Prior to the entry deadline, approximately half of my posts are legit strategy and the other half are shtick. I like discussing the contest but I'm also not going to go out of my way to help people improve their faulty entries. The hawks amongst us know which posts are which. (
Hint for the noobs: the "many kickers" strategy is legit.)
After the deadline it will be all shtick-free strategy for the rest of the season. Then next year, rinse and repeat.
Ok, I decided to test the impact of 2 kickers vs. 3 kickers vs. 4 kickers (with pen and paper). I went to the game logs (2009 was the latest posted) and picked 4 kickers: Longwell (132 points), Feely (122 points), Bironas (122 points), and Gould (105 points). Then I selected 2 of these kickers and did a best-ball for the 1st 16 weeks of the 2009 season. Then I added a 3rd kicker and calculated the number of additional points that the 3rd kicker added. Here's what I got. Note that it's standard FBG scoring in the logs (I made no adjustments for contest scoring).Feely + Gould (as 1st 2 kickers) - Longwell (as 3rd kicker) adds 21 points (to the total produced by the Feely/Gould combo)
Feely + Gould - Bironas (as 3rd kicker) adds 22 points
Bironas + Longwell - Gould (as 3rd kicker) adds 14 points
Bironas + Gould - Feely (as 3rd kicker) adds 12 points
Longwell + Gould - Bironas (as 3rd kicker) adds 23 points
Longwell + Gould - Feely (as 3rd kicker) adds 16 points
Gould + Bironas - Longwell (as 3rd kicker) adds 27 points
Gould + Bironas - Feely (as 3rd kicker) adds 14 points
For the impact of a 4th kicker, here are the results:
Feely + Gould + Longwell - Bironas (as 4th kicker) adds 18 points
Longwell + Gould + Bironas - Feely (as 4th kicker) adds 12 points
Bironas + Longwell + Feely - Gould (as 4th kicker) adds 14 points
Gould + Bironas + Feely - Longwell (as 4th kicker) adds 24 points
To summarize:
For weeks 1-16, adding a 3rd kicker increased the total kicker points (best-ball) by an average of 18.6 points (1.16 points per week), with a range from 12 to 27 -- or from 0.75 to 1.69 points per week. Adding a 4th kicker increased the total kicker points (best-ball) by an average of 17.0 points (1.06 points per week), with a range from 12 to 24 -- or from 0.75 to 1.50 points per week.
So, I doubt that using 3 kickers vs. 2 kickers will add more than 2 points per week, on average -- and it may add less than 1 point per week, depending on selection of kickers. Also, adding a 4th kicker will likely add between 0.75 and 1.50 points per week.
As punishment, I added a 5th kicker, Nate Kaeding, who scored 146 points in 2009. If you add Kaeding to the first 4 kickers (Longwell, Bironas, Feely and Gould), he adds 14 points (0.88 points per week) in a best-ball format for weeks 1-16. Since Kaeding was one of the highest-scoring kickers that year, I doubt if adding a 5th kicker will yield more than 1 additional point per week.
Certainly, adding each additional kicker is expected to increase the total number of points for the kicker position. Compared to a single kicker, a second kicker increases total kicker points by an average of 2.47 points per week (for the 4 kickers above). Going to 3 kickers from 2 kickers will probably add a maximum of 2 points per week (and maybe less than 1 point per week). Compared to 2 kickers, having 4 kickers on your roster will probably add 2-2.5 points per week. Going to 5 kickers will probably add 3-4 points per week (compared to 2 kickers). Are these additional points worth the dollars and roster slots that must be devoted to the additional kickers? I say no, but everyone is certainly entitled to their opinion.
If you have extra dollars and roster slots left over, certainly add a couple kickers -- they're cheap and will no doubt add a few points and maybe save you from elimination in a close week. Although it's a very low-scoring position, you definitely need to cover the kicker position. I think you can do that with 2 strong kickers (like Suisham, etc.) for $6 or $7, and I don't think 3 kickers is unreasonable. I question whether more than 3 kickers is a good strategy. I still think it's a better strategy to take your chances on a couple of longshot WRs. Every year, a couple of these value-priced players with good upside will hit and be great investments.