What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

Indy @ Jax --- Weather tonight (1 Viewer)

gianmarco

Footballguy
I think some people learned a lesson from the Cleveland game this past week. In it was the discussion how wind and rain affect a passing game much more than snow or cold temps. Well, the weather report for the game tonight is not pretty at all. 25mph winds? 40% chance of rain?

Anyone in Jax give a clue to the weather tonight? I was all set to start MSW but this alone might change that.

 
Cleveland was 25-35 MPH winds last weekend. That's enough to make a difference. 15-25 MPH is borderline. It might sway my decision if two players are even otherwise, but I wouldn't worry about it too much.

 
I think some people learned a lesson from the Cleveland game this past week. In it was the discussion how wind and rain affect a passing game much more than snow or cold temps. Well, the weather report for the game tonight is not pretty at all. 25mph winds? 40% chance of rain? Anyone in Jax give a clue to the weather tonight? I was all set to start MSW but this alone might change that.
Where you getting this?Weather.com shows between 60-80% chance of rain during game time (8pm-12am), but winds only between 12-14mph.From what I understand (and that includes "expert" opinion, player/coach talk, and posters on this and other message boards), the rain isn't so much the issue as wind. And 12-14 mph winds doesn't seem too bad. For the record, weather.com also shows the temps being in the low 60's the whole game.
 
Gale force winds would be nice (Wayne against me).

15-25 mph will have a little effect, but not major. May eliminate a few deep balls is all.

 
I also didn't think the weather was a major negative against the key receivers in the passing game last week. Holmes had a huge game. Miller was solid. Ward didn't do anything because he was hurt. The Browns' passing game isn't all that good even if the weather is perfect.

 
I think some people learned a lesson from the Cleveland game this past week. In it was the discussion how wind and rain affect a passing game much more than snow or cold temps. Well, the weather report for the game tonight is not pretty at all. 25mph winds? 40% chance of rain?

Anyone in Jax give a clue to the weather tonight? I was all set to start MSW but this alone might change that.
Where you getting this?Weather.com shows between 60-80% chance of rain during game time (8pm-12am), but winds only between 12-14mph.

From what I understand (and that includes "expert" opinion, player/coach talk, and posters on this and other message boards), the rain isn't so much the issue as wind. And 12-14 mph winds doesn't seem too bad.

For the record, weather.com also shows the temps being in the low 60's the whole game.
Weather link
Windy with a few showers possible. High near 65F. Winds NE at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

For tonight: Rain likely. Low near 60F. Winds E at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 80%. Rainfall around a half an inch.
So, if winds ~20mph, does it affect it as much? I'm not saying it will, that's why I'm asking. I'm also trying to see what it's actually like there as these reports aren't always completely accurate. If it's really not windy at all right now there then I wouldn't worry much. If someone from there says yeah, the wind's really whipping around, then I'd pay a little more attention.
 
Last edited by a moderator:
For the record, SBXLI was played in the florida rain. .93 inches of rain fell that day with the wind from 6-14 MPH. Gusts that day reached up to 20MPH.

So pretty soggy with a tad less wind. Manning still threw for 260 against a good Bears D.

Not saying it is gospel, but sometimes a QBs mechanics and ball flight are unaffected by the elements.

If this was Eli, I would say hide the wimmen and children. Colts should be OK unless there are torrential downpours during the actual contest.

 
I would not want Dallas Clark to slip and injure himself in the rain.

I think Mr. Caldwell should give him one series then have him call it a night. :doh:

 
Gale force winds would be nice (Wayne against me).15-25 mph will have a little effect, but not major. May eliminate a few deep balls is all.
If the gusts are nasty and a game of shorter passes in the cards, do we upgrade Clark and Collie?Downgrade Wayne and Garcon?
 
I don't think rain will so much limit the players abilities to put up good stats, but I do wonder how this impacts the way Caldwell handles his team. Likelyhood of injury seems greater if there is bad footing etc...

 
I would not want Dallas Clark to slip and injure himself in the rain.

I think Mr. Caldwell should give him one series then have him call it a night. :unsure:
:confused: I'm facing him too.
Me three, and I am against MJD tonight too. I hope for a drenching rain and 30 mph winds.
The one thing we have going for us is that Clark scored 3 TDs LAST week. Jacksonville, at the very least, knows they have to pay close attention to him.

 
I would not want Dallas Clark to slip and injure himself in the rain.

I think Mr. Caldwell should give him one series then have him call it a night. :shrug:
:hifive: I'm facing him too.
Me three, and I am against MJD tonight too. I hope for a drenching rain and 30 mph winds.
The one thing we have going for us is that Clark scored 3 TDs LAST week. Jacksonville, at the very least, knows they have to pay close attention to him.
if jax isn't already hip to dallas clark, there's not much hope for them figuring it out in a week.
 
I think some people learned a lesson from the Cleveland game this past week. In it was the discussion how wind and rain affect a passing game much more than snow or cold temps. Well, the weather report for the game tonight is not pretty at all. 25mph winds? 40% chance of rain? Anyone in Jax give a clue to the weather tonight? I was all set to start MSW but this alone might change that.
There is a 100% chance that there will be weather for tonights game
 
If the field is wet, advantage offense. D Line can't "get off" on the snap as easily and the recievers/QB know what route is being run.

Wind on the other hand...ugh.

 
In last year's game at Jacksonville, Clark posted 8-105-1.

I think he proved his point then. No need to rub it in the Jags' faces again tonight.

 
I don't think rain will so much limit the players abilities to put up good stats, but I do wonder how this impacts the way Caldwell handles his team. Likelyhood of injury seems greater if there is bad footing etc...
Is there statistical evidence anywhere that states a wet field produces more injuries?
 
I have about 10 guys going in this game among 4 different leagues. I'm starting both Collie and Garcon in two different leagues. LOL hope Mother Nature is nice.

 
I live about 5 miles from the stadium in Jax and there's no rain and light winds, but the mass of water is on it's way. Right now it looks like there will not be rain at kickoff but should be at least light rain before the half. Temp should remain in the low 60's and winds might gust to 20+ mph but overall the winds should be around the 10-15 mph range. The forecast doesn't look so bad, but keep in mind that in Florida the weather can get very ugly, very fast.

I'm leaving to start game drinking soon so I'll not be around to give a report closer to kickoff. Best of luck folks.

 
Anyone know who might be held out from the Indy D tonite? I heard possibly Freeney and Mathis won't play. Maybe Bracketts as well? Does this significantly upgrade the JAC offense?

 
I live about 5 miles from the stadium in Jax and there's no rain and light winds, but the mass of water is on it's way. Right now it looks like there will not be rain at kickoff but should be at least light rain before the half. Temp should remain in the low 60's and winds might gust to 20+ mph but overall the winds should be around the 10-15 mph range. The forecast doesn't look so bad, but keep in mind that in Florida the weather can get very ugly, very fast. I'm leaving to start game drinking soon so I'll not be around to give a report closer to kickoff. Best of luck folks.
:shrug: , thanks.
 
I live about 5 miles from the stadium in Jax and there's no rain and light winds, but the mass of water is on it's way. Right now it looks like there will not be rain at kickoff but should be at least light rain before the half. Temp should remain in the low 60's and winds might gust to 20+ mph but overall the winds should be around the 10-15 mph range. The forecast doesn't look so bad, but keep in mind that in Florida the weather can get very ugly, very fast. I'm leaving to start game drinking soon so I'll not be around to give a report closer to kickoff. Best of luck folks.
:shrug: , thanks.
:goodposting: This is what I was looking for. Feel much more comfortable starting MSW now. Thanks.
 
Feel much more comfortable starting MSW now. Thanks.
I have MSW also. What I want to know is, how in the world could anyone "feel comfortable" starting him given the stinkers he's put up recently, and given how banged up he is? I would literally have to have three more injuries on my squad before he cracks my lineup again.
 
Awful lot of talk about "resting" players like this is a bye week for the colts. You guys realize this will be a close game right? Vegas has the line at 3. Colts are not going to blow a perfect season resting folks week 15.

 
Feel much more comfortable starting MSW now. Thanks.
I have MSW also. What I want to know is, how in the world could anyone "feel comfortable" starting him given the stinkers he's put up recently, and given how banged up he is? I would literally have to have three more injuries on my squad before he cracks my lineup again.
--Indy's pass defense not being good--Mathis and Freeney being out--Garrard playing much better at home--MSW actually practicing this week compared to previous weeks--Other options aren't on the same level. Startable, but not who I'd want and I feel MSW's floor is safe enough and upside far greater
 
Feel much more comfortable starting MSW now. Thanks.
I have MSW also. What I want to know is, how in the world could anyone "feel comfortable" starting him given the stinkers he's put up recently, and given how banged up he is? I would literally have to have three more injuries on my squad before he cracks my lineup again.
--Indy's pass defense not being good--Mathis and Freeney being out

--Garrard playing much better at home

--MSW actually practicing this week compared to previous weeks

--Other options aren't on the same level. Startable, but not who I'd want and I feel MSW's floor is safe enough and upside far greater
not sure about that one. He was brutal last week against Miami.. I would think you would really have to have some bad WR choices to feel confident starting MSW..
 
Weather link

Windy with a few showers possible. High near 65F. Winds NE at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

For tonight: Rain likely. Low near 60F. Winds E at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 80%. Rainfall around a half an inch.
So, if winds ~20mph, does it affect it as much? I'm not saying it will, that's why I'm asking. I'm also trying to see what it's actually like there as these reports aren't always completely accurate. If it's really not windy at all right now there then I wouldn't worry much. If someone from there says yeah, the wind's really whipping around, then I'd pay a little more attention.
On that page, click the link that says "hour-by-hour;" it gives a more detailed forecast by hour. Between 8-12, the wind isn't supposed to be above 14 mph. In fact, the chance of rain has dropped to less than 20% until 11 pm.
 
Feel much more comfortable starting MSW now. Thanks.
I have MSW also. What I want to know is, how in the world could anyone "feel comfortable" starting him given the stinkers he's put up recently, and given how banged up he is? I would literally have to have three more injuries on my squad before he cracks my lineup again.
--Indy's pass defense not being good--Mathis and Freeney being out

--Garrard playing much better at home

--MSW actually practicing this week compared to previous weeks

--Other options aren't on the same level. Startable, but not who I'd want and I feel MSW's floor is safe enough and upside far greater
not sure about that one. He was brutal last week against Miami.. I would think you would really have to have some bad WR choices to feel confident starting MSW..
You're not sure about that one? I'm pretty sure about that one. One bad week against Miami does not invalidate a pretty significant difference in his numbers.
Code:
CATEGORY G CMP ATT YD Y/A TD INT RSH YD Y/R TD FPT FPT/G Road 6 105 178 1191 6.7 1 2 21 87 4.1 2 81.2 13.5 Home 7 145 234 1796 7.7 9 4 45 180 4.0 0 144.8 20.7
9 TDs vs. 1 TD. 1 Y/A higher. Double the rushing attempts and rushing yards. 20.7 ppg at home vs. 13.5 ppg away. Finally, last year Garrard threw for almost 350 yds vs. Indy at home. Oh, and their defense is not good to begin with and injured. So I happen to think MSW is actually a good play this week as long as the weather doesn't severely hamper things. It seems that isn't the case (for now).
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Feel much more comfortable starting MSW now. Thanks.
I have MSW also. What I want to know is, how in the world could anyone "feel comfortable" starting him given the stinkers he's put up recently, and given how banged up he is? I would literally have to have three more injuries on my squad before he cracks my lineup again.
--Indy's pass defense not being good--Mathis and Freeney being out

--Garrard playing much better at home

--MSW actually practicing this week compared to previous weeks

--Other options aren't on the same level. Startable, but not who I'd want and I feel MSW's floor is safe enough and upside far greater
not sure about that one. He was brutal last week against Miami.. I would think you would really have to have some bad WR choices to feel confident starting MSW..
You're not sure about that one? I'm pretty sure about that one. One bad week against Miami does not invalidate a pretty significant difference in his numbers.
Code:
CATEGORY G CMP ATT YD Y/A TD INT RSH YD Y/R TD FPT FPT/G Road 6 105 178 1191 6.7 1 2 21 87 4.1 2 81.2 13.5 Home 7 145 234 1796 7.7 9 4 45 180 4.0 0 144.8 20.7
9 TDs vs. 1 TD. 1 Y/A higher. Double the rushing attempts and rushing yards. 20.7 ppg at home vs. 13.5 ppg away. Finally, last year Garrard threw for almost 350 yds vs. Indy at home. Oh, and their defense is not good to begin with and injured. So I happen to think MSW is actually a good play this week as long as the weather doesn't severely hamper things. It seems that isn't the case (for now).
Well.. good luck to you starting Garrard. I think I'm just bitter that he's been brutal for me the only 3 times I have started him this year..
 
Awful lot of talk about "resting" players like this is a bye week for the colts. You guys realize this will be a close game right? Vegas has the line at 3. Colts are not going to blow a perfect season resting folks week 15.
The line is set at 3 partially because of the worry/fear/belief that Indy will not be playing all their starters all game, since the game doesn't matter. If Indy had something to play for, then the line would almost undoubtedly be bigger. If Jax was getting 7 (or more) points, there would be A LOT of people taking the Jags and the points, and Vegas likes "even" betting.
 
Feel much more comfortable starting MSW now. Thanks.
I have MSW also. What I want to know is, how in the world could anyone "feel comfortable" starting him given the stinkers he's put up recently, and given how banged up he is? I would literally have to have three more injuries on my squad before he cracks my lineup again.
--Indy's pass defense not being good--Mathis and Freeney being out Freeney is a Go now and Mathis is a GTD.

--Garrard playing much better at home

--MSW actually practicing this week compared to previous weeks

--Other options aren't on the same level. Startable, but not who I'd want and I feel MSW's floor is safe enough and upside far greater
 
I have MSW also.

What I want to know is, how in the world could anyone "feel comfortable" starting him given the stinkers he's put up recently, and given how banged up he is? I would literally have to have three more injuries on my squad before he cracks my lineup again.
--Indy's pass defense not being good--Mathis and Freeney being out

--Garrard playing much better at home

--MSW actually practicing this week compared to previous weeks

--Other options aren't on the same level. Startable, but not who I'd want and I feel MSW's floor is safe enough and upside far greater
not sure about that one. He was brutal last week against Miami.. I would think you would really have to have some bad WR choices to feel confident starting MSW..
You're not sure about that one? I'm pretty sure about that one. One bad week against Miami does not invalidate a pretty significant difference in his numbers.
Code:
CATEGORY G CMP ATT YD Y/A TD INT RSH YD Y/R TD FPT FPT/G Road 6 105 178 1191 6.7 1 2 21 87 4.1 2 81.2 13.5 Home 7 145 234 1796 7.7 9 4 45 180 4.0 0 144.8 20.7
9 TDs vs. 1 TD. 1 Y/A higher. Double the rushing attempts and rushing yards. 20.7 ppg at home vs. 13.5 ppg away. Finally, last year Garrard threw for almost 350 yds vs. Indy at home. Oh, and their defense is not good to begin with and injured. So I happen to think MSW is actually a good play this week as long as the weather doesn't severely hamper things. It seems that isn't the case (for now).
Well.. good luck to you starting Garrard. I think I'm just bitter that he's been brutal for me the only 3 times I have started him this year..
Well, I'm not starting Garrard. But I do think he's going to have one of his better night's tonight and should score 20+ points. More importantly, I'm not afraid to start MSW due to the reasons above. The Jags playing at home is a BIG reason for my optimism for both. Last week was a definite stinker for both despite playing at home, but there's no denying that he's played significantly better at home than on the road.
 
Feel much more comfortable starting MSW now. Thanks.
I have MSW also. What I want to know is, how in the world could anyone "feel comfortable" starting him given the stinkers he's put up recently, and given how banged up he is? I would literally have to have three more injuries on my squad before he cracks my lineup again.
--Indy's pass defense not being good--Mathis and Freeney being out Freeney is a Go now and Mathis is a GTD.

--Garrard playing much better at home

--MSW actually practicing this week compared to previous weeks

--Other options aren't on the same level. Startable, but not who I'd want and I feel MSW's floor is safe enough and upside far greater
Uh oh.
 
FWIW, weather.com says only 10% chance of rain increasing to 20% by midnite. Low pressure moving through area prior to game time with winds ENE at 14 mph now, decreasing to to 12 mph by midnite. Doesn't sound that bad. Nothing noted about winds gusting.

 
I'd gladly take a hit because I refuse to sit Wayne.....but I am playing aginast the guy with Peyton so if Wayne gets hurt, hopefully so will peyton.

 
What I want to know is, how in the world could anyone "feel comfortable" starting him given the stinkers he's put up recently, and given how banged up he is? I would literally have to have three more injuries on my squad before he cracks my lineup again.

--Indy's pass defense not being good

--Mathis and Freeney being out

--Garrard playing much better at home

--MSW actually practicing this week compared to previous weeks

--Other options aren't on the same level. Startable, but not who I'd want and I feel MSW's floor is safe enough and upside far greater

not sure about that one. He was brutal last week against Miami.. I would think you would really have to have some bad WR choices to feel confident starting MSW..

You're not sure about that one? I'm pretty sure about that one. One bad week against Miami does not invalidate a pretty significant difference in his numbers.

CATEGORY G CMP ATT YD Y/A TD INT RSH YD Y/R TD FPT FPT/G Road 6 105 178 1191 6.7 1 2 21 87 4.1 2 81.2 13.5 Home 7 145 234 1796 7.7 9 4 45 180 4.0 0 144.8 20.79 TDs vs. 1 TD. 1 Y/A higher. Double the rushing attempts and rushing yards. 20.7 ppg at home vs. 13.5 ppg away. Finally, last year Garrard threw for almost 350 yds vs. Indy at home. Oh, and their defense is not good to begin with and injured. So I happen to think MSW is actually a good play this week as long as the weather doesn't severely hamper things. It seems that isn't the case (for now).
Well.. good luck to you starting Garrard. I think I'm just bitter that he's been brutal for me the only 3 times I have started him this year..

Well, I'm not starting Garrard. But I do think he's going to have one of his better night's tonight and should score 20+ points. More importantly, I'm not afraid to start MSW due to the reasons above. The Jags playing at home is a BIG reason for my optimism for both. Last week was a definite stinker for both despite playing at home, but there's no denying that he's played significantly better at home than on the road.

Well Good luck with MSW.. You're probably right as they do usually play much better at home. I own him as well but I don't think I'm starting him this week. May need him next week if I win, so I'll be rooting for him..

 
Anyone have any thoughts on how this could impact the Indy D?

I have to choose between Indy D and TN D @Miami.

The weather wrinkle here has me thinking that it could slow down the Indy pass rush and D enough to give Garrard a tad more time. Additionally, I'd think a sloppy field benefits bowling ball MJD (who I am starting as well).

Garrard and Jax as a whole seem to play better at home anyways, so maybe this helps their O / hurts the Indy D?

 
I live about 5 miles from the stadium in Jax and there's no rain and light winds, but the mass of water is on it's way. Right now it looks like there will not be rain at kickoff but should be at least light rain before the half. Temp should remain in the low 60's and winds might gust to 20+ mph but overall the winds should be around the 10-15 mph range. The forecast doesn't look so bad, but keep in mind that in Florida the weather can get very ugly, very fast.

I'm leaving to start game drinking soon so I'll not be around to give a report closer to kickoff. Best of luck folks.
:lmao:
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Thursday night

Rain. Low near 55F. Winds E at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 80%. Rainfall may reach one inch.

 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top