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idp rookie draft. Brown in the first round? (1 Viewer)

moskate

Footballguy
I'm in a 10 team idp dynasty start up with my 5 round rookie draft this weekend.

Scoring is 1.25pts per tackle, 0.5 per assist, 1 per pass defended, 3pts forced fumble & 5pt per sack. Offensive stats are normal (ie 6pt rushing/receiving td, 1pt per 10yards)

I've got the 5th pick in the first round and am wondering if it is too early to take Arthur Brown. I'm figuring Austin, Ball, & Bernard will likely all be gone & probably Hopkins too. I think Brown can definitely be a poor mans Luke Kuechly this year & super productive into the future & I'm pretty confident of getting someone like Zac Stacy at RB in the second round. I know a few other players like Brown but not sure if they will pull the trigger on him in the first either. If he is gone, then I like Ogletree in the third round but no where near as much as Brown. Am I crazy to be considering a linebacker at pick no.5

 
Wouldn't do that unless your unconfident in your abilities to find value in the veteran draft. With that said, even if you are, I would go by the updated rankings by the boys at football guys dynasty IDP position rankings and have confidence following those rankings. Take your position players that high, wait until at least the second round before taking IDP players.

Overall IDP Dynasty Listing

http://subscribers.footballguys.com/apps/viewrankings.php?viewpos=io&type=dynasty&howrecent=14

Rookie Listing

http://subscribers.footballguys.com/apps/viewrankings.php?viewpos=io&type=rookie&howrecent=14

Don't know how deep the league is, but at the end of the day young running backs, quarterbacks, wide receivers tend to hold more trade value on the market in the coming summer and off-seasons so that helps should you go that direction. At that point in the draft you will have options for players that are worth keeping for sure.

 
I think you'll be able to find value late in your draft and RBs and WRs are always at a premium because of their scarcity.

That said, if no RB with starter value is available and your looking at a middling WR talent with no ppt, I think you could make a case for Brown. I would say EJ Manuel would have value but in a 10 team QBs might not be quite as scarce.

My dilemma:

http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index.php?showtopic=683439

 
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  • Thanks for the reply guys. The league has 53 man rosters & you start 3 LBs but am pretty confident of finding value in the veteran draft & didn't even think about the relative trade value of a WR/RB vs a LB.
Should have also mentioned it is an auction veteran draft so no issues with getting players i'm keen on

 
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moskate said:
I'm in a 10 team idp dynasty start up with my 5 round rookie draft this weekend.

Scoring is 1.25pts per tackle, 0.5 per assist, 1 per pass defended, 3pts forced fumble & 5pt per sack. Offensive stats are normal (ie 6pt rushing/receiving td, 1pt per 10yards)

I've got the 5th pick in the first round and am wondering if it is too early to take Arthur Brown. I'm figuring Austin, Ball, & Bernard will likely all be gone & probably Hopkins too. I think Brown can definitely be a poor mans Luke Kuechly this year & super productive into the future & I'm pretty confident of getting someone like Zac Stacy at RB in the second round. I know a few other players like Brown but not sure if they will pull the trigger on him in the first either. If he is gone, then I like Ogletree in the third round but no where near as much as Brown. Am I crazy to be considering a linebacker at pick no.5
You've gotten solid replies addressing the relative value of the 5th spot in a rookie draft compared to a rook LB.

It seems you don't value this particular crop of rookies and considering no RB was taken in the NFL draft and the WR class seems deep enough where someone will emerge from the later rounds the 5th pick might hold more value to someone in your league.

I'm not very high on this rookie class either but I'm picking 12th in my dynasty rookie draft and even at that spot, I'm not really interested in Arthur Brown. He's not Luke Keuchy and he's certainly not Ray Lewis. He had hernia surgery and has missed being able to be an active participant in mini-camps and OTAs so he's missed all installs and even though he should be fine for TC, he'll be playing catch-up in training camp. i think the hype is out of control on AB but back to your pick and gaining most value for it.

You say you have a veteran auction portion of your draft, interesting.

Have you considered trading your high draft pick for more auction money?

I'm no expert on auctions but if you could get enough extra money for dishing your pick then you could land a top-notch LB or address some other area.

I suggest that since it seems you are not sold on this rookie class and I happen to share that sentiment so if you can trade your pick for more auction money it might provide more value than what you could get from your rookie pick.

Just a thought.

 

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