Of the "Big 3" RBs, which is least likely to get injured? (1 Viewer)

[KCC]

There have been dozens of threads discussing which of the three to draft first and you could reasonably make a case for any of them. but which of the three (LT, LJ, SA) do you think is the safest purely from an injury standpoint?

LT was banged up for the last five games of 2005 and rushed for only 376 yrds. and one TD during that stretch. Fewer years and carries than SA, more than LJ.

LJ is the youngest of the three with much fewer miles, but he has that upright running style that many equate with an increased injury risk.

SA is the oldest and has the most carries of any of the three. He has been very durable over his career, but missed most of a playoff game last year with a concussion which is something to consider.

Who do you view as the safest from an injury standpoint and why?

 

[LHUCKS]

SA (least risk)

LT

LJ

That's how I rank in terms of risk.

 

[GregR_2]

Is there anything about any of them that makes them seem like a bigger injury risk? I'm not aware that any of them have a degenerative condition. The article on concussions talks about "in the same season", because of players coming back too early from it, so that wouldn't seem to apply with SA.

Perhaps one of the RBs steps out of bounds whenever possible and the others lower their shoulders at the end of every play. I might say LT is more elusive than the others, but not sure I'd say it's enough of a difference to make a big difference in injury difficulty.

Just because a guy missed time in the past doesn't mean he's likely to miss significantly more time in the future than someone who didn't miss time. (See Doug Drinen's study Everybody is An Injury Risk.)

So to me asking this is like asking me which quarter in my pocket is more likely to flip heads.

 

[harryhood]

Didn't know we had so many Doctors on this board...wow!

 

[joffer]

purely in terms of injury risk, LJ has the least. Alexander a close 2nd. LT 3rd.

 

[shamrock84]

Shaun clearly has the highest risk of injury because of the dreaded Madden curse...

 

[Todem]

I am sorry but some of these questions are a joke.

Anyway.

 

[LHUCKS]

Just because a guy missed time in the past doesn't mean he's likely to miss significantly more time in the future than someone who didn't miss time. (See Doug Drinen's study Everybody is An Injury Risk.)

I dont' have the time to rebuttle against that article, but my gut tells me it's wrong.

 

[harryhood]

agree....this thread is pointless and a waste of space. The reason they are in the top 3 is attributed to the fact that they put up numbers for 16 games because THEY STAY HEALTHY

 

[PRS Guy]

These are all great points. It makes me wonder why we haven't seen them mentioned in any other threads lately?

 

[LHUCKS]

agree....this thread is pointless and a waste of space. The reason they are in the top 3 is attributed to the fact that they put up numbers for 16 games because THEY STAY HEALTHY

Link to when LJ started for an entire year?

 

[LHUCKS]

Just because a guy missed time in the past doesn't mean he's likely to miss significantly more time in the future than someone who didn't miss time. (See Doug Drinen's study Everybody is An Injury Risk.)

I dont' have the time to rebuttle against that article, but my gut tells me it's wrong.

To expand on this argument, I'll bet any amount of money that Alexander starts more games than Deshaun Foster.Anybody looking for action?

 

[chihawk]

In the past Tomlinson has been more beat up than the others (specifically last year), and he has not yet played this year in the preseason, so I would say he would be more likely to sustain some sort of injury. There is no realy injury history for SA or LJ, and anyone could blow out a knee of something like that, but pure wear and tear injuries I would think SA would be more likely since his body has been through so much more than LJs.

 

[GregR_2]

Just because a guy missed time in the past doesn't mean he's likely to miss significantly more time in the future than someone who didn't miss time. (See Doug Drinen's study Everybody is An Injury Risk.)

I dont' have the time to rebuttle against that article, but my gut tells me it's wrong.

Mine tells me if anything it is misleading in that it did find a minor difference between previously injured and not injured guys. I say misleading because my gut thinks if Doug could have split out guys who missed time from degenerative or injuries that wouldn't be fully healed in 1 season, vs guys who missed time to things like a concussion or a bruised chest... that the latter guys would have had virtually no difference.I could be sold that running style might play into being injury prone. But look at the responses in this thread. There isn't any kind of consistency to them, and no explanation of why they rated the three players as they did. I imagine if they had we'd see no consistency to what reasons people put as being more important than others.

 

[GregR_2]

Just because a guy missed time in the past doesn't mean he's likely to miss significantly more time in the future than someone who didn't miss time. (See Doug Drinen's study Everybody is An Injury Risk.)

I dont' have the time to rebuttle against that article, but my gut tells me it's wrong.

To expand on this argument, I'll bet any amount of money that Alexander starts more games than Deshaun Foster.Anybody looking for action?

You'll bet any amount of money that SA starts more games than a guy who had surgery for a degenerative knee condition and who is a more competition for his starting job? How exactly does that expand on picking injury risk amongst 3 guys who don't have such a condition?

 

[joffer]

agree....this thread is pointless and a waste of space. The reason they are in the top 3 is attributed to the fact that they put up numbers for 16 games because THEY STAY HEALTHY

Link to when LJ started for an entire year?

link to 336 carries not be considered a full load?LT 2005 - 340LT 2004 - 339LT 2003 - 313

 

[LHUCKS]

Mine tells me if anything it is misleading

Probably a better word.There's no way I'd take Foster over Alexander in a heads up bet for games played.

 

[LHUCKS]

agree....this thread is pointless and a waste of space. The reason they are in the top 3 is attributed to the fact that they put up numbers for 16 games because THEY STAY HEALTHY

Link to when LJ started for an entire year?

link to 336 carries not be considered a full load?LT 2005 - 340LT 2004 - 339LT 2003 - 313

he used the words "16 games."

 

[joffer]

agree....this thread is pointless and a waste of space. The reason they are in the top 3 is attributed to the fact that they put up numbers for 16 games because THEY STAY HEALTHY

Link to when LJ started for an entire year?

link to 336 carries not be considered a full load?LT 2005 - 340LT 2004 - 339LT 2003 - 313

he used the words "16 games."

336 carries with 261 bunched together in a 9 game stretch should be more grueling on the body, not less

 

[ChampBailey24]

Just because a guy missed time in the past doesn't mean he's likely to miss significantly more time in the future than someone who didn't miss time. (See Doug Drinen's study Everybody is An Injury Risk.)

I dont' have the time to rebuttle against that article, but my gut tells me it's wrong.

To expand on this argument, I'll bet any amount of money that Alexander starts more games than Deshaun Foster.Anybody looking for action?

LJ had an amount of carries that a lot of starters didn't get over 16 games in 9 games. People tend to use that as an argument to say that we don't know if he can handle the load a season but if he can handle a season load in 9 games, I believe that he can handle it in 16 games.

 

[DolphinsPhan]

I bet Alexander gets hit a little more this season due to Hutchinson not being on the left side of the line. Defenses will get to SA a little earlier than they used to and he will probably take some more hits. Even still, LJ hasn't played a full season where he is the featured back so he may get tired towards the end, not necessairly injured, but definitely more fatigued. I bet they get LT more involved in the passing game this year which will give him more space than trying to pound it through the line.

All 3 are great picks.

 

[LHUCKS]

Just because a guy missed time in the past doesn't mean he's likely to miss significantly more time in the future than someone who didn't miss time. (See Doug Drinen's study Everybody is An Injury Risk.)

I dont' have the time to rebuttle against that article, but my gut tells me it's wrong.

To expand on this argument, I'll bet any amount of money that Alexander starts more games than Deshaun Foster.Anybody looking for action?

LJ had an amount of carries that a lot of starters didn't get over 16 games in 9 games. People tend to use that as an argument to say that we don't know if he can handle the load a season but if he can handle a season load in 9 games, I believe that he can handle it in 16 games.

well, I have LJ ranked 3rd so I obviously don't think his injury risk is that high. That being said, LJ runs so damn hard...Herm has already stated LJ needs to change his style if he's going to last. We'll see.

 

[LawFitz]

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Marshall Faulk

Michael Vick

Ray Lewis

Donovan McNabb

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Shaun Alexander