Give me your 1.01 pick for PPR redraft, and make your case for that player in 3 bullet points.
I assume the top 5 are (in no order) Gurley, Bell, Zeke, DJ, AB? Which of those 5 has the best chance to deserve the 1.01 pick?
Bonus Q: is there a dark horse player you’d take over those top 5 if you had the 1 pick?
I think if you look at their ceilings, you can make a case for any of those 5 easily. They all have great upside. It's the downside that I have to factor in. I would rank them like this:
1. Gurley - I think his numbers will regress from last season, but he's the centerpiece of a great offense and doesn't leave the field. Even with a regression, he's a clear RB1 and appears to be the safest.
2. Elliott - The offense may not be great and there are character concerns. He's still the centerpiece of the offense and is a better receiver than given credit for.
3. Bell - Immense upside, but the holdout, injury history, prior suspensions, past workload, and some impact from a Big Ben injury factor combined is a big risk.
4. DJ - I mostly discount the injury history, but the offense really concerns me if Rosen takes over for an often-injured Bradford. The guy is a stud, but another factor is a new coaching staff that may not ride him like in the past. TBD. He certainly looked good on those 2 carries though.
5 Kamara - I don't like RBBC guys, but I think his regression will get offset by more volume (not that his role will change, but his usage was very low in the first quarter of last season).
6. Brown - He's a stud, pure and simple. Aside from some potential risk from a BIg Ben injury (not to mention some of his own this pre-season), I just could not pass up one of the above RBs for a WR because of RB supply and demand.
