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Odell Thurman & Barrett Ruud (1 Viewer)

Bob Magaw

Footballguy
DJ is consensus best LB in the class of 2005... yet he plays OLB, and worse, may get saddled with SLB role if bell plays WLB & mitchell stays in the middle. there are rare SLB that are productive (marcus washington last season), but WLB would have been the preferred spot.ruud & thurman appear to be the top MLB choices... traditionally the position of choice to maximize scoring (again, there are stud WLBs like brooks, briggs & witherspoon... but the very top tend to come from MLB/ILB)... and since they can be gotten a round or two later than DJ... and there may be a drop-off after these two (crowder could easily be as good or better, but tends to go a little later)... getting the choice right with ruud & thurman could make some drafts & have long term repercussions for your dynasty squad.it may appear ruud has a clearer path to starting. will compete for SLB with neece & gooch, even if he doesn't start in '05, he is expected to step into quarles MLB slot no later than '06. while maybe not the physical specimen of the other DJ & vilma from class of '04 (didn't run a 4.5), he is plenty athletic, has functional playing speed, is smart (30 wonderlic?), and has great bloodlines... his dad was a first rounder with the bills (crowder's father randy was a bronco i think).i was talking to free-lance saints scout mike detwillier the other day, & he talked about how his mentors in the scouting business told him the first thing to look for with LBs was their first step... in the obvious quickness connotation, but also relates to instincts and is the first step in the right direction.imo, both ruud & thurman have great instincts & a great first step.we were faced with this choice tonight... i saw it coming a few times from afar but ended up not having to make it in other ongoing drafts... until tonight.this isn't a who should we pick thread... we decided on thurman, but i will share our thought process & i am interested in the board's thoughts on who they see as the better dynasty choice (if it wasn't obvious, this has more important dynasty than redraft implications).there is some confusion about where & when thurman will play. pollack is being handed the SLB position... lewis has said landon johnson is the MLB... and simmons is stil playing at a high level at WLB.but thurman seems so talented, we gambled on greatness (we have mike peterson, farrior, vilma & witherspoon as starters, tino & daryl smith as depth so can afford to be patient). the bengals were raving about him in the recent mini-camp, & it wouldn't be a surprise if he wins the starting MLB job b4 the season starts. some scouts think he is a more natural WLB... i don't agree... i think he has the athleticism to make the switch, & even do quite well, but he looks like a natural born MLB. he is the same approx. size as vilma (6'0" 230), & he held up fine... DROY.so possibly he emerges at WLB, maybe in '06 (don't have simmons contract staus at hand), which wouldn't be such a bad thing... but i think landon johnson ends up there. when the CIN coach worked him out he was crestfallen as it didn't look like there was any way they would get him. draft slot not conducive to it, as first was too high & second seemed to far away where he would be long gone. but in part due to off field concerns, he in fact dropped to them in second. for a team that still has needs (not 1-2 players from super bowl... probably... i thought same of CAR in '03 :^), a second seems like a high pick for a guy to languish on bench for a few season. there are some compelling reasons to think he will see field early & often. the team was 26th in run defense in '04, and has to face jamal lewis, rudi & the bus/staley six times a season.to my eye, thurman stood out as the more explosive athlete... he seems to play the game faster. not to say ruud is slow (he isn't)... but thurman's speed, power and agility roar off the screen in highlights.

 
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I like Ruud over Thurman, only because I feel he is the safer pick.While Thurman is more athletic, I feel Ruud has better instincts and charactor. I'm concerned with Thurman's charactor and how coachable he will be. With that said, I still feel he will be very productive, but may get in some trouble from time to time. May be one of those players who wants to renegotiate their contracts every other year. :angry: I like to stay away from the charactor issue guys, but get sucked in every now and then and Thurman's potential is very tempting. I think he landed in a great place, with Lewis and all. With your roster situation at LB, I can understand you taking Thurman over Ruud.I think the best LB in the class could be DB Thomas Davis if he eventually plays the will backer. I hear the talk he may be the long term answer to Fields, not buying it.I'm not a big DJ fan, doubting he plays up to all the hype or will be a late bloomer in the NFL, we'll see. The fact he may make his living on the strong side doesn't help, fantasy wise of course. :D

 
I agree. I think Ruud is the "safer" fantasy pick as he appears more assured to be a MLB at the pro level. Ironically, Thurman's versatility and athleticism make him a riskier fantasy pick.

 
I faced this exact decision in my Z league. I went back and forth on the pick and ended up going with Ruud mainly because he seemed to have a clearer path to a starting job and thus represented less risk in my estimation. After reading the stuff coming out of Tampa and Cincy, I felt like I had a pretty good idea for how Ruud would be used, but everything seemed much murkier for Thurman. Reverse their situations and my pick would be reversed.

 
I ranked the rookies this way (probably not the standard rankings):LB1. Ruud2. Crowder3. Thurman4. Tatupu5. Mitchell6. BeckDL1. James2. Tuck3. Cody4. RothI wasn't willing to draft anyone else at either position, some because I knew they'd be gone anyway and others because I don't like their situation.

 
Ruud is a true MLB, Thurman may be a little smallish for an MLB, BUT MLB is not the fantasy gold position in the tampa D, WLB is. Also, Pollack seems to be the SLB of the long term future for cincy, so thurman's future is at MLB, even if he's not the best suited for it, or at WLB if simmons leaves eventually. both are very solid fantasy prospects...in the end, i would go with ruud for the reason ivan said - clearer situation (ruud is a lock to start at MLB in 06, they will play him at SLB this year to ease him in), and ruud also doesnt have any character issues - making him the safer pick - as ivan said.

 
Awesome thread! :goodposting: 's! Tick, I see where you don't include Davis... from what I recall, he was getting all his work at LB in mini camp. I don't know if he has a shot a Fields' job, but I can't imagine him not getting some playing time at LB this year. I've seen some very negative comments on him biting on pass action, and Minter isn't about to lose his job, is he? I think the Panthers want to stay kind of quiet on the whole who replaces Fields thing. Thomas Davis is the Panthers' Pick Brad Thomas - Scout.comApril 23, 2005 at 3:12pm ETThe Panthers selected S/LB Thomas Davis out of Georgia with the 14th pick in the draft, passing over Derrick Johnson in the process.Thomas Davis Profile VIDEO - Select Davis from the list Previous Scouting Report by PantherInsider.com on Thomas Davis - Click Here . Perhaps one of the more intriguing players available for the Panthers to draft is University of Georgia Safety Thomas Davis. A physical specimen who stands 6' 1" and weighs in at 230 lbs, Davis is a hard hitter who excels at stopping the run. Some teams feel he's better suited to play linebacker in the NFL. Davis scored a 19 on the Wonderlic. On paper, Davis would seem to be just what the Panthers need - a solid, hitting safety. However, Sporting News writer Dan Pompei printed something interesting in the March 18th issue of Sporting News magazine. In his NFL Insider Column, Pompei spoke about Thomas Davis' play recognition skills. Pompei stated that Davis was "a sucker for play-action and gets caught peeking into the backfield. He is as lost in a zone as a hillbilly in Manhattan." He went on to quote an unnamed long-time NFL Executive as saying "He's made more mental mistakes and instinctive mistakes than anyone I've ever scouted". Would Davis be a good fit for the Panthers secondary? Probably not. The Panthers have to be projecting Davis as a Linebacker, who has been often compared to Derrick Brooks from Tampa Bay.

 
Awesome thread! :goodposting: 's! Tick, I see where you don't include Davis... from what I recall, he was getting all his work at LB in mini camp. I don't know if he has a shot a Fields' job, but I can't imagine him not getting some playing time at LB this year. I've seen some very negative comments on him biting on pass action, and Minter isn't about to lose his job, is he? I think the Panthers want to stay kind of quiet on the whole who replaces Fields thing.
Panthers | Minter About to Lose Starting Job? - from www.KFFL.com

Thu, 28 Apr 2005 07:33:35 -0700

Steve Reed, of the Gaston Gazette, reports Carolina Panthers SS Mike Minter is expected to split reps with rookie S Thomas Davis at strong safety. Minter is not worried about losing his job and could always move to free safety, although that position may not fit his strengths. Minter is entering the final year of his contract and costs the team $5.9 million for 2005. Thus, having Davis in the same role opens questions about Minter's future with the team. So far, there have not been many conversations about restructuring Minter's deal.

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Panthers | Rookie Davis Begins Career at Strong Safety - from www.KFFL.com

Thu, 28 Apr 2005 07:33:18 -0700

Steve Reed, of the Gaston Gazette, reports Carolina Panthers rookie SS Thomas Davis will start out at strong safety when the team begins their upcoming minicamp. He will work with the second-team defense, but also split reps with starting SS Mike Minter with the first team. Given the contract he will receive, it appears the Panthers will want him in the starting lineup right away.
With Fields out for the season he could very well move into his slot, but for now I think they plan on keeping him a safety.rajn

 
I agree. I think Ruud is the "safer" fantasy pick as he appears more assured to be a MLB at the pro level. Ironically, Thurman's versatility and athleticism make him a riskier fantasy pick.
As an aside (thinking re-draft now), is there any chance of Ruud playing MLB in 2005, or is Quarles a lock to play one more year? And, is it looking pretty solid that Ruud moves ahead of Nece at SLB this year?
 
I agree.  I think Ruud is the "safer" fantasy pick as he appears more assured to be a MLB at the pro level.  Ironically, Thurman's versatility and athleticism make him a riskier fantasy pick.
As an aside (thinking re-draft now), is there any chance of Ruud playing MLB in 2005, or is Quarles a lock to play one more year? And, is it looking pretty solid that Ruud moves ahead of Nece at SLB this year?
i think they want to give ruud a year to learn everything before he becomes the QB of the defense, but if quarles were to go down to injury, i wouldnt be surprised to ruud replace him - for now assume that ruud's PT will come at SLB for this season - gooch is also in the mix at SLB.
 
Marvin Lewis knows Linebackers and he seems to see something very special in Thurman. I think somehow Thurman forces himself some playing time this year. Rudd may seem to be the safer pick, but with Thurman, I see a very high ceiling and potential gold in that pick. My vote goes to Thurman. BTW, good thread :thumbup:

 
I agree.  I think Ruud is the "safer" fantasy pick as he appears more assured to be a MLB at the pro level.  Ironically, Thurman's versatility and athleticism make him a riskier fantasy pick.
As an aside (thinking re-draft now), is there any chance of Ruud playing MLB in 2005, or is Quarles a lock to play one more year? And, is it looking pretty solid that Ruud moves ahead of Nece at SLB this year?
That's one of the most difficult positions to learn on defense given the responsibilities the MLB tends to have to make final adjustments and defensive audibles. I have to think they'll spend at least half a year showing him the ropes. OTOH, Tampa's not a team I'm picking for great things this year, so perhaps Gruden will simply decide to allow Ruud to get a lot of OJT this year.

 
cbs sportsline & NFL.com's pete prisco is one of thurman's most ardent & vocal champions...post-draft... "Second-round pick Odell Thurman is the best linebacker in the draft. If not for off-field issues, he would have been a high first-round pick. Thurman will be a star."post mini-camp..."The early word out of Cincinnati is that second-round pick Odell Thurman is everything the Bengals thought he would be. Thurman, who came to the Bengals with some off-field baggage, was a star last week during the team's minicamp. As one Bengals coach said, "Odell Thurman is a bad ###." Thurman is expected to be the starter at middle linebacker. First-round pick David Pollack will play an outside linebacker spot next to Thurman. Pollack takes over for Kevin Hardy, who was released this week. Pollack will be making the move from college end to linebacker. If Pollack and Thurman are as good as the Bengals hope, their defense might be much improved." i alluded to the fact that we are pretty loaded at LB and could afford the gamble on greatness. i concur that due to several factors, chiefly clearer path to starting for ruud and character concerns wth thurman, for many/most rosters ruud is the safer pick & arguably the smart play.the other factor i touched on and ivan, bloom & others rightly followed up on are off field issues. no consideration of thurman should take place without giving that appropriate weight in your risk aversion screen. i think somebody beat me to it, but i like fact that he is going to disciplinarian marvin lewis, who will hopefully provide guidance & be a powerful mentor & influence on his career. odell isn't a choir boy, but he did have a hard youth in which he lost both his parents, b4 college i think.i give a lot of weight to what i see on film & trust my eyes... though highlights are a limited cross-section of his career :^), ruud was exceptional but thurman left me with an even deeper impression. i see vilma when i watch him attack downhill.

 
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DL

3. Cody
Which Cody? DT Shaun or DE Dan? Also, what's your opinion as to my rookie DT ranking question?
Dan. I'll check the other thread, but I pretty much disregard DTs.
Why do you disregard DT's? That seems like a great position to pick up 1-2 "free" fantasy points per game for your team if you grab a good guy.
Zealots are my only IDP leagues, and we start DLs... and it's rare to see a DT who's worth starting against DEs in their scoring system.
 
I know Ruud's time will come but it's hard to watch Thurman eat up the stat sheet while Ruud rides the pine. :(

 

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