Colin Dowling
Footballguy
TIme to get serious on the mock action. You guys know how this works...
I have some trades projected. I have made assumption regarding how the draft order will play out (I think Houston wins this weekend, handing New Orleans the #1 pick). I think that some players stock will rise like dough come draft time (ex: Jay Cutler, Ahmad Brooks) and some will drop like stones a la Antajj Hawthorne last year.
So, enjoy. Comment if you like, I'm looking forward to breaking this bad boy down again this year.
1. New Orleans Saints - Matt Leinart - QB - USC - Reggie Bush this, Reggie Bush that. Truth is, nothing puts fannies in the seats long term like a franchise QB. I don't know why everyone is suddenly finding flaws with Leinart - he's going to carry the highest QB ratings since Carson Palmer and Peyton Manning. He lacks the deep arm of those two, but in the zeal to find warts, people forget that Leinart is a REALLY FRIGGIN GOOD quarterback. He never seems to make bad decisions, he's more mobile than given credit for, and he makes the players around him better. PLus, as New Orleans works to rebuild their franchise (on many levels) they're going to be much better off with a QB like Leinart than a RB bottleneck.
2. Houston Texans - Reggie Bush - RB - USC - THey end up getting the guy they need anyway.
3. Tennessee Titans via NYJEts (Billy Volek and the 1.06 for the 1.03) - Vince Young - QB -Texas - McNair restructures and guides Young along for a year before stepping aside in 07, sort of like how he was brought in to the league. Does anyone out there actually think that after the Pac Man disaster, Fisher and Chow aren't chomping at the bit to get their hands on a true game breaker like YOung? (Admittedly, as a TItans fan, I'm hoping for this scenario. But it also seems reasonable, so I'm including it here)
4. Green Bay - Mario Williams - DE - NCSt. - They have plenty of holes, but Williams adds quality to an extremely thin DE group.
5. San Fransisco 49ers - D'Brickashaw Ferguson - OT - UVA - San Fran's line gets 100 times better just by getting the long, rangy tackle from JEfferson's home state.
6. New York Jets via Tennessee - DeAngelo Williams - RB - Memphis - Along with getting Billy Volek, they also get a between the tackles rumbler. Essentially, they've revamped their offense in a couple of April hours.
7. Oakland Raiders - AJ Hawk - LB - OSU - THe Raiders D needs help on about 11 different levels. Brady Quinn's future brother in law is a good start.
8. St. Louis - Mathias Kiwanuka - DE - BC- too talented to slip much further, Kiwi gets the call where his speed will be most functional on the St.Loo turf.
9. Buffalo - Rod Wright - DT - Texas - Much more athletic than given credit for, Wright can almost single-handedly plug the interior for the Bills.
10. Arizona - Ahmad Brooks - LB - UVA - Brooks has been on a Milk Carton all season, but he's got ridiculous metrics and I'm guessing his combine/workout performance will get him taken in the top-10 of this year's draft.
11. Detroit Lions - Jay Cutler - QB - GO DORES! - Cutler will be this year's high riser a la Alex Smith or Kyle Boller.
12. Cleveland Browns - Marcus McNeil - OT - Auburn - Add quality to the Oline to buy Frye some time to get the ball to Winslow, Edwards, and Droughns.
13. Baltimore Ravens - Jimmy Williams - CB - VTech - Deion moves on, Williams comes in.
14. Philadelphia Eagles - Haloti Ngata - DT - Oregon - Ngata replaces the departed Corey Simon as the Eagles get back to defense.
15. Miami Dolphins - Omar Jacobs - QB - BG - Jacobs had a mediocre season, but like Brooks, expect him to measure well and garner top-15 consideration.
16. Minnesota Vikings - Lendale White - RB - USC - THe NFL folks are going to tell White he's a top-20 pick. Pete Carroll is going to tell White that being a top-20 pick this year is better than trying to improve that position next year when Adrian Peterson and a few other gamers will be eligible.
17. Atlanta Falcons - CHad Greenway - LB - Iowa - They need help on the DL, but no one is worth the selection. So, they find a solid, sturdy LB to help improve a suddenly mediocre Defense.
18. Kansas City Chiefs - Michael Huff - DB - UTexas - the Offense needs little help. THe defense needs plenty. Huff is versatile and has the hard-hitter attitude desperately needed in KC.
19. Dallas Cowboys - Eric Winston - OT - Miami - The Cowboys are going to need to overhaul thier Oline this year and they benefit from a deep OT class as Winston slides.
20. Denver Broncos - Mercedes Lewis - TE - UCLA - W eall know Shanny loves TEs, and while Putzier has been good, Lewis could be great for the Broncos.
21. San Diego - Ernie Simms - LB - FSU - Stockpiling defensive playmakers has to be the name of the game for the Chargers.
22. Tampa Bay - Jon Scott- OT - Texas - Revamp the Oline....Revamp the Oline...Revamp the Oline...etc.
23. Carolina - Leonard Pope - TE - Georgia - This big TE can block and catch and should help re-establish in the trench power for the cats.
24. New York Giants - Jesse Maholena - DT - UTenn - another guy that will rise come workout time, Maholena can help clog traffic while the Giants two excpetional DEs wreak havoc.
25. Pittsburgh - Lawrence Maroney - RB - Minnesota - Bettis is likely gone, Duce is older. A Maroney / Parker combo should keep the Steelers running game among the league's best.
26. New England - Tye Hill - CB - Clemson - after a patchwork of DBs over the last couple year,s the Patriots finally get a reasonable option at Corner.
27. Chicago - Santonio Holmes - WR - OSU - Bradley looked good before injury, and Bettian and Mushin are solid, but the Bears need to continue adding young receivers to build momentum for their offense.
28. Jacksonville - Vernon Davis - TE - Maryland - Lots of upside, although he's a little undersized. Jacksonville is quietly putting together some tough, talented skill players on the O-side.
29. Cincinatti - Elvis Dumervil - DE - Louisville - Speed at the corner makes the rest of the D's jobs easier. It's tough to argue w/ production like Elvis's.
30. Denver - Demeco Ryans - LB - Alabama - The Broncos LBs are actually a good lot, but Ryans is quite a talent this low and can be used situationally in the short term.
31. Seattle - Tamba Hali - DE - Penn State - Picking this late in round 1, you pick the top-tier talent, regardless of need. Hali is a productive player who has leadership qualities necessary to a grounded defense.
32. Indianapolis - Abdul Hodge - LB - Iowa - Hodge is the kind of player who can be used frequently or situationally and make a difference for the D.
What say You?
HERD
I have some trades projected. I have made assumption regarding how the draft order will play out (I think Houston wins this weekend, handing New Orleans the #1 pick). I think that some players stock will rise like dough come draft time (ex: Jay Cutler, Ahmad Brooks) and some will drop like stones a la Antajj Hawthorne last year.
So, enjoy. Comment if you like, I'm looking forward to breaking this bad boy down again this year.
1. New Orleans Saints - Matt Leinart - QB - USC - Reggie Bush this, Reggie Bush that. Truth is, nothing puts fannies in the seats long term like a franchise QB. I don't know why everyone is suddenly finding flaws with Leinart - he's going to carry the highest QB ratings since Carson Palmer and Peyton Manning. He lacks the deep arm of those two, but in the zeal to find warts, people forget that Leinart is a REALLY FRIGGIN GOOD quarterback. He never seems to make bad decisions, he's more mobile than given credit for, and he makes the players around him better. PLus, as New Orleans works to rebuild their franchise (on many levels) they're going to be much better off with a QB like Leinart than a RB bottleneck.
2. Houston Texans - Reggie Bush - RB - USC - THey end up getting the guy they need anyway.
3. Tennessee Titans via NYJEts (Billy Volek and the 1.06 for the 1.03) - Vince Young - QB -Texas - McNair restructures and guides Young along for a year before stepping aside in 07, sort of like how he was brought in to the league. Does anyone out there actually think that after the Pac Man disaster, Fisher and Chow aren't chomping at the bit to get their hands on a true game breaker like YOung? (Admittedly, as a TItans fan, I'm hoping for this scenario. But it also seems reasonable, so I'm including it here)
4. Green Bay - Mario Williams - DE - NCSt. - They have plenty of holes, but Williams adds quality to an extremely thin DE group.
5. San Fransisco 49ers - D'Brickashaw Ferguson - OT - UVA - San Fran's line gets 100 times better just by getting the long, rangy tackle from JEfferson's home state.
6. New York Jets via Tennessee - DeAngelo Williams - RB - Memphis - Along with getting Billy Volek, they also get a between the tackles rumbler. Essentially, they've revamped their offense in a couple of April hours.
7. Oakland Raiders - AJ Hawk - LB - OSU - THe Raiders D needs help on about 11 different levels. Brady Quinn's future brother in law is a good start.
8. St. Louis - Mathias Kiwanuka - DE - BC- too talented to slip much further, Kiwi gets the call where his speed will be most functional on the St.Loo turf.
9. Buffalo - Rod Wright - DT - Texas - Much more athletic than given credit for, Wright can almost single-handedly plug the interior for the Bills.
10. Arizona - Ahmad Brooks - LB - UVA - Brooks has been on a Milk Carton all season, but he's got ridiculous metrics and I'm guessing his combine/workout performance will get him taken in the top-10 of this year's draft.
11. Detroit Lions - Jay Cutler - QB - GO DORES! - Cutler will be this year's high riser a la Alex Smith or Kyle Boller.
12. Cleveland Browns - Marcus McNeil - OT - Auburn - Add quality to the Oline to buy Frye some time to get the ball to Winslow, Edwards, and Droughns.
13. Baltimore Ravens - Jimmy Williams - CB - VTech - Deion moves on, Williams comes in.
14. Philadelphia Eagles - Haloti Ngata - DT - Oregon - Ngata replaces the departed Corey Simon as the Eagles get back to defense.
15. Miami Dolphins - Omar Jacobs - QB - BG - Jacobs had a mediocre season, but like Brooks, expect him to measure well and garner top-15 consideration.
16. Minnesota Vikings - Lendale White - RB - USC - THe NFL folks are going to tell White he's a top-20 pick. Pete Carroll is going to tell White that being a top-20 pick this year is better than trying to improve that position next year when Adrian Peterson and a few other gamers will be eligible.
17. Atlanta Falcons - CHad Greenway - LB - Iowa - They need help on the DL, but no one is worth the selection. So, they find a solid, sturdy LB to help improve a suddenly mediocre Defense.
18. Kansas City Chiefs - Michael Huff - DB - UTexas - the Offense needs little help. THe defense needs plenty. Huff is versatile and has the hard-hitter attitude desperately needed in KC.
19. Dallas Cowboys - Eric Winston - OT - Miami - The Cowboys are going to need to overhaul thier Oline this year and they benefit from a deep OT class as Winston slides.
20. Denver Broncos - Mercedes Lewis - TE - UCLA - W eall know Shanny loves TEs, and while Putzier has been good, Lewis could be great for the Broncos.
21. San Diego - Ernie Simms - LB - FSU - Stockpiling defensive playmakers has to be the name of the game for the Chargers.
22. Tampa Bay - Jon Scott- OT - Texas - Revamp the Oline....Revamp the Oline...Revamp the Oline...etc.
23. Carolina - Leonard Pope - TE - Georgia - This big TE can block and catch and should help re-establish in the trench power for the cats.
24. New York Giants - Jesse Maholena - DT - UTenn - another guy that will rise come workout time, Maholena can help clog traffic while the Giants two excpetional DEs wreak havoc.
25. Pittsburgh - Lawrence Maroney - RB - Minnesota - Bettis is likely gone, Duce is older. A Maroney / Parker combo should keep the Steelers running game among the league's best.
26. New England - Tye Hill - CB - Clemson - after a patchwork of DBs over the last couple year,s the Patriots finally get a reasonable option at Corner.
27. Chicago - Santonio Holmes - WR - OSU - Bradley looked good before injury, and Bettian and Mushin are solid, but the Bears need to continue adding young receivers to build momentum for their offense.
28. Jacksonville - Vernon Davis - TE - Maryland - Lots of upside, although he's a little undersized. Jacksonville is quietly putting together some tough, talented skill players on the O-side.
29. Cincinatti - Elvis Dumervil - DE - Louisville - Speed at the corner makes the rest of the D's jobs easier. It's tough to argue w/ production like Elvis's.
30. Denver - Demeco Ryans - LB - Alabama - The Broncos LBs are actually a good lot, but Ryans is quite a talent this low and can be used situationally in the short term.
31. Seattle - Tamba Hali - DE - Penn State - Picking this late in round 1, you pick the top-tier talent, regardless of need. Hali is a productive player who has leadership qualities necessary to a grounded defense.
32. Indianapolis - Abdul Hodge - LB - Iowa - Hodge is the kind of player who can be used frequently or situationally and make a difference for the D.
What say You?
HERD