Mason to get 90-100 Receptions (1 Viewer)

[Defending Champs]

Can this really happen? I immediately scoffed at the notion though I suppose it might happen?

http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2011/08/15/rex-ryan-thinks-derrick-mason-will-get-90-100-catches/

Now I do believe this has some coach speak built in, I am thinking more along the lines of 60-70 catches.

If Sanchez nears the 300 reception mark which is well within his grasp this would be the most likely breakdown...

WR's

Holmes - 70

Plaxico - 40

Mason - 60

Other WR's - 10-20?

TE's - 60

RB's - 60

-------------------

Total - 300-320 (320 is probably high too)

I don't see Mason coming near that 100 mark...you?

 

[Sabertooth]

Can this really happen? I immediately scoffed at the notion though I suppose it might happen?http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2011/08/15/rex-ryan-thinks-derrick-mason-will-get-90-100-catches/Now I do believe this has some coach speak built in, I am thinking more along the lines of 60-70 catches.If Sanchez nears the 300 reception mark which is well within his grasp this would be the most likely breakdown...WR'sHolmes - 70Plaxico - 40Mason - 60Other WR's - 10-20?TE's - 60RB's - 60-------------------Total - 300-320 (320 is probably high too)I don't see Mason coming near that 100 mark...you?

No.

 

[LHUCKS]

what are the odds Mason stays healthy at the age of 37 with that kind of workload?

He's been remarkably durable, but he's getting up there in age too.

 

[jon_mx]

Mason's upside is 60/900. Unless you think Mason can outproduce Jerry Rice at 37. I don't. He is good for about 40-50 catches.

 

[Boston]

On the surface it does seems high...yet when you look at the Jets WR/TE situation on paper there isn't a ton of depth...if either Plax/Holmes or Keller went down Mason could really see a lot of targets...I don't see this being as far-fetched it first appears...I also don't think it bodes very well for the Jets if he has that many catches...

 

[eakfootball]

I would be surprised if he topped 60

 

[todisco1]

I'd bet the house he's nowhere near 90.

 

[Late225]

Their QB-WR bread and butter play is the quick slant and they went to that play at least 4 times in the first quarter yesterday. I believe it was 2 to Holmes and 2 to Mason. If Plax was in, that wouldn't be his type of play anyway. Mason had 3 receptions in that first quarter - I know it's obscene to extrapolate meaningful numbers by this data but ((3*4*16)=192 - which is probably not humanly possible) to think there's "no chance" at 90 receptions isn't 100% accurate.

Maybe it's not realistic to think you'll get those receptions in a vertical offense, but when you're asked to run 3 yards and slant in for a reception, I think it becomes much more realistic.

Anyway, because of this offense, run after catch is pretty important in standard (even PPR) scoring leagues. Now if you're in a 20yards/point PPR league, Mason will be a very good value.

 

[Donsmith753]

Rex Ryan also thought the Jets would win the Superbowl.

 

[Late225]

Rex Ryan also thought the Jets would win the Superbowl.

And he was very close, so we should expect an 80 reception season from your logic?

 

[Chase Stuart]

O/U = 50 receptions.

 

[Defending Champs]

O/U = 50 receptions.

This sounds about right.

 

[Donsmith753]

Rex Ryan also thought the Jets would win the Superbowl.

And he was very close, so we should expect an 80 reception season from your logic?

I'd say a ceiling of 70 is possible, highly unlikely though. Ryan just tends to go a bit over the top with his predictions, i'm curious to see what he thinks Holmes could catch? 120? 130?

 

[domvin]

Rex Ryan also thought the Jets would win the Superbowl.

And he was very close, so we should expect an 80 reception season from your logic?

I'd say a ceiling of 70 is possible, highly unlikely though. Ryan just tends to go a bit over the top with his predictions, i'm curious to see what he thinks Holmes could catch? 120? 130?

Exactly When rex speaks, find grain of salt....or a salt shaker for that matter

 

[njherdfan]

O/U = 50 receptions.

 

[baconisgood]

Their QB-WR bread and butter play is the quick slant and they went to that play at least 4 times in the first quarter yesterday. I believe it was 2 to Holmes and 2 to Mason. If Plax was in, that wouldn't be his type of play anyway. Mason had 3 receptions in that first quarter - I know it's obscene to extrapolate meaningful numbers by this data but ((3*4*16)=192 - which is probably not humanly possible) to think there's "no chance" at 90 receptions isn't 100% accurate. Maybe it's not realistic to think you'll get those receptions in a vertical offense, but when you're asked to run 3 yards and slant in for a reception, I think it becomes much more realistic. Anyway, because of this offense, run after catch is pretty important in standard (even PPR) scoring leagues. Now if you're in a 20yards/point PPR league, Mason will be a very good value.

The Quick Slant has a weird risk profile. The more times you run it the riskier it becomes. A jump ball to a receiver like Moss in his prime has a static risk profile. Its based on the height and leaping ability of Moss and that doesn't change based on how many times you run it. The quick slant on the other hand is based on surprise and timing. The more often you run it the more recognizable it is and the more likely a DB can jump the route or a LB or DE can drop back and grab an INT (and potentially return for 6). This is why teams use the slant fairly infrequently compared to how effective it looks.

 

[Defending Champs]

Rex Ryan also thought the Jets would win the Superbowl.

And he was very close, so we should expect an 80 reception season from your logic?

I'd say a ceiling of 70 is possible, highly unlikely though. Ryan just tends to go a bit over the top with his predictions, i'm curious to see what he thinks Holmes could catch? 120? 130?

Exactly When rex speaks, find grain of salt....or a salt shaker for that matter

Not to derail the topic here, but I think you're right and the same could be said for his "bellcow" back Shonn Greene toting the ball as the full time feature back. I have tempered my expectations on all fronts.