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Impact rookie LBs? (1 Viewer)

corpcow

Footballguy
Can we talk about the rookies for a minute? I'm clueless.

Jene, Anthony, I know your rankings aren't up yet, but can we get a preview of your thoughts on the top prospects? From a few mocks I read, it seems like Rivers is projected early-mid 1st and Connor is late 1st/early 2nd. Mayo is mid 2nd.

Dan Connor (Penn St)

Tavares Gooden (Miami)

Curtis Lofton (Okl)

Jerod Mayo (Tenn)

Keith Rivers (USC)

 
I very rarely watch college football and don't completely trust myself to scout from college stats or watching games. The bulk of my pre-draft determinations come from comparing and contrasting scouting reports, which won't be out until later this month. So, unfortunately, I'm not going to be much help right now.

 
Aha. Thanks guys. There was a lot on Draftguys that I missed... good job as always Bloom, Baca, etc. (Baca's Jan 21st are pretty out of date, presumably not taking into account all seniors and obviously not taking into account combine stuff).

I especially appreciate the commentary stuff more than straight rankings, and general tiers of these things. Sounds like no one is the must-have ILB like Willis or maybe Poz last year, worthy of pick 16 or so, but I guess a lot can change. I, too, didn't watch enough college football this year even though I wanted to. (I got married, so the whole wedding/honeymoon kind of got in the way, but the little I did watch didn't focus too much on the defensive side).

I would appreciate - as I'm sure everyone else - anyone who does have some thoughts on these IDPs, just to get a general sense of it all.

 
Aha. Thanks guys. There was a lot on Draftguys that I missed... good job as always Bloom, Baca, etc. (Baca's Jan 21st are pretty out of date, presumably not taking into account all seniors and obviously not taking into account combine stuff).I especially appreciate the commentary stuff more than straight rankings, and general tiers of these things. Sounds like no one is the must-have ILB like Willis or maybe Poz last year, worthy of pick 16 or so, but I guess a lot can change. I, too, didn't watch enough college football this year even though I wanted to. (I got married, so the whole wedding/honeymoon kind of got in the way, but the little I did watch didn't focus too much on the defensive side).I would appreciate - as I'm sure everyone else - anyone who does have some thoughts on these IDPs, just to get a general sense of it all.
There doesn't seem to be an impact LB like last year (Willis and Poz). The top few could contribute, but none of them are "must haves" in IDP leagues.
 
Aha. Thanks guys. There was a lot on Draftguys that I missed... good job as always Bloom, Baca, etc. (Baca's Jan 21st are pretty out of date, presumably not taking into account all seniors and obviously not taking into account combine stuff).I especially appreciate the commentary stuff more than straight rankings, and general tiers of these things. Sounds like no one is the must-have ILB like Willis or maybe Poz last year, worthy of pick 16 or so, but I guess a lot can change. I, too, didn't watch enough college football this year even though I wanted to. (I got married, so the whole wedding/honeymoon kind of got in the way, but the little I did watch didn't focus too much on the defensive side).I would appreciate - as I'm sure everyone else - anyone who does have some thoughts on these IDPs, just to get a general sense of it all.
There doesn't seem to be an impact LB like last year (Willis and Poz). The top few could contribute, but none of them are "must haves" in IDP leagues.
I think this is a nice jumping off point for those new to IDP over the past 3-4 years to remember that guys like Willis and Ryans are rare commodities. There's been a significant influx of top ten caliber IDP talent over the past four years; that's not always been the case to my recollection. And Willis and Ryans were two different kinds of impact players. Nearly everyone felt that Willis was foolproof with respect to scheme and likely position (though it's worth noting that many felt the same about Brian Urlacher before he was drafted and Urlacher nearly ended up banished to SLB IDP hell). Ryans, OTOH, had the look of an impact player after a careful reading of the scouting reports, but did not generate nearly the level of IDP hype that Willis had in April. So, too, David Harris.A favorable scouting report and hype are nice to have, but there may be guys flying under the radar now that fall into enough opportunity to give them impact potential. Put a solid, but not spectacular MLB prospect in Detroit where the tackle opportunity will again be abnormally high -- not unlike Kirk Morrison in Oakland some years ago -- and there's an argument for impact potential at some point in the next two seasons.
 
Aha. Thanks guys. There was a lot on Draftguys that I missed... good job as always Bloom, Baca, etc. (Baca's Jan 21st are pretty out of date, presumably not taking into account all seniors and obviously not taking into account combine stuff).I especially appreciate the commentary stuff more than straight rankings, and general tiers of these things. Sounds like no one is the must-have ILB like Willis or maybe Poz last year, worthy of pick 16 or so, but I guess a lot can change. I, too, didn't watch enough college football this year even though I wanted to. (I got married, so the whole wedding/honeymoon kind of got in the way, but the little I did watch didn't focus too much on the defensive side).I would appreciate - as I'm sure everyone else - anyone who does have some thoughts on these IDPs, just to get a general sense of it all.
There doesn't seem to be an impact LB like last year (Willis and Poz). The top few could contribute, but none of them are "must haves" in IDP leagues.
I think this is a nice jumping off point for those new to IDP over the past 3-4 years to remember that guys like Willis and Ryans are rare commodities. There's been a significant influx of top ten caliber IDP talent over the past four years; that's not always been the case to my recollection. And Willis and Ryans were two different kinds of impact players. Nearly everyone felt that Willis was foolproof with respect to scheme and likely position (though it's worth noting that many felt the same about Brian Urlacher before he was drafted and Urlacher nearly ended up banished to SLB IDP hell). Ryans, OTOH, had the look of an impact player after a careful reading of the scouting reports, but did not generate nearly the level of IDP hype that Willis had in April. So, too, David Harris.A favorable scouting report and hype are nice to have, but there may be guys flying under the radar now that fall into enough opportunity to give them impact potential. Put a solid, but not spectacular MLB prospect in Detroit where the tackle opportunity will again be abnormally high -- not unlike Kirk Morrison in Oakland some years ago -- and there's an argument for impact potential at some point in the next two seasons.
This is probably true.After seeing the Penn St. bowl game, I wasn't impressed with Conner. He didn't seem to go to make the play but rather had the plays coming to him. Didn't pass the sniff test of a playmaker to me.Xavier Adibi I like, but I've seen a lot of Va Tech ball. He's a high motor, high energy LB who can move quickly and also cover. I like him quite a lot and if the Colts were to get him (as NFL-N was saying in Rd 2) that'd be a nice spot.
 
The ILB class this year aint hateful, sure there's no Willis, or even a Beason, but there may be a couple of guys who could be productive if things fall right.

On a side note ... I beleive most scouting reports had DeMeco Ryans as an OLB, I know Nawrocki (PFW) did.

 
The ILB class this year aint hateful, sure there's no Willis, or even a Beason, but there may be a couple of guys who could be productive if things fall right.

On a side note ... I beleive most scouting reports had DeMeco Ryans as an OLB, I know Nawrocki (PFW) did.
Everyone I saw did.
 
Penn State LB Dan Connor reportedly ran a 4.63 forty time at his Pro Day.

Former teammate Paul Posluszny ran a 4.67, so Connor is a shade faster on a straight line. He also repped 225 22 times and jumped 35" vertically. Like Poz in 2007, Connor projects as a late first- to early second-round pick.

Source: draftheadquarters.com

 
Thanks for the info. on Connor. I have been under the impression that the general feeling is that Connor is a safe bet to be a solid LBer but I have not been given the impression that he can or will be a special player at the NFL level. Maybe a guy that can be a solid LB2 or LB3 on a team but not that LB1 type material. Am I missing something?

 
Thanks for the info. on Connor. I have been under the impression that the general feeling is that Connor is a safe bet to be a solid LBer but I have not been given the impression that he can or will be a special player at the NFL level. Maybe a guy that can be a solid LB2 or LB3 on a team but not that LB1 type material. Am I missing something?
All the Conner news is getting confusing and contradictory IMO.Plus last year he was the better prospect over Posluzny, now Conner is less athletic. :thumbdown: Having watched a lot of PSU, I think Conner will be a great fit as a MLB in a 4-3.
 
Zoomanji said:
Warhogs said:
Thanks for the info. on Connor. I have been under the impression that the general feeling is that Connor is a safe bet to be a solid LBer but I have not been given the impression that he can or will be a special player at the NFL level. Maybe a guy that can be a solid LB2 or LB3 on a team but not that LB1 type material. Am I missing something?
All the Conner news is getting confusing and contradictory IMO.Plus last year he was the better prospect over Posluzny, now Conner is less athletic. :shock:

Having watched a lot of PSU, I think Conner will be a great fit as a MLB in a 4-3.
Right. I haven't put much effort into IDP rookies, but Connor seems to be getting disrespected oddly in some ways. Imo, this is your stud rook LB this year. Jene mentions the great talent that's come along recently and how we cannot expect such a positive trend to continue, but I think Connor should be in the conversation. I thought Ryans was being disrespected a couple years ago. I never graded him anywhere near the way he has performed, nor did I see him as an MLB, but still there was this general yawn regarding him, and I thought he was better than that. His measureables were supposed to be bad but turned out pretty stout. I get a similar feel for Connor in this class. He is my #1 LB for fantasy rooks, and if he lands in the middle then I think the rookie greatness trend continues (in another big way). Here's what I got from an unplanned posting on the fly kind of thing:

LB1 Dan Connor -- Potential elite stat producer at MLB, versatile 3 down backer, could play on the weakside and in a caveat, could play on the strong side too. You get the picture. The only area he doesn't excel in is rushing the passer, but he gets their quick with an open blitz lane. He's strong against the run, holds his own with OLs, has weakside speed, and all the tools are there for a productive longterm anchor in the middle. Bloom has a slightly less enthusiastic take. I like him slightly better than Puz, because of injury history, otherwise they're tied. Construx prefers Puz, I believe.

LB2 Jerod Mayo -- Stud athlete some see as a little raw. He reminds me of Ian Gold, but as a legit ILB with run stuffing instincts. He could project to the outside with his speed and he's done great work in coverage during his career. So here is another 3 down backer once he wins a job. The almost freakish athleticism puts him this high, but his and the following names could just be alphabetized and called a tier until training camp stories start telling us more about how they translate.

LB3 Tavares Gooden -- Lewis Williams Vilma McIntosh Beason and Gooden. The hits just keep on coming from the U. A true freak athlete who is somewhat under the radar right now. A taller Ernie Sims with better coverage skills. He struggled through a hip injury last year. He's struggled through a variety of injuries that have kept his stats low (100 tackles, 60 solos while constantly dinged) but the 40 assists tell you something about him. He absolutely gets to the football. Plays an aggressive game and is a safety quality cover guy. At full strength he may be the most impressive LB in this draft. Has played at a very high level in the middle and on the weakside.

LB4 Curtis Lofton -- This is Bloom's #1 IDP, so this class has nice potential. There's no Willis but the depth is worth a draft pick or two. Lofton is a high motor tackle machine with nice size, strength, instincts, and production against the run from the middle. That's a recipe for a bunch of tackles, but my concern here is that despite being the best overall LB rookie against the run, he has a reasonable risk of being a long-term 2 down LB. I would monitor that carefully in training camp, and if he shines in coverage, Bloom may be right on the money. I could easily move him to the top of this tier after the draft, but if he ends up ILB 3-4... well, David Harris comes to mind a little too. I'm torn here. Originally had him at 5 and now I feel like this is low, but just like the other's prospects a little more.

LB5 Keith Rivers -- I see blurbs here and there about Rivers moving to the middle in a 4-3 or 3-4, and I rebuke that idea. He is a pure 4-3 WLB, which is comforting to know sometimes (I felt the same way about Demeco so). Rivers reminds me of a peaceful version of Wilbur Marshall or Carl Banks. Banks was a dominant IDP, so the upside here, if he becomes more aggressive against the run, is elite. The problem is obvious. I want more big plays and more tackles. He needs to win more races to the ball. His physical ability is very high, higher than Ryans. He'll be the first LB drafted, and I have no issue with that, but it doesn't necessarily make him the best IDP prospect.

As I'm sure Jene remembers I hated last years class after very few names, and I think that was mostly validated by the draft and season. I don't feel that way about the rest of this list. I kind of like it.

LB6 Ben Moffitt -- Big fan of another sleeper LB, ILB in this case, from the South FLorida program (bringing us a great DE next year too).

LB7 Phillip Wheeler -- Terrific tfl playmaker at 248 pounds in the middle. Run stuffing is his bread and butter and he has excellent range and closes fast with a thump. Runs risk of the dreaded 2 down backer role as he may not be much in coverage. A very aggressive and fun MLB though.

LB8 Wesley Woodyard -- I saw a serious talent and cross checked his number at least five times last year before committing him to memory. Speedy and aggressive WLB.

LB9 Xavier Adibi -- Cool name, great pursuit, great coverage, excellent pass rusher, just a little soft against the run. Nice potential producer though.

LB10 Jonathan Goff -- Very strong with solid measureables but not a fluid athlete. Good instincts and tons of experience and production. Would rank higher if better in coverage.

Erin Henderson, Gary Guyton, Beau Bell, J Leman, Geno Hayes, Shawn Crable, Marcus Howard, Cliff Avril

There's something to like about everyone of them, but too much optimism is unrealistic. Bloom has a very positive report on Bell. I love Guyton. Most have EJ's brother in the top 10. This is a very foggy draft. I loved the 06 draft for all the freak talent, but this army in the fog may be more fun to scout about.

 
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The ILB class this year aint hateful, sure there's no Willis, or even a Beason, but there may be a couple of guys who could be productive if things fall right.

On a side note ... I beleive most scouting reports had DeMeco Ryans as an OLB, I know Nawrocki (PFW) did.
Everyone I saw did.
Honestly, the Texans even had him as a OLB until whatever veteran spare was doing nothing and/or became injured and Ryans played his way into the MLB spot.
 
The ILB class this year aint hateful, sure there's no Willis, or even a Beason, but there may be a couple of guys who could be productive if things fall right.

On a side note ... I beleive most scouting reports had DeMeco Ryans as an OLB, I know Nawrocki (PFW) did.
Everyone I saw did.
Honestly, the Texans even had him as a OLB until whatever veteran spare was doing nothing and/or became injured and Ryans played his way into the MLB spot.
I think at times people get locked in to the fact that a guy who played OLB in college can't play inside on Sundays. I was high on Ryans coming out, and even more so when he was drafted by Houston, because of the possibility of him playing "Mike". They needed a MLB bad, and he only had to beat out Rainer and Cowart. :shrug: Posted a link to an older thread below, so people can see I ain't blowin' smoke :pics: Ryans a MLB?

Make no mistake ... I expected him to play "Will", but an opportunity was there for "Mike". It just goes to show, you can't overlook opportunity when you evaluate these rookie LB's.

 
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