A while back someone made the point that the Redskins have been scheduled to play a lot of teams after they have long breaks. So I started thinking about it.
1. We played Tampa Bay after their bye.
2. The one team we got to play after our bye was New England, and New England got to play the previous Thursday, so had a long break themselves.
3. We are playing New York Giants after their bye.
4. We are playing the Dallas Cowboys after their long post-Thanskgiving break.
Any others?
Seems like a lot strung fairly closely together. That said, no excuses...you play the schedule in front of you. Just can't catch many breaks is all...
I hear this a lot, but how does it compare to other teams? I wouldn't be surprised if having 4 or 5 games against teams on more rest is common across the league.
Some back-of-the-envelope calculations:
a) 32 teams have byes, after which they each face one opponent.
b) Over the season, there are about 18 Thursday games. (none week 17, three on Thanksgiving, the season opener doesn't apply). Each features two teams who will then play someone after a long rest.
c) Let's lump Monday games in with Sunday games for simplicity, and not sweat the difference between Thurs-Mon vs Thurs-Sun.
That is 68 unique instances of a team playing a game with extra rest. With 32 teams in the league, we would expect this to happen to any random team an average of two times. (2.125 for the math geeks. Science geeks will object to that much precision given the lack of certainty in calculations b and c.)
I can't do the standard deviation in my head, but I'd be willing to get that four instances in a season is high enough to qualify as unusual.
Having four close together would be less usual, although the fact that byes are not spread unifromly across the season makes this slightly more likely than otherwise.