'Zeff said:
And you come down on which side again? And why?
Flacco's last three years have been (I've got to believe) historically consistent. He's literally been between 3610-3622 yards for three straight years, along with 20-25 TD's. I've never seen anything like it.
He stays healthy, the team wins, he's locked up, he's played in a run-and-defense oriented situation, and his stats are identical every year. He may have, literally, the least downside of any fantasy performer in the entire league. You'd have to be insane to project him for less than 3600/20.
But of course, there are rumblings and preseasons signs that they're opening up the offense this year, and early returns say Flacco looks good and comfortable in the new and improved O. Do you want to oversell that before we see it in action? Of course not. But when a guy is as big a slam dunk as there is for 3600/20 and has obvious upside from there, you don't stick him in the 30's.
The side where he continues to be terrible and in his best year finished 17th...The team could win with Sanchez, they are literally the same person, Flacco doesnt elevate anyone - except Rice and the opposing teams defense.
You're letting personal dislike cloud your logical ability.17th wasn't his "best year" of course. Indeed, his average finish is better than that. But even if we do him a disservice and call that his average year...you're saying this model of consistency...who puts up the same stats year after year...that you expect him to "continue" to be terrible...to "continue" to be what he is...which has proven to be a 3600/22 guy, pretty much...and that this production is suddenly going to make him the 33rd best fantasy QB in the league somehow?
If you see no upside here at all, you call him 15th-20th and sweep him under the rug. 33rd is letting personal bias interfere with reason.
I didnt label him 33rd, but is there any difference between the QB18-150? Are they all unrosterable outside of a 2QB league? I am being biased, you're right his best season wasnt QB17. You are seeing an empty cup half full.To say he is a mid/bottom QB2 is doing him justice, and everyone else a great injustice. The minute amount of hype he has garnered this preseason is leading people to believe he can be something more, I submit that he cannot. He may prove me wrong and if he does thats great.
Hes never missed a game which is a credit to him. But in the 64 hes played hes had a completion percentage of 60% in only 37 of his games (57%), consistency is one thing - from the most consistent position in football. Consistently subpar and sporadically absolutely awful is another.
As ive said before in this thread, he played out of his mind and the best ive ever seen him play in the playoffs last year, specifically only in the game against NE, he has played great this preseason, but this is only one offseason removed from this season:
Pass Rk G Date Age Tm Opp Result GS Cmp Att Cmp% Yds TD Int Rate Y/A AY/A1 1 2011-09-11 26-238 BAL PIT W 35-7 * 17 29 58.6% 224 3 0 117.6 7.72 9.792 2 2011-09-18 26-245 BAL TEN L 13-26 * 15 32 46.9% 197 1 2 51.2 6.16 3.973 3 2011-09-25 26-252 BAL STL W 37-7 * 27 48 56.3% 389 3 0 103.6 8.10 9.354 4 2011-10-02 26-259 BAL NYJ W 34-17 * 10 31 32.3% 163 0 1 37.4 5.26 3.815 5 2011-10-16 26-273 BAL HOU W 29-14 * 20 33 60.6% 305 0 1 78.5 9.24 7.886 6 2011-10-24 26-281 BAL JAX L 7-12 * 21 38 55.3% 137 1 1 61.0 3.61 2.957 7 2011-10-30 26-287 BAL ARI W 30-27 * 31 51 60.8% 336 0 1 72.0 6.59 5.718 8 2011-11-06 26-294 BAL PIT W 23-20 * 28 47 59.6% 300 1 0 85.4 6.38 6.819 9 2011-11-13 26-301 BAL SEA L 17-22 * 29 52 55.8% 255 1 1 67.4 4.90 4.4210 10 2011-11-20 26-308 BAL CIN W 31-24 * 17 27 63.0% 270 2 1 105.5 10.00 9.8111 11 2011-11-24 26-312 BAL SFO W 16-6 * 15 23 65.2% 161 1 0 100.1 7.00 7.8712 12 2011-12-04 26-322 BAL CLE W 24-10 * 10 23 43.5% 158 0 0 66.9 6.87 6.8713 13 2011-12-11 26-329 BAL IND W 24-10 * 23 31 74.2% 227 2 1 102.5 7.32 7.1614 14 2011-12-18 26-336 BAL SDG L 14-34 * 23 34 67.6% 226 2 2 81.3 6.65 5.1815 15 2011-12-24 26-342 BAL CLE W 20-14 * 11 24 45.8% 132 2 1 73.6 5.50 5.2916 16 2012-01-01 26-350 BAL CIN W 24-16 * 15 19 78.9% 130 1 0 112.7 6.84 7.89 16 Games 312 542 57.6% 3610 20 12 80.9 6.66 6.40