How exactly did Cam Newton double his td pass production last season (1 Viewer)

[Sabertooth]

What was so different about last years team?  He basically lost his best receiver from 2014 in Benjamin.  How the heck did he improve so greatly and can we expect him to sustain this new number which is way more tds than he's ever had before.  Does he regress back closer to his pre-2015 average. 

 

[mr roboto]

He cheated. 

 

[Sabertooth]

Maybe.  It is Carolina, home of Nascar.  Where if you aren't cheating you aren't trying.   Cam is probably a huge NASCAR fan too.  But seriously, nobody saw this huge spike in production.  What was the big difference?  Did he have a different OC or was it offensive line related?  Obviously his weapons were probably in the bottom third of the NFL in terms of pass catchers.  

 

[petekrum]

He cheated. 

Incisive?

 

[Ghost Rider]

He was banged up for pretty much all of 2014.

He improved greatly as a passer in 2015.

He and the offense got on a roll last year, and it is amazing what you can do when that happens. 

 

[Snorkelson]

Great insight, but he pretty much just banged around until someone was standing alone 40 yds downfield. That guy caught it half the time, which was good to double cams scoring.

 

[ghostguy123]

Because he only threw 18 the year before??

 

[BassNBrew]

Learn to read defenses.  Also finished up his college degree probably leaving more of the of season to honed his craft.  The year prior he had hurt ribs, a bum ankle, and then rolled his truck.  This year he was healthy.  Lastly, he lost his first offseason to the lockout which set back his development. 

 

[Tau837]

He missed two games and played hurt in 2014. The better season to compare to is 2013, when he played 16 games and threw 24 TD passes, his previous career high.

In 2013, Cam's TD percentage was 5.1%, in line with the rest of his career. In 2015, he led the NFL with a 7.1% TD percentage. That is a huge jump, and it seems unlikely he will sustain it.

If you look back over the past decade, all of the leaders in TD percentage dropped off the following season, sometimes very significantly. You can also look at it another way. Rodgers has only been at 7.1% or better 3 times; Brady only 2 times; Brees never; etc.

So his TD passes seem very likely to drop back under 30 unless his pass attempts go up significantly, which seems unlikely. Combine that with the likelihood that he will not rush for 10 TDs again, and his fantasy production seems likely to regress by a fair amount this season.

 

[Pots]

Because he only threw 18 the year before??

Winner here.

 

[lod01]

Don't forget to factor in the easy schedule. All 4 NFC S teams ranked at the top of the SOS. It's the same reason Manning threw 55 TDs one year. He played mostly against cup cake Ds the 2013 season.

 

[FUBAR]

Ted ginn returned. 

His coaching staff remained in place, consistency is underrated.