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Interesting proposal *if* the NFL goes to 18 games (1 Viewer)

Chase Stuart

Footballguy
http://www.pro-football-reference.com/blog/?p=2469

If the league is going to add games, I have an alternate proposal to keep the current uniform 16-game schedule format, while creating exciting and competitive matchups in the final weeks with the additional two games.

Play flex games in the final two weeks of the regular season, setting the matchups based on how the season has progressed. The recent television deal with NBC on Sunday Night Football has already introduced the concept of a flexible schedule in terms of setting the night matchup closer to the time of the game. This idea simply builds on that. My idea would simply pair up those teams that have something to play for within a conference, and set up matchups that would decide playoff positioning on the field. For teams that had nothing to play for, the matchups could still be set up in such a way that geographic rivals can play at season’s end.

Here’s how my idea would work:

1) After 16 games have been played, the final two matchups are set based on record and playoff eligibility to that point.

2) The home team dates will be known ahead of time, by setting which divisions will have home games for game 17 versus game 18, so tickets for the games can be sold with just the identity of the opponent to be determined. For example, in 2009, the AFC West and North play each other. The AFC West/North would be at home for week 18 and on the road in week 19. The reverse would be true in the NFC, so that there would still be a roughly equal geographic distribution of home games both weekends.

3) All teams that have not clinched a specific playoff seed (even if they have clinched a playoff spot) and all remaining teams that are mathematically alive for a playoff spot are put into the Playoff Pool of teams.

4) All teams that have been eliminated from playoff contention, or have clinched a specific playoff seed are put into the Non-Playoff Pool of teams.

5) If the number of playoff pool teams within a conference is imbalanced across the two halves of a conference (In 2009, West+North versus East+South), then the necessary number of teams will move up from the Non-Playoff Pool to give an even number of matchups for Playoff Pool teams. The Non-Playoff Pool Team with the best record, from the half of the conference with fewer teams, will move to the Playoff Pool, if necessary, to balance out the matchups.

6) For Playoff Pool games, all games will be played between conference opponents. AFC Playoff eligible teams will only play AFC, and NFC teams will only play other NFC teams.

7) For Non-Playoff Pool teams, games can be played against both conference and non-conference opponents.

8) Teams will not play a non-divisional opponent they already played in the regular season in the flex games.

9) The matchups within the Playoff Pool will be set based on a priority order (subject to Rule #8). I would love to let teams select their home opponent, but I doubt this would ever happen in real life. Teams that were tied for a playoff position would meet, with the team holding the current tiebreaker getting home field for the matchup. The priority rules for setting matchups would have to be spelled out in detail, but for now, let’s say generally that first priority would go to teams that had not clinched a playoff spot, but were in playoff position after 16 games, followed by teams that had clinched playoff berth but not positioning, followed by teams out of playoff position but still in contention.

If we applied that to last year, here is one version of the matchups that could have resulted. The Ravens and Patriots ended up tied on record with the Patriots missing the playoffs on a tiebreaker. In this system, those teams meeting is a high priority, and New England at least gets to play their way in on the field in a play-in game in Week 19. In the NFC, several teams were still in playoff competition for that final spot, and the Eagles get to play two of the teams right behind them, while several other matchups also feature teams directly fighting for playoff spots.

Week 18

Baltimore at San Diego

Tennessee at New England

Pittsburgh at Denver

Indianapolis at Miami

San Fransisco at Atlanta

Washington at Minnesota

Dallas at Carolina

NY Giants at Tampa Bay

Arizona at Chicago

Philadelphia at New Orleans

Houston at NY Jets

Cincinnati at Buffalo

Saint Louis at Green Bay

Seattle at Oakland

Jacksonville at Kansas City

Cleveland at Detroit

Week 19

New England at Baltimore

San Diego at Tennessee

Denver at Indianapolis

Miami at Pittsburgh

Tampa Bay at Philadelphia

New Orleans at Arizona

Chicago at New York Giants

Minnesota at Dallas

Carolina at San Fransisco

Atlanta at Washington

Buffalo at Houston

NY Jets at Jacksonville

Green Bay at Cincinnati

Detroit at Seattle

Oakland at Cleveland

Kansas City at Saint Louis
Full article available here: http://www.pro-football-reference.com/blog/?p=2469I dig this.

 
http://www.pro-football-reference.com/blog/?p=2469

9) The matchups within the Playoff Pool will be set based on a priority order (subject to Rule #8). I would love to let teams select their home opponent, but I doubt this would ever happen in real life. Teams that were tied for a playoff position would meet, with the team holding the current tiebreaker getting home field for the matchup. The priority rules for setting matchups would have to be spelled out in detail, but for now, let’s say generally that first priority would go to teams that had not clinched a playoff spot, but were in playoff position after 16 games, followed by teams that had clinched playoff berth but not positioning, followed by teams out of playoff position but still in contention.
This would be awesome. You can televise the Week 18 NFL Selection Show presented by Quizno's on NFL Network on the Tuesday Night before the games, interview players and coaches on the teams that get called out. Who wouldn't watch that?
 
Interesting idea. How feasible is this from the travel secretary's perspective (booking flights, hotels, cars, etc)? I think certain teams might have certain preferences for these things in difference cities... it sounds like they'd have maybe 3 or 4 days to make all the arrangements, which seems unrealistic and/or extremely expensive to do.

 
Doesn't sound very fair, and it certainly would be a scheduling nightmare, rife with accusations of specific unfairness/favoritism. No way this could fly, even if they could get around the nightmarish last minute travel arrangements.

 
K.I.S.S. Just use the regular season format, it sounds like a great idea but I just don't know if it's possible, sounds more of a pain than anything.

 
I dont like it...looks like the playoffs to me...isnt that what the actual playoffs are for?
:excited: Agreed. That's what the playoffs are for. Too many holes in the plan...
:yes: If they really want to go for 18 games without refiguring the divisions, just play 3 outside divisions each year - 6 games in the division, 12 games out (3 divisions, 4 teams each). People are overthinking this.
 
I dont like it...looks like the playoffs to me...isnt that what the actual playoffs are for?
:goodposting: Agreed. That's what the playoffs are for. Too many holes in the plan...
:thumbup: If they really want to go for 18 games without refiguring the divisions, just play 3 outside divisions each year - 6 games in the division, 12 games out (3 divisions, 4 teams each). People are overthinking this.
Don't you think weeks 18 and 19 would be more exciting under this plan than if they followed what you described? This would also be "fairer" in a lot of ways, as teams would have fewer gripes about SOS or losing out on tiebreakers, I think.
 
I dont like it...looks like the playoffs to me...isnt that what the actual playoffs are for?
:goodposting: Agreed. That's what the playoffs are for. Too many holes in the plan...
:lol: If they really want to go for 18 games without refiguring the divisions, just play 3 outside divisions each year - 6 games in the division, 12 games out (3 divisions, 4 teams each). People are overthinking this.
Agreed. IMO a good alternative would be to schedule the last round of division games in weeks 17-19. Not every division race is compelling, but many are, and this would leave division titles, and thus the playoff picture, up in the air until the last few weeks.
 
I dont like it...looks like the playoffs to me...isnt that what the actual playoffs are for?
:goodposting: Agreed. That's what the playoffs are for. Too many holes in the plan...
I liked the idea but, gotta agree with these two.How about a rivalry game instead?(or one that could be marketed as such)Jets vs Giants?If every year would Buffalo vs Giants work into a rivalry both being NY teams?A Mangini (Browns) vs Jets might workORHow about playing in another location as was common in all but the current NFL?Let LA actually have a game and see what happensLet one of Giants or Jets actually play a game in NYHave one of the ohio teams play a game in masillon(sp?)Oklahoma is loaded with hundreds of thousands of Cowboys fans, why not play a Cowboys game at OU?(I would guess there's a slew of states like that)Titans and Saints played games in other locations recently. How about playing in one of those stadiums again?I'll always think a game on a military base is a cool idea and if the stands were filled with 60-80k soldiers; all the more better.Doing this would increase and/or please the team's far reaching fan base.
 
I dont like it...looks like the playoffs to me...isnt that what the actual playoffs are for?
:yes: Agreed. That's what the playoffs are for. Too many holes in the plan...
:yes: If they really want to go for 18 games without refiguring the divisions, just play 3 outside divisions each year - 6 games in the division, 12 games out (3 divisions, 4 teams each). People are overthinking this.
Don't you think weeks 18 and 19 would be more exciting under this plan than if they followed what you described? This would also be "fairer" in a lot of ways, as teams would have fewer gripes about SOS or losing out on tiebreakers, I think.
More exciting, sure. This is basically two additional playoff games. Fairer? Perhaps although if you're playing half the league, most of the time that will balance out. It just complicates things unneccessarily.
 
Wow, I really like this proposal. This guy is a genius. :yes:

I completely understand the K.I.S.S. criticism. There are simpler ways to add two games.

I don't get the "that's what the actual playoffs are for" criticism. Are you saying you don't want matchups between good teams to watch, or that you would rather a conference tiebreaker where the teams have very few opponents in common within the conference deciding a playoff spot, like New England/Baltimore last year, Tennessee/Cleveland in '07? I would think the chance to match teams that are competing for a playoff spot and see who earns it in would be attractive.

The travel schedule thing. I would think its doable. 4 teams do it each playoff weekend in the first two rounds, and don't know exactly what they will be doing til Sunday evening. You would just have to have no Monday night game in week 17, just like now, and announce the schedule that night. Do teams generally stay at the same hotels? Here in KC, I would think most teams stay in the same hotel accross from Arrowhead. Could the hotels reserve space for that weekend ahead of time? I think probably so. If 4 teams do it, I would think 16 could, but maybe I'm wrong.

As for the suggestion that we just schedule division games, I disagree that this improves week 17 competitiveness. Some of the most egregious recent examples of teams laying down have come in divisional games in week 17, when you would think teams should be motivated by rivalry. How did Indy perform against Tennessee two years ago? Did Dallas try their hardest in 2007 in week 17 against their hated rival Washington? What did New England do a few years ago with Miami at home, having already clinched the division?

 
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I dont like it for the same reason I dont like the Yankees playing the Mets 6 times a year.

It would be great to watch the games but unfair to the teams in my opinion

 
I dont like it for the same reason I dont like the Yankees playing the Mets 6 times a year.It would be great to watch the games but unfair to the teams in my opinion
Why don't you like the Yankees playing the Mets, and why would it be unfair?
 
I dont like it for the same reason I dont like the Yankees playing the Mets 6 times a year.It would be great to watch the games but unfair to the teams in my opinion
Why don't you like the Yankees playing the Mets, and why would it be unfair?
Because Toronto, Baltimore, TB and Boston get to play teams that are not as competitive every year. Granted the Yanks just lost 2 out of 3 to Washington, but I would rather play 3 more with them then another 3 with a competitive Mets team. And that happens every year.Lets put it into fantasy football terms for a second. You play in a local league where the same 6 teams make the playoffs 90% of the time. So the commish says that he is changing the schedule. The last 2 weeks will have the 6 teams that are playoff bound (as of that week) play each other and those games will count as games you have to play to make the playoffs.How often are there even number of teams who are eliminated by the last 2 weeks. What happens if the team that played two weak teams got two wins to catapult them past you who had to play against the two competitve teams. Doesnt seem equitable for everyone and it would be difficult in my opinion to schedule the teams that are maybes and the teams that seem to be locks
 
I dont like it for the same reason I dont like the Yankees playing the Mets 6 times a year.It would be great to watch the games but unfair to the teams in my opinion
Why don't you like the Yankees playing the Mets, and why would it be unfair?
Because Toronto, Baltimore, TB and Boston get to play teams that are not as competitive every year. Granted the Yanks just lost 2 out of 3 to Washington, but I would rather play 3 more with them then another 3 with a competitive Mets team. And that happens every year.Lets put it into fantasy football terms for a second. You play in a local league where the same 6 teams make the playoffs 90% of the time. So the commish says that he is changing the schedule. The last 2 weeks will have the 6 teams that are playoff bound (as of that week) play each other and those games will count as games you have to play to make the playoffs.How often are there even number of teams who are eliminated by the last 2 weeks. What happens if the team that played two weak teams got two wins to catapult them past you who had to play against the two competitve teams. Doesnt seem equitable for everyone and it would be difficult in my opinion to schedule the teams that are maybes and the teams that seem to be locks
:thumbup:
 
There's another KISS plan that is very fair and nearly ideally balanced - but it will never happen:

Drop interconference play.

Play 6 divisional games and play every other conference team once. That's 18 games.

It'll never happen as teams and fans want to see interconference games (plus the TV networks would go crazy with say CBS never getting Dallas).

The most likely scenario?

Same schedule as today but 2 more conference games. The #1 and #2 teams in each division from the prior year would play all the #1s and #2s in the conference (adding two #2 games for the #1 team and two #1s to the #2 teams). The 3/4 teams would follow a similar path.

This is slightly biased against the #2 team (as their schedule just got harder, while the #1 teams got slightly easier).

Alternatively you could add 2 more interconference games with #1 seeds playing two more (3 of the 4) #1 seeds in the other conference (they already play one full division already).

 
There's another KISS plan that is very fair and nearly ideally balanced - but it will never happen:

Drop interconference play.

Play 6 divisional games and play every other conference team once. That's 18 games.

It'll never happen as teams and fans want to see interconference games (plus the TV networks would go crazy with say CBS never getting Dallas).

The most likely scenario?

Same schedule as today but 2 more conference games. The #1 and #2 teams in each division from the prior year would play all the #1s and #2s in the conference (adding two #2 games for the #1 team and two #1s to the #2 teams). The 3/4 teams would follow a similar path.

This is slightly biased against the #2 team (as their schedule just got harder, while the #1 teams got slightly easier).

Alternatively you could add 2 more interconference games with #1 seeds playing two more (3 of the 4) #1 seeds in the other conference (they already play one full division already).
They could use the format from 1978 for the extra games, so a #1 would play both the #1's, a #2 from one division and a #3 from the other.#2= the #2's, a #1 and a #4

#3= the #3's, a #1 and a #4

#4= the #4's, a #2 and a #3

This would probably be the most likely scenario.

 
The idea of an 18-game schedule worries me. I hate to think of what countries Goodell would be dreaming of playing them.

I'd bet there's a good chance US fans will never see more than 16 games in this country, no matter how many games the season is expanded too.

 
I dont like it...looks like the playoffs to me...isnt that what the actual playoffs are for?
:thumbup: Agreed. That's what the playoffs are for. Too many holes in the plan...
:yes: If they really want to go for 18 games without refiguring the divisions, just play 3 outside divisions each year - 6 games in the division, 12 games out (3 divisions, 4 teams each). People are overthinking this.
Don't you think weeks 18 and 19 would be more exciting under this plan than if they followed what you described? This would also be "fairer" in a lot of ways, as teams would have fewer gripes about SOS or losing out on tiebreakers, I think.
You're fundamentally talking about play-in games. I understand why these games would be exciting to watch, but its not fair to the teams and could even cheapen the regular season....How often is there a truly unfair tiebreaker? I would say its happened twice since the 16 game schedule (the 2 11-win teams to miss the playoffs -- especially since an 8-8 team made the playoffs both times an 11-5 team missed them). And twice in 30 years isn't that bad.So for the other 28 of 30 years I'm not getting worked up over which 10-6 team makes the playoffs. You want to make the playoffs? Win in the regular season...
 
Jeff Pasquino said:
The most likely scenario?Same schedule as today but 2 more conference games. The #1 and #2 teams in each division from the prior year would play all the #1s and #2s in the conference (adding two #2 games for the #1 team and two #1s to the #2 teams). The 3/4 teams would follow a similar path.
I see this as being the most likely scenario. As Jeff says, the League already plays one entire division from the other conference on a rotating basis.
 
Chase Stuart said:
FUBAR said:
Sinrman said:
vikingdave said:
I dont like it...looks like the playoffs to me...isnt that what the actual playoffs are for?
:mellow: Agreed. That's what the playoffs are for. Too many holes in the plan...
:lmao: If they really want to go for 18 games without refiguring the divisions, just play 3 outside divisions each year - 6 games in the division, 12 games out (3 divisions, 4 teams each). People are overthinking this.
Don't you think weeks 18 and 19 would be more exciting under this plan than if they followed what you described? This would also be "fairer" in a lot of ways, as teams would have fewer gripes about SOS or losing out on tiebreakers, I think.
Sure...they might be more exciting, but this has :trainwreck: written all over it. Far too difficult to plan for far too many teams. Even worse, while done with the intention of "fairness", in the end it's just as likely to make things LESS fair.A blanced , predetemined schedule is the only way to go.
 
Sinrman said:
vikingdave said:
I dont like it...looks like the playoffs to me...isnt that what the actual playoffs are for?
:yes: Agreed. That's what the playoffs are for. Too many holes in the plan...
+1I do like the flexible schedule idea for more meaningful games at the end of the year, but this is basically adding another playoff round.I think it would be cool to look at the possibility of leaving week 16 and 17 open, and letting those games be scheduled mid-season. The idea of the home team "inviting" another team to one of these games would be really interesting.
 
I don't see how this isn't essentially adding two more weeks to the playoffs. Not to mention you would be asking a lot of crap teams to try to sell stadiums out on clearly uncompelling matchups with no lead time. Imagine being on the other side of this. You're two of the worst teams 'stuck' with each other by the end of the season. And you have to get a stadium full with very little advance notice. FAIL.

 
Interesting idea. How feasible is this from the travel secretary's perspective (booking flights, hotels, cars, etc)? I think certain teams might have certain preferences for these things in difference cities... it sounds like they'd have maybe 3 or 4 days to make all the arrangements, which seems unrealistic and/or extremely expensive to do.
Of course, teams already do this in the playoffs.
 
Interesting idea. How feasible is this from the travel secretary's perspective (booking flights, hotels, cars, etc)? I think certain teams might have certain preferences for these things in difference cities... it sounds like they'd have maybe 3 or 4 days to make all the arrangements, which seems unrealistic and/or extremely expensive to do.
Of course, teams already do this in the playoffs.
Yes, but there's an embedded level of interest in playoff games. Not so for teams that are out of the playoffs, playing other teams clearly out of the playoffs, and having to get people to attend a game they hadn't budgeted for with no energy or meaning. Again, you could work this for the contending teams well enough. But what about the rest of the teams trying to make the best of two crappy late season matchups with no consequence?
 
I don't see how this isn't essentially adding two more weeks to the playoffs. Not to mention you would be asking a lot of crap teams to try to sell stadiums out on clearly uncompelling matchups with no lead time. Imagine being on the other side of this. You're two of the worst teams 'stuck' with each other by the end of the season. And you have to get a stadium full with very little advance notice. FAIL.
Are you saying Oakland vs. Detroit in December when both teams stink is normally compelling, but if it's Oakland vs. SF when both teams stink, it won't be compelling? What's the difference? Yes, this is somewhat like adding two more weeks to the playoffs (except the top teams can't get knocked out). That sounds like a good thing.
 
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I don't see how this isn't essentially adding two more weeks to the playoffs. Not to mention you would be asking a lot of crap teams to try to sell stadiums out on clearly uncompelling matchups with no lead time. Imagine being on the other side of this. You're two of the worst teams 'stuck' with each other by the end of the season. And you have to get a stadium full with very little advance notice. FAIL.
That's what I was thinking. For crappy teams, they trade 2 meaningless games prior to the start of the season for two meaningless games at the end of the season. They try to take into account the rivalry factor here, but what if all of a teams arch rivals are the good teams that they can't schedule?
 
I don't see how this isn't essentially adding two more weeks to the playoffs. Not to mention you would be asking a lot of crap teams to try to sell stadiums out on clearly uncompelling matchups with no lead time. Imagine being on the other side of this. You're two of the worst teams 'stuck' with each other by the end of the season. And you have to get a stadium full with very little advance notice. FAIL.
Are you saying Oakland vs. Detroit in December when both teams stink is normally compelling, but if it's Oakland vs. SF when both teams stink, it won't be compelling? What's the difference?
A tremendous amount.1) Teams know before the season starts what their trouble games are going to be like. And depending on how their records proceed, teams take measure to ensure sell-outs as the season goes on. As is currently constituted, Oakland would know that the Detroit game isn't looking like a barn burner and can start ramping up the promotional ticket distribution. More tickets as 'give aways', more discounting, etc...When you don't know you're going to have the suck games until late in the season, you're going to have more difficult filling those seats2) As a season ticket holder, I can sell my tickets in much the same way for the same reason. If I see we're playing the Bengals in the last week of the season, I'm going to seriously consider selling those tickets [for a discount] months in advance since the game isn't likely to be meaningful. If I don't know who's playing until a week or two before, that's not going to happen3) At least for the first few years, people are going to be worn out by the added games. Chase, as a Jets fan you know how exhausting the last month or two of a season can feel if your team sucks. As a season ticket holder, the idea of having to slog through another game or two for my team would drain me, and I would think the incremental demand for those tickets would also wane
Yes, this is somewhat like adding two more weeks to the playoffs (except the top teams can't get knocked out). That sounds like a good thing.
I completely disagree. The randomness of the playoffs is such that adding two more weeks will make it that much harder for the great teams to get to where they're supposed to be. It's bad enough we now have teams at the .500 mark pushing for playoff spots, to effectively open the "one and done" ladder to even more teams would take away from the achievements of the handful of truly excellent teams each and every year.
 
I don't see how this isn't essentially adding two more weeks to the playoffs. Not to mention you would be asking a lot of crap teams to try to sell stadiums out on clearly uncompelling matchups with no lead time. Imagine being on the other side of this. You're two of the worst teams 'stuck' with each other by the end of the season. And you have to get a stadium full with very little advance notice. FAIL.
Are you saying Oakland vs. Detroit in December when both teams stink is normally compelling, but if it's Oakland vs. SF when both teams stink, it won't be compelling? What's the difference?
A tremendous amount.1) Teams know before the season starts what their trouble games are going to be like. And depending on how their records proceed, teams take measure to ensure sell-outs as the season goes on. As is currently constituted, Oakland would know that the Detroit game isn't looking like a barn burner and can start ramping up the promotional ticket distribution. More tickets as 'give aways', more discounting, etc...When you don't know you're going to have the suck games until late in the season, you're going to have more difficult filling those seats2) As a season ticket holder, I can sell my tickets in much the same way for the same reason. If I see we're playing the Bengals in the last week of the season, I'm going to seriously consider selling those tickets [for a discount] months in advance since the game isn't likely to be meaningful. If I don't know who's playing until a week or two before, that's not going to happen3) At least for the first few years, people are going to be worn out by the added games. Chase, as a Jets fan you know how exhausting the last month or two of a season can feel if your team sucks. As a season ticket holder, the idea of having to slog through another game or two for my team would drain me, and I would think the incremental demand for those tickets would also wane
Yes, this is somewhat like adding two more weeks to the playoffs (except the top teams can't get knocked out). That sounds like a good thing.
I completely disagree. The randomness of the playoffs is such that adding two more weeks will make it that much harder for the great teams to get to where they're supposed to be. It's bad enough we now have teams at the .500 mark pushing for playoff spots, to effectively open the "one and done" ladder to even more teams would take away from the achievements of the handful of truly excellent teams each and every year.
I agree with points 1 and 2, but I don't think they are serious negatives tot he plan. As for 3, people are going to be worn out by the added games regardless of the schedule, so I think that's a moot point.I also disagree with your point about the playoffs. I think this plan will make it easier for the great teams to get where they're supposed to be.
 

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