RB Situation:
The Jets now have three capable RBs in Thomas Jones (31), Leon Washington (27), and Shonn Greene (23). With the Jets offensive line young and gelled, we could see a solid running game in both the long and short-term.
Take the strong offensive line and bring in Rex Ryan and a smashmouth mentality to complement a strong defense; I see some nice potential. The drafting of Greene is a perfect fit here and should immediately be a bowling ball through the line. You have to love hearing these comments from Ryan:
-"I love the way guys bounce off of him"
-"He goes rolling in there and guys are going flying. It doesn't matter who it is. An offensive teammate went flying today."
-"He hits that hole, and this is a big man coming through there. He runs low. He's just a big old rascal. But they do, they bounce off him."
The problem with Greene, though, is that he will be limited in the passing game: He was limited in the passing game at Iowa with 11 career receptions. His limitations were also mentioned in the rookie camp where he struggled a bit with passes from Sanchez. Greene himself even said, "I just don't catch very well."
I've always liked Leon Washington as a Westbrook-lite type of guy. Unfortunately, he hasn't followed that path just yet and each year I'm waiting for him to break out. After Washington's rookie year production (151 car. 650 yds; 25 rec. 270 yds) I really thought he'd take off. He's got nice hands, quick feet, and has really impressed with his vision. He even exhibited the ability to carry the load in two games as a starter in 2006, having 20+ carries and 100+ yds and a TD. I'm not sure what happened in 2007 and 2008, but he wasn't used correctly. He needs to be more involved, and Jets Offensive Coordinator Brian Schottenheimer already said that he plans to do so much more this year.
Last year was fantastic for Thomas Jones. Unfortunately for him, the Jets now have a young QB at the helm, a young offensive line, and a young defense. He sticks out like a sore thumb as one of the few guys on the team that doesn't seem to belong at the age of 31.
Ryan has publicly stated that the Jets will be a running team and I'm psyched to see an aggressive smashmouth offense.
Short-term
I think Thomas Jones will be phased out beginning in 2009—the writing is on the wall with the drafting of Greene. I don't, however, think he'll just disappear because the Jets will probably have around 450 carries in 2009. But Greene and Washington will likely cut into his carries. I think we'll see a series rotation with Greene and Jones along with a sprinkle of Washington and Greene at the goal line. My projections for 2009:
T. Jones 190 car. 800 yds, 25 rec. 150 yds
S. Greene 130 car. 600 yds, 5 rec. 30 yds
L. Washington 120 car. 600 yds; 50 rec. 380 yds
I can see Greene and Washington cutting in Jones' carries a bit more in 2009, but I'm not ready to go there just yet. I need to see what happens in training camp / preseason.
Long-term
Greene = Bettis and Washington = Westbrook-lite.
I'm thrilled about the Greene/Washington combo for the next 5-6 years (assuming Washington is extended of course). Once Jones is out of the picture, we should see a 60/40 split of Greene/Washington with Washington dominating the receptions (as expected).
Fantasy Impact
From a dynasty standpoint, I'm pretty much ignoring Jones right now unless I need a RB just for 2008. Currently in PPR startups and from a pure value standpoint Washington is undervalued.
Greene's upside in PPRs is limited, similar to Jerome Bettis, Michael Turner, and Rudi Johnson, but he should be a solid #2 RB from 2010 forward.
Washington has upside in PPR leagues and I can see him outproducing my projections from above and cutting a bit more into Jones' carries/receptions and he should be a low-end #2/solid #3 RB in PPR leagues in 2009 and going forward.
The Jets now have three capable RBs in Thomas Jones (31), Leon Washington (27), and Shonn Greene (23). With the Jets offensive line young and gelled, we could see a solid running game in both the long and short-term.
Take the strong offensive line and bring in Rex Ryan and a smashmouth mentality to complement a strong defense; I see some nice potential. The drafting of Greene is a perfect fit here and should immediately be a bowling ball through the line. You have to love hearing these comments from Ryan:
-"I love the way guys bounce off of him"
-"He goes rolling in there and guys are going flying. It doesn't matter who it is. An offensive teammate went flying today."
-"He hits that hole, and this is a big man coming through there. He runs low. He's just a big old rascal. But they do, they bounce off him."
The problem with Greene, though, is that he will be limited in the passing game: He was limited in the passing game at Iowa with 11 career receptions. His limitations were also mentioned in the rookie camp where he struggled a bit with passes from Sanchez. Greene himself even said, "I just don't catch very well."
I've always liked Leon Washington as a Westbrook-lite type of guy. Unfortunately, he hasn't followed that path just yet and each year I'm waiting for him to break out. After Washington's rookie year production (151 car. 650 yds; 25 rec. 270 yds) I really thought he'd take off. He's got nice hands, quick feet, and has really impressed with his vision. He even exhibited the ability to carry the load in two games as a starter in 2006, having 20+ carries and 100+ yds and a TD. I'm not sure what happened in 2007 and 2008, but he wasn't used correctly. He needs to be more involved, and Jets Offensive Coordinator Brian Schottenheimer already said that he plans to do so much more this year.
Last year was fantastic for Thomas Jones. Unfortunately for him, the Jets now have a young QB at the helm, a young offensive line, and a young defense. He sticks out like a sore thumb as one of the few guys on the team that doesn't seem to belong at the age of 31.
Ryan has publicly stated that the Jets will be a running team and I'm psyched to see an aggressive smashmouth offense.
Short-term
I think Thomas Jones will be phased out beginning in 2009—the writing is on the wall with the drafting of Greene. I don't, however, think he'll just disappear because the Jets will probably have around 450 carries in 2009. But Greene and Washington will likely cut into his carries. I think we'll see a series rotation with Greene and Jones along with a sprinkle of Washington and Greene at the goal line. My projections for 2009:
T. Jones 190 car. 800 yds, 25 rec. 150 yds
S. Greene 130 car. 600 yds, 5 rec. 30 yds
L. Washington 120 car. 600 yds; 50 rec. 380 yds
I can see Greene and Washington cutting in Jones' carries a bit more in 2009, but I'm not ready to go there just yet. I need to see what happens in training camp / preseason.
Long-term
Greene = Bettis and Washington = Westbrook-lite.
I'm thrilled about the Greene/Washington combo for the next 5-6 years (assuming Washington is extended of course). Once Jones is out of the picture, we should see a 60/40 split of Greene/Washington with Washington dominating the receptions (as expected).
Fantasy Impact
From a dynasty standpoint, I'm pretty much ignoring Jones right now unless I need a RB just for 2008. Currently in PPR startups and from a pure value standpoint Washington is undervalued.
Greene's upside in PPRs is limited, similar to Jerome Bettis, Michael Turner, and Rudi Johnson, but he should be a solid #2 RB from 2010 forward.
Washington has upside in PPR leagues and I can see him outproducing my projections from above and cutting a bit more into Jones' carries/receptions and he should be a low-end #2/solid #3 RB in PPR leagues in 2009 and going forward.
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