What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

Oddsmaker Week 4 (1 Viewer)

Week 1: 2-1

Week 2: 1-1-1

Week 3: 2-1

Overall: 5-3-1

Week 4 picks

Cleveland/Oakland over 33.5

San Diego -2.5 over Baltimore

Green Bay +11 over Philadelphia

 
I was 2-0-1 last week - 3-2-1 overall.

This week:

BAL over SD. Why is SD favored on the road against a 3-0 team with a killer D when all they've done is cream two of the 3 worst teams in the NFL?

CIN over NE. I know NE usually circles the wagons, but I think the Bengals are a poor matchup for this year's Pats.

HOU over MIA. Yes, HOU not only covers, but wins outright. MIA as a Super Bowl team? HA, HA, HA, HA. :lmao:

 
2-0-1 last week, 6-2-1 overall

I'm really not liking any of these lines this week, so normally I'd pass. But based on MoP's rules, a 0-0 week doesn't help me, so I'll put in my three cents.

Cleveland -2.5

--> Cleveland's stats aren't so bad considering they've played three teams that are now 3-0

Cincinnati -6

--> This team is firing on all cylinders.

Atlanta-Arizona OVER 40.5

--> I think Atlanta's offense will get rolling again, and Arizona has enough weapons that they won't be shut down.

 
Season: 7-1-1Minnesota (-1) Miami/Houston U40.5JAX (-3)
That's what I have too for you. Good job. Why Jax? Why mess around with Miami/Houston on the under...Houston has given up at least 3 every week and have not scored less than about 15-20 themselves...seems like the over is a better bet.
 
San Diego -2.5

Buffalo +1

New Orleans +7.5

I think I'm 4-2 on the year (missing out on the fun in week 1). I'm sorely tempted to take Arizona +7 since I've taken Atlanta in my survivor pools and in every week so far, my "survivor" (NE, Den, Miami respectively) has barely beaten the team they've faced that week so the other side of that pick looks good to cover. Word to the wise ;)

 
Edited to add- MoP wants us to keep a tally of our picks to date?

3-0 in week 3

5-4 ATS this season

My picks for this week:

Dallas -9.5

Green Bay +11

New Orleans +7.5

 
Last edited by a moderator:
N.Y. Shreks said:
Edited to add- MoP wants us to keep a tally of our picks to date?3-0 in week 35-4 ATS this seasonMy picks for this week:Dallas -9.5Green Bay +11New Orleans +7.5
No, but I am running a week behind almost on the tally sheet. I tried to finish week 3 last night and I fall out about haflway down the 1st page...pushes are a pain in the bleepin ###...I will try and finish up during the college gameday tomorrow.
 
Season: 7-1-1Minnesota (-1) Miami/Houston U40.5JAX (-3)
That's what I have too for you. Good job. Why Jax? Why mess around with Miami/Houston on the under...Houston has given up at least 3 every week and have not scored less than about 15-20 themselves...seems like the over is a better bet.
Why not Jax? I just like them. Jax has a great D, and strong enough of an O to beat up on the Wash corners. I haven't been following, but are their starting CB's still out?The over might be a better bet, but I don't see Miami putting up many points. Week 1 Houston scored 10 on a good Philly D, week 2 against the Indy defense they put up 24, week 3 against a banged up Washington D they scored 15. I see Miami being between Philly and Wash. Figure they will score 13. miami couldn't do anything against the Tennessee D, I don't see Houston being much worse if not better than Tenn. Looking at a 13-10 or 13-16 game IMO. Look at how many yards Houston is getting vs how many yards miami is allowing. I think Miami wins a squeaker low scoring affair. I am sticking with MN because Brad Johnson is 9-2-1 ATS as a starter in MN the last two years (2-0-1 this year).
 
TOTAL YTD: 6-3-0

Week 1: 2-1

Week 2: 1-2

Week 3: 3-0

Week 4

Miami/Houston UNDER 40.5

St. Louis -5.5

Oakland +2.5

 
I am 4-4-1 so far. Looking to go over .500 this week:

Baltimore +2.5

- Let me get this straight: Phillip Rivers is favored in Baltimore by -2.5? No way. Baltimore intercepts one Rivers pass and takes another Rivers fumble to the end zone and wins the game straight up 17-13.

New England at Cincinnati over 45.5

- While I agree that New England should not be this large of a dog, I am loving the over here. Two good offenses and two mediocre defenses = cha ching!

Minnesota -1

- I think Minn is very underrated. I like them to win this one 24-20.

 
Season: 3-0 (missed the first 2 weeks).

Staying with the over/unders until the books beat me (read the theory from last week)....

NO - Carolina over 41.5

Normally I stay away from the Monday night winner the next week, but this sounds too good. Steve Smith is back in Carolina so the offense should get going full speed (and NO D should have a mental letdown). The Carolina defense has not been able to stop Tampa Bay, Minnesota, or Atlanta (if you are giving up 20 points a game to these 3 teams, New Orleans will put up 27+).

Miami - Houston over 40

The Houston D is aweful. They are giving up 33 a game. The Texans offense is not good, but they are averaging 16 a game against similar defenses (Wash, Indy, Philly). This one could go over by halftime.

Cleveland - Oakland over 33.5

I know what you are thinking.... Oakland is averaging 3 points a game, so how could you take the over? The defenses are giving up a combined 50.2 points per game!!!! Something has to give, right? IMO, it is easier to fix the offense over a bye week (Oakland), than it is to fix the defense. Art Shell has probably realized by now that he is going to have to click the scoreboard often to get a win. Look for Randy Moss to throw a long ball on a reverse. Braylon Edwards has finally shown up and Kellen is heating up. If Art Shell is not a complete idiot, this should go over.....

 
Won't be playing much this week with these lines...

NO +7.5

Clev/Oak over 33.5

SF/KC over 40.5

I believe I'm at 6-3 for the year.

 
I am 4-4-1 so far. Looking to go over .500 this week:

Baltimore +2.5

- Let me get this straight: Phillip Rivers is favored in Baltimore by -2.5? No way. Baltimore intercepts one Rivers pass and takes another Rivers fumble to the end zone and wins the game straight up 17-13.

New England at Cincinnati over 45.5

- While I agree that New England should not be this large of a dog, I am loving the over here. Two good offenses and two mediocre defenses = cha ching!

Minnesota -1

- I think Minn is very underrated. I like them to win this one 24-20.
:X on my Minn prediction. But I'll settle for 2-1.
 
1-2 last week2-4 for the seasonNYJets +9Buffalo +1Washington +3Oakland +2.5I'm taking four because they are all home dogs and I think they could/should all win outright.
After removing Oakland yesterday, I'm 3-0.Week 1: 1-2Week 3: 1-2Week 4: 3-0Total: 5-4
 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top