New England's Passing Attack vs. The Pittsburgh Defense (Tough Matchup)
During the first game between New England and Pittsburgh, the Steelers sprinted to a 21-3 first-quarter lead - with Corey Dillon sidelined by injury for the week 8 matchup, the team basically abandoned the run and relied on Tom Brady's arm (25/43 for 271 yards, 2 TDs and 2 interceptions was his tally at the end of the game). CB Deshea Townsend returned one of Brady's interceptions for a Steelers' TD. The Patriots were not at the top of their game vs. Pittsburgh, as you can see. WR David Givens led the Patriots in receiving during the Halloween defeat, snagging 8/101/2.
Tom Brady was in control during the Patriots' first playoff game, hitting 10 different receivers en route to his 18/27 for 144 yards, 1 TD and 0 interception performance vs. Indianapolis. Deon Branch (3 targets for 1/15/0) and David Patten (2 for 1/12/0), Brady's favorite targets during the closing weeks of the regular season, had a limited impact - the team's leading receiver was David Givens (4/26/1 out of 8 balls thrown his way) - but considering that 7 of the 10 players to catch passes from Brady only hauled in 1 ball, their modest numbers were not atypical last week. TE Daniel Graham snagged his 1/10/0 late in the game - he wasn't a force in the red-zone during the divisional playoff game.
The Steelers held Chad Pennington to 21/33 for 182 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception during last week's playoff game (the Jets' offense did not score a TD vs. the Steelers' defense during the game - New York's TDs came on a punt return and an interception return). Pittsburgh was the league's 4th-ranked pass defense during 2004, allowing an average of 177.2 passing yards per game (Pittsburgh allowed the least yards per game and the least passing scores (14) among all 12 playoff teams) - the 14 passing scores they surrendered during regular season tied them for least-scored-upon pass defense (Baltimore was the other team). They tied for 7th in the league with 41 sacks in 16 games (they added 3 to their total last week vs. the Jets) - any way you slice it, the Steelers field a fearsome pass D. (Over the final 4 weeks of the regular season, the defense averaged 196 passing yards allowed per game, with .6 thrown TDs allowed per contest. The Steelers maintained their top-5 pace during the divisional round of the playoffs, and they look ready for whatever the Patriots try to throw at them. The boisterous home crowd was deafening for much of the game last week, and will be sure that New England hears them this week as well - audibles are very difficult in the face of such clamor.
The Steelers list CB Deshea Townsend as probable to play despite his injured hand. New England is in good shape, with no new injuries of note to report on Wednesday.
The forecast for Heinz Field calls for a high of 24F and a low of 14F with a 60% chance for precipitation. In such wintry conditions, footing, ball-handling and visibility are likely to be issues during the game. However, both teams come from cold-weather climates and play their home games in outdoor stadiums - the Steelers and the Patriots are accustomed to these conditions.
Brady and company took what the Colts gave to them last week - the question is, what will they be allowed by the Steelers this week? Not much, probably - advantage, Pittsburgh.