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*** Official 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season Thread *** (1 Viewer)

[icon] said:
Wait.... that is showing 50ft waves with this thing? 

What would that mean once it gets into the gulf..surely it won't be generating 50ft waves into Tampa or Ft Meyers.... 
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No expert here, but spent a lot of years in the upper TB area.  If a major storm pushes a surge up through TB. I fear it will make Houston look like a kiddie pool.

 
Eyewall is getting warmer and dryer.  Could take a run at 200mph.  Really.

The models all had it turning north much further to the east than they do now.  Not sure why, maybe they think the front will show up late.  

 
Seeing all the models and one posted here showed Fri am slight turn to north.  Be surprised if it boomerang to Tampa.  FL east coast should be ready.

Caribbean web cams

 
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greedygoat said:
I'm heading out of dodge and driving North to Jacksonville on Thursday, will re-evaluate next move there.
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Same here.  I haven't decided on exactly when to leave yet but I'll be packing up the dogs, wife, and mom...along with clothes/important stuff. 

Thinking about maybe going to Nashville. 

 
Wife wants to hightail it to Indiana, she has family there. I'm concerned for my parents, but they're only in their 50s, and likely have plans.

 
My daughter is a student at University of Miami.  School has cancelled all classes for the rest of the week and urges all students to leave South Florida.  She is going to head up to Nashville with my sister who lives nearby in South Beach.

 
I have all the water I need and canned goods.I wish I had invested in a generator keep putting it off.No power sucks.I only have one Oak tree left so hopefully it will survive this one without falling on the house.

 
E Street Brat said:
No expert here, but spent a lot of years in the upper TB area.  If a major storm pushes a surge up through TB. I fear it will make Houston look like a kiddie pool.
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The mandatory evacuation zone per a huge storm surge is up to Linebaugh Ave north and just inside of Dale Mabry east.  So it's pretty far into the city.  And would completely cover downtown/south Tampa.

But there is still a huge part of the region's population above and east of that.

ETA: Dellegatto is basically saying don't evacuate from areas outside that zone.

 
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eoMMan said:
Same here.  I haven't decided on exactly when to leave yet but I'll be packing up the dogs, wife, and mom...along with clothes/important stuff. 

Thinking about maybe going to Nashville. 
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I've had this propane in the ground since Wilma just waiting to use it.....but if the track looks like this in 2 days i'll road tripping w/ ya.

 
eoMMan said:
Same here.  I haven't decided on exactly when to leave yet but I'll be packing up the dogs, wife, and mom...along with clothes/important stuff. 

Thinking about maybe going to Nashville. 
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We're in SWFL too. Plan to head out on Friday. Probably going ATL.

Looks like ETA of the storm keeps getting pushed back. Sunday afternoon now

 
gump said:
The mandatory evacuation zone per a huge storm surge is up to Linebaugh Ave north and just inside of Dale Mabry east.  So it's pretty far into the city.  And would completely cover downtown/south Tampa.

But there is still a huge part of the region's population above and east of that.

ETA: Dellegatto is basically saying don't evacuate from areas outside that zone.
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I'm in Dunedin/Clearwater area. Assuming I am ok for now, but could head to North Carolina if needed. 

 
Hope anyone in the path of this isn't shy about getting the hell out of Dodge.  The highways are going to be a mess getting out. Take as much gas as you can.

 
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My company out of Boca already cancelled work Thurs and Friday.  Seems very early to do so but I guess it gives people the chance to get out of dodge.

 
You think you could keep us out of Florida? We're moving in lock, stock and barrel. We're gonna be in the pool. We're gonna be in the clubhouse. We're gonna be all over that shuffleboard court! And I dare you to keep me out!

 
Down to 916 mb one of the lowest barometric pressure ever recorded.Its getting stronger.

 
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Capella said:
gump said:
The mandatory evacuation zone per a huge storm surge is up to Linebaugh Ave north and just inside of Dale Mabry east.  So it's pretty far into the city.  And would completely cover downtown/south Tampa.

But there is still a huge part of the region's population above and east of that.

ETA: Dellegatto is basically saying don't evacuate from areas outside that zone.
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I'm in Dunedin/Clearwater area. Assuming I am ok for now, but could head to North Carolina if needed. 
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Im usually on the receiving end of the "Florida refugees" equation...well, now, not so much.  How long can we wait to see what's going to happen before heading north?  I too will be headed to NC if necessary.  

 
In Virginia (Richmond) - I need some advice here - I leave for Vegas Thursday, return home late Monday night.

Got a dog sitter for the dog.  A dog sitter, who I can't really rely on if we're getting slammed with a hurricane.

Would you cancel the trip to be safe (I'd be out a grand on my flight) just on the idea that by the time I leave I'll have no idea if this ends up turning up the coast into the Carolinas?  Would it be still a strong storm once it gets to inland Virginia?  Seems like we're still in the danger zone here, but not until possibly Tuesday?

A bit torn on what to do, if this turns into the Carolinas instead of underneath Florida, seems like it could be very shaky even for inland Virginia.  The models aren't going to tell the whole story by the time I leave (6 am Thursday morning)

Such a tough call right now.

 
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The Commish said:
Im usually on the receiving end of the "Florida refugees" equation...well, now, not so much.  How long can we wait to see what's going to happen before heading north?  I too will be headed to NC if necessary.  
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I dunno, just playing it by ear. Too early to decide anything now. If we do anything it will be at like 1 am to avoid traffic. 

 
John Bender said:
In Virginia (Richmond) - I need some advice here - I leave for Vegas Thursday, return home late Monday night.

Got a dog sitter for the dog.  A dog sitter, who I can't really rely on if we're getting slammed with a hurricane.

Would you cancel the trip to be safe (I'd be out a grand on my flight) just on the idea that by the time I leave I'll have no idea if this ends up turning up the coast into the Carolinas?  Would it be still a strong storm once it gets to inland Virginia?  Seems like we're still in the danger zone here, but not until possibly Tuesday?

A bit torn on what to do, if this turns into the Carolinas instead of underneath Florida, seems like it could be very shaky even for inland Virginia.  The models aren't going to tell the whole story by the time I leave (6 am Thursday morning)

Such a tough call right now.
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it's being tracked to So Florida on Sunday - even if it turned it would be hard pressed to get to Virginia by Monday

 
ffldrew said:
it's being tracked to So Florida on Sunday - even if it turned it would be hard pressed to get to Virginia by Monday
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Thanks.  Don't want air traffic to get jammed up either and wind up not being able to get back in before it would hit.  But this is helpful.  I've been through 3 hurricanes, you'd think I'd know how to handle it by now.

 
gump said:
The mandatory evacuation zone per a huge storm surge is up to Linebaugh Ave north and just inside of Dale Mabry east.  So it's pretty far into the city.  And would completely cover downtown/south Tampa.

But there is still a huge part of the region's population above and east of that.

ETA: Dellegatto is basically saying don't evacuate from areas outside that zone.
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I was thinking about East Bay, Riverview, Apollo Beach. Then to the north you have Oldsmar, Town and Country and Safety Harbor. 

Check This Out Pinellas County becomes an Island, and North and South St Pete become separated by 10/12 feet of water. 

 
Commish you are pretty close to me you should probably be ok riding it out .Thats whats nice about living in the center of the state.Trees could cause you a problem and flooding depending on what the drainage is like in your neighboorhood.If you want to evacuate you should probably do it sooner than later you do not want to be stuck in traffic.

 
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John Bender said:
In Virginia (Richmond) - I need some advice here - I leave for Vegas Thursday, return home late Monday night.

Got a dog sitter for the dog.  A dog sitter, who I can't really rely on if we're getting slammed with a hurricane.

Would you cancel the trip to be safe (I'd be out a grand on my flight) just on the idea that by the time I leave I'll have no idea if this ends up turning up the coast into the Carolinas?  Would it be still a strong storm once it gets to inland Virginia?  Seems like we're still in the danger zone here, but not until possibly Tuesday?

A bit torn on what to do, if this turns into the Carolinas instead of underneath Florida, seems like it could be very shaky even for inland Virginia.  The models aren't going to tell the whole story by the time I leave (6 am Thursday morning)

Such a tough call right now.
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HELLLLLLLL  NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

 
Capella said:
I'm in Dunedin/Clearwater area. Assuming I am ok for now, but could head to North Carolina if needed. 
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Yea, My parents are a few miles east of downtown Clearwater which amazingly is the highest point in the county because of the big bluff.

 
John Bender said:
Thanks.  Don't want air traffic to get jammed up either and wind up not being able to get back in before it would hit.  But this is helpful.  I've been through 3 hurricanes, you'd think I'd know how to handle it by now.
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As long as you're not flying thru Atlanta you should be fine

 
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The Commish said:
Im usually on the receiving end of the "Florida refugees" equation...well, now, not so much.  How long can we wait to see what's going to happen before heading north?  I too will be headed to NC if necessary.  
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people coming to NC, stealing our jobs.....

 
My office is right in the zone the reservoirs released into. Heard back the verdict on it today. There was 2 feet of water in the ground floor, plus the basement flooded. Two waste treatment plants in the surrounding area so really not good water in the flood.

Expected to be the first of next year before we can move back in. This is about 1 million square feet of office space affected. They are working on some other office space for us, but many of us may be working from home for months.

 
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