What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

NFL Draft Top 50 (1 Viewer)

5. Adrian Peterson, running back, Oklahoma – His long-term durability will be the only issue that holds him back from being rated top five on everyone's board. He is a pounding-style rusher that will be expected to carry the ball 300-plus times early in his career. The thought process behind running backs like him who run high and are susceptible to big hits is that they will wear down earlier than others and start to slide in terms of production after just three to four years. However, his upside value for those first few seasons might be too high to pass up for teams needing a star runner.

10. Marshawn Lynch, running back, California – Potentially the most complete running back in the draft, Lynch has both game-breaking speed and terrific hands out of the backfield. A recent off-field issue was avoided, but he will be closely monitored by teams who are likely to do a recheck of his background during the combine. Teams looking for a back that can contribute in a variety of roles will prefer Lynch over Peterson.

note to self: draft AD this year, trade him for Lynch in 2010.

:)

 
8. Gaines Adams, defensive end, Clemson – The best outside pass rusher available in the draft, Adams is able to create havoc as an attacking up-field defender, and at times this season he showed signs of becoming more of an all-around player. His pass-rush skills will be hard to overlook on draft day, especially since there is no depth at the position.
I don't get this. DE is probobly the deepest position on the defensive side of the ball this year with 8 or 9 good prospects.

 
8. Gaines Adams, defensive end, Clemson – The best outside pass rusher available in the draft, Adams is able to create havoc as an attacking up-field defender, and at times this season he showed signs of becoming more of an all-around player. His pass-rush skills will be hard to overlook on draft day, especially since there is no depth at the position.
I don't get this. DE is probobly the deepest position on the defensive side of the ball this year with 8 or 9 good prospects.
Right....he even has another DE ahead of him in the draft, yet is saying that Adams is "the best outside pass rusher available in the draft".
 
These pundits always get a little carried away with every draft crop. Marshawn Lynch is a solid player, but to say that he has "game-breaking speed" seems pretty misleading to me. He has pretty good burst, but he's not really that fast.

And if Dwayne Bowe truly has a "one-of-a-kind size/speed combination" then why isn't he a top 20 pick?

It's not a bad list, but I could do without the hyperbole.

Brian Leonard is an interesting prospect for PPR leagues. He probably won't ever be a full-time guy, but you have to think he's gonna catch a lot of passes.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
47. Brian Leonard, running back/fullback, Rutgers – The question will remain right up to the draft whether he is a running back or fullback in the pros. However, there is no question that he has all the necessary skills to be successful. His intangibles, competitive nature and willingness to go all-out on every down will make him a well-loved teammate, and he can line up in such a wide variety of positions that even Bill Belichick couldn't find enough time to draw up all the ways he could make use of him.
:thumbup: Second round at the latest....

 
These pundits always get a little carried away with every draft crop. It's not a bad list, but I could do without the hyperbole.
Agreed. I do the same thing. The problem comes from comparing these kids in a vacuum of their class alone. I get pretty excited about a few of them when I do that. Then I look at the bigger picture and realize this class just isn't very good.
I don't get this. DE is probobly the deepest position on the defensive side of the ball this year with 8 or 9 good prospects.
He likes Anderson as an all around DE better than Adams who is the better pass rusher. As for calling the class weak at DE, I did the same thing in another conversation recently. It is a great example of how weak this class is. The depth is at DE, but this is a pretty mediocre class of DEs. It's more an indictment of the rest of the class than not knowing the DEs. Murphy knows the DEs fine. I would take last year's crop of DEs over this years by a fairly wide margin.
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Chaos Commish said:
These pundits always get a little carried away with every draft crop. It's not a bad list, but I could do without the hyperbole.
Agreed. I do the same thing. The problem comes from comparing these kids in a vacuum of their class alone. I get pretty excited about a few of them when I do that. Then I look at the bigger picture and realize this class just isn't very good.
I don't get this. DE is probobly the deepest position on the defensive side of the ball this year with 8 or 9 good prospects.
He likes Anderson as an all around DE better than Adams who is the better pass rusher. As for calling the class weak at DE, I did the same thing in another conversation recently. It is a great example of how weak this class is. The depth is at DE, but this is a pretty mediocre class of DEs. It's more an indictment of the rest of the class than not knowing the DEs. Murphy knows the DEs fine. I would take last year's crop of DEs over this years by a fairly wide margin.
I keep hearing you and others call this draft class "weak" compared to other draft classes. But there are many talented players available here. I don't see this draft class as being weak at all. I wonder if you could clairify this position a bit better for me and everyone else?The RBs that came out last year had a lot of success. There is more depth of talent at the position in the NFL than I can ever remember. Yet this draft class offers some RBs that I feel like are being overlooked.The WRs look great.There are 2 very good QB prospects. The QBs after them may or may not be very good but that position seems to have decent quality as well.There are a couple TEs that look decent.Some Oline prospects. This is an area I haven't looked at as much.The DEs and DTs look pretty solid and there is a lot of depth as well as DEs who can play in 3-4 defenses and some tweeners who could play as 3-4 OLBs or speed rushing DEs in a 4-3 or they could be used in hybrid 3-4/4-3 defenses. You say they are not as good as last years group. A lot of last years DEs had instant success. Much like the RBs it was rather unushual. But even if this class is not as strong as last year I would not call it weak. It looks better than an average year to me.There are several LBer prospects so this doesen't seem like a weakness either.Some solid talent at the DB positions as well.So why is this draft class "weak" again?
 
Chaos Commish said:
I don't get this. DE is probobly the deepest position on the defensive side of the ball this year with 8 or 9 good prospects.
He likes Anderson as an all around DE better than Adams who is the better pass rusher. As for calling the class weak at DE, I did the same thing in another conversation recently. It is a great example of how weak this class is. The depth is at DE, but this is a pretty mediocre class of DEs. It's more an indictment of the rest of the class than not knowing the DEs. Murphy knows the DEs fine. I would take last year's crop of DEs over this years by a fairly wide margin.
Surprising, considering how bad last year's class was supposed to be. http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index...=238885&hl=
 
John Murphy is going to be featured on an upcoming episode of The Audible. Great guy, extremely knowledgable.
:shrug: :blackdot:
I can't remember is he one of the guys that helped start the Texas vs The Nation game? Bloom said a couple of names were behind the game and this sounds like one of them.
Yep. He's also on the selection committee of the Shrine Game. Last January he all but compared Marques Colston to TO when we talked at the Shrine Game practices. Seems like his favorite guy from the Shrine Game this year was Michael Coe, DB, Alabama St.
 
Chaos Commish said:
I don't get this. DE is probobly the deepest position on the defensive side of the ball this year with 8 or 9 good prospects.
He likes Anderson as an all around DE better than Adams who is the better pass rusher. As for calling the class weak at DE, I did the same thing in another conversation recently. It is a great example of how weak this class is. The depth is at DE, but this is a pretty mediocre class of DEs. It's more an indictment of the rest of the class than not knowing the DEs. Murphy knows the DEs fine. I would take last year's crop of DEs over this years by a fairly wide margin.
Surprising, considering how bad last year's class was supposed to be. http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index...=238885&hl=
FWIW, that post wasn't knocking the NFL talent in the 2006 class. I was pretty impressed with the NFL prospects of Kiwanuka, Anderson, and Edwards but didn't see much early 2006 boxscore (IDP) value.I'm not ready to comment on this season's crop yet, but last year's class was at least six deep in terms of starting 4-3 pass rushing talent IMO and I liked Eric Henderson's prospects too until he went undrafted.

 
note to self: draft AD this year, trade him for Lynch in 2010.

:shrug:
Note to OZ: By the time 2010 rolls around Lynch will be untouchable and Peterson will be a broken down shell.
Doubtful. The more I evaluate these two, the more I think Peterson is clearly the superior talent.

Situational factors will be important towards determining their ultimate FF value, but Peterson clearly looks like the better prospect. He just has much more of a "wow" factor than Lynch.

I do think Lynch has a better build for longevity purposes, but I don't see him ever becoming "untouchable" unless he lands in a perfect situation.

 
Chaos Commish said:
These pundits always get a little carried away with every draft crop. It's not a bad list, but I could do without the hyperbole.
Agreed. I do the same thing. The problem comes from comparing these kids in a vacuum of their class alone. I get pretty excited about a few of them when I do that. Then I look at the bigger picture and realize this class just isn't very good.
I don't get this. DE is probobly the deepest position on the defensive side of the ball this year with 8 or 9 good prospects.
He likes Anderson as an all around DE better than Adams who is the better pass rusher. As for calling the class weak at DE, I did the same thing in another conversation recently. It is a great example of how weak this class is. The depth is at DE, but this is a pretty mediocre class of DEs. It's more an indictment of the rest of the class than not knowing the DEs. Murphy knows the DEs fine. I would take last year's crop of DEs over this years by a fairly wide margin.
I keep hearing you and others call this draft class "weak" compared to other draft classes. But there are many talented players available here. I don't see this draft class as being weak at all. I wonder if you could clairify this position a bit better for me and everyone else?The RBs that came out last year had a lot of success. There is more depth of talent at the position in the NFL than I can ever remember. Yet this draft class offers some RBs that I feel like are being overlooked.The WRs look great.There are 2 very good QB prospects. The QBs after them may or may not be very good but that position seems to have decent quality as well.There are a couple TEs that look decent.Some Oline prospects. This is an area I haven't looked at as much.The DEs and DTs look pretty solid and there is a lot of depth as well as DEs who can play in 3-4 defenses and some tweeners who could play as 3-4 OLBs or speed rushing DEs in a 4-3 or they could be used in hybrid 3-4/4-3 defenses. You say they are not as good as last years group. A lot of last years DEs had instant success. Much like the RBs it was rather unushual. But even if this class is not as strong as last year I would not call it weak. It looks better than an average year to me.There are several LBer prospects so this doesen't seem like a weakness either.Some solid talent at the DB positions as well.So why is this draft class "weak" again?
WR looks great. The top is this class's salvation. The middle is very interesting. The depth is adequate, similar to last year at the bottom.QB looks good to me. RB looks awful. There's two and junk I keep trying to get excited about, but it's junk.TE is just awful. Maybe Olson and Miller. Maybe Newton and a couple sleepers. I would take last year's 7th or 8th rated TE over this years best. Seriously.OL just stinks. There's one great player and a bunch of projects of which just a few look decent.DTs are an average bunch, but hyped beyond reality. I could pick them apart one at a time, but what's the point.DEs are very hyped I believe because of the general weakness of the class. They are, like the wrs, a bit of a salvation, butI wouldn't caompare them to last year, nor would I have last year regardless of posts elsewhere. Hali would headline this class and I thought six or seven bested him last year. I underestimated him, but 06 rocked. If Jamaal Anderson is what others believe he is, and if Charles Johnson is what I believe he is, then this class of DEs will be solid.OLBs are pretty dismal as a class. There some projects here and there, some interesting DE converts, and a couple great athletes, but pure football players are few and the drop off is deep.ILBs are... well, there is a good one. CBs are... there's a few. But a bunch of these guys have great expectations I doubt they live up to. Hall and McCauley have pretty much been exposed, and that was my biggest gripe. The group has some real players though, so this is hopefully a surprising strength.S - In reality probably a better strength than the hyped DEs. But the dropoff is again fairly drastic.Sure I was spoiled last year, but 05 was pretty weak. This class and 05 are good competitors. I thougth 06 was better than 04 and I still do, but 04 kills 07. It's a weak class. When I agreed with EBF saying the pundits always get carried away, I should have qualified that. They didn't hype last years class enough. It had harsh critics by April. But in general he is correct. Every class gets a good deal of hype, some deserve it, some don't. 05 and 07 don't. 04 and 06 did.
 
Thank you for clairifying Chaos Commish I think I am understanding your statement of this years draft class compared to past draft classes better now.

When I think of the word weak I take it to mean below average. I would not interpet your elabotation on this draft class as it being below average.

How do you think this draft class compares to 2003 for example?

Perhaps I am still not hearing you clearly. However what I hear you saying is that this draft class is not as good as 2004 or 2006. I would call 2004 one of the better draft classes we have seen in some time at least on the offensive side of the ball. 2006 was not as highly regarded as 2004. 2004 had the big names of Eli Manning and Kellen Winslow driving the hype as well as many talented prospects in a variety of positions.

2006 ended up having many rookie RBs see success. Which is even more astounding when one considers how much depth there is at the position in the NFL when they entered it to compete. 2006 like 2004 also had 3 very good QB prospects. 2006 had many decent TEs although not much at WR. 2004 had a ton of great WRs as well led by Fitz and Roy Williams with plenty of other good prospects behind them.

While I can see that this draft class may not be as good as 2004 or 2006. I would call those draft classes as being strong or even very strong. What I am trying to be more clear on is if that makes 2007 weak or does that mean it is merely average? Or perhaps even above average?

2003 top prospects:

Top 3 picks

1 Cincinnati Carson Palmer QB

2 Detroit Charles Rogers WR

3 Houston Andre Johnson WR

Other Qbs

Byron Leftwich

Kyle Boller

Rex Grossman

Chris Simms

RBs

Willis McGahee

Larry Johnson

Musa Smith

Chris Brown

Justin Fargas

Domanick Davis

WRs

Bryant Johnson

Anquan Boldin

Tyrone Calico

Nate Burleson

Kevin Curtis

2002 top prospects:

1 David Carr

2 Julius Peppers

3 Joey Harrington

Other Qbs

Patrick Ramsey

Josh McCown

David Garrard

RBs

William Green

T.J. Duckett

DeShaun Foster

Clinton Portis

Maurice Morris

Ladell Betts

Brian Westbrook

Chester Taylor

WRs

Donte' Stallworth

Ashley Lelie

Javon Walker

Antwaan Randle El

Antonio Bryant

Deion Branch

If this draft class is weak then should we expect less talent that we saw from the 2003 and 2002 classes? Or is it slightly better than those? Or what about compared to 2005?

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Thank you for clairifying Chaos Commish I think I am understanding your statement of this years draft class compared to past draft classes better now.When I think of the word weak I take it to mean below average. I would not interpet your elabotation on this draft class as it being below average.How do you think this draft class compares to 2003 for example?Perhaps I am still not hearing you clearly. However what I hear you saying is that this draft class is not as good as 2004 or 2006. I would call 2004 one of the better draft classes we have seen in some time at least on the offensive side of the ball. 2006 was not as highly regarded as 2004. 2004 had the big names of Eli Manning and Kellen Winslow driving the hype as well as many talented prospects in a variety of positions.2006 ended up having many rookie RBs see success. Which is even more astounding when one considers how much depth there is at the position in the NFL when they entered it to compete. 2006 like 2004 also had 3 very good QB prospects. 2006 had many decent TEs although not much at WR. 2004 had a ton of great WRs as well led by Fitz and Roy Williams with plenty of other good prospects behind them.While I can see that this draft class may not be as good as 2004 or 2006. I would call those draft classes as being strong or even very strong. What I am trying to be more clear on is if that makes 2007 weak or does that mean it is merely average? Or perhaps even above average?2003 top prospects:Top 3 picks1 Cincinnati Carson Palmer QB 2 Detroit Charles Rogers WR 3 Houston Andre Johnson WR Other QbsByron LeftwichKyle BollerRex GrossmanChris SimmsRBsWillis McGaheeLarry JohnsonMusa SmithChris BrownJustin FargasDomanick DavisWRsBryant JohnsonAnquan BoldinTyrone CalicoNate BurlesonKevin Curtis2002 top prospects:1 David Carr2 Julius Peppers3 Joey HarringtonOther QbsPatrick RamseyJosh McCownDavid GarrardRBsWilliam GreenT.J. DuckettDeShaun FosterClinton PortisMaurice MorrisLadell BettsBrian WestbrookChester TaylorWRsDonte' StallworthAshley LelieJavon WalkerAntwaan Randle ElAntonio BryantDeion BranchIf this draft class is weak then should we expect less talent that we saw from the 2003 and 2002 classes? Or is it slightly better than those? Or what about compared to 2005?
I think this post puts into perspective the percentage of top prospects who became worthwhile overtime.BTW, that 2002 QB class is downright scary. The fact that Davis Carr is easily the best QB to emerge places that class into perspective. In general, I believe that there is always talent in every class, but it is not from the obvious places and/or has to be coached up with the proper opportunity. Last year, was consider weak for WRs, but you had one of the best rookie years in recent years Colston with a couple other decent performance for rookies. The Rbs this year a similiar story, there are a couple of guys not named Lynch/Peterson who will have nice careers and matter fantasywise, the challenge is swimming through the muck trying fish out the gold.
 
I think there is gold to find here.

It is disturbing to me to hear people who are much more knowledgable of college players than I am saying that this draft class is weak.

Should I just trade any rookie pick I have that is not top 3 for veteran players? Are these prospects that weak compared to past years?

Are players like MJD Norwood Calhoun Leon Washington and Wali Lundy really that much better prospects than the RBs coming out in 2007?

What makes this draft class so weak?

 
I think there is gold to find here.It is disturbing to me to hear people who are much more knowledgable of college players than I am saying that this draft class is weak.Should I just trade any rookie pick I have that is not top 3 for veteran players? Are these prospects that weak compared to past years?Are players like MJD Norwood Calhoun Leon Washington and Wali Lundy really that much better prospects than the RBs coming out in 2007?What makes this draft class so weak?
The oversimplified answer is that everyone looks for highly productive, superior athletes from big name colleges. The more of these guys who fall into this category the more well regarded a class generally is.Edit: I would argue that MJD, Norwood are better than any of the 2nd level this year. Hunt, Irons, Pittman rank around Calhoun (high 3rd rounder) as productive players with some athletic limitations from good schools.
 
Last edited by a moderator:
This is just an abnormally weak second tier RB crop. Norwood was flawed physically, but he was immensely productive in a major conference and he put on a show at the combine. Although he was undersized, he was heavy enough to potentially be considered a featured back.

The same was pretty much true of Brian Calhoun. He wasn't as impressive at the combine, but he was a beast in college and his game fit the mold of guys like Tiki Barber and Brian Westbrook.

LenDale White might be better than every RB in this class outside of Peterson. I would trade any rookie pick past 1.03 for him without thinking twice (unless I needed a WR).

This year what have we got?

Lorenzo Booker - Undersized. Not tough on the inside. Just doesn't look like he has any chance of being a featured back.

Tony Hunt - Oversized. Sluggish and slow. Runs high. Seems to lack the burst needed to be a starter at the pro level. Very boring.

Michael Bush - Mildly intriguing, but he's huge (that's bad) and he doesn't look especially quick or fluid. Kind of a glorified Eric Shelton. Not all that exciting.

Antonio Pittman - Probably the best of this bunch. Versatile with a good build. Does a lot of things well, but doesn't look like a special talent by any means.

Brandon Jackson - Kind of in the same mold as Pittman. He's okay, but he doesn't really wow you.

Dwayne Wright - The wild card of the bunch. Good size and production. We'll see how he does at the combine. I think he could be a sneaky pick, but it's not like his draft stock is through the roof. He might not even be a day one draft pick.

Darius Walker - Just don't see it.

Kenny Irons - One of the best options out of this bunch. He should perform well at the combine and he was a solid player in a major conference. That doesn't mean he doesn't have warts. He's lighter than ideal and his performance at the Senior Bowl didn't generate much buzz.

My guess is that this group will yield one or two eventual long-term starters. My money is on Pittman, Irons, Jackson, or Wright. They seem to have the best combination of build, playing style, production, and physical skills. That doesn't mean I'm excited about any of these guys. I wouldn't trade even a middling WR prospect like Santonio Holmes or Greg Jennings for any of them in a PPR. Maybe my mind will change, but that's my stance right now.

I don't see a Julius Jones, Maurice Drew, or Ahman Green in this group. Someone will probably surprise me, but no one jumps out right now when you look at highlights, scouting reports, and college production. I think that's the real difference. In previous years it was pretty obvious that guys like Julius Jones and LenDale White had major talent. This year it's clouded. It's quite likely that someone like Irons or Pittman will become a good pro. The problem is that it's not obvious which one will emerge.

Draft day and the combine should help clear up the picture. I'm still not very optimistic about this group.

Then again, I thought Frank Gore was a horrible reach by the 49ers, so maybe I don't know squat.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Should I just trade any rookie pick I have that is not top 3 for veteran players? Are these prospects that weak compared to past years?
The value this year is in the WR ranks. It's the strongest group from 1-5 since the Fitzgerald class. A number of the lesser prospects like Higgins, Myles, Smith, and Hill have realistic chances of eventually becoming meaningful FF players. I also think the QB ranks are decent. However, I agree completely that the TEs are putrid and the RBs are weak after the top two.
 
Should I just trade any rookie pick I have that is not top 3 for veteran players? Are these prospects that weak compared to past years?
The value this year is in the WR ranks. It's the strongest group from 1-5 since the Fitzgerald class. A number of the lesser prospects like Higgins, Myles, Smith, and Hill have realistic chances of eventually becoming meaningful FF players. I also think the QB ranks are decent. However, I agree completely that the TEs are putrid and the RBs are weak after the top two.
It's tough to rank the WR's and RB's after the top 3, but I see 5 potential studs in Ginn, Jarrett, Rice, Bowe, and Meachem (maybe throw Gonzalez into the mix) and 5 RB's who could do well in the right situation (Pittman, Bush, Irons, Hunt, and Jackson). TE's are nothing special IMO and I only like Russell at QB, Brady does little for me as a fantasy QB.
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Should I just trade any rookie pick I have that is not top 3 for veteran players? Are these prospects that weak compared to past years?
The value this year is in the WR ranks. It's the strongest group from 1-5 since the Fitzgerald class. A number of the lesser prospects like Higgins, Myles, Smith, and Hill have realistic chances of eventually becoming meaningful FF players. I also think the QB ranks are decent. However, I agree completely that the TEs are putrid and the RBs are weak after the top two.
It's tough to rank the WR's and RB's after the top 3, but I see 5 potential studs in Ginn, Jarrett, Rice, Bowe, and Meachem (maybe throw Gonzalez into the mix) and 5 RB's who could do well in the right situation (Pittman, Bush, Irons, Hunt, and Jackson). TE's are nothing special IMO and I only like Russell at QB, Brady does little for me as a fantasy QB.
As of now I think most people are placing Ginn and Jarrett ahead of rest, but not by a ton. Looks like you will have about 10-12 drafts spots where team will either take a mediocore RB prospect or a solid WR. currently I think that you are not significantly better of having the 5th overall pick over the 15th overall. Even more than normal you will see pick dependent on owner's needs, player situation and league scoring system. I think there will be great variation in rookie drafts this year with some guys like Irons potentially going as the 5th overall in one league and not in the 1st round in another 12 team league.
 
Last edited by a moderator:

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top