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***Official 2022 World Cup Thread*** (1 Viewer)

Is Denmark now the highest ranked team going into the tournament to be eliminated in the group stage?

I wanted to reply with Italy if you had worded it a little differently ;)

crazy they didn't qualify

If you want to know why FIFA is anxious to expand the field look no further than Europe. And to be fair, there's no chance Italy isn't one of the top 16 teams in the world, much less top 32. Euro qualifying is brutal if you get a bad draw and hit poor form.

While Euro qualification can be brutal, Italy only have themselves to blame. They lost to North Macedonia, while at home, to get eliminated. That may have been worse than the US losing away at wet and bumpy.

Even if they hadn't screwed that up though they still would have had to play Portugal to get in. So one of those two teams was going to be out.

It really is tough. Our equivalent this round would be if you took one of the top teams out of the ocho (Mexico or Canada) and left us with the rest of them. So USA, either Mex/Canada, and then the usual group of Honduras, Panama, Jamaica, etc.

To lock in a spot we'd have to finish first in that group, ahead of either Mex/Canada and all the rest. If we managed 2nd, we'd go into a single elimination playoff where we'd have to win 2-3 games, one of which could be a team as similar to us as Mex/Canada.

We likely would not have qualified for this WC with that setup.
 
Argentina has already had 7 shots on goal.

The corollary to us getting Netherlands and then Poland possibly is Argentina would get Australia then Netherlands/US - that's about as good a draw as any top team could ask for to get to the semis. They will go all out to win the group.
 
Also, and I need QG to do this but Mexico either needs Argentina to put a couple past Poland or the other way around - unless they score something like 3+. They are in a bad spot at the moment.
 
Also, and I need QG to do this but Mexico either needs Argentina to put a couple past Poland or the other way around - unless they score something like 3+. They are in a bad spot at the moment.

this is correct. Mexico needs some goals to go in, in their favor in either or more likley both games.

The Argentina game has the feeling the flood gates would open once the first one goes through but we know how that can go in this sport...
 
Also, and I need QG to do this but Mexico either needs Argentina to put a couple past Poland or the other way around - unless they score something like 3+. They are in a bad spot at the moment.

this is correct. Mexico needs some goals to go in, in their favor in either or more likley both games.

The Argentina game has the feeling the flood gates would open once the first one goes through but we know how that can go in this sport...

Not sure - Poland will be able to bunker until they give up a goal and even then, they won't have a lot of motivation to come out unless SA has scored.
 
Okay...deep breaths....Group C scenarios....

Poland Advance With a win or draw OR....
a loss by 1 or 2 and Saudi Arabia/Mexico draw
or
a loss by 3 and Saudi Arabia/Mexico draw and Poland scores at least the same number of goals as Saudi Arabia
or
a loss and a Mexico win and the combined margin is 2 or 3
or
a loss and a Mexico win and the combined margin is 4 and Mexico doesn't outscore them by more than 1
or
a loss and a Mexico win and the combined margin is 4 and Mexico outscores them by 2 and Poland has a better fair play record (currently Poland -4, Mexico -6)
or
a loss and a Mexico win and the combined margin is 4 and Mexico outscores them by 2 and they are tied on fair play and Poland's lucky ping pong ball is drawn


Argentina advance with a win OR....
a draw and a Saudi Arabia/Mexico draw
or
a draw and Saudi Arabia loses by 1 or 2
or
a draw and Saudi Arabia loses by 3 and Mexico doesn't outscore Argentina by 4 or more

Argentina is eliminated with a loss


Saudi Arabia advances with a win OR....
a draw and an Argentina loss
or
a draw and a Poland loss by 4 or more
or
a draw and a Poland loss by 3 and Saudi Arabia outscores Poland

Saudi Arabia is eliminated with a loss


Mexico advances with a win AND....
an Argentina Loss
or
a Poland/Argentina draw and Mexico wins by 4 or more
or
a Poland/Argentina draw and Mexico wins by 3 and Mexico outscores Argentina by 4 or more
or
a Poland loss and the combined margin is 5+
or
a Poland loss and the combined margin is 4 and Mexico outscores Poland by 3 or more
or
a Poland loss and the combined margin is 4 and Mexico outscores Poland by 2 and Mexico has a better fair play record (currently Poland -4, Mexico -6)
or
a Poland loss and the combined margin is 4 and Mexico outscores them by 2 and they are tied on fair play and Poland's lucky ping pong ball is drawn

Mexico is eliminated with a draw or loss


So there ya go
:grad:
-QG
Repost
-QG
 
I guess it depends on how the differential gets tied. I’m thinking of Argentina scoring once more

If Mexico scores again, they would have it unless Poland acores
 

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