Hoopsguys - FBG ventures into NBA DFS (1 Viewer)

[Tennessee_ATO]

Liking a Holiday combo tonight I think.

Looks like Lord Payton will be starting

Can you start both WCS and Koufos in the same LU

Both of those combos have real appeal to me. 

Ive got to decide on how I approach this survivor. I need to finish outside bottom 48.2%. I have 21 spots. Go one massive train or break it up into 2 or 3 smaller trains?

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

This one leaves $1600 unspent, but I don't know where to spend it, or if I even really need to. 

Nelson/Jrue

Holiday/Klay

Morris/LBJ

WCS/Blake

Koufos

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

This one leaves $1600 unspent, but I don't know where to spend it, or if I even really need to. 

Nelson/Jrue

Holiday/Klay

Morris/LBJ

WCS/Blake

Koufos

Think I'm morphing to:

Lillard/Jrue

Holiday/Klay

Gordon/LBJ

WCS/Blake

Koufos

 

[msudaisy26]

A couple things I noticed for tonight. The Kings only have 3 bigs that are expected to play any big minutes. WCS, Kofus and Tollivar. The Pelicans only have 3 active guards to play tonight Holliday, Moore, and Frazier in a high tempo game.

Kemba/Jrue

Harden/Moore

Ariza/Gordon

Kamisky/WCS

Vuvecic

My problem with this lineup is I really want to get Lebron or Kyrie in there, ideally my lineup would look like this

Kyrie/Jrue

Harden/Moore

LBJ/Gordon

WCs/????

?????

with only 7200 left, but there is value there to do it

 

[Raging weasel]

I'm going with these

survivor

walker lillard

harden moore

morris ross

jokic wcs

koufos

5k the bus gpp

walker collison

kcp fournier

lbj durant

leuer porzingas

nurkic

and

payton beverly

harden moore

james gordon

griffin wcs

koufos

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

LOL, looks like ~16.5% forgot to update their lineups in the survivor. That takes more than 8000 out of the running and gives it a huge effective overlay of ~$9731 for an EV of +24%. That's ridiculous. 

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Of course, currently only 7/21 of my lineups are advancing. 

 

[Raging weasel]

LOL, looks like ~16.5% forgot to update their lineups in the survivor. That takes more than 8000 out of the running and gives it a huge effective overlay of ~$9731 for an EV of +24%. That's ridiculous. 

Nice. The bus contest I'm in didn't fill so now 47.3% at least double their money. Looking like it could be a decent night.

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Oof. Courtney Lee is playing. I'm a tad exposed on Holiday.

As in 100%. 

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

And Lillard got in foul trouble. And Jrue looks like he's still on the break. 

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Man, Jrue has been horrific tonight. 

 

[Raging weasel]

Made the cut in the survivor but more importantly my 1st lineup for The Bus gpp finished in 3rd. That's good for $100 and an entry in the contest playing for a golf trip with the Bus.

 

[Raging weasel]

Damn-just noticed that Porzingas' injury likely cost me 1st and a $500 win as he didn't play the second half and I only needed 5 more points.

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Damn-just noticed that Porzingas' injury likely cost me 1st and a $500 win as he didn't play the second half and I only needed 5 more points.

Nice job regardless. I was all-in on the Holidays. Absolutely horrible. I could have survived Justin (I was also all-in on WCS, Gordon, and LBJ), but not Jrue too. Even my Nurkic lineups didn't advance. I've lost a lot more money in one day before, but this was one of the most disappointing nights for me in a long time. 

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

It just hit me -- I had 2 lineups w/ 2 guys who were sub-$100 per point (and who weren't THAT highly owned) fail to cash in a contest that basically the top 63% advanced in. Plus they both had a 5-figure guy come in sub-$200 per point. 

That's actually impressive in a really bad way. 

 

[Raging weasel]

How many of your survivor line ups ended up advancing?

 

[Megla]

Oof. Courtney Lee is playing. I'm a tad exposed on Holiday.

As in 100%. 

You and I both, this alone lets you know how my night was.

 

[Raging weasel]

Going to need some luck to survive tonight.I'm usually terrible playing large slates because there are too many good choices. Going to build around Leonard/Millsap but can't decide between westy or KAT as the next piece.

 

[Megla]

Wonder how many of ATO's LUs will have S Adams in them

Cash LU

JNel/Lowry

Wade/Olap

WChand/Wiggs

Sacir/BPortis

SAdams

3 GPP LUs

Westy/JNel                                   Drag/DAng                  TJMcCOn/JNel

Wade/Kilp                                    Booker/Barton              Olap/THJ

Butler/Otto                                   RobCov/HBarnes         TJW/Crowder

BPortis/Favors                             Markif/Ibaka                Jokic/BPortis

Oakafor                                        BLopez                        KAT

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

How many of your survivor line ups ended up advancing?

Including my long-shot, contrarian lineups?

none. 

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Wonder how many of ATO's LUs will have S Adams in them

Cash LU

JNel/Lowry

Wade/Olap

WChand/Wiggs

Sacir/BPortis

SAdams

3 GPP LUs

Westy/JNel                                   Drag/DAng                  TJMcCOn/JNel

Wade/Kilp                                    Booker/Barton              Olap/THJ

Butler/Otto                                   RobCov/HBarnes         TJW/Crowder

BPortis/Favors                             Markif/Ibaka                Jokic/BPortis

Oakafor                                        BLopez                        KAT

If I do any (big "if" -- I'm prepping for a slew of 7 year olds spending the night tonight), none. The big bulls dominate the Lakers. Stretchy guys are just good against them.  

 

[Raging weasel]

Made it thru to the last survivor round-glad it isn't today cause its my wifes bday and our bowling night so wont be playing .

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Made it thru to the last survivor round-glad it isn't today cause its my wifes bday and our bowling night so wont be playing .

Good luck. It's just a big GPP with everyone guaranteed of at least a double-up now. I bet there will be some bat#### crazy lineups entered 

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

If I do any (big "if" -- I'm prepping for a slew of 7 year olds spending the night tonight), none. The big bulls dominate the Lakers. Stretchy guys are just good against them.  

Ha! 43 FD points in 31 minutes. I guess even stretchy 5's are dominating them now. 

 

[Megla]

Another terrible night, $39 in, zero out, can't keep this pace up much longer, one more week tops and I'll just shut it down till MBL

Right now I have the anti-Midas touch, my players either under preforms, get hurt mid game or get scratched 5 minutes after lock.  Scaling down to $20 worth of GPPs only moving forward till this streak ends or I shut it down

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Another terrible night, $39 in, zero out, can't keep this pace up much longer, one more week tops and I'll just shut it down till MBL

Right now I have the anti-Midas touch, my players either under preforms, get hurt mid game or get scratched 5 minutes after lock.  Scaling down to $20 worth of GPPs only moving forward till this streak ends or I shut it down

Damn, that sucks. You really have been cold lately. I had a decent little stretch before the ASB to get me out of the wilderness. Maybe your stretch is coming. 

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Sheesh. GS gets Brooklyn at home tonight. Do we fade the whole debacle, look at bench guys, or play it like a normal game? I can't see this being anything but a curb-stomping. 

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Assuming LBJ misses or is limited, this is where I am. Mike says this is 307. His math-preferred are all 312-ish tho. 

Steph/Irving -- Durant being out makes me feel ok w/ Steph. Irving's usage should be high w/ LBJ out or limited. 

Korver/Wade -- See Irving for Korver. Cle's defense sucks when they're 100% and Chi is a mess outside of Butler and Wade. 

Wiggins/RHJ -- Houston is bad defensively and wants to play st pace, which Minn likes to do as well. Everyone is out for BKN, so why not RHJ? I'm pretty sure I haven't played him all year. 

Saric/Gordon -- These guys should get ample usage after trades/injuries on their teams. 

R. Lopez -- It's Cleveland.  

 

[Megla]

LOL,BLEEP ME

Trying to do do too much and play DSF, not good, starting MBarnes in your early GPP LU, even worse ??

Yea, I knows how to play NBA DSF, I is sooooooo good at it ?

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

LOL,BLEEP ME

Trying to do do too much and play DSF, not good, starting MBarnes in your early GPP LU, even worse ??

Yea, I knows how to play NBA DSF, I is sooooooo good at it ?

Oof. I was shocked they released him because he's such a good locker room guy and role-model for the young guys. ?

 

[Megla]

Oof. I was shocked they released him because he's such a good locker room guy and role-model for the young guys. ?

He is owned by 11% of owners in the early slate, guess I'm not the only idiot ?

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

He is owned by 11% of owners in the early slate, guess I'm not the only idiot ?

Sheesh. I should have played the early slate. Of course an 11% edge still likely isn't enough to help me. Lord knows it wasn't Thursday. 

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Looks like not having T. Ross will be an impediment. 

 

[Raging weasel]

took the weekend off but back today for the survivor final-

rose joseph

deroz evans

barnes covington

wcw Beasley

kat

 

[needanap]

My survivor team

Rubio/Kyrie

GHenderson/Derozan

Thabo/Iguodala

Ibaka/Saric

KAT

 

[needanap]

Down to the last minutes.  KAT missed a 9 footer and a Rubio turn over.  8th out of 12010 for $200 in survivor.  Not bad for a $0 investment.

 

[Raging weasel]

Down to the last minutes.  KAT missed a 9 footer and a Rubio turn over.  8th out of 12010 for $200 in survivor.  Not bad for a $0 investment.

Nice work!! I cashed for $4 in the survivior and $10 in a $5 gpp so all in all a good night.

 

[Megla]

Of course I pay up and get KD in 50%  of my LUs tonight

 

[Megla]

Down to the last minutes.  KAT missed a 9 footer and a Rubio turn over.  8th out of 12010 for $200 in survivor.  Not bad for a $0 investment.

Congrats

 

[Raging weasel]

Went into the ASB on a 7 day losing streak but have been on a mini run since coming back. Last $18 in has made $122.60 and a ticket to the 1st PGA gpp.

Hopefully I didn't just jinx myself.

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Had an unplanned hiatus. Been stupid busy. Ironically I'm stuck working late tonight so I have more time to build a lineup this evening. ?

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Congrats

Things gotten any better for you this week?

 

[msudaisy26]

Of course I pay up and get KD in 50%  of my LUs tonight

I did that too, the good news it made me go to bed early because I knew I was out of it.

I am hoping we hear if Jameer Nelson is out before tip off. I love this lineup

Paul/Murray

Curry/Harris

Lebron/Ross

Griffin/WCS

O'Quinn

 

[Megla]

Things gotten any better for you this week?

One positive night in the last 10

 

[Raging weasel]

tee off classic free roll

rose payton

Fournier levert

leonard middleton

wcs davis

vucevic

50/50 lineup

holiday rose

greek kcp

barnes middleton

saric wcs

oquinn

 

[Megla]

I did that too, the good news it made me go to bed early because I knew I was out of it.

I am hoping we hear if Jameer Nelson is out before tip off. I love this lineup

Paul/Murray

Curry/Harris

Lebron/Ross

Griffin/WCS

O'Quinn

Murray starting

 

[msudaisy26]

Murray starting

I had it in a GPP, but now it is my cash game. 

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Couldn't quite get anything I really liked. So I ended going w/ 2 naturally. 

#1 (my "please let Philly's backcourt suck" lineup):

Dinwiddie/Goran

Waiters/Harris

Leonard/Barnes

WCS/Blake

KOQ

#2 (my "too many Knicks" lineup)

Collison/Rose

Waiters/Lee

Barnes/Ross

KP/Blake

Drummond

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

One positive night in the last 10

That can be ok, so long as the positive night was REALLY positive. 

 

[Raging weasel]

Low scoring night. Put my freeroll lineup  in a $2 gpp and cashed for $7 scoring 278.8 despite Payton scoring only 10.5 points.  308.1 was enough to take the top prize of 2.5k.