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Intrigued by Ricky Williams (1 Viewer)

FFdork

Footballguy
I'm having a really hard time gaging his value (I'm sure a lot of people are in this same boat). Here's what I see:

Pros

- Looks very likely to get significant work this week.

- Dolphins RBs have been productive

- Was once very good, albeit before a two year vacation

- positive buzz from practice

- Dolphins could look to showcase to try to increase his minimal trade value

Cons

- Chatman has played well, and presumably returns as the starter when healthy in a week or so. RBBC seems like the best case scenario when Chatman is healthy.

- It seems like there are players in the Dolphins locker room who's heads would explode if they handed Ricky the job unless he was just out of this world.

- Is Ricky anywhere near NFL game shape? Not too mention the rust from being away for so long.

 
he finishes week 15 and 16 vs. Balt and NE. So you pretty much won't want to use him those 2 weeks or this week. That leaves week 13 and 14 that he could be of any use. And not sure you will be so impressed with Ricky after this week that you would even want to start him week 13.

If it were not for his playoff schedule, I would have picked him up already.

 
he finishes week 15 and 16 vs. Balt and NE. So you pretty much won't want to use him those 2 weeks or this week. That leaves week 13 and 14 that he could be of any use. And not sure you will be so impressed with Ricky after this week that you would even want to start him week 13.If it were not for his playoff schedule, I would have picked him up already.
That depends on who else you have during playoffs. One of my leagues has a week 17 SB too and there he plays the Bengals.
 
I'm having a really hard time gaging his value (I'm sure a lot of people are in this same boat). Here's what I see:

Pros

- Looks very likely to get significant work this week.

- Dolphins RBs have been productive

- Was once very good, albeit before a two year vacation

- positive buzz from practice

- Dolphins could look to showcase to try to increase his minimal trade value

Cons

- Chatman has played well, and presumably returns as the starter when healthy in a week or so. RBBC seems like the best case scenario when Chatman is healthy.

- It seems like there are players in the Dolphins locker room who's heads would explode if they handed Ricky the job unless he was just out of this world.

- Is Ricky anywhere near NFL game shape? Not too mention the rust from being away for so long.
A few comments on the bolded statements.I completely agree about the showcasing. That seems straightforward.

Chatman is hurt, and he didn't want to talk with the press - whether that was because of his injury or due to the fact that he might be losing playing time to the new guy in town, it doesn't really matter. Either interpretation leads to more work for Ricky.

His teammates and coaches have already stated that they are amazed at how ready he looks. I wouldn't be surprised to see him get 15+ touches Monday Night.

Look at it this way - if you are going to showcase a guy, what better time than MNF with an opponent that has a large viewer audience? The only other time you'll get this many eyeballs is vs. NE, and that will be another tough matchup.

Run Ricky, run......

 
here's Evan Silva's take over at Rotoworld... decent summary, although he doesn't address the schedule issue:

I'll admit I wasn't buying into the Ricky hype when it was first announced he'd be reinstated from suspension. At first glance, there were too many factors working against him:

1> Williams hasn't played in the NFL in the last 18 months and wasn't overly impressive as an Argonaut before breaking his arm. Rarely do players coming off extended layoffs approach their old levels of effectiveness. It's why once you're out of the league, it can be so difficult to get back in.

2> Jesse Chatman had been going strong since taking over for Ronnie Brown, averaging 4.6 yards per carry on the season and topping 70 rushing yards in four straight weeks. He'd be hard to take off the field in favor of a guy Dolphins coach Cam Cameron had expressed anything but longing for.

3> Ricky is new to the team. He hasn't played for Cameron. Incumbent backups Patrick Cobbs and Lorenzo Booker both have ability, and even then-fourth stringer Samkon Gado has flashed in limited opportunities. Williams had a five-man depth chart to climb eleven weeks into the season.

But Ricky easily soared past all that depth to take first-team handoffs while Chatman was extremely limited in practice this week. With Chatman questionable and making no obvious progress from his ankle sprain, Williams has the inside track to start on Monday Night Football.

And after further review, there is plenty working in his favor:

1> Ricky does know Cameron's offense. A Norv Turner disciple, Cameron runs basically the same scheme with the same terminology. Turner was the Dolphins' offensive coordinator from 2002-2003, when Williams totaled 3,225 rushing yards and scored 27 touchdowns. So it should be no surprise that he's caught on quickly.

2> The Dolphins have a rookie quarterback they don't want throwing the ball 50 times a game. With an offensive line that's turned a corner under the tutelage of future Hall of Fame coach Hudson Houck, the Dolphins' power running game is hitting on all cylinders.

3> Miami not only has a porous defense its offense has to keep up with on a weekly basis, it also has one it'd prefer to not have on the field for long stretches. There's no better way to combat that than by having long possessions and shoving the ball down opponents' throats.

4> This is a business, and Cameron's Dolphins are 0 for their last 11. Chatman is a free agent at season's end and Brown will be coming off reconstructive knee surgery. Williams remains under contract through 2008. If the 'Fins aren't showcasing Ricky for an offseason trade, it's because they want to make sure he's an option next year if Brown isn't ready and Chatman thinks he'll get a chance to compete to start elsewhere. Ricky is going to play.

Say what you want about Williams, but he's got the smarts and talent to be a contributor. He's an oddity in the NFL, but he's also more gifted than most of the players in it. Williams probably isn't going to get more than 15-20 touches in his first game back, and the odds are against him being a worthwhile fantasy play in such a difficult matchup, whether or not Chatman is inactive. But the opportunity is there for him to be at least a carry sharer down the stretch. You're certainly not going to find a talent like Ricky Williams on a fantasy waiver wire at this time of the year very often. Pick him up for depth, watch him against the Steelers, and see what happens. In this situation, the Dolphins, Williams, and fantasy owners alike have everything to gain.
 
I'm having a really hard time gaging his value (I'm sure a lot of people are in this same boat). Here's what I see:

Pros

- Looks very likely to get significant work this week.

- Dolphins RBs have been productive

- Was once very good, albeit before a two year vacation

- positive buzz from practice

- Dolphins could look to showcase to try to increase his minimal trade value

Cons

- Chatman has played well, and presumably returns as the starter when healthy in a week or so. RBBC seems like the best case scenario when Chatman is healthy.

- It seems like there are players in the Dolphins locker room who's heads would explode if they handed Ricky the job unless he was just out of this world.

- Is Ricky anywhere near NFL game shape? Not too mention the rust from being away for so long.
A few comments on the bolded statements.I completely agree about the showcasing. That seems straightforward.

Chatman is hurt, and he didn't want to talk with the press - whether that was because of his injury or due to the fact that he might be losing playing time to the new guy in town, it doesn't really matter. Either interpretation leads to more work for Ricky.

His teammates and coaches have already stated that they are amazed at how ready he looks. I wouldn't be surprised to see him get 15+ touches Monday Night.

Look at it this way - if you are going to showcase a guy, what better time than MNF with an opponent that has a large viewer audience? The only other time you'll get this many eyeballs is vs. NE, and that will be another tough matchup.

Run Ricky, run......
I also wouldn't be surprised if he got 15+ touches. However, against a great Steelers' run defense, how much value will Ricky generate even if he gets 15-20 touches? I'm not sure that should be overlooked. I'm definitely intrigued by Ricky as well, but it's difficult for me to envision him doing much Monday night. I know Thomas Jones went off against Pittsburgh last week, but I think that will prove to be an aberration. The Steelers' run defense is exceptional.
 
I also wouldn't be surprised if he got 15+ touches. However, against a great Steelers' run defense, how much value will Ricky generate even if he gets 15-20 touches? I'm not sure that should be overlooked. I'm definitely intrigued by Ricky as well, but it's difficult for me to envision him doing much Monday night. I know Thomas Jones went off against Pittsburgh last week, but I think that will prove to be an aberration. The Steelers' run defense is exceptional.
I'd expect that they get Ricky a few screens / touches in space. Ricky used to be a pretty good receiver, so I would expect 2-4 of his touches would come via the passing game, where he could get 7-10 yards per touch on the right play.The biggest concernt I would have is that Ricky was a grinder. He'd beat you up for 3 quarters then take over and break you in the 4th quarter. I still remember the 40+ carry game where he just wore down Buffalo over the course of 60 minutes. By not getting that many touches (or anywhere close) I don't think he will be as effective.Who knows, though, given that this is the 2007 version of Ricky. I'm really interested to see what he does on Monday night. I do know that, from a fantasy standpoint, I'd have him on the bench and would wait and see a week to see how he does.
 
The biggest concernt I would have is that Ricky was a grinder. He'd beat you up for 3 quarters then take over and break you in the 4th quarter. I still remember the 40+ carry game where he just wore down Buffalo over the course of 60 minutes. By not getting that many touches (or anywhere close) I don't think he will be as effective.
:football: I wouldn't expect much this week.RW does his best work after 20 carries.
 
A lot of good points made here(above).

My view would be:

If it were mid-season, he may qualify as a bye week fill-in. Though the Dolphins have been productive in the running game, Ricky would still need time to gain a rhythm with his offensive line at game speed. You can't create that in a week or two of practice. I wouldn't make him any more than a RB3 at this point, and wait and see how he looks Monday night(in the rain, by the way). I just don't see much opportunity for starter-worthy production from here on out. With a rookie QB and weak WRs, he could see alot of 8 men in the box.

 
My interest comes in the form of his injury. Now that he won't be active for 6 games this season, does that mean that Miami retains his rights next year? I'm a Ronnie owner and have Ricky, so I was hoping for Ricky to get a FA contract next year for a team in need but with this injury causing him to miss the remainder of the season, is it entirely up to the 'Phins and would they even keep him?

 

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