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Yea that would suck for a few of us here. I'm about 40 miles east of Daytona. I have lived here for over 60 years and I don't remember a landfall ever on Central Floridas east coast. Daytona, Titusville, New Symrna areas I think it is pretty rare for them.
It might be. I've never heard of an actual technical term but again, I'm not a tropical system expert. But usually when I think of a compact storm, it's something that is not very wide across. Like Andrew was nice and compact while Ike was a huge beast. Ike was so big, it didn't allow for water to escape around the edges of it, causing the incredible storm surges we saw in Houston a day before landfall.
Yeah, I'm sure it's used both ways - both definitionally and relative to other storms.
The move north is what's helping this. The old path had it going over land. New path does not. And the shear was always going to drop off as it moved closer to the coast. The Bahamas is a perfect area for development right now.
This latest update has caused some panic in South Florida. Expect water and other non-perishable items to fly off the shelf. A lot of plywood will be sold. There's good money to be made putting up and taking down metal panel storm shutters, especially in 2 story houses. I helped a lady friend put up panels in her 2 story townhouse before Irma 2 years ago. No charge, and it was a challenge because some bolts didn't fit into predrilled holes due to corrosion and paint, and installing panels on the second floor above a screened patio was dangerous, luckily I'm not too heavy. Some guys were charging $100 or more for putting up panels to cover about 7 windows in those same 2-story townhouses and the same to remove them.
Con Artist - "I sold some gullible guy some swampland down in Florida."
Yea I remember that was a bad year but both storms made landfall around Ft.Pierce if I remember correctly. Don't remember one making landfall around the Daytona area. What do I know though I bought property 40 miles E. of Daytona so I'm not too bright.
I didn't realize we had so many so close together. That's 5 or 6 between you and rusty
I’m in. I’m over in Daytona for a weekend every 3 months. I’m west coast, but honorary east coast
Me too. I had actually looked at a piece of property that you could only get to by boat out Ozello way but my wife threatened to divorce me if I got it.
Poor guy. My wife would never stop smiling if I bought a place surrounded by water.
Bring it on boys! We are doing a big smoke on Sunday (already planned) for my son's birthday....pork butt and chicken.
I can come down too. My sister is in Orange County.I’m in. I’m over in Daytona for a weekend every 3 months. I’m west coast, but honorary east coast
It weakened a little overnight, from 986 to 991, but the models have converged on it slowing down during the 24 hours before it hits Florida. Arrival is projected to be Monday as a cat 3. On Tuesday, there was only one outlier model projecting a cat 3.
In fairness to them the coverage for Michael and Florence and the disaster aftermath pretty matched up evenly.
The only "positive" I see is at least it is moving rather quickly. 15mph should make it a in and out type storm. Whereas Florence was like 5mph and that was the mitigating factor in regards to the damage caused.
Let me rephrase the question - do you announce evacs Friday when you're 70 pct sure but the holiday weekend tourists are just starting to show up or wait until Saturday when you have more info but have to evac both tourists and locals?pantherclub said:
IMO the holiday has nothing to do with it as far as the decision making goes. I doubt tourists are even showing up at this point. If its predicted as a 3 they will start telling people on fri to get out. A 3 is a mess of a storm.
Hurricane Matthew hit there in 2016, right? But yea I don't remember one before that in a long while. We've vacationed in Daytona the last 5 or so years during the summer.
