I thought not issuing the stay was weird on nelsons part.
I've read opposing opinions on that, but I've never seen anyone provide a real reason either way. Just "stays pending appeal are usually granted" or "stays pending appeal are rarely granted." I don't know which is correct.
I've found a source that I'd consider to be trustworthy. Charles Alan Wright, in
Federal Practice and Procedure, says that stay requests are more commonly denied than granted.Of course, what's more common in general tells us little about what's appropriate in this case. Here are the factors the judge is supposed to consider:
1. Whether the owners have made a strong showing that they are likely to succeed on the merits.
2. Whether the owners will be irreparably injured absent a stay.
3. Whether issuance of the stay will substantially injure the players.
4. Where the public interest lies.
(The owners do not accept those criteria; on factor #1, they argue that they need only a decent chance to succeed, not a "strong showing" that they will. The Supreme Court seems to have rejected that standard, though.)
In this case, I don't think the owners have the best of it on factor #1, although that's debatable. (For the owners to succeed on the merits, they don't have to show that the lockout is legal; they just have to show that prohibiting the lockout before it's determined to be illegal is inappropriate.)
On factor #2, I'm always sympathetic to the claim that being forced to remain in business against one's will constitutes harm. If the owners would prefer not to not to start the league year for a few months (until the appeal is resolved), they are harmed by being forced to. On the other hand, when we try to actually measure the proposed harm, I think it may be negative. That is to say, I think the owners would lose more money by staying closed for business until after the appeal is heard than they would by remaining open for business. A lockout even until mid-June will likely negatively affect 2011 revenues, I would think. So I don't know how to treat this one. (On the other hand, if the owners want to remain closed throughout the 2011 season, it is silly for them to have to give out roster bonuses now. Can those be recovered if the lockout is ultimately determined to be legal? I don't know.)
On factor #3, I don't think the players would be all that harmed by having to wait until mid-June (after the appeal is resolved) to begin the league year. From the players' standpoint, it'd be nice for the players to get their roster bonuses, workout bonuses, etc., now rather than later; and it'd be nice for free agents to get signing bonuses now rather than later; but on the whole, I don't think a delay for a month or two is a huge deal.
On factor #4, I think the fans want the league year to start now.
So I'd give #1 and #4 to the players, #3 to the owners, and I'm not sure what to do with #2, but if I had to pick, I'd probably give it to the owners. In short, I don't think it's a slam dunk either way.