Chase Stuart
Footballguy
It's an inherently subjective question, but I took a stab at it here.
http://www.pro-football-reference.com/blog/?p=1161
Rest of the article available here: http://www.pro-football-reference.com/blog/?p=1161
http://www.pro-football-reference.com/blog/?p=1161
nwe2007 16-0-0 1.000rai1967 13-1-0 0.929clt1968 13-1-0 0.929was1983 14-2-0 0.875mia1984 14-2-0 0.875atl1998 14-2-0 0.875ram2001 14-2-0 0.875min1969 12-2-0 0.857min1973 12-2-0 0.857den1977 12-2-0 0.857kan1966 11-2-1 0.821min1976 11-2-1 0.821buf1990 13-3-0 0.813buf1991 13-3-0 0.813gnb1997 13-3-0 0.813oti1999 13-3-0 0.813phi2004 13-3-0 0.813sea2005 13-3-0 0.813chi2006 13-3-0 0.813was1972 11-3-0 0.786mia1982 7-2-0 0.778mia1971 10-3-1 0.750dal1978 12-4-0 0.750phi1980 12-4-0 0.750cin1981 12-4-0 0.750cin1988 12-4-0 0.750buf1993 12-4-0 0.750nyg2000 12-4-0 0.750dal1970 10-4-0 0.714min1974 10-4-0 0.714dal1975 10-4-0 0.714den1987 10-4-1 0.700nwe1985 11-5-0 0.688den1986 11-5-0 0.688den1989 11-5-0 0.688buf1992 11-5-0 0.688sdg1994 11-5-0 0.688pit1995 11-5-0 0.688nwe1996 11-5-0 0.688rai2002 11-5-0 0.688car2003 11-5-0 0.688ram1979 9-7-0 0.563A year ago, I wrote that the 2007 Giants were arguably the worst Super Bowl Champion of all time, with the ‘70 Colts, ‘80 Raiders, ‘87 Redskins and ‘01 Patriots hot on their heels. That subgroup is, IMO, the bottom tier of Super Bowl winners.
Some comments requested a showing of the opposite — the best Super Bowl losers ever. We all know the answer to this one: the 2007 Patriots, right? Well, maybe not. Let’s take a look. For starters, let’s take a look at the regular season record of each of the 42 Super Bowls losers.
nwe2007 589 274 315 19.7clt1968 402 144 258 18.4min1969 379 133 246 17.6rai1967 468 233 235 16.8ram2001 503 273 230 14.4mia1984 513 298 215 13.4was1983 541 332 209 13.1kan1966 448 276 172 12.3sea2005 452 271 181 11.3dal1978 384 208 176 11.0chi2006 427 255 172 10.8buf1990 428 263 165 10.3phi1980 384 222 162 10.1mia1971 315 174 141 10.1atl1998 442 289 153 9.6min1976 305 176 129 9.2min1973 296 168 128 9.1rai2002 450 304 146 9.1den1977 274 148 126 9.0gnb1997 422 282 140 8.8buf1991 458 318 140 8.8den1989 362 226 136 8.5was1972 336 218 118 8.4min1974 310 195 115 8.2phi2004 386 260 126 7.9mia1982 198 131 67 7.4cin1988 448 329 119 7.4cin1981 421 304 117 7.3nwe1996 418 313 105 6.6buf1992 381 283 98 6.1den1987 379 288 91 6.1dal1975 350 268 82 5.9dal1970 299 221 78 5.6buf1993 329 242 87 5.4nyg2000 328 246 82 5.1pit1995 407 327 80 5.0sdg1994 381 306 75 4.7nwe1985 362 290 72 4.5oti1999 392 324 68 4.3den1986 378 327 51 3.2car2003 325 304 21 1.3ram1979 323 309 14 0.9Ten of these teams won over 85% of their games. Let’s not forget that we’re dealing with some great teams here. They just weren’t perfect.
Record isn’t everything, though — the next table shows each team’s regular season points scored, points allowed, points differential, and differential per game for each team.
Not surprisingly, the ‘07 Pats rank at the top of this list, too. But three pre-merger teams aren’t too far behind, along with three great offenses on modern teams. Like we did before, we should also look at Pythagorean record. The Pythagorean record is calculated by taking the points scored number raised to the 2.37th power, and dividing it by the sum of itself and the points allowed number raised to the 2.37th power. Explaining what the correct exponent should be is still on my to-do list, but 2.37 works for now.
Why use this? Points differential is biased towards great offense teams. A 10-0 victory may be more impressive than a 21-10 victory — we might infer that the former victor had a lower chance of ever losing that game. Once we use Pythagorean record, guess what? The 2007 Patriots don’t come out on top, for a change. The ‘69 Vikings and the ‘68 Colts had all time great defenses, and that was partially hidden when we used points differential.
Code:
min1969 0.923clt1968 0.919nwe2007 0.860rai1967 0.839den1977 0.811dal1978 0.810ram2001 0.810mia1971 0.803min1973 0.793min1976 0.786phi1980 0.786mia1984 0.784chi2006 0.772sea2005 0.771was1983 0.761buf1990 0.760kan1966 0.759den1989 0.753min1974 0.750was1972 0.736atl1998 0.732mia1982 0.727gnb1997 0.722phi2004 0.718rai2002 0.717buf1991 0.704cin1981 0.684cin1988 0.675buf1993 0.674dal1970 0.672buf1992 0.669nwe1996 0.665nyg2000 0.664den1987 0.657dal1975 0.653nwe1985 0.628sdg1994 0.627pit1995 0.627oti1999 0.611den1986 0.585car2003 0.539ram1979 0.526