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Harvin to Bills/ Formerly the Harvin to Hawks & Jets (1 Viewer)

waht the fudge?

I have nothing to add yet, only just found out and want to get in my black dot for this thread :blackdot:

I'm hoping as I read through this there is some hope that this is good for him this year? But I doubt it.

 
Prior to today I was thinking Spielman screwed up choosing to trade Harvin and signing Peterson long term. I thought Harvin cleaned up his act in Seattle. Little did I know that behind the scenes there must have been turmoil.

 
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As an owner who got nothing out of him this year, I figure this can't be anything worse. Jets stink and so does their QB?...but they are desperate for someone to throw to?...Shouldn't he finally start getting involved, getting some targets, even if they are poorly thrown targets on a bad team? Could he get 8 - 10 targets a game?

 
As an owner who got nothing out of him this year, I figure this can't be anything worse. Jets stink and so does their QB?...but they are desperate for someone to throw to?...Shouldn't he finally start getting involved, getting some targets, even if they are poorly thrown targets on a bad team? Could he get 8 - 10 targets a game?
I thought he was a possible WR1 in Seattle if he could stay healthy. They didn't use him like we were all hoping, and now he's headed to the Jets dumpster fire. Might be a solid WR3 with random WR2 upside in random weeks IMO. I'd rather have guys like Andre Holmes, Cooks, Beckham, etc.
 
If Harvin could put up decent receiving numbers with Ponder, he can do the same with Geno Smith. It's not like the plays he was running in Seattle required any sort of "chemistry" with the QB anyway. If anything he'll probably be utilized more since the Jets are more likely to bleed points than the seahawks.

 
If Harvin could put up decent receiving numbers with Ponder, he can do the same with Geno Smith. It's not like the plays he was running in Seattle required any sort of "chemistry" with the QB anyway. If anything he'll probably be utilized more since the Jets are more likely to bleed points than the seahawks.
Very wise, exactly my thinking. If they feed him his ego will stay in check and could be a 2nd half superstar!

 
If Harvin could put up decent receiving numbers with Ponder, he can do the same with Geno Smith. It's not like the plays he was running in Seattle required any sort of "chemistry" with the QB anyway. If anything he'll probably be utilized more since the Jets are more likely to bleed points than the seahawks.
Very wise, exactly my thinking. If they feed him his ego will stay in check and could be a 2nd half superstar!
I don't know about superstar but it's a lateral move at worst as far as his value is concerned. I also doubt Rex is going to keep him on any type of snap count like SEA seeing as how talent deficient their receiving corps are and the fact that Rex is in full blown "save my ###" mode. I like this move by NYJ. If Geno can manage to not turn the ball over they have some pretty legitimate threats between Ivory, Decker and Percy. Instead of kicking infinite FGs like they did vs. NE, Percy gives them some real firepower in the RZ.

 
LargeMouthBass said:
elbowrm said:
seahawk 17 said:
I have absolutely no idea what any if that means, but the girl is cute.
Yeah me neither. I think he's tweets basically means, he couldn't care less? Not sure though
Women usually tweet/facebook stuff like this. The tea = gossip. Harvin seems to be a problem child but if he gave Tate a black eye, I don't have a problem with that.
 
rockaction said:
dschuler said:
I can't think of a more overrated WR ever. He hasn't ever even had a 1000 yard season after 6 years in the NFL.
Gopher State said:
rockaction said:
comfortably numb said:
Lol. Bumping the week 2 game thread where everyone was drooling over Harvin could be fun
Didn't he just have a game where three touchdowns got called back because of penalties?

Harvin isn't on my team, but I wouldn't bet against one of the most talented guys in football.
I would bet against him his best game this year is what 50 yards receiving, any one can score TD's when someone is holding to make the holes. I really don't think he is that talented, and the question that begs to be asked, how talented is his new QB Geno?????????????? He has a contract that pays him 41.5M over the next four years, I bet against him collecting that money too.
If Adrian Peterson is calling you the "best" he's ever played with, I think that you're just fine, talent-wise.
Is AP as good at evaluating football talent as Jordan is at evaluating basketball talent?

 
What does everyone think of his value ? He's nearly droppable in my opinion.
Hold if you can.

If they start to feature him heavily -- not just with the sweeps and screens but with downfield throws (yes, he can do that...how early we forget his days in Minn with Favre) -- then he could rise to WR1 by the end of the year.

Everyone is talking about his "three bye weeks" but once you get to FFL playoff time it doesn't matter. You are playing week to week at that point and if if he is a WR1 who is better than some flex scrub you have starting now, then it'll be worth it.

So I say if you are willing to hold a guy like McKinnon or Crowell who may or may not produce by the end of the year, then holding a guy like Harvin is actually more certain than that, since he's sure to start and likely to be featured...

 
In PPR Harvin is about WR60. Can it get any worse for someone touted before the season as a top ten candidate?
Arent the rumors that Darren Bevell didnt know how to use him? Wonder if a team traded for him to not use him? I guess its possible since the Seahawks traded for him to not use him.

Percy was not being used in Seattle, so how could he have good numbers? When Percy was being used he was still explosive having 4 TDs called back this year on penalty. The odds say that the Jets plan to use Percy a lot with their lack of weapons. Really simple stuff actually.

How can some think his value is lower after the trade when it couldnt already get any lower? Because of Geno? If I recall he did well with Ponder at the helm. Anyone looking to act as if his value is not getting an uptick has an agenda or is just not understanding how a players value work works with upside.

Whats the point of having a good QB like Wilson if you are Harvin if they are not throwing to you or involving you.

 
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In PPR Harvin is about WR60. Can it get any worse for someone touted before the season as a top ten candidate?
Arent the rumors that Darren Bevell didnt know how to use him? Wonder if a team traded for him to not use him? I guess its possible since the Seahawks traded for him to not use him.

Percy was not being used in Seattle, so how could he have good numbers? When Percy was being used he was still explosive having 4 TDs called back this year on penalty. The odds say that the Jets plan to use Percy a lot with their lack of weapons. Really simple stuff actually.

How can some think his value is lower after the trade when it couldnt already get any lower? Because of Geno? If I recall he did well with Ponder at the helm. Anyone looking to act as if his value is not getting an uptick has an agenda or is just not understanding how a players value work works with upside.

Whats the point of having a good QB like Wilson if you are Harvin if they are not throwing to you or involving you.
Harvin was being used in Sea. How people continue to believe he was not is a total mystery. He was getting 5.4 targets per game and 2 rushes per game. He led the team in targets and receptions.
 
In PPR Harvin is about WR60. Can it get any worse for someone touted before the season as a top ten candidate?
Arent the rumors that Darren Bevell didnt know how to use him? Wonder if a team traded for him to not use him? I guess its possible since the Seahawks traded for him to not use him.

Percy was not being used in Seattle, so how could he have good numbers? When Percy was being used he was still explosive having 4 TDs called back this year on penalty. The odds say that the Jets plan to use Percy a lot with their lack of weapons. Really simple stuff actually.

How can some think his value is lower after the trade when it couldnt already get any lower? Because of Geno? If I recall he did well with Ponder at the helm. Anyone looking to act as if his value is not getting an uptick has an agenda or is just not understanding how a players value work works with upside.

Whats the point of having a good QB like Wilson if you are Harvin if they are not throwing to you or involving you.
Harvin was being used in Sea. How people continue to believe he was not is a total mystery. He was getting 5.4 targets per game and 2 rushes per game. He led the team in targets and receptions.
So he was on pace for 86 TARGETS for the ENTIRE YEAR? Yeah, how people could believe he wasn't getting used is indeed a complete mystery.

 
In PPR Harvin is about WR60. Can it get any worse for someone touted before the season as a top ten candidate?
Arent the rumors that Darren Bevell didnt know how to use him? Wonder if a team traded for him to not use him? I guess its possible since the Seahawks traded for him to not use him.

Percy was not being used in Seattle, so how could he have good numbers? When Percy was being used he was still explosive having 4 TDs called back this year on penalty. The odds say that the Jets plan to use Percy a lot with their lack of weapons. Really simple stuff actually.

How can some think his value is lower after the trade when it couldnt already get any lower? Because of Geno? If I recall he did well with Ponder at the helm. Anyone looking to act as if his value is not getting an uptick has an agenda or is just not understanding how a players value work works with upside.

Whats the point of having a good QB like Wilson if you are Harvin if they are not throwing to you or involving you.
Harvin was being used in Sea. How people continue to believe he was not is a total mystery. He was getting 5.4 targets per game and 2 rushes per game. He led the team in targets and receptions.
So he was on pace for 86 TARGETS for the ENTIRE YEAR? Yeah, how people could believe he wasn't getting used is indeed a complete mystery.
Yet again you forgot to mention the 32 rushes. He was on pace for over 100 touches. That's a number very few WRs can claim.Correction, pace was to reach 35 rushes in Sea. So, 106 touches.

 
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In PPR Harvin is about WR60. Can it get any worse for someone touted before the season as a top ten candidate?
Arent the rumors that Darren Bevell didnt know how to use him? Wonder if a team traded for him to not use him? I guess its possible since the Seahawks traded for him to not use him.

Percy was not being used in Seattle, so how could he have good numbers? When Percy was being used he was still explosive having 4 TDs called back this year on penalty. The odds say that the Jets plan to use Percy a lot with their lack of weapons. Really simple stuff actually.

How can some think his value is lower after the trade when it couldnt already get any lower? Because of Geno? If I recall he did well with Ponder at the helm. Anyone looking to act as if his value is not getting an uptick has an agenda or is just not understanding how a players value work works with upside.

Whats the point of having a good QB like Wilson if you are Harvin if they are not throwing to you or involving you.
Harvin was being used in Sea. How people continue to believe he was not is a total mystery. He was getting 5.4 targets per game and 2 rushes per game. He led the team in targets and receptions.
So he was on pace for 86 TARGETS for the ENTIRE YEAR? Yeah, how people could believe he wasn't getting used is indeed a complete mystery.
Yet again you forgot to mention the 32 rushes. He was on pace for over 100 touches. That's a number very few WRs can claim.
Rushes for WRs are flukey, while he can pop one at anytime as someone said it is a low quality type touch. I dont consider the quality as much as he does because he can pop it off, but 100 touches at low quality is not a hot endorsement for being a great number.

 
Why? Great news for fantasy IMO.
Not for this week! (Jets already played, and some of us were hoping to use Percy this week)
If you have to start Harvin, your roster must not be that good. IMO, Harvin has always been way overvalued.
Always? I think in his Minnesota days he was more than serviceable. Yes he got injured/ill shot but when he played he was great.

 
Rushes for WRs are flukey, while he can pop one at anytime as someone said it is a low quality type touch. I dont consider the quality as much as he does because he can pop it off, but 100 touches at low quality is not a hot endorsement for being a great number.
That's fine. Liking the opportunity he's been given and lack of opportunity are not the same thing. He's had opportunity. If you want to argue it wasn't the right opportunity then fine. Entering the year however I think most Harvin owners would have been ecstatic if you would have told them ahead of time Harvin would catch 70 balls and rush 35 times.

Somehow, I get the feeling the same people claiming he's not had opportunity would be complaining if they used him just as much if not more but on deep plays and his catch rate was only 50%. Then we would be hearing about how dangerous he is with the ball in his hands and they need to get it to him quick and in space.

I've got issues with the way he's been used which I haven't gotten into. That doesn't change the fact that he has been used a great deal.

 
Rushes for WRs are flukey, while he can pop one at anytime as someone said it is a low quality type touch. I dont consider the quality as much as he does because he can pop it off, but 100 touches at low quality is not a hot endorsement for being a great number.
That's fine. Liking the opportunity he's been given and lack of opportunity are not the same thing. He's had opportunity. If you want to argue it wasn't the right opportunity then fine. Entering the year however I think most Harvin owners would have been ecstatic if you would have told them ahead of time Harvin would catch 70 balls and rush 35 times. Somehow, I get the feeling the same people claiming he's not had opportunity would be complaining if they used him just as much if not more but on deep plays and his catch rate was only 50%. Then we would be hearing about how dangerous he is with the ball in his hands and they need to get it to him quick and in space.

I've got issues with the way he's been used which I haven't gotten into. That doesn't change the fact that he has been used a great deal.
I think your last paragraph hits the nail on the head. I'm curious what % of his catches began behind the LOS. Has to be near 60-70%. You have to use him on screens and swing passes, but not to the degree and predictability which Seattle was.

The Jets aren't an ideal landing spot, but his "usage," however you want to define or assess that, won't be any worse than it was for the Seahawks.

 
Rushes for WRs are flukey, while he can pop one at anytime as someone said it is a low quality type touch. I dont consider the quality as much as he does because he can pop it off, but 100 touches at low quality is not a hot endorsement for being a great number.
That's fine. Liking the opportunity he's been given and lack of opportunity are not the same thing. He's had opportunity. If you want to argue it wasn't the right opportunity then fine. Entering the year however I think most Harvin owners would have been ecstatic if you would have told them ahead of time Harvin would catch 70 balls and rush 35 times. Somehow, I get the feeling the same people claiming he's not had opportunity would be complaining if they used him just as much if not more but on deep plays and his catch rate was only 50%. Then we would be hearing about how dangerous he is with the ball in his hands and they need to get it to him quick and in space.

I've got issues with the way he's been used which I haven't gotten into. That doesn't change the fact that he has been used a great deal.
I think your last paragraph hits the nail on the head. I'm curious what % of his catches began behind the LOS. Has to be near 60-70%. You have to use him on screens and swing passes, but not to the degree and predictability which Seattle was. The Jets aren't an ideal landing spot, but his "usage," however you want to define or assess that, won't be any worse than it was for the Seahawks.
My issue begins with the % of targets/touches in relation to his snap count in Sea. Essentially when Harvin is in the game you can expect a greater than 20% probability the ball is going to him. Often times at or near the LOS, to boot. For a WR that is significant and something that I think all DCs will key on. Hell, if armchair QBs like myself can figure it out what do you think real NFL coaches will do with the information? On top of it his usage isn't varied enough for my taste. I've never been a proponent that Harvin is a good downfield WR but you have to change things up in the NFL and simply not show your hand as much as Sea was with Harvin. I think teams were able to key heavily on Harvin based on his snap count, formation and overall usage. It thus effected the efficiency of the plays and opps he was getting.
 
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From what I recall the Jets were interested in Tavon Austin in the draft 2 years ago, and passed, and then they were interested in Cooks this year and passed as well. Even after getting Decker it was oft stated that they needed one more good WR. They have been stating this need for a while but for some reason never took advantage of the talent in the draft (and Cooks and Austin are just this kind of player). Getting Harvin for a conditional mid rounder is very good but it is plenty late and comes with baggage but they definitely have the need for just exactly his skill set. He also has the advantage as a vet of stepping right in. In 2011 in MIn he played with Ponder, McNabb and Webb, and in 2012 in MIN he played entirely with Ponder.

The 2012 season with Ponder: 85/62/677/3 rec., 22/96/1 rush. - in 9 games. He had 5 games of 90+ total yards. Harvin might even thrive with a limited passer who cannot really successfully get the ball downfield much.

AP had his insane all-time season but somehow that MIN team under the hand of Christian flippin' Ponder went 10-6 and made the playoffs. The Jets should make heavy use of him.

 
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Rushes for WRs are flukey, while he can pop one at anytime as someone said it is a low quality type touch. I dont consider the quality as much as he does because he can pop it off, but 100 touches at low quality is not a hot endorsement for being a great number.
That's fine. Liking the opportunity he's been given and lack of opportunity are not the same thing. He's had opportunity. If you want to argue it wasn't the right opportunity then fine. Entering the year however I think most Harvin owners would have been ecstatic if you would have told them ahead of time Harvin would catch 70 balls and rush 35 times.Somehow, I get the feeling the same people claiming he's not had opportunity would be complaining if they used him just as much if not more but on deep plays and his catch rate was only 50%. Then we would be hearing about how dangerous he is with the ball in his hands and they need to get it to him quick and in space.

I've got issues with the way he's been used which I haven't gotten into. That doesn't change the fact that he has been used a great deal.
I think your last paragraph hits the nail on the head. I'm curious what % of his catches began behind the LOS. Has to be near 60-70%. You have to use him on screens and swing passes, but not to the degree and predictability which Seattle was.The Jets aren't an ideal landing spot, but his "usage," however you want to define or assess that, won't be any worse than it was for the Seahawks.
My issue begins with the % of targets/touches in relation to his snap count in Sea. Essentially when Harvin is in the game you can expect a greater than 20% probability the ball is going to him. Often times at or near the LOS, to boot. For a WR that is significant and something that I think all DCs will key on. Hell, if armchair QBs like myself can figure it out what do you think real NFL coaches will do with the information? On top of it his usage isn't varied enough for my taste. I've never been a proponent that Harvin is a good downfield WR but you have to change things up in the NFL and simply not show your hand as much as Sea was with Harvin. I think teams were able to key heavily on Harvin based on his snap count, formation and overall usage. It thus effected the efficiency of the plays and opps he was getting.
I'm not sure what you think you've figured out. #1 WR's get more than 20% of a team's targets typically, so you could say that when Dez Bryant's on the field, there's a greater than 20% probability that the ball is going to him too. When Harvin is on the field, there's an 80% chance he's not getting the ball. What is there to key on?

 
dschuler said:
I can't think of a more overrated WR ever. He hasn't ever even had a 1000 yard season after 6 years in the NFL.
I'm not a huge Harvin fan, but this is the dumbest thing people say about him.

1) He had 67 yards in 2011. If only he'd caught 33 more yards, then he wouldn't be so over-rated!

2) He's comfortably broken 1,000 total yards when you include his rushing production, which you would only not due if you were just being anti-Harvin for the sake of it.

 
From what I recall the Jets were interested in Tavon Austin in the draft 2 years ago, and passed, and then they were interested in Cooks this year and passed as well. Even after getting Decker it was oft stated that they needed one more good WR. They have been stating this need for a while but for some reason never took advantage of the talent in the draft (and Cooks and Austin are just this kind of player). Getting Harvin for a conditional mid rounder is very good but it is plenty late and comes with baggage but they definitely have the need for just exactly his skill set. He also has the advantage as a vet of stepping right in. In 2011 in MIn he played with Ponder, McNabb and Webb, and in 2012 in MIN he played entirely with Ponder.

The 2012 season with Ponder: 85/62/677/3 rec., 22/96/1 rush. - in 9 games. He had 5 games of 90+ total yards. Harvin might even thrive with a limited passer who cannot really successfully get the ball downfield much.

AP had his insane all-time season but somehow that MIN team under the hand of Christian flippin' Ponder went 10-6 and made the playoffs. The Jets should make heavy use of him.
Its the NFL, everyone comes with baggage.

Its just is the baggage worth it for the team. This has nothing to do with baggage, because Lynch has baggage, it has to do with Percy not being important in their offense.

If I remember correctly, Harvin attacked Tate because Tate slept with Wilsons wife/fiance/girlfriend.

 
dschuler said:
I can't think of a more overrated WR ever. He hasn't ever even had a 1000 yard season after 6 years in the NFL.
Year - G/YRec/YScrm

2009 - 15/790/925

2010 - 14/868/975

2011 - 16/967/1312 - with Ponder/McNabb/Webb

2012 - 9/677/773 - with Ponder

I think he gets some kind of golf handicap for playing with Ponder and that mishmash in 2011.

Also, he wasn't doing much as a kick returner in Seattle this year but it seems to me he always gets the green light to return and he could give the Jets a boost in field position there too.

 
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Solid smear campaign by the Seahawks, by the way.
How so?
How so? 18 minutes after the trade every human being holding a media badge is Tweeting anonymous sources saying what a POS Harvin was.

Weird that nobody was reporting that yesterday.

It's nothing to feel bad about, this is standard operating procedure when teams get rid of a popular player to take the heat off the team.

Hey, did you hear about DeSean Jackson's gang ties? Or how Wes Welker's agent screwed up negotiations with the Patriots?

 
Rushes for WRs are flukey, while he can pop one at anytime as someone said it is a low quality type touch. I dont consider the quality as much as he does because he can pop it off, but 100 touches at low quality is not a hot endorsement for being a great number.
That's fine. Liking the opportunity he's been given and lack of opportunity are not the same thing. He's had opportunity. If you want to argue it wasn't the right opportunity then fine. Entering the year however I think most Harvin owners would have been ecstatic if you would have told them ahead of time Harvin would catch 70 balls and rush 35 times.Somehow, I get the feeling the same people claiming he's not had opportunity would be complaining if they used him just as much if not more but on deep plays and his catch rate was only 50%. Then we would be hearing about how dangerous he is with the ball in his hands and they need to get it to him quick and in space.

I've got issues with the way he's been used which I haven't gotten into. That doesn't change the fact that he has been used a great deal.
I think your last paragraph hits the nail on the head. I'm curious what % of his catches began behind the LOS. Has to be near 60-70%. You have to use him on screens and swing passes, but not to the degree and predictability which Seattle was.The Jets aren't an ideal landing spot, but his "usage," however you want to define or assess that, won't be any worse than it was for the Seahawks.
My issue begins with the % of targets/touches in relation to his snap count in Sea. Essentially when Harvin is in the game you can expect a greater than 20% probability the ball is going to him. Often times at or near the LOS, to boot. For a WR that is significant and something that I think all DCs will key on. Hell, if armchair QBs like myself can figure it out what do you think real NFL coaches will do with the information? On top of it his usage isn't varied enough for my taste. I've never been a proponent that Harvin is a good downfield WR but you have to change things up in the NFL and simply not show your hand as much as Sea was with Harvin. I think teams were able to key heavily on Harvin based on his snap count, formation and overall usage. It thus effected the efficiency of the plays and opps he was getting.
I'm not sure what you think you've figured out. #1 WR's get more than 20% of a team's targets typically, so you could say that when Dez Bryant's on the field, there's a greater than 20% probability that the ball is going to him too. When Harvin is on the field, there's an 80% chance he's not getting the ball. What is there to key on?
Harvin not a WR1. Start there...
 
From what I recall the Jets were interested in Tavon Austin in the draft 2 years ago, and passed, and then they were interested in Cooks this year and passed as well. Even after getting Decker it was oft stated that they needed one more good WR. They have been stating this need for a while but for some reason never took advantage of the talent in the draft (and Cooks and Austin are just this kind of player). Getting Harvin for a conditional mid rounder is very good but it is plenty late and comes with baggage but they definitely have the need for just exactly his skill set. He also has the advantage as a vet of stepping right in. In 2011 in MIn he played with Ponder, McNabb and Webb, and in 2012 in MIN he played entirely with Ponder.

The 2012 season with Ponder: 85/62/677/3 rec., 22/96/1 rush. - in 9 games. He had 5 games of 90+ total yards. Harvin might even thrive with a limited passer who cannot really successfully get the ball downfield much.

AP had his insane all-time season but somehow that MIN team under the hand of Christian flippin' Ponder went 10-6 and made the playoffs. The Jets should make heavy use of him.
Its the NFL, everyone comes with baggage.

Its just is the baggage worth it for the team. This has nothing to do with baggage, because Lynch has baggage, it has to do with Percy not being important in their offense.

If I remember correctly, Harvin attacked Tate because Tate slept with Wilsons wife/fiance/girlfriend.
True, I won't get into all that, but it's there, plus magnified by the NYC/NJ press, but there's also the injury history.

And I honestly don't know what the state of the NYJ locker room is. My perception is from the Sanchez/Holmes debacle where Jets players were leaking backstabbing comments all over the place (and then to some extent that happened with Tebow too), and then also that Ryan allows for a pretty loose and raucous environment, but I really don't know what that situation is like these days.

 
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Rushes for WRs are flukey, while he can pop one at anytime as someone said it is a low quality type touch. I dont consider the quality as much as he does because he can pop it off, but 100 touches at low quality is not a hot endorsement for being a great number.
That's fine. Liking the opportunity he's been given and lack of opportunity are not the same thing. He's had opportunity. If you want to argue it wasn't the right opportunity then fine. Entering the year however I think most Harvin owners would have been ecstatic if you would have told them ahead of time Harvin would catch 70 balls and rush 35 times.Somehow, I get the feeling the same people claiming he's not had opportunity would be complaining if they used him just as much if not more but on deep plays and his catch rate was only 50%. Then we would be hearing about how dangerous he is with the ball in his hands and they need to get it to him quick and in space.

I've got issues with the way he's been used which I haven't gotten into. That doesn't change the fact that he has been used a great deal.
I think your last paragraph hits the nail on the head. I'm curious what % of his catches began behind the LOS. Has to be near 60-70%. You have to use him on screens and swing passes, but not to the degree and predictability which Seattle was.The Jets aren't an ideal landing spot, but his "usage," however you want to define or assess that, won't be any worse than it was for the Seahawks.
My issue begins with the % of targets/touches in relation to his snap count in Sea. Essentially when Harvin is in the game you can expect a greater than 20% probability the ball is going to him. Often times at or near the LOS, to boot. For a WR that is significant and something that I think all DCs will key on. Hell, if armchair QBs like myself can figure it out what do you think real NFL coaches will do with the information? On top of it his usage isn't varied enough for my taste. I've never been a proponent that Harvin is a good downfield WR but you have to change things up in the NFL and simply not show your hand as much as Sea was with Harvin. I think teams were able to key heavily on Harvin based on his snap count, formation and overall usage. It thus effected the efficiency of the plays and opps he was getting.
I'm not sure what you think you've figured out. #1 WR's get more than 20% of a team's targets typically, so you could say that when Dez Bryant's on the field, there's a greater than 20% probability that the ball is going to him too. When Harvin is on the field, there's an 80% chance he's not getting the ball. What is there to key on?
Harvin not a WR1. Start there...
Well he lead the Seahawks in targets. I certainly don't see anyone else on that team who you could call their #1 receiver.

Even so, that's not really relevant to the point, which seems to be that defenses were able to "key" on Harvin because they knew that when he was on the field, there was a 20% chance the ball would go to him.

 
Rushes for WRs are flukey, while he can pop one at anytime as someone said it is a low quality type touch. I dont consider the quality as much as he does because he can pop it off, but 100 touches at low quality is not a hot endorsement for being a great number.
That's fine. Liking the opportunity he's been given and lack of opportunity are not the same thing. He's had opportunity. If you want to argue it wasn't the right opportunity then fine. Entering the year however I think most Harvin owners would have been ecstatic if you would have told them ahead of time Harvin would catch 70 balls and rush 35 times.Somehow, I get the feeling the same people claiming he's not had opportunity would be complaining if they used him just as much if not more but on deep plays and his catch rate was only 50%. Then we would be hearing about how dangerous he is with the ball in his hands and they need to get it to him quick and in space.

I've got issues with the way he's been used which I haven't gotten into. That doesn't change the fact that he has been used a great deal.
I think your last paragraph hits the nail on the head. I'm curious what % of his catches began behind the LOS. Has to be near 60-70%. You have to use him on screens and swing passes, but not to the degree and predictability which Seattle was.The Jets aren't an ideal landing spot, but his "usage," however you want to define or assess that, won't be any worse than it was for the Seahawks.
My issue begins with the % of targets/touches in relation to his snap count in Sea. Essentially when Harvin is in the game you can expect a greater than 20% probability the ball is going to him. Often times at or near the LOS, to boot. For a WR that is significant and something that I think all DCs will key on. Hell, if armchair QBs like myself can figure it out what do you think real NFL coaches will do with the information? On top of it his usage isn't varied enough for my taste. I've never been a proponent that Harvin is a good downfield WR but you have to change things up in the NFL and simply not show your hand as much as Sea was with Harvin. I think teams were able to key heavily on Harvin based on his snap count, formation and overall usage. It thus effected the efficiency of the plays and opps he was getting.
I'm not sure what you think you've figured out. #1 WR's get more than 20% of a team's targets typically, so you could say that when Dez Bryant's on the field, there's a greater than 20% probability that the ball is going to him too. When Harvin is on the field, there's an 80% chance he's not getting the ball. What is there to key on?
Harvin not a WR1. Start there...
Do me a favor, before he got to a team that totally mismanaged his talent, tell me what his PPG were before he became a Seahawk? Now when you do this, remember he had some bad QBs.

I know the answer so if you do not want to look it up, I can tell you. I assure you when used properly, he is a WR1.

 
I like this deal for the jets

This season is lost, but they can evaluate geno and see if he is a long term answer or not and have to move on with a choosing another qb number one pick next year.

Also gives idzik a chance to evaluate Rex some more and the entire coaching staff, adding more offensive talent to this team is never a bad idea, and I think idzik got this talent at his type of price.

No risk in this contract and can walk away any year or renogotiate it to a lower average annual.

Not sure if any big name wrs were gonna shake loose for the free agent market next year, I can't see dez or dt being available. By adding harvin, the jets get two 27 year old receivers for 4 years and can focus on adding more necessary piece parts.

And the smear campaign is really something to watch.

Dude is a playmaker and the jets need them in the worst way, especially on special teams where harvin excels. They haven't had a guy like that on special teams since they let Leon Washington go.

As a jets fan I was depressed heading into ne game, but even tough they lost, I was happy how geno looked and now with the addition of harvin, even though the games are meaningless now, I really do feel like it will be kinda fun to watch how this team responds the rest of the way.

 

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