Chase Stuart said:
The Dolphins story is a great turnaround, but I don't think Miami made the jump from a historically bad team to a very good team. If you look at Pythagorean win percentages, Miami was really a 4-win team last year despite having a hard schedule. If you look at Pythagorean win percentages, Miami is really a 9-win team this year (over 16 games) and has a really easy schedule. Factoring in the schedules, Miami maybe improved by about three games this year.Huge jump? Only to people who pay attention to just wins and losses. Miami lost a bunch of close games last season and won a bunch of close games this season, and faced a significantly easier schedule. It didn't take much to predict them to get to 6 or 7 wins; they've gotten full (and good) seasons out of Ronnie Brown and Chad Pennington, which just about never happens. That explains why they're already at 10 wins this year.
Meh...Last year the Dolphins were 1-6 in close games, and lost 9 times in blowouts.This year the Dolphins were 5-3 in close games, lost 3 times in blowouts, and won 4 times in blowouts.Last year they scored 267 points, and gave up 437. This year they scored 321, and gave up 300.That looks like a pretty dang big turnaround to me.Also, I don't think the SoS is as different as you're leading on.This year they had "easy" games against Seattle, Oakland, St Louis, San Francisco, and KC.Last year they had "easy" games against New York, Oakland, Baltimore, New York (again), CincinnatiThey played against 7 teams with winning records in 2007, and 8 teams with winning records in 2008.*Note: for comparison purposes I'm counting "close" games as any game within 7 points or less.