Kevin Kolb (1 Viewer)

[kawaihae]

Flash back to 2008...Kolb plays against the Ravens and he looks terrible. Understandable, considering the tough Ravens D at the time. Then, it's Monday Night a couple of weeks later (a game that I'm sure 0.005% of you watched, but I was glued to the game because it involved a lot of players in my matchups). Mc Nabb gets pulled in about the 3rd quarter, and Kolb comes in to shut the door. He goes 0/2, but it's hard to describe how bad he looked in that game. I think he double stone-on-the-lake skipped a 15 yard out. In fact, I turned to my buddy and said something to the effect of, This is the worst QB I've seen playing in a long time, there is NO WAY he makes it. Just another Houston run and shoot phenom that peaked in college.

Fast forward to 2009, he doesn't look that great in his first relief game (bunch of dinks and dunks and goes something like 7 for 12, 25 yards). Then, of course, he goes on in the next two game to have epic numbers of historical proportions. The games were against some stankin defenses, that's for sure, but those numbers were hard to argue with.

So here we are in 2010. Based on those two games, plus being handed the keys to a Porshe of an offense, the guy is #9 in some rankings ahead of proven starters like Carson Palmer and Joe Flacco.

So where do we go with this? I said in the title that it the most intriguing pick because I don't see anyone this year with a higher floor to ceiling ratio. Can we somehow figure out if this guy's #9 ranking is for real, or the product of two games against sub-par defenses?

 

[bicycle_seat_sniffer]

overrated IMO

#9 ranking? FFL suicide. could he go aaron rodgers his first full season? sure but Im not rolling the dice unless he's part of a QBBC and I dont subscribe to that theory

 

[shader]

You know, I was going to start a post on this myself at some point. I'm surprised to see the total confidence the entire fantasy world has in Kolb. It seems like most people have him locked into super-stardom. Heck, I have a startup dynasty league I'm in the middle of, and it would shock you where he was drafted.

Funny thing is, I find myself believing it as well. I drafted Maclin because I believe the Eagles are going to have a great passing game with Kolb.

Why? I really don't know. I guess it was his stellar play last year.

One thing is for sure, though. Things can change fast and Kolb is definetely unproven. And if I'm in a league and have taken the gamble to roll with Kolb...I would make sure I had Vick...just in case.

 

[Sweet Love]

overrated IMO #9 ranking? FFL suicide. could he go aaron rodgers his first full season? sure but Im not rolling the dice unless he's part of a QBBC and I dont subscribe to that theory

I have to say I am skeptical myself...there is so much more proven value around that pick...heck, I would grab Roth and wait it out for four games knowing when he comes back he will give me the numbers I need. I happen to be a QBBC guy (less analytical than some...I just grab two QBs from the QB 10-12 spots and ride the hot hand), but I would go conservative on my second pick (ala Palmer or Roth as I mentioned), just to be safe...

 

[TheDirtyWord]

You know, I was going to start a post on this myself at some point. I'm surprised to see the total confidence the entire fantasy world has in Kolb. It seems like most people have him locked into super-stardom. Heck, I have a startup dynasty league I'm in the middle of, and it would shock you where he was drafted.Funny thing is, I find myself believing it as well. I drafted Maclin because I believe the Eagles are going to have a great passing game with Kolb.Why? I really don't know. I guess it was his stellar play last year.One thing is for sure, though. Things can change fast and Kolb is definetely unproven. And if I'm in a league and have taken the gamble to roll with Kolb...I would make sure I had Vick...just in case.

Agreed...Last season, Donovan McNabb was drafted on average at about the 5.09 slot (according to FantasyFootballCalculator). This year we're seeing Kolb in the 6.07 spot. Matt Schaub by comparison who had already produced as a starter in the NFL at a pretty prolific per game clip was going 6.12 in 2009. IMO, it's this type of situation that is starting to homogenize FF. It's purely 'situational' thinking that bases forecasted production on perceived opportunity.When we refer to Kolb's great play when he stepped in for McNabb, are we referring to his 191 yards passing he had after the Eagles were down 34-13 against the Saints? Or are we blown away by his masterful performance against KC, a team that gave up 7.6 YPA in 2009, good for 26th in the NFL?Andy Reid likes to pass. But this will be the first time he's coached in Philly (aside from the Doug Pederson era) where McNabb is not his starter and I would suspect they'll be an adjustment all parties will need to make. The only way Kolb justifies his draft slot IMO is to hit 4000 yards. That's a tall order for a kid in his position.

 

[bweiser]

You know, I was going to start a post on this myself at some point. I'm surprised to see the total confidence the entire fantasy world has in Kolb. It seems like most people have him locked into super-stardom. Heck, I have a startup dynasty league I'm in the middle of, and it would shock you where he was drafted.

Funny thing is, I find myself believing it as well. I drafted Maclin because I believe the Eagles are going to have a great passing game with Kolb.

Why? I really don't know. I guess it was his stellar play last year.

One thing is for sure, though. Things can change fast and Kolb is definetely unproven. And if I'm in a league and have taken the gamble to roll with Kolb...I would make sure I had Vick...just in case.

Agreed...Last season, Donovan McNabb was drafted on average at about the 5.09 slot (according to FantasyFootballCalculator). This year we're seeing Kolb in the 6.07 spot. Matt Schaub by comparison who had already produced as a starter in the NFL at a pretty prolific per game clip was going 6.12 in 2009. IMO, it's this type of situation that is starting to homogenize FF. It's purely 'situational' thinking that bases forecasted production on perceived opportunity.

When we refer to Kolb's great play when he stepped in for McNabb, are we referring to his 191 yards passing he had after the Eagles were down 34-13 against the Saints? Or are we blown away by his masterful performance against KC, a team that gave up 7.6 YPA in 2009, good for 26th in the NFL?

Andy Reid likes to pass. But this will be the first time he's coached in Philly (aside from the Doug Pederson era) where McNabb is not his starter and I would suspect they'll be an adjustment all parties will need to make. The only way Kolb justifies his draft slot IMO is to hit 4000 yards. That's a tall order for a kid in his position.

As an Eagles fan, I disagree with the statement that there will be an adjustment. If Andy Reid passed 70 percent in the past - just tossing out a number for the sake of the discussion - I still think he will throw 67 percent of the time this year. It will not drop to 50.50 and they will not become a run-dominated team. Kolb will still throw a lot and he has great, young targets.

 

[Chase Stuart]

According to current ADP data, Kolb is being drafted as QB12, not QB9, and he's really QB13 if you assume Favre will be back (he's only a hair ahead of Favre now, which includes a bit of skepticism about his status for this year).

From 2000 to 2009, seven QBs who had never ranked in the top 25 in a fantasy season had an ADP of QB14 or higher. That comes out to nearly one a year, but the data points are almost entirely from the beginning of the decade. In reverse chronological order:

2007, Jay Cutler -- 1st round draft pick in '06, saw part-time action at the end of the year. ADP of QB13, ended up as QB11.

2002, Michael Vick -- 1st overall pick in '01, saw spot duty as a rookie. ADP of QB14, ended up as QB3.

2001, Matt Hasselbeck -- 6th round pick in '98, backed up Favre in Green Bay, then Holmgren traded for him when he moved to Seattle. Was a pre-season star but had barely played in the NFL before '01. May be the best Kolb-like example because he was viewed as a system QB made for the system he was in; drafted as QB12. Went on to have great success, but missed 4 games in '01 and ranked as QB30.

2001, Aaron Brooks -- 4th round pick of the Packers in '99, started the last 5 games and the post-season for the Saints in '00 and shined. Had an ADP of QB10 in '01, ended the year as QB8.

2000, Rob Johnson -- 4th round pick by the Jags in '94; started one game and played very well in '97; traded to the Bills in '98, but missed time due to injuries and the presence of Doug Flutie. Was thought to have stolen the job from Flutie after playing well in week 17 of the '99 season and then the Music City Miracle game; named the starter in '00, had an ADP of QB12, but finished as QB21 as Flutie ended up reigniting the QB controversy fire.

2000, Daunte Culpepper -- 1st round pick by the Vikings in '99, sat on the bench for a year. ADP of QB6 based on the ridiculous offensive machine the Vikes had back then; ended the season as QB1, the first of several monster years.

2000, Cade McNown -- 1st round pick by the Bears in '99, McNown played decently for a rookie in '99, but the Bears led the league with a whopping 684 pass attempts; finished with over 4,000 yards and 25 TDs back when those numbers meant something. Many were excited for the Bears pass-happy offense under John Shoop, led by superstar-in-the-making WR Marcus Robinson. None of this materialized, and McNown's ADP of QB11 was much higher than his rank of QB26.

So, as to be expected, we get a mix of successes and failures. Will he be another Daunte Culpepper, Matt Hasselbeck, or Cade McNown?

The common trend here is "great offensive system" or "first round pick" or both. Rob Johnson doesn't really qualify as either, but he also had more experience than any of the other QBs on the list. Brooks probably doesn't fit the great offensive system test, but he put up big numbers during his stint at the end of the year.

 

[FreeBaGeL]

When we refer to Kolb's great play when he stepped in for McNabb, are we referring to his 191 yards passing he had after the Eagles were down 34-13 against the Saints?

The funny thing about throwing 191 yards after being down big in a game where you threw for 391 yards is that it still leaves you at 200 yards even before that. Kolb was on pace to throw for 300+ in that game well before Philly got down big.QBs are putting up ridiculous numbers nowadays. Drafting a guy like Palmer at QB10 or QB12 gets you nowhere, because you still have the worst starting QB in the league and a 3000/21 guy isn't even worth starting anymore in modern FF. By the time you get down that low you may as well just swing for the fences and Kolb is a better bet than anyone in that regard.And FWIW, while Reid hasn't had a QB other than Mcnabb for a whole season, Mcnabb has missed a lot of time in his career with Philly and Reid has continued to pass, pass, pass with a lot of QBs that are much worse than Kolb. This will not be a running team next year.

 

[baldbird]

To add to your statement on Kolb to be fair the 1st few games that you mention was when kolb came of the bench . yes he did struggle .

However looking at the 2 games last year he came in and looked very well why? well lets not forget he had time to practice with the 1st team the prior week up to that game knowing he was starting. There is a HUGE diffrence in being able to be game ready knowing your under center and had 1st team reps all week. Kolb has the weapons in philly he will put up very nice fantasy #s those who pass on him will regret it.

Also For years I watched Kolb in eagles camp (yes huge eagles fan) I would stand there while dmac ran 10 plays then in comes kolb for 5-6 let me tell you all now Kolb ALWAYS put Mcnabb to shame .Way more acurate on both the slants and outs even hit the deep ball on stride. This is what nobody sees unless your there I will go out on a limb and say Kolb will be a top 5 QB .

I have him in two my dynasty leagues and will be keeping him.So when they have him at #9 its a steal grab him in redrafts in the 7th you wont go wrong.He is the real deal ..Hes no David Klinger thank god.

 

[ceo3west]

According to current ADP data, Kolb is being drafted as QB12, not QB9, and he's really QB13 if you assume Favre will be back (he's only a hair ahead of Favre now, which includes a bit of skepticism about his status for this year).From 2000 to 2009, seven QBs who had never ranked in the top 25 in a fantasy season had an ADP of QB14 or higher. That comes out to nearly one a year, but the data points are almost entirely from the beginning of the decade. In reverse chronological order:2007, Jay Cutler -- 1st round draft pick in '06, saw part-time action at the end of the year. ADP of QB13, ended up as QB11.2002, Michael Vick -- 1st overall pick in '01, saw spot duty as a rookie. ADP of QB14, ended up as QB3.2001, Matt Hasselbeck -- 6th round pick in '98, backed up Favre in Green Bay, then Holmgren traded for him when he moved to Seattle. Was a pre-season star but had barely played in the NFL before '01. May be the best Kolb-like example because he was viewed as a system QB made for the system he was in; drafted as QB12. Went on to have great success, but missed 4 games in '01 and ranked as QB30.2001, Aaron Brooks -- 4th round pick of the Packers in '99, started the last 5 games and the post-season for the Saints in '00 and shined. Had an ADP of QB10 in '01, ended the year as QB8.2000, Rob Johnson -- 4th round pick by the Jags in '94; started one game and played very well in '97; traded to the Bills in '98, but missed time due to injuries and the presence of Doug Flutie. Was thought to have stolen the job from Flutie after playing well in week 17 of the '99 season and then the Music City Miracle game; named the starter in '00, had an ADP of QB12, but finished as QB21 as Flutie ended up reigniting the QB controversy fire.2000, Daunte Culpepper -- 1st round pick by the Vikings in '99, sat on the bench for a year. ADP of QB6 based on the ridiculous offensive machine the Vikes had back then; ended the season as QB1, the first of several monster years.2000, Cade McNown -- 1st round pick by the Bears in '99, McNown played decently for a rookie in '99, but the Bears led the league with a whopping 684 pass attempts; finished with over 4,000 yards and 25 TDs back when those numbers meant something. Many were excited for the Bears pass-happy offense under John Shoop, led by superstar-in-the-making WR Marcus Robinson. None of this materialized, and McNown's ADP of QB11 was much higher than his rank of QB26.So, as to be expected, we get a mix of successes and failures. Will he be another Daunte Culpepper, Matt Hasselbeck, or Cade McNown?The common trend here is "great offensive system" or "first round pick" or both. Rob Johnson doesn't really qualify as either, but he also had more experience than any of the other QBs on the list. Brooks probably doesn't fit the great offensive system test, but he put up big numbers during his stint at the end of the year.

Very This bodes well for Kolb. The only thing I worry about is the fact that Vick will likely get more PT this year, especially in red zone packages IMO.

 

[FGITLOTR]

This kind of information is what makes this message board the best around! I also picked up Kolb in my dynasty league and feel that he will finish the season anywhere from the 5th-7th QB, for the following reasons:

1) he has remarkable accuracy (as many have already alluded to)

2) playing behind McNabb for a few years has given him time to grasp the intricacies of Redi's WC offense

3) he has a tremendous supporting cast with Jackson, Maclin, and Celek

4) his O-line underperformed last year, but I expect them to shore up the inside and feel they are strong on the edges.

5) I saw him play those two games last year, and despite either team having a strong D, he looked fantastic! I love it when people rip on a player for putting up gaudy numbers against an inferior opponent--it's not as if every QB that faced the Saints and Chiefs went for over 300 TD's and a at least 2 TD's (I don't care what the score was).

He may not be be the next Aaron Rodgers, but I have no problem with him performing like a Matt Schaub, minus the plethora of injuries.

 

[renesauz]

I keep hearing how badly Kolb "struggled" before last year, but this makes no sense. His only significant action came against a Ravens squad that had dominated the Eagles all day. ON Kolb's first drive, he led them down the field in a very impressive, clockwork fashion. He threw a boneheaded int. to end it, but it was his first real action. "Struggled" is perhaps a very poor term to use to describe that day.

He's for real.

 

[CaptainHook]

didnt we see a pass run ratio close to 50/50 when garcia was at qb.

 

[Chase Stuart]

didnt we see a pass run ratio close to 50/50 when garcia was at qb.

year	week  opp	QB			 W/L  PF	PA	att   rsh   sk   ratio2002	12	sfo	Koy Detmer	 W	38	17	29	31	1	48.3%2002	13	ram	A.J. Feeley	W	10	 3	30	31	3	49.2%2002	14	sea	A.J. Feeley	W	27	20	36	31	0	53.7%2002	15	was	A.J. Feeley	W	34	21	28	30	2	48.3%2002	16	dal	A.J. Feeley	W	27	 3	33	32	1	50.8%2002	17	nyg	A.J. Feeley	L	 7	10	25	23	1	52.1%2004	17	cin	Koy Detmer	 L	10	38	54	16	3	77.1%2005	11	nyg	Mike McMahon   L	17	27	39	30	0	56.5%2005	12	gnb	Mike McMahon   W	19	14	28	35	1	44.4%2005	13	sea	Mike McMahon   L	 0	42	39	25	4	60.9%2005	14	nyg	Mike McMahon   L	23	26	32	25	6	56.1%2005	15	ram	Mike McMahon   W	17	16	28	28	4	50.0%2005	16	crd	Mike McMahon   L	21	27	36	17	4	67.9%2005	17	was	Mike McMahon   L	20	31	42	25	4	62.7%2006	18	nyg	Jeff Garcia	W	23	20	31	31	2	50.0%2006	19	nor	Jeff Garcia	L	24	27	30	20	1	60.0%2006	12	clt	Jeff Garcia	L	21	45	29	25	2	53.7%2006	13	car	Jeff Garcia	W	27	24	39	27	1	59.1%2006	14	was	Jeff Garcia	W	21	19	23	22	0	51.1%2006	15	nyg	Jeff Garcia	W	36	22	28	30	2	48.3%2006	16	dal	Jeff Garcia	W	23	 7	23	42	2	35.4%2006	17	atl	Jeff Garcia	W	24	17	36	17	0	67.9%2007	12	nwe	A.J. Feeley	L	28	31	42	19	2	68.9%2007	13	sea	A.J. Feeley	L	24	28	42	29	1	59.2%2009	 2	nor	Kevin Kolb	 L	22	48	52	22	1	70.3%2009	 3	kan	Kevin Kolb	 W	34	14	36	27	0	57.1%													 Average:		 56.1%

Eagles' season-by-season average was 57.6%:

year            	           2009	59.0%2008	58.7%2007	57.8%2006	56.7%2005	62.9%2004	59.3%2003	53.7%2002	52.8%2001	55.9%2000	59.2%

You would expect any team with a star QB to pass less frequently when the starter isn't playing, but that doesn't represent much of a drop-off.

 

[G-King]

To add to your statement on Kolb to be fair the 1st few games that you mention was when kolb came of the bench . yes he did struggle .

However looking at the 2 games last year he came in and looked very well why? well lets not forget he had time to practice with the 1st team the prior week up to that game knowing he was starting. There is a HUGE diffrence in being able to be game ready knowing your under center and had 1st team reps all week. Kolb has the weapons in philly he will put up very nice fantasy #s those who pass on him will regret it.

Also For years I watched Kolb in eagles camp (yes huge eagles fan) I would stand there while dmac ran 10 plays then in comes kolb for 5-6 let me tell you all now Kolb ALWAYS put Mcnabb to shame .Way more acurate on both the slants and outs even hit the deep ball on stride. This is what nobody sees unless your there I will go out on a limb and say Kolb will be a top 5 QB .

I have him in two my dynasty leagues and will be keeping him.So when they have him at #9 its a steal grab him in redrafts in the 7th you wont go wrong.He is the real deal ..Hes no David Klinger thank god.

This guy gets it.

 

[baconisgood]

QBs are putting up ridiculous numbers nowadays. Drafting a guy like Palmer at QB10 or QB12 gets you nowhere, because you still have the worst starting QB in the league and a 3000/21 guy isn't even worth starting anymore in modern FF. By the time you get down that low you may as well just swing for the fences and Kolb is a better bet than anyone in that regard.

If you are drafting Palmer this year you are hoping/expecting more for a 05-07 bounce back when he averaged 3,900/29

 

[KellysHeroes]

I like Kolb but I want to point out that the 2 games he started was against 2 terrible Defenses.

KK put up about 400 yards against the Saints in week 2 and that was before NO's Defense started to grove... they did pick him off 3 and 1 was for a TD and the other game was a Home game against KC.

 

[The Ref]

If I wanted to play a positive KK story, I'll Draft D-Jax and Maclin and not have to worry about vick stealing red zone snaps.

 

[Iwannabeacowboybaby!]

overrated IMO #9 ranking? FFL suicide. could he go aaron rodgers his first full season? sure but Im not rolling the dice unless he's part of a QBBC and I dont subscribe to that theory

I think the Eagles made the right decision. McNabb was not Farve in terms of how their respected fans treated them over the course of their careers. The Eagles drafted Kolb to one day start this guy and that time is now. He looked just as good as McNabb did when he had the chances he did last season, not like a guy who was a project.They have some talented young WR's, I think right around QB 10 is a good call for Kolb. There's potential for him to be as high as QB 5 and of course he could bust so there's defiantely a little gamble in this selection.

 

[dotman]

I put faith in Andy Reid, would he really trade his pro-bowl QB to a division rival if he thought there was any chance Kolb would come in and stink up the joint? We are trying to figure out Kolb from a handful of games and Reid probably watches Kolb plays 180 days a year. He might make some mistakes early but this guy can sling it, he seem to have a good mentality and has a quick release that is more suited to their offense than McNabb's, who was inconsistent on short throws. The one thing to keep on eye on is the Eagles o-line. When the Cowboys got jailbreaks over and over last year it didn't matter who was playing QB but if they protect Kolb this could be an exciting offense.

 

[Matt Waldman]

I put faith in Andy Reid, would he really trade his pro-bowl QB to a division rival if he thought there was any chance Kolb would come in and stink up the joint? We are trying to figure out Kolb from a handful of games and Reid probably watches Kolb plays 180 days a year. He might make some mistakes early but this guy can sling it, he seem to have a good mentality and has a quick release that is more suited to their offense than McNabb's, who was inconsistent on short throws. The one thing to keep on eye on is the Eagles o-line. When the Cowboys got jailbreaks over and over last year it didn't matter who was playing QB but if they protect Kolb this could be an exciting offense.

The question is whether Andy Reid had that much of a choice and if the Eagles have more faith in Reid making it work with a replacement for Mcnabb rather than Kolb being unbelievably good ala Aaron Rodgers. I like Kolb as a dynasty prospect. I'm just not convinced the Eagles are ready for prime time this year. I think Jackson will need to step up his game as an intermediate route runner and Jeremy Maclin is promising, but not ready to be a steady WR2 with a young QB. Celek is a nice option, but where is the veteran presence at the skill positions? No one at QB, RB, WR, or TE is a stud and a long-time veteran leader and I think this will keep the offense from becoming a strong unit this year. Flashes of good play, but I think they struggle against better teams. The mention of Kolb's practice performance is a nice insight, but there are instances every year of players looking great in practice that can't do it under the lights. I think Kolb can do both, but expecting him to be a top-five or even top-12 QB this year is too optimistic, IMO. I'd much rather have him in dynasty leagues than redraft this year.

 

[dhockster]

I think if you are a QBBC guy and are looking to pick up 2 QB's in the QB9 to QB14 range, then Kolb really needs to be one of them. I think with the offensive talent around him, and an offensive line that should be better than less year because they should not have as many injuries, Kolb has such tremendous upside, that you would be silly not to take a chance on him.

Keep in mind that while I think the Eagles defense will be better than last year, this is a defense that can give up a lot of points. That in itself should keep Kolb out there throwing most of the game. While Vick may take a few red zone opportunities away from Kolb, The Eagles may be more successful in the red zone with Kolb than they were with McNabb because Kolb is supposedly a more accurate passer. So Vicks opportunities may be somewhat minimized.

I am very excited to see what Kolb can do this year, even with the inevitable first year starter mistakes.

 

[5-ish Finkle]

I think if you are a QBBC guy and are looking to pick up 2 QB's in the QB9 to QB14 range, then Kolb really needs to be one of them. I think with the offensive talent around him, and an offensive line that should be better than less year because they should not have as many injuries, Kolb has such tremendous upside, that you would be silly not to take a chance on him.

This is almost precisely where I'm sitting in regard to Kolb. If I miss out on a top 5-6 type and decided that I'm going QBBC for the year, Kolb is probably going to be one of the first few I'm targeting along with the usual suspects for that method at QB10-ish and beyond(Eli and his contemporaries). The Eagles pass, and pass often, and he has good, young targets. I don't expect him to absolutely blow up a la Rodgers, though I suppose it's possible given their O, but I don't think he'll remotely be a bust either barring injury.

 

[Sabertooth]

overrated IMO #9 ranking? FFL suicide. could he go aaron rodgers his first full season? sure but Im not rolling the dice unless he's part of a QBBC and I dont subscribe to that theory

I agree. Not every backup goes on to become Aaron Rodgers or Steve Young. He might very well be Jon Kitna or Jay Fiedler.

 

[Lake Titicaca]

To add to your statement on Kolb to be fair the 1st few games that you mention was when kolb came of the bench . yes he did struggle .However looking at the 2 games last year he came in and looked very well why? well lets not forget he had time to practice with the 1st team the prior week up to that game knowing he was starting. There is a HUGE diffrence in being able to be game ready knowing your under center and had 1st team reps all week. Kolb has the weapons in philly he will put up very nice fantasy #s those who pass on him will regret it.

This is the key, and it's why I thought the overreaction to the 2008 Ravens game (on the road, against an outstanding defense, with no practice reps, and with a huge second half deficit) was absurd. Like pinch-hitting in baseball, coming off the bench as a QB is its own skill. I think it happens to favor mediocre QB's with talents different from the starter more than it favors the good QB's. Kolb looks to me like a guy who knows best how to prepare himself as the starter and work that way. Moreover, it should not be forgotten that Reid has enough confidence in Kolb to have traded McNabb - the face of that franchise who couldn't be more closely associated with Reid - to a division rival, all while the team seems otherwise poised overall to make multiple playoff runs in the near future, i.e. "win now". I think that counts for something too. I think Kolb has the best opportunity in the NFL to dramatically outperform his ADP, and I happen to loosely agree with the Aaron Rodgers (fantasy) comparisons. IMHO Kolb is a "buy low".

 

[The Real Hipster Doofus]

I agree with the thoughts that you would be best served with passing on QB early and hopefully plucking Kolb and an Eli/Cutler/Flacco type. I could easily see Kolb ending the year as a top 5 fantasy passer, but I could also see him imploding and not even making it through the year. I would not feel comfortable with him as my only QB this year.

On a side note, his dynasty value is already way overinflated. I dealt him this offseason for a teams 2011 1st and 2nd round picks. That was from a team that has picked somewhere between the 1.02 and 1.06 every year. Maybe that seems a fair price to some but for me that was well more than I valued him at.