I posted this the week before Maroney unexpectedly developed his injury. I'm a Patriots fan, and have watched every snap of each game. I own both Morris and Maroney in one league, and don't own either in any other league. In the league where I own him, I start Portis and Adrian Peterson most weeks right now, so I don't have a vested interest in Maroney or Morris. I think people are completely misreading how the carries have broken down.
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Maroney is not LaDainian Tomlinson. He's not going to take over very many games, especially if he keeps dancing behind the line. But he is a very good weapon because he can run with power and he has the speed to take it to the house. Morris doesn't have that kind of speed, but he's a better straightforward runner, and between the Pats offensive line, and the space Moss and Welker open up on defense, he's looking very good so far.
Maroney sat out for the first two preseason games, but in his first preseason game, he was given work early and often, rushing 15 times for 58 yards. After that, here's how his games looked:
Jets week 1: In the season opener against the Jets, the Patriots only had eight offensive drives all game. Maroney got 20 carries for 72 yards. He came out of the gate strong - his first five rushes were for 11, 4, 6, 6, and 1 yards, respectively. Morris came in for a couple plays, then Maroney came back in and got a red zone carry for two yards from the 13. Brady then threw an incomplete pass on second down, and threw for the TD to Welker. On the second drive, Morris came in and ran once for -1 yards. The Patriots went four and out and punted, the only time in the game when that would happen. Thus, Morris came in on the third drive, and ran for 4, 2, 4 and 5 yards, respectively. When the Patriots got to the 25, Maroney came in, ran once for no gain on second and ten, and the Patriots ended up fumbling a snap on a field goal attempt. Their fourth possession came with 4:15 left in the half. Maroney ran for 3 yards and 5 yards, bringing the clock down to three minutes with 65 yards left to go. The Pats quickly got deep on back to back passes of 33 and 22 yards to Moss, then gave Maroney two shots from the 6 yard line. On third and 5, the Pats went to Watson. Their fifth possession was short lived, a 108 yard KO return by Hobbs. Their sixth possession was also short, with Maroney getting two rushes for 2 and 4 yards, respectively, before Brady went deep to Moss for the 51 yard highlight reel TD. Their seventh possession, with the Patriots up by 17 points, started with Sammy Morris, who ran the ball three straight times for 7, 9, and 8 yards, running again later in the drive. Maroney came in and ran for 2 yards on second and two to pick up the first down, then ran for 1 and 9 yards. Faulk and Morris brought them into the 6 yard line, where Morris got one attempt, for one yard. Two passes later, the Pats kicked a field goal. Their eighth and final drive, Maroney ran for 3, 8, 1 and 3 yards, respectively. Moss caught a 13 yard pass to give them first and goal on the 1. With the game effectively over, Heath Evans then got two rushes and got the touchdown.
In other words, the Patriots had eight drives. One was a 108 yard kickoff return for a TD, two ended on long passing TDs, one was a garbage time rush by Evans, and one was a 5 yard passing TD. Another was a hurry up drive at the end of the first half, and another was a clock killing drive in the second half. Another was a four and out for a punt. The last was a field goal attempt. During these drives, the Patriots got into scoring range four times, with about ten total plays. Maroney got four carries, Morris got two, and Evans got two in garbage time. In other words, Maroney got more of these carries than people seem to believe.
San Diego: In week two, the Patriots faced the Chargers, who had questionable corners but had completely shut down the run centric Bears the previous week. The first drive, the Patriots passed seven consecutive times, none to running backs, finishing with a 7 yard pass to Ben Watson. The second drive started with a five yard penalty, putting the Patriots at first and fifteen from the San Diego 29. First down was incomplete to Kevin Faulk. Second and third went to Wes Welker. The Patriots attempted and missed a field goal. The third drive started with Maroney carrying the ball for 7 yards, and then two plays later for 2. The Pats got penalized, and Maroney got another carry on first and fifteen, but was stopped for no gain. The Pats passed it to get inside the 30, and again gave it to Maroney on 2nd and 4. He got 5. On first and ten, he picked up 1. On second and 9, Brady went deep to Moss for the 23 yard touchdown. The fourth drive was Morris' turn. Morris got four carries, rushing for 5 and 2 yards on first and second down, then got two attempts inside the 15, for 2 and -1 yards, respectively. The fifth Patriots drive started with a Tom Brady sack. The Patriots went three and out and punted for the only time in the game. The sixth Patriots "drive" was an interception return for a touchdown by Adalius Thomas. The Patriots didn't get the ball back until 2:41 in the half, at which point Maroney rushed twice for 5 and 11 yards before deferring to Kevin Faulk inside the two minute warning. The drive ended on a Brady interception from the 26 yard line. Their seventh possession started the second half, Sammy Morris got the first drive, rushing for 14, 7, 5 and 4 yards before Brady went deep to Moss for a 24 yard TD pass. The Patriots' eighth possession was over before it began as Hobbs fumbled the kickoff return, then they started their ninth got the ball back on their own 9 yard line. Maroney had a very good drive, rushing for 4, 6, 14, 8, 3, 1, 12, 4, and 2 yards. Those last two rushes were on second and 7 from the 9, and third and 3 from the 5. On 4th and 1, the Patriots replaced Maroney with Morris, who ran the ball into the end zone. The Patriots' tenth and final possession, they ran Evans twice and Morris once for the first down then kneeled down.
In other words, in two of their ten "drives", the Patriots returned an interception for a TD and fumbled a kickoff. Another was a kneel down. That left seven drives. Of those, the first two were 100% passing. That leaves five drives. Of those, Morris had two, and Maroney had three. As has been the norm, Maroney came in at the end of Morris' drives, and Morris came in at the end of Maroney's drives, and Faulk came in for obvious passing downs. Morris had two rushes inside the ten yard line, and got -1 and 3 yards. Maroney had two rushes inside the ten yard line, and got four and two yards. Evans did not get any.
Did Morris come in on the goal line for Maroney? Yes, once, but it was on 4th and 1, and Maroney had just had 9 good runs on a 15 play drive, including two from inside the ten. Morris also had one drive of his own.
Buffalo: Four TD opportunities, 0 TDs. Once was because they were on the three yard line after he picked up seven on first and ten from the goal. He was still in the game when Brady went for the quick snap QB sneak, and fumbled on the 1 yard line. With four minutes left in the half, Maroney had three straight rushes for 31 yards. The Pats then threw a three yard touchdown pass to Randy Moss. In their second to last drive, Maroney took the handoff on the Buffalo 23 and ran for 15 yards, then got another carry from the 8 and ran for 7. On second and one, Brady was sacked for a three yard loss, and on third and goal from the four, he threw it in for a touchdown to Gaffney. And the TD Morris got, could easily have been Maroney - it wasn't that Morris came in as a goal line back, it was that Morris had started the drive at running back and it only took them four plays (including the Welker to Moss lateral) to get them to the four yard line. Morris scored on his first attempt. Maroney had runs of 5, 9, 6, 6, 7, 19, 7, 5, 6, 15, 6, 8, and 9 yesterday. Unfortunately, he also had runs of -1, -2, and -6, as well as the 2, 3 and 4 I mentioned earlier from his final drive. Overall, he looked really good, although it was against a run defense that was on its last legs injury wise.
In other words, instead of a 100 yard game, Maroney was very close to having a 100 yard, 4 TD game. From a fantasy perspective, it wasn't that close, but from an NFL perspective, he could very easily have gotten those numbers. And I don't think anyone would be calling him suspect if he did that.
Maroney's last three rushes were three straight runs for 9 yards, when the Patriots were clearly running out the clock in the fourth quarter. He was stopped.
Maroney only has one target in the passing game this entire season, a screen in the Buffalo game that floated to him and he tripped up going backwards to catch it awkwardly. From the look on Brady's face, and the awkward route he took to the ball, the problem seemed to be Maroney. Don't expect him to pick up his receptions much.
Overall, people seem to have the impression that Maroney is getting pulled at the goal line. That's not true. The real reason his opportunities are low is that the Patriots are scoring too quickly. He's had a couple of opportunities, he's done fairly well with them, but he just hasn't scored. Morris and Evans haven't come in at the goal line, except once at the very end of the Jets game and once at the end of a drive when Maroney had 9 carries out of 15 offensive plays.
Maroney owners right now are justifiably sweating because he has 252 yards, no TDs, and no receptions. But his touchdown potential is still very high. I would consider him a buy low candidate with the ability to put up a Rudi Johnson or Jerome Bettis like season - low to no receptions, but solid yardage and potentially a large number of TDs.