O
Oscar Goldman
Guest
He has some O-Line issues. How much will this affect his performance?
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PatsWillWin
Footballguy
One draft I was in he fell all the way to 3. We couldn't believe it. It was like...wow.
Crimson Hawk
Axis of Evel
strong
Footballguy
Couldn't believe it, but he fell to four!!! in a recent draft with 6 pt passing TDs. LT, Alexander, Peyton, then LJ. Owner that got him there celebrated, wouldn't shut up about it, then promptly selected D Foster at 2.7 with Parker and a ton of good receivers on the board... Should be fun to see how it pans out.
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Beergogglz
Footballguy
Fell to me at 1.05 after Manning went 1.01 (10 teamer with 6pts for passing TD's) and a Giants fan took Tiki at 1.04.
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Gigantomachia
Footballguy
1.01 SA
1.02 LT
1.03 LJ My pick!!!!
1.02 LT
1.03 LJ My pick!!!!
O
Oscar Goldman
Guest
I have the #1 pick in my big money league. It's a ppr league with bonus pts. for distance TD's. I'm agonizing over the pick.
shamrock84
Footballguy
Slipped to 1.01 in my draft... I almost #### myself.
Shooter McGavin
Down the middle
1.01 in two drafts. He's not going to slip out of the top 3 in any standard league with knowledgeable owners.
ren hoek
Footballguy
If it's a PPR league, I'd guess that LT has LJ completely owned in your league's scoring system.
You might try announcing that you're going to take LJ if no one wants to trade up to #1, and say that the pick is available for the other person's 1st-rounder and a pick in one of the later rounds.
You might try announcing that you're going to take LJ if no one wants to trade up to #1, and say that the pick is available for the other person's 1st-rounder and a pick in one of the later rounds.
From week 9 on last year (about the time Priest was completely out of the picture), LJ averaged about 3 catches per game. Over an entire season, those 48 catches would start to put him in LT's reception neighborhood from last year (51). Since I expect a few more TDs out of LJ than LT and a few more yards, I think I'd still rather have LJ over LT. I have SA third behind them both (in ppr leagues) because he needed a monster TD total last year to make up for his lack of receptions.
dickey moe
Fingerpicker
Explain this to me like I'm drunk. I don't understand how anyone can believe this based on the receptions LJ accumulated in a relatively short amount of time last year, LT2s declining amount of receptions the last couple of seasons, and a new unproven QB in San Diego.Edit: I'm willing to be convinced that LT2 will outscore LJ this season, just not with the reasoning that LT2's number of receptions will blow LJ's out of the water.
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BoulderBob
Footballguy
3, which is where belongs IMO.
Mystery Achiever
Footballguy
1.01 in one; 1.02 in the one in which I had 1.01.
jive miguel
Footballguy
I had the first pick in a start-up keeper league and took LJ.
the rover
Footballguy
what effect do you think having a young unproven QB will have on LT's receptions?
effect unknown. first year starter ='s unknown. even with all the stats in the world, you're just guessing. as for a high low risk analysis, 50 seems a good guess. i wouldn't jack that to 80 based on rivers.
mario soto
Footballguy
Saw him fall to 1.04 spot in 2 drafts last week. Both 12 team leagues with about 1/2 sharks, 1/4 medium, and 1/4 guppies. Manning went at 3 in both drafts, all other 1st round picks were RBs in both drafts.
In the draft I was in, sharks (maybe semi-sharks?) passed him at 1 and 2 for what they thought were safer bets. Then a guppy passed him at 3 and he fell to a shark at 1.04, the shark at 1.04 has the best team so far.
In the draft I was in, sharks (maybe semi-sharks?) passed him at 1 and 2 for what they thought were safer bets. Then a guppy passed him at 3 and he fell to a shark at 1.04, the shark at 1.04 has the best team so far.
ren hoek
Footballguy
eh, like I said it was a guess. I did zero research before posting that.I just remember LT catching 100 balls that one year, and I think he'll catch plenty this year as well. It's nice that LJ had a few receptions down the stretch last year, but who knows if the Chiefs will run the same offense as last season? Herman Edwards has stated that he'd like to run more of a ball-control offense this year, which would seem to work against the offense that Vermeil/Saunders ran where the RB was a big part of the passing game. I know that the Vermeil/KC playbook in Madden (2006) has a ton of play-action plays where the RB goes out as a receiver. Surely that number will go down with the installation of a different system, and following this flawless logic can only lead you to the conclusion that LT will have more receptions than LJ.I dunno.
playin4beer
Footballguy
I had the 1.04 pick in my 10-man non-ppr draft. I was REALLY hoping one of the top three owners were drunk, hung-over, got hit hard in the head, or just didn't show up. Unfortunatly this didn't happen and the top three were
LJ
LT
S.Alex
And me at fourth.....
LJ
LT
S.Alex
And me at fourth.....
glumpy
breeze
Same scenario in my 10-team league--but it was me at #4!
I followed up with Holt in the second tho....
RedmondLonghorn
Footballguy
He slid to me at 1.03 in my ten team league. I was pleased, but I also kind of expected it.
Interesting note, the first 12 straight picks were running backs. First time that has happened in my league. Usually there is a WR or two or a QB in the 1st Rnd. A lot of the other guys were spooked by the fact that there are so many potential RBBC situations or just screwed up RB pictures that they put a premium on getting players in solid situations.
Interesting note, the first 12 straight picks were running backs. First time that has happened in my league. Usually there is a WR or two or a QB in the 1st Rnd. A lot of the other guys were spooked by the fact that there are so many potential RBBC situations or just screwed up RB pictures that they put a premium on getting players in solid situations.
dickey moe
Fingerpicker
It doesn't give me any confidence that it will mean more receptions for LT as compared to LJ.
glock
"Don't grumble, give a whistle!"
