Do you people even watch football?
I suppose you think this means Run DMC is a stud and we're overanalyzing things.That might be true, and I know I'll catch hell for this, but:
Att Yd TD Y/A 326 1832 16 5.6 227 1320 10 5.8The first line is McFadden last season; the second line is Cedric Cobbs' senior season at Arkansas in '03. No, the teams aren't the same. Yes, Cobbs had Matt Jones to keep defenses honest. Yes, ADP averaged only 5.4 YPC his last season at OU, and Steven Jackson never had a great YPC average at Oregon and Willie Parker did nothing in college. But McFadden's teammate averaged more yards per carry, and the last big time RB at Arkansas also averaged more. 5.6 ypc is very good, but we've seen people dominate in college and then bust in the pros very often. I don't think he's nearly as risk-free as his supporters claim.

People argue this stuff as if the debate is whether it's 100% assured that a given high draft pick will be successful in the NFL (whatever
that means) or it's 30% or 60%. People too easily forget how much luck is involved even with the best guys. Ki-Jana Carter was I thought a very gifted RB coming out of college and we all know how that turned out.
For perspective, here are the top five RB's drafted going back to 2003:
2007:
Adrian Peterson Vikings Oklahoma
Marshawn Lynch Bills California
Kenny Irons Bengals Auburn
Chris Henry Titans Arizona
Brian Leonard Rams Rutgers
2006:
Reggie Bush Saints USC
Laurence Maroney Patriots Minnesota
DeAngelo Williams Panthers Memphis
Joseph Addai Colts Louisiana State
LenDale White Titans USC
2005:
Ronnie Brown Dolphins Auburn
Cedric Benson Bears Texas
Cadillac Williams Buccaneers Auburn
J.J. Arrington Cardinals California
Eric Shelton Panthers Louisville
2004:
Steven Jackson Rams Oregon State
Chris Perry Bengals Michigan
Kevin Jones Lions Virginia Tech
Tatum Bell Broncos Oklahoma State
Julius Jones Cowboys Notre Dame
2003:
Willis McGahee Bills Miami (FL)
Larry Johnson Chiefs Penn State
Musa Smith Ravens Georgia
B.J. Askew Jets Michigan
Chris Brown Titans Colorado
Granted, the talent in any given draft varies, but the overall hit rate has to have people concerned here, especially when arguably the most talented RB draft of the last five years - 2006 -
still has people hotly debating the ranking of those picks and whether some of them are busts or not.