nice seasons. That happens just about every year were the top 10 RB's generally have 4 or 5 unexpected entries. I'm not advocating going WR/WR or WR/QB but I certainly wouldn't take a 2nd tier RB over the likes of a Holt, Harrison, CJ or Smith.

 

[AnonymousBob]

It's not as terrible as some of these comments are making it sound.

Last year was my first year having "stud" rb's, yet I've made it to the championship three years running. Studs are studs and they can all carry your season, regardless of position.

 

[AB in DC]

I don't know what everyone is complaining about. The article obviously wasn't written for sharks -- it was written for the casual player. It's on Yahoo, for crying out loud.

 

[Jeff Pasquino]

Just to prove that you can be competitive without going RB crazy, last year I invested very little in the RB spot, ending up with Addai, MBell, Henry, and Norwood on one of my teams IIRC. I was loaded at every other spot and ended up coming in second, succumbing in the final week in a 16-team league.Sure, having a stable of RBs is not a bad thing, but having a bevvy of mediocre ones won't help your team any. IMO, after the top 15 RBs are taken, the success rate of the next tier of RBs is about the same (RB16-25). The likelihood of hitting on a top flight RB beyond that drops incrementally, and there will normally be servicable WR on the board when there will only be backup RBs needing help to get in the lineup left. so I would not go out of my way to pick up someone like Ciatrick Fason.

Drinen had an excellent series of articles last year where he crunched a ton of numbers. It assumed a 12 team league only and he was very careful not to say that the results necessarily carried over to other formats. But his results showed that some combination of RB+WR in the first two rounds was clearly created the best teams. With the crazy runs on RBs in the first two rounds there is great value at the WR position at the end of Round 1 and throughout Round 2. I always make sure to talk up the stud RB theory in my leagues for this very reason. It's amazing that nobody has caught on that I still end up taking WRs early.

There are two holes in that theory:1. Your teams will be playing in 2007, so historical perspective may not apply directly to expectations for the coming season.2. Bigger reason - if you're drafting with 11 other RB-happy guys, you have to change gears. If you don't got RB/RB with this crowd, you'll be screwed two different ways. First, you'll miss out on RBs that you would expect to be in rounds 3-6 because these guys are drafting them too early. Second, if you buck the trend, you'll be drafting WRs and/or a QB too early, as the WRs and QBs will be falling (again, they're taking too many RBs too early).Drafting with guppies type theory would apply here, except it is with "drafting with too many experts". The herd mentality kicks in.