What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

Lee Evans (1 Viewer)

SickThing

Footballguy
I bring up this topic because I believe this could be a classic case of people possibly chasing last weeks points. I have Evans in 2 leagues and had terrific results last week starting him in both of those leagues. But I don't want to overreact to his blow up and expect it again this week against a good Jacksonville D. He's always been an up and down guy, so expecting two weeks in a row may be a bit much anyway.

I'm benching him this week in both leagues for Braylon Edwards vs the poor Bengals passing D and other preferred matchups for Mushin (hot with Berrian hurt), and even Chambers on T-day. (Isn't Harrington going to want to throw against his old team? It also seems likely that Ronnie Brown may continue to have less carries with the short week and sore groin.)

 
I tend to agree with you, and will not bench one of my productive starting wrs for the hot Evans this week. But looking at his playoff schedule (@NYJ, MIA, TEN) you have to get a little excited about the potential that exists.

 
benching him for coles, who will go up against the same texans defense that evans lit the eff up.

 
I tend to agree with you, and will not bench one of my productive starting wrs for the hot Evans this week. But looking at his playoff schedule (@NYJ, MIA, TEN) you have to get a little excited about the potential that exists.
Oh yes, he'll probably get a start again for me sometime later. I'm thrilled that I picked the right week last week.
 
The Jags did just lose one of the better safeties in the league...and it's not like they shut down every good WR they face, as A. Johnson, S. Moss have put up #1 WR stats against them...although Losman is always a huge question, and god-forbid, if Dicky J. gets the lead, the passing will come to halt...

 
Last edited by a moderator:
The past 4 weeks...

Losman throws 340 Evans gets 265.

Losman throws 83 Evans gets 70.

Losman throws 102 Evans gets 58.

Bye

3 of Losmans 4 Tds have gone to Evans in that time also.

So since the bye... Evans gets 75% of all yardage Losman throws, and 75% of all TDs.

Now you just need to figure out what you expect Losman to do and plan accordingly.

Doesnt look like you would be chasing his one big week. His other two weeks were 70 yards and 58+TD. Fair enough production, especially considering the chance Losman (or anyone) throws for 180 yards is pretty good.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
I bring up this topic because I believe this could be a classic case of people possibly chasing last weeks points. I have Evans in 2 leagues and had terrific results last week starting him in both of those leagues. But I don't want to overreact to his blow up and expect it again this week against a good Jacksonville D. He's always been an up and down guy, so expecting two weeks in a row may be a bit much anyway.

I'm benching him this week in both leagues for Braylon Edwards vs the poor Bengals passing D and other preferred matchups for Mushin (hot with Berrian hurt), and even Chambers on T-day. (Isn't Harrington going to want to throw against his old team? It also seems likely that Ronnie Brown may continue to have less carries with the short week and sore groin.)
Mushin had 2 catches for 29 yards (I know he did well VS banged up Giants), Berrian is back....Mohamed and Evans to my bench this week for Edwards again, and D Henderson with Colston out.
 
The past 4 weeks...

Losman throws 340 Evans gets 265.

Losman throws 83 Evans gets 70.

Losman throws 102 Evans gets 58.

Bye

3 of Losmans 4 Tds have gone to Evans in that time also.

So since the bye... Evans gets 75% of all yardage Losman throws, and 75% of all TDs.

Now you just need to figure out what you expect Losman to do and plan accordingly.

Doesnt look like you would be chasing his one big week. His other two weeks were 70 yards and 58+TD. Fair enough production, especially considering the chance Losman (or anyone) throws for 180 yards is pretty good.
I think these stats help point out the Bills problem... Losman throws for relatively low yardage and the biggest reason for that is because Evans is his only good target. But if you get the right matchup, that's great for Evans owners.

 
Evans is not a guy you can just play matchups with. Houston was very tough vs WRs over the last 4 weeks prior to Evans dominating them. He's capable of going off versus any defense, and disappearing versus any defense. That is why you have to play him consistently, or decide to not play him at all. I'd suggest playing him consistently unless your other options are GREAT.

 
Jacksonville's defense is actually below-average vs. #1 WRs.

I have Driver/Plaxico/Evans/Galloway, and Evans and Plax will be in there for sure. The last spot is what's troubling me, thanks to the Favre injury.

 
I dont remember Evans having great back to back games. It seems like he blows up like this then will disapear for 3 weeks or so and do it again. Just going off memory here.

 
I bring up this topic because I believe this could be a classic case of people possibly chasing last weeks points. I have Evans in 2 leagues and had terrific results last week starting him in both of those leagues. But I don't want to overreact to his blow up and expect it again this week against a good Jacksonville D. He's always been an up and down guy, so expecting two weeks in a row may be a bit much anyway. I'm benching him this week in both leagues for Braylon Edwards vs the poor Bengals passing D and other preferred matchups for Mushin (hot with Berrian hurt), and even Chambers on T-day. (Isn't Harrington going to want to throw against his old team? It also seems likely that Ronnie Brown may continue to have less carries with the short week and sore groin.)
I'm doing the same, although it could have burnt me last week. Edwards has a nice matchup. It's been tough getting the "right" start with Roy, Walker, Ward, Evans and Edwards.
 
The Jaguars are ranked 5th vs. the pass and 6th vs. the run. They are 3rd overall just behind the Bears and Ravens.

I wouldn't take this Jax defense lightly they are very capable of shutting down a Bills offense that is so one dimensional.

The Bills may have some succes with the matchup of Lee Evans vs. Brian Williams. Williams is not fast enough to keep up with Evans but he most certainly will have help and there is a possibility that the Jaguars will use Rashean Mathis to cover Evans as Mathis has been one of the best corner backs period this season. That is just dependent on if Jax wants to play man coverage and let the Bills know it. If they play zone then Evans lines up on Williams side.

It really depends on what your other options are but I do think Jax is going to shut Evans down as well as everything else the Bills try to do this week.

 
Evans seems to turn it on in the latter part of the season. If you can plug him in a flex or something, I don't think you ever bench him because of how productive his big games are. They also talked of how they decided that Losman was told to take more 3 step drops and get rid of the ball quicker, letting Evans "do his thing."

 
Two quick notes to add to this conversation:

1) I know I read SOMEWHERE (no link, sorry :( ) that **** Jauron told Losman to get ready for last weekend because they would be opening up the offense. They did this to a degree because Losman was throwing from the endzone and in situations where they normally wouldn't. This is still **** Jauron, though, and he still swears that passing spreads the plague. I'm not sure what to expect going forward, but it's something to keep an eye on.

2) I'd appreciate it if homers could confirm this, but I don't believe that either TD pass to Evans was against Dunta Robinson. I can't find a decent highlight clip to confirm it either. Just something to keep in the back of your mind.

 
Two quick notes to add to this conversation:1) I know I read SOMEWHERE (no link, sorry :( ) that **** Jauron told Losman to get ready for last weekend because they would be opening up the offense. They did this to a degree because Losman was throwing from the endzone and in situations where they normally wouldn't. This is still **** Jauron, though, and he still swears that passing spreads the plague. I'm not sure what to expect going forward, but it's something to keep an eye on.2) I'd appreciate it if homers could confirm this, but I don't believe that either TD pass to Evans was against Dunta Robinson. I can't find a decent highlight clip to confirm it either. Just something to keep in the back of your mind.
Both TD passes were against Demarcus Faggins with the safety out of position to give support. Evans seldom, if at all, went up against Dunta as Dunta played the other side the entire day.I'm not someone who goes around advocating ignoring a player's big plays. But those 2 catches for 166 yards and 2 TDs were more crappy coverage by Faggins than they were Evans ability. Faggins should not be a starting corner back in the NFL, he should be a nickel or preferably dime CB.If I owned Evans, for purposes of going forward I would treat his day as a 9 catch, 100 yard performance. The Texans did a lot of zone after those first two TDs. Evans did do a very good job of finding seams in the zone, but he was still up against Faggins most of the day.
 
Two quick notes to add to this conversation:1) I know I read SOMEWHERE (no link, sorry :( ) that **** Jauron told Losman to get ready for last weekend because they would be opening up the offense. They did this to a degree because Losman was throwing from the endzone and in situations where they normally wouldn't. This is still **** Jauron, though, and he still swears that passing spreads the plague. I'm not sure what to expect going forward, but it's something to keep an eye on.2) I'd appreciate it if homers could confirm this, but I don't believe that either TD pass to Evans was against Dunta Robinson. I can't find a decent highlight clip to confirm it either. Just something to keep in the back of your mind.
Both TD passes were against Demarcus Faggins with the safety out of position to give support. Evans seldom, if at all, went up against Dunta as Dunta played the other side the entire day.I'm not someone who goes around advocating ignoring a player's big plays. But those 2 catches for 166 yards and 2 TDs were more crappy coverage by Faggins than they were Evans ability. Faggins should not be a starting corner back in the NFL, he should be a nickel or preferably dime CB.If I owned Evans, for purposes of going forward I would treat his day as a 9 catch, 100 yard performance. The Texans did a lot of zone after those first two TDs. Evans did do a very good job of finding seams in the zone, but he was still up against Faggins most of the day.
Thanks for the quality input. :thumbup:
 
Two quick notes to add to this conversation:1) I know I read SOMEWHERE (no link, sorry :( ) that **** Jauron told Losman to get ready for last weekend because they would be opening up the offense. They did this to a degree because Losman was throwing from the endzone and in situations where they normally wouldn't. This is still **** Jauron, though, and he still swears that passing spreads the plague. I'm not sure what to expect going forward, but it's something to keep an eye on.2) I'd appreciate it if homers could confirm this, but I don't believe that either TD pass to Evans was against Dunta Robinson. I can't find a decent highlight clip to confirm it either. Just something to keep in the back of your mind.
Both TD passes were against Demarcus Faggins with the safety out of position to give support. Evans seldom, if at all, went up against Dunta as Dunta played the other side the entire day.I'm not someone who goes around advocating ignoring a player's big plays. But those 2 catches for 166 yards and 2 TDs were more crappy coverage by Faggins than they were Evans ability. Faggins should not be a starting corner back in the NFL, he should be a nickel or preferably dime CB.If I owned Evans, for purposes of going forward I would treat his day as a 9 catch, 100 yard performance. The Texans did a lot of zone after those first two TDs. Evans did do a very good job of finding seams in the zone, but he was still up against Faggins most of the day.
I dunno. Blazing breakaway speed is ability to me.
 
i doubt he'll be in my lineup this week. He could have a good day, but if i had to guess, id say a 3 catch 32 yard clunker is coming our way. Ill be sitting him in favor of someone like cotchery, edwards, Fargas or Arlen Harris

 
-jb- said:
benching him for coles, who will go up against the same texans defense that evans lit the eff up.
I thought about benching him for Coles too but I looked at his history and his chances of a big game are slim.. I am probably going to start Branch over Evens this week..
 
Well my options are either Evans, Berrian (at New England, returning from injury, Bradley in the mix), or Greg Jennings (at Seattle with injured Favre). Evans gets the start, but I am not expecting another miracle game. I would be happy with 50yds and a TD against the Jags.

 
As much as I hate to...........I'm probably starting Evans over Thomas Jones (vs NE PATS) in my flex slot. I'm not expecting a miracle game or anything vs the JAGS, but I can see him easily outscoring TJ this week.

 
Here's his game log...I'm actually surprised. He's had one "clunker" in the last 2 months. I think I've changed my mind, and will start him over Coles.

Code:
+----------+--------+-------------+----+| WK  OPP  |  RSHYD |  REC   YD   | TD |+----------+--------+-------------+----+|  1  nwe  |	 0  |	2	25  |  0 ||  2  mia  |	 0  |	2	19  |  0 ||  3  nyj  |	 0  |	8   107  |  0 ||  4  min  |	 0  |	7	90  |  0 ||  5  chi  |	 0  |	9	94  |  1 ||  6  det  |	 0  |	8	82  |  0 ||  7  nwe  |	 0  |	1	11  |  0 ||  9  gnb  |	 0  |	2	58  |  1 || 10  ind  |	 0  |	5	70  |  0 || 11  hou  |	 0  |   11   265  |  2 |+----------+--------+-------------+----+|  TOTAL   |	 0  |   55   821  |  4 |+----------+--------+-------------+----+
 
If I owned Evans, for purposes of going forward I would treat his day as a 9 catch, 100 yard performance. The Texans did a lot of zone after those first two TDs. Evans did do a very good job of finding seams in the zone, but he was still up against Faggins most of the day.

You say that like 9/100 is a bad day. I will take that from any of my wide receivers every day all day and twice on Sunday.

 
If I owned Evans, for purposes of going forward I would treat his day as a 9 catch, 100 yard performance. The Texans did a lot of zone after those first two TDs. Evans did do a very good job of finding seams in the zone, but he was still up against Faggins most of the day.
You say that like 9/100 is a bad day. I will take that from any of my wide receivers every day all day and twice on Sunday.
I don't think I gave any indication whether 9/100 was a good day or a bad day. Just that it was a better number to use for comparing him to other WRs.
 
N.Y. Shreks said:
Nice call
The OP said he was benching Lee Evans for Braylon, Chambers, and Moose. All had worst days than Evans.
I see that. I just meant that it was a good call that he was unlikely to have another good week right after last week because he has demonstrated inconsistency before. I benched him in favor of Laveranues Coles and it worked out very well.
 
He should be good for the rest of the year, unless you play your SB in week 17...

Sun 12/3 San Diego 1:00 pm

Sun 12/10 at NY Jets 1:00 pm

Sun 12/17 Miami 1:00 pm

Sun 12/24 Tennessee 1:00 pm

Sun 12/31 at Baltimore 1:00 pm

 
He should be good for the rest of the year, unless you play your SB in week 17...Sun 12/3 San Diego 1:00 pm Sun 12/10 at NY Jets 1:00 pm Sun 12/17 Miami 1:00 pm Sun 12/24 Tennessee 1:00 pm Sun 12/31 at Baltimore 1:00 pm
SD not a bad D, will pressure Lossman, Miami 7th ranked pass D in NFL, Jets D playing very well of late, especially at home. No GIMME's here except Tenn.
 
Nice call
The OP said he was benching Lee Evans for Braylon, Chambers, and Moose. All had worst days than Evans.
It's true, I had a horrible week for WRs all around (in several leagues) except for T.O. and Roy Williams. But I did change my mind and later put Evans back in in one game over Mushin because Berrian seems to be back to health. Not much difference. Anyway my initial point was to warn people that Evans huge day shouldn't be reason to expect it again the next week. I'm happy with that thinking even if my other choices stunk too.
 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top