LT2 Can't finish RB1 this year. (1 Viewer)

[freshly_shorn]

I was researching for a guest- article submission and came across an interesting tidbit- no RB has finished as RB1 more than twice in the last decade. Not Marshall Faulk, not Priest Holmes, not Shaun Alexander. LT2 has finished #1 in back to back years. So, he can't be RB1 this year.. can he?

 

[Lott's Fingertip]

If you flip a coin 50 times and it comes up heads every time, what are the odds that it will come up heads on flip 51?

ETA: CAN he finish #1? Of course. Anybody voting Nope is silly.

Is it highly likely that he finishes #1? Nope. But it's not highly likely for any particular RB to finish #1...

 

[freshly_shorn]

Anybody voting Nope is silly.

They're not as 'silly' as your post is. It's obviously a subjective question. If we really *knew* things like this, we'd be doing things like winning the lottery and breaking Vegas.

 

[Sweet Love]

So from the title of your post "has not been done in the last decade", if true, leads me to believe it can be done and will be done again in the coming decades. I have not serached, but I assume it was done by Faulk or E. Smith back in the 90s. If they did it, why couldn't LT? Personally, I do not think he will do it, but it certainly can be done and he has as just as good of a chance as ADP, S-Jax, et al.

 

[tomarken]

If you flip a coin 50 times and it comes up heads every time, what are the odds that it will come up heads on flip 51?

ETA: CAN he finish #1? Of course. Anybody voting Nope is silly.

Is it highly likely that he finishes #1? Nope. But it's not highly likely for any particular RB to finish #1...

Somebody has to finish #1, and Tomlinson has as good a chance as anyone to do it.

I also noticed an interesting trend.

In 1995 Emmitt Smith set the single-season TD record.

5 years later, Marshall Faulk broke this record.

3 years later, Priest Holmes broke this record.

2 years later, Shaun Alexander broke this record.

1 year later, LaDainian Tomlinson broke this record.

OMG, it's a backwards Fibonacci sequence!! This must mean something. I predict Adrian Peterson will have 35 TD's this year.

 

[Bri]

If he doesn't finish #1 and doesn't get injured, Rivers has learned to have more confidence in his WRs and they have improved too. I could definitely see that happenning. I like a RB to have alot of catches for FF but there's a point where I think it hinders an Os success in the NFL. Larry Centers catching 100 balls seems to bring that point home best. Yeah it's great they can do it but the D worrying about the WR and the RB is far better than them worrying about just the RB.

 

[tomarken]

Anybody voting Nope is silly.

They're not as 'silly' as your post is. It's obviously a subjective question. If we really *knew* things like this, we'd be doing things like winning the lottery and breaking Vegas.

I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but "Can LT2 break precedent and finish as RB1 for a third year?" is not really a subjective question. Of course he can.

 

[Lott's Fingertip]

Anybody voting Nope is silly.

They're not as 'silly' as your post is. It's obviously a subjective question. If we really *knew* things like this, we'd be doing things like winning the lottery and breaking Vegas.

No offense, but if the poll question was worded differently, as in "WILL LT finish #1...", it would be more subjective.How can somebody honestly say that LT absolutely has no chance whatsoever of finishing #1? That is what a "nope" vote is saying.

 

[Assani Fisher]

If you flip a coin 50 times and it comes up heads every time, what are the odds that it will come up heads on flip 51?ETA: CAN he finish #1? Of course. Anybody voting Nope is silly.Is it highly likely that he finishes #1? Nope. But it's not highly likely for any particular RB to finish #1...

LT may or may not finish as the #1RB, but if he doesn't it will have nothing to do with some silly "No other RB has done it this decade" statistic.

 

[chedha]

If you flip a coin 50 times and it comes up heads every time, what are the odds that it will come up heads on flip 51?ETA: CAN he finish #1? Of course. Anybody voting Nope is silly.Is it highly likely that he finishes #1? Nope. But it's not highly likely for any particular RB to finish #1...

LT may or may not finish as the #1RB, but if he doesn't it will have nothing to do with some silly "No other RB has done it this decade" statistic.

If anyone can get it done he can. However, he does have a TON of miles on him, and he's 29 years old now. So the wheels will start to come off at some point. Who knows when that will happen. I've got the first pick in a draft tommorow night, and i'm 95% sure i'm taking him. The thought of drafting AD did cross my mind though..

 

[The Man with the Plan]

I'll assume that you're talking about non-ppr leagues. Westbrook was #1 last season and Tiki Barber was #1 in 2004.

Adrian Peterson was the #1 back last season until he tore his knee ligament. LT will move aside for him in 2008.

 

[Banger]

Reports out of camp is that he looks tremendous, he's got one of the top supporting casts, no threat to take touches, and one of if not the easiest rushing schedules in the league. Of course he can do it again that's why he's the #1 pick.

LT has done a lot of things no one has done before. Check the record books.

 

[Bri]

I'll assume that you're talking about non-ppr leagues. Westbrook was #1 last season and Tiki Barber was #1 in 2004. Adrian Peterson was the #1 back last season until he tore his knee ligament. LT will move aside for him in 2008.

if it is non ppr, wasn't ronnie brown and fast willie also first when they got hurt too?

 

[Tanner9919]

I'll assume that you're talking about non-ppr leagues. Westbrook was #1 last season and Tiki Barber was #1 in 2004.

Adrian Peterson was the #1 back last season until he tore his knee ligament. LT will move aside for him in 2008.

until.. Peterson averaged 50.8 yards/gm over final 6 weeks of 2007, and 3.8 per carry during that span..there is an outstanding chance he gets hurt at some point this season, if I'm not mistaken this guy has been hurt every single season dating back to his sophomore year in college..unfortunately, that is a trend , not

a coincidence..get used to it.

Lt2 probably has one great year left in the tank, 2008..

he has one of the easier schedules against poor rushing defenses, and I'm sure he has a chip on his shoulder about staying on top of the RB charts..

I like Peterson and I don't mean to bury the guy, but , isn't he just another Robert Smith clone? Shoulders, knees...what next?

 

[Banger]

I'll assume that you're talking about non-ppr leagues. Westbrook was #1 last season and Tiki Barber was #1 in 2004. Adrian Peterson was the #1 back last season until he tore his knee ligament. LT will move aside for him in 2008.

if it is non ppr, wasn't ronnie brown and fast willie also first when they got hurt too?

Henry and L. Jordan were up there in the first few weeks as well. It doesn't matter how you start, it matters how you finish at the end of the year. Many of those fast starts are skewed due to playing soft teams in the early part of the schedule.

 

[Darker Knight]

If you flip a coin 50 times and it comes up heads every time, what are the odds that it will come up heads on flip 51?

ETA: CAN he finish #1? Of course. Anybody voting Nope is silly.

Is it highly likely that he finishes #1? Nope. But it's not highly likely for any particular RB to finish #1...

Agreed

 

[Keys Myaths]

I'll assume that you're talking about non-ppr leagues. Westbrook was #1 last season and Tiki Barber was #1 in 2004.

Adrian Peterson was the #1 back last season until he tore his knee ligament. LT will move aside for him in 2008.

until..

Quit with the superiority complex. You're one of the worst on here.

 

[The Man with the Plan]

I'll assume that you're talking about non-ppr leagues. Westbrook was #1 last season and Tiki Barber was #1 in 2004. Adrian Peterson was the #1 back last season until he tore his knee ligament. LT will move aside for him in 2008.

if it is non ppr, wasn't ronnie brown and fast willie also first when they got hurt too?

Yes to Brown. No to Parker. Both were good but neither were able to rush for over 1000 yards in the first half of the season like Adrian Peterson. But for a major knee injury he would have been the #1 fantasy back last season. Unless (or until for the haters) AD gets hurt again I think that he will be the #1 running back in fantasy leagues.

 

[Doug Drinen]

Since 1970 (the era for which it makes sense to talk about fantasy rankings), 4 out of 11 RBs who have been RB1 twice have been RB1 thrice.

 

[freshly_shorn]

So from the title of your post "has not been done in the last decade", if true, leads me to believe it can be done and will be done again in the coming decades. I have not serached, but I assume it was done by Faulk or E. Smith back in the 90s. If they did it, why couldn't LT? Personally, I do not think he will do it, but it certainly can be done and he has as just as good of a chance as ADP, S-Jax, et al.

I didn't go back further, so I honestly don't know.Obviously, it *can* be done, in terms of probability. I suppose could have worded the question 'Do you think', but I assumed most people responding to a poll understand that 'Do you think' is implied. I'll be sure and spell it out next time.

 

[freshly_shorn]

Since 1970 (the era for which it makes sense to talk about fantasy rankings), 4 out of 11 RBs who have been RB1 twice have been RB1 thrice.

Thanks for that, Doug!

 

[Banger]

At the end of the day does #1 really mean that much? If ADP or SJax score 317 and LT scores 307, does it really matter? If I drafted LT and he came in 2nd, 3rd, a few points behind #1, I could care less and his top pick is fully justified IMO.

Is it better to be 1st and score 309 points or be 2nd and score 345 points?