A Dallas TD wins for them either way so their downside is the Cowboys have 60 or whatever yards to kick the FG and go to OT where they still have an opportunity to win. In a lost season does it kill the Texans if they lose in OT?
The TD makes it a 2 score game and a likely win. There is no downside to going for it on a 1 & whatever team.
I agree. I don't see a difference between being up three but opps buried at the 2 or being up 6 kicking off. Statistically your odds of winning are only a few points higher being up 6...but WAAAAAY higher if you convert and go up 10