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Official 2024-2025 FBG Subscriber Playoff Contest (2 Viewers)

TheWinz

Footballguy
And so we begin the Playoff Contest period. Good luck to all once it goes live, as for when:

Via the FBG Contests page:

Footballguys Subscriber Playoff Contest​

  • OPEN NOW - not yet really, but should be open anytime after week 18 concludes
  • Free for Subscribers
  • $1000 Grand Prize
@Contest Turk or @Joe Bryant could one of you pin this now that the regular season contest is complete. Cheers!
 

In the Wildcard round, you have these players:​

Jordan Love - QB - GB
C.J. Stroud - QB - HOU
Matthew Stafford - QB - LAR
Kyren Williams - RB - LAR
Tyreek Hill - WR - MIA
Baker Mayfield - QB - TB

In the Divisional round (points multiplied by 2), you have these players:​

Joe Flacco - QB - CLE
Jared Goff - QB - DET
Amon-Ra St. Brown - WR - DET
Patrick Mahomes - QB - KC
Travis Kelce - TE - KC
Jalen Hurts - QB - PHI

In the Championship round (points multiplied by 3), you have these players:​

Lamar Jackson - QB - BAL
Dalton Kincaid - TE - BUF
Dak Prescott - QB - DAL
CeeDee Lamb - WR - DAL
Brandon Aiyuk - WR - SF
George Kittle - TE - SF

In the Super Bowl (points multiplied by 5), you have these players:​

Josh Allen - QB - BUF
James Cook - RB - BUF
Stefon Diggs - WR - BUF
Brock Purdy - QB - SF
Christian McCaffrey - RB - SF
Deebo Samuel - WR - SF

This was my entry from last year. I sucked! I only had 3 players in the SB, 3 in the Championship round, and 4 in the Divisional round. Gotta pick the brackets much better to have any chance at this thing.
 

In the Wildcard round, you have:​

Bo Nix - QB - DEN
Josh Jacobs - RB - GB
Nico Collins - WR - HOU
Sam Darnold - QB - MIN
Justin Jefferson - WR - MIN
Jayden Daniels - QB - WAS

In the Divisional round (points multiplied by 2), you have:​

Josh Allen - QB - BUF
Justin Herbert - QB - LAC
Kyren Williams - RB - LAR
Puka Nacua - WR - LAR
Baker Mayfield - QB - TB
Mike Evans - WR - TB

In the Championship round (points multiplied by 3), you have:​

Lamar Jackson - QB - BAL
Derrick Henry - RB - BAL
Mark Andrews - TE - BAL
Jalen Hurts - QB - PHI
Saquon Barkley - RB - PHI
A.J. Brown - WR - PHI

In the Super Bowl (points multiplied by 5), you have:​

Jared Goff - QB - DET
Jahmyr Gibbs - RB - DET
Amon-Ra St. Brown - WR - DET
Patrick Mahomes - QB - KC
Xavier Worthy - WR - KC
Travis Kelce - TE - KC
 
My 2nd iteration...

In the Wildcard round, you have:​

Lamar Jackson - QB - BAL
Josh Allen - QB - BUF
Justin Herbert - QB - LAC
Matthew Stafford - QB - LAR
Jalen Hurts - QB - PHI
Baker Mayfield - QB - TB

In the Divisional round (points multiplied by 2), you have:​

C.J. Stroud - QB - HOU
Joe Mixon - RB - HOU
Nico Collins - WR - HOU
Sam Darnold - QB - MIN
Aaron Jones - RB - MIN
Justin Jefferson - WR - MIN

In the Championship round (points multiplied by 3), you have:​

Russell Wilson - QB - PIT
Najee Harris - RB - PIT
George Pickens - WR - PIT
Jayden Daniels - QB - WAS
Brian Robinson Jr. - RB - WAS
Terry McLaurin - WR - WAS

In the Super Bowl (points multiplied by 5), you have:​

Bo Nix - QB - DEN
Courtland Sutton - WR - DEN
Denver Broncos - TD - DEN
Jordan Love - QB - GB
Josh Jacobs - RB - GB
Jayden Reed - WR - GB
 

In the Super Bowl (points multiplied by 5), you have:​

Bo Nix - QB - DEN
Courtland Sutton - WR - DEN
Denver Broncos - TD - DEN
Jordan Love - QB - GB
Josh Jacobs - RB - GB
Jayden Reed - WR - GB
Guarantee you win if it's GB-DEN Super Bowl
 
Really? The contest has been open for over 8 hours and 1 person has posted a lineup? Wussies!!!
Ok here is one.



More

Postseason Subscriber Contest Entry​


You have successfully entered!

In the Wildcard round, you have:​

Bo Nix - QB - DEN
Jordan Love - QB - GB
C.J. Stroud - QB - HOU
Justin Herbert - QB - LAC
Sam Darnold - QB - MIN
Jayden Daniels - QB - WAS

In the Divisional round (points multiplied by 2), you have:​

Josh Allen - QB - BUF
Patrick Mahomes - QB - KC
Matthew Stafford - QB - LAR
Jalen Hurts - QB - PHI
Russell Wilson - QB - PIT
Baker Mayfield - QB - TB

In the Championship round (points multiplied by 3), you have:​

Lamar Jackson - QB - BAL
Derrick Henry - RB - BAL
Justice Hill - RB - BAL
Rashod Bateman - WR - BAL
Mark Andrews - TE - BAL
Justin Tucker - PK - BAL

In the Super Bowl (points multiplied by 5), you have:​

Jared Goff - QB - DET
Jahmyr Gibbs - RB - DET
Amon-Ra St. Brown - WR - DET
Jameson Williams - WR - DET
Sam LaPorta - TE - DET
Jake Bates - PK - DET
 
Really? The contest has been open for over 8 hours and 1 person has posted a lineup? Wussies!!!
Ok here is one.



More

Postseason Subscriber Contest Entry​


You have successfully entered!

In the Wildcard round, you have:​

Bo Nix - QB - DEN
Jordan Love - QB - GB
C.J. Stroud - QB - HOU
Justin Herbert - QB - LAC
Sam Darnold - QB - MIN
Jayden Daniels - QB - WAS

In the Divisional round (points multiplied by 2), you have:​

Josh Allen - QB - BUF
Patrick Mahomes - QB - KC
Matthew Stafford - QB - LAR
Jalen Hurts - QB - PHI
Russell Wilson - QB - PIT
Baker Mayfield - QB - TB

In the Championship round (points multiplied by 3), you have:​

Lamar Jackson - QB - BAL
Derrick Henry - RB - BAL
Justice Hill - RB - BAL
Rashod Bateman - WR - BAL
Mark Andrews - TE - BAL
Justin Tucker - PK - BAL

In the Super Bowl (points multiplied by 5), you have:​

Jared Goff - QB - DET
Jahmyr Gibbs - RB - DET
Amon-Ra St. Brown - WR - DET
Jameson Williams - WR - DET
Sam LaPorta - TE - DET
Jake Bates - PK - DET
That's a sure loser unless Houston or Denver make the Super Bowl.
 
@TheWinz no clue how to attack this really, hows this look? I'm curious how the new QB/DEF scoring will affect things. Would QB always be more valuable than an RB? Hmmm...

In the Wildcard round, you have:​


Bo Nix - QB - DEN
Justin Herbert - QB - LAC
Matthew Stafford - QB - LAR
Sam Darnold - QB - MIN
Baker Mayfield - QB - TB
Jayden Daniels - QB - WAS


In the Divisional round (points multiplied by 2), you have:​


Lamar Jackson - QB - BAL
Derrick Henry - RB - BAL
Justin Tucker - PK - BAL
Patrick Mahomes - QB - KC
Travis Kelce - TE - KC
Harrison Butker - PK - KC


In the Championship round (points multiplied by 3), you have:​


Jared Goff - QB - DET
Jahmyr Gibbs - RB - DET
Amon-Ra St. Brown - WR - DET
Jalen Hurts - QB - PHI
Saquon Barkley - RB - PHI
A.J. Brown - WR - PHI


In the Super Bowl (points multiplied by 5), you have:​


Josh Allen - QB - BUF
James Cook - RB - BUF
Khalil Shakir - WR - BUF
Dalton Kincaid - TE - BUF
Tyler Bass - PK - BUF
Buffalo Bills - TD - BUF
 
You have successfully entered!

In the Wildcard round, you have:​

Puka Nacua - WR - LAR
Sam Darnold - QB - MIN
Justin Jefferson - WR - MIN
Baker Mayfield - QB - TB
Mike Evans - WR - TB
Jayden Daniels - QB - WAS

In the Divisional round (points multiplied by 2), you have:​

Josh Allen - QB - BUF
James Cook - RB - BUF
Keon Coleman - WR - BUF
Khalil Shakir - WR - BUF
Xavier Worthy - WR - KC
A.J. Brown - WR - PHI

In the Championship round (points multiplied by 3), you have:​

Lamar Jackson - QB - BAL
Derrick Henry - RB - BAL
Mark Andrews - TE - BAL
Jalen Hurts - QB - PHI
Saquon Barkley - RB - PHI
DeVonta Smith - WR - PHI

In the Super Bowl (points multiplied by 5), you have:​

Jared Goff - QB - DET
Jahmyr Gibbs - RB - DET
Amon-Ra St. Brown - WR - DET
Jameson Williams - WR - DET
Patrick Mahomes - QB - KC
Travis Kelce - TE - KC
 
Last edited:
The playoff contest is greyed out and says COMING SOON. If you click on it, it just refreshes that same page.
I am a Hall of Fame member, does that not get an entry any more?
 
@TheWinz no clue how to attack this really, hows this look? I'm curious how the new QB/DEF scoring will affect things. Would QB always be more valuable than an RB? Hmmm...
I ran numbers based on the scoring, and here are weekly averages for the top 5 at each position for the playoffs:

QB
Jackson - 25.8
Allen - 22.4
Hurts - 21.7
Mayfield - 21.6
Daniels - 20.6

RB
Barkley - 22.0
Gibbs - 21.5
Henry - 19.9
Jacobs - 17.6
Williams - 17.4

WR
Nacua - 18.8
Jefferson - 18.7
St. Brown - 18.7
Collins - 17.6
Evans - 17.2

TE
Kelce - 15.4
LaPorta - 12.8
Andrews - 12.7
Goedert - 12.5
Otton - 12.3

K
Boswell - 11.9
Dicker - 11.2
Fairbairn - 10.8
Reichard - 10.7
Bates/McLaughlin - 10.0

D
DEN - 12.9
MIN - 11.9
HOU - 11.2
BUF - 10.9
PIT - 10.5

Looking above, I have to rank them QB, RB, WR, TE, D, and K.
 
Without thinking much...

In the Wildcard round, you have:​

Baker Mayfield - QB - TB
Bucky Irving - RB - TB
Mike Evans - WR - TB
Jayden Daniels - QB - WAS
Brian Robinson Jr. - RB - WAS
Terry McLaurin - WR - WAS

In the Divisional round (points multiplied by 2), you have:​

Josh Allen - QB - BUF
James Cook - RB - BUF
Keon Coleman - WR - BUF
Jameson Williams - WR - DET
Travis Kelce - TE - KC
A.J. Brown - WR - PHI

In the Championship round (points multiplied by 3), you have:​

Lamar Jackson - QB - BAL
Derrick Henry - RB - BAL
Mark Andrews - TE - BAL
Jared Goff - QB - DET
Jahmyr Gibbs - RB - DET
Amon-Ra St. Brown - WR - DET

In the Super Bowl (points multiplied by 5), you have:​

Patrick Mahomes - QB - KC
Kareem Hunt - RB - KC
Xavier Worthy - WR - KC
Jalen Hurts - QB - PHI
Saquon Barkley - RB - PHI
DeVonta Smith - WR - PHI
 
Without thinking much...

In the Wildcard round, you have:​

Baker Mayfield - QB - TB
Bucky Irving - RB - TB
Mike Evans - WR - TB
Jayden Daniels - QB - WAS
Brian Robinson Jr. - RB - WAS
Terry McLaurin - WR - WAS

In the Divisional round (points multiplied by 2), you have:​

Josh Allen - QB - BUF
James Cook - RB - BUF
Keon Coleman - WR - BUF
Jameson Williams - WR - DET
Travis Kelce - TE - KC
A.J. Brown - WR - PHI

In the Championship round (points multiplied by 3), you have:​

Lamar Jackson - QB - BAL
Derrick Henry - RB - BAL
Mark Andrews - TE - BAL
Jared Goff - QB - DET
Jahmyr Gibbs - RB - DET
Amon-Ra St. Brown - WR - DET

In the Super Bowl (points multiplied by 5), you have:​

Patrick Mahomes - QB - KC
Kareem Hunt - RB - KC
Xavier Worthy - WR - KC
Jalen Hurts - QB - PHI
Saquon Barkley - RB - PHI
DeVonta Smith - WR - PHI
Noticed you only chose players from 7 teams. While I think that's a great idea, I would consider more QB's in week 1.
 
I posted some advice in last year's thread which I think still holds up pretty well, starting here and continuing in a few other posts on that page.

Also posted some data on the commonness of different SB matchups, and a review of the winning roster and some other contenders.
 
Playing the 6 “losing QB” round one is a solid move.

Think I did that last year but changing up this time. TB WAS could be a shootout. Loading up on a couple players on the losing side might be better. Probably throw in Puka too.

Mostly irrelevant in early rounds by having a more unique final 6 that hits. Multiplier is huge compared to wild card round
 
Likely my one and only entry attempt. I stink at this contest and don’t usually spend much time on it at all.

In the Wildcard round, you have these players:​

Bo Nix - QB - DEN
Josh Jacobs - RB - GB
Nico Collins - WR - HOU
J.K. Dobbins - RB - LAC
Puka Nacua - WR - LAR
Jayden Daniels - QB - WAS

In the Divisional round (points multiplied by 2), you have these players:​

Lamar Jackson - QB - BAL
Derrick Henry - RB - BAL
Ladd McConkey - WR - LAC
Sam Darnold - QB - MIN
Justin Jefferson - WR - MIN
Baker Mayfield - QB - TB

In the Championship round (points multiplied by 3), you have these players:​

Patrick Mahomes - QB - KC
Travis Kelce - TE - KC
Jalen Hurts - QB - PHI
Saquon Barkley - RB - PHI
A.J. Brown - WR - PHI
DeVonta Smith - WR - PHI

In the Super Bowl (points multiplied by 5), you have these players:​

Josh Allen - QB - BUF
James Cook - RB - BUF
Jared Goff - QB - DET
Jahmyr Gibbs - RB - DET
Amon-Ra St. Brown - WR - DET
Jake Bates - PK - DET
 
If you could repeat players, here were your 6 highest scorers from each week last year (I bolded any duplicate player):

In the Wildcard round, you have these players:​

Jake Ferguson - TE - DAL - 42.3
Josh Allen - QB - BUF - 33.5
Puka Nacua - WR - LAR - 32.9
Aaron Jones - RB - GB - 32.1
Houston Texans - TD - HOU - 32.0
Dak Prescott - QB - DAL - 28.6

In the Divisional round (points multiplied by 2), you have these players:​

Lamar Jackson - QB - BAL - 36.1
Christian McCaffrey - RB - SF - 31.8
Josh Allen - QB - BUF - 30.6
Mike Evans - WR - TB - 28.7
Travis Kelce - TE - KC - 27.0
Baker Mayfield - QB - TB - 23.5

In the Championship round (points multiplied by 3), you have these players:​

Travis Kelce - TE - KC - 34.6
Christian McCaffrey - RB - SF - 29.2

Sam LaPorta - TE - DET - 23.2
Zay Flowers - WR - BAL - 22.9
Jameson Williams - WR - DET - 20.7
Lamar Jackson - QB - BAL - 19.6

In the Super Bowl (points multiplied by 5), you have these players:​

Christian McCaffrey - RB - SF - 30.0
Patrick Mahomes - QB - KC - 25.9
Travis Kelce - TE - KC - 22.8
Jauan Jennings - WR - SF - 19.0
Harrison Butker - PK - KC - 15.7
Brock Purdy - QB - SF - 15.4

I have no idea what to do with this information. I just wanted to find it out.
 
If you could repeat players, here were your 6 highest scorers from each week last year (I bolded any duplicate player):

In the Wildcard round, you have these players:​

Jake Ferguson - TE - DAL - 42.3
Josh Allen - QB - BUF - 33.5
Puka Nacua - WR - LAR - 32.9
Aaron Jones - RB - GB - 32.1
Houston Texans - TD - HOU - 32.0
Dak Prescott - QB - DAL - 28.6

In the Divisional round (points multiplied by 2), you have these players:​

Lamar Jackson - QB - BAL - 36.1
Christian McCaffrey - RB - SF - 31.8
Josh Allen - QB - BUF - 30.6
Mike Evans - WR - TB - 28.7
Travis Kelce - TE - KC - 27.0
Baker Mayfield - QB - TB - 23.5

In the Championship round (points multiplied by 3), you have these players:​

Travis Kelce - TE - KC - 34.6
Christian McCaffrey - RB - SF - 29.2

Sam LaPorta - TE - DET - 23.2
Zay Flowers - WR - BAL - 22.9
Jameson Williams - WR - DET - 20.7
Lamar Jackson - QB - BAL - 19.6

In the Super Bowl (points multiplied by 5), you have these players:​

Christian McCaffrey - RB - SF - 30.0
Patrick Mahomes - QB - KC - 25.9
Travis Kelce - TE - KC - 22.8
Jauan Jennings - WR - SF - 19.0
Harrison Butker - PK - KC - 15.7
Brock Purdy - QB - SF - 15.4

I have no idea what to do with this information. I just wanted to find it out.
Interesting. I would think that to win this thing you pretty much have to nail it, meaning all 6 of your SB players actually are playing in the SB.
 
If you could repeat players, here were your 6 highest scorers from each week last year (I bolded any duplicate player):

In the Wildcard round, you have these players:​

Jake Ferguson - TE - DAL - 42.3
Josh Allen - QB - BUF - 33.5
Puka Nacua - WR - LAR - 32.9
Aaron Jones - RB - GB - 32.1
Houston Texans - TD - HOU - 32.0
Dak Prescott - QB - DAL - 28.6

In the Divisional round (points multiplied by 2), you have these players:​

Lamar Jackson - QB - BAL - 36.1
Christian McCaffrey - RB - SF - 31.8
Josh Allen - QB - BUF - 30.6
Mike Evans - WR - TB - 28.7
Travis Kelce - TE - KC - 27.0
Baker Mayfield - QB - TB - 23.5

In the Championship round (points multiplied by 3), you have these players:​

Travis Kelce - TE - KC - 34.6
Christian McCaffrey - RB - SF - 29.2

Sam LaPorta - TE - DET - 23.2
Zay Flowers - WR - BAL - 22.9
Jameson Williams - WR - DET - 20.7
Lamar Jackson - QB - BAL - 19.6

In the Super Bowl (points multiplied by 5), you have these players:​

Christian McCaffrey - RB - SF - 30.0
Patrick Mahomes - QB - KC - 25.9
Travis Kelce - TE - KC - 22.8
Jauan Jennings - WR - SF - 19.0
Harrison Butker - PK - KC - 15.7
Brock Purdy - QB - SF - 15.4

I have no idea what to do with this information. I just wanted to find it out.
Interesting that only 2 of the top 6 in Week 1 were QB's. Might change my strategy a bit. Although it's pretty hard to predict scores like Ferguson and HOU had that week. Still good food for thought.
 

In the Wildcard round, you have:​

Derrick Henry - RB - BAL
Josh Allen - QB - BUF
Bo Nix - QB - DEN
Ladd McConkey - WR - LAC
Sam Darnold - QB - MIN
Jayden Daniels - QB - WAS

In the Divisional round (points multiplied by 2), you have:​

Jameson Williams - WR - DET
Justin Herbert - QB - LAC
Matthew Stafford - QB - LAR
Dallas Goedert - TE - PHI
Baker Mayfield - QB - TB
Mike Evans - WR - TB

In the Championship round (points multiplied by 3), you have:​

Lamar Jackson - QB - BAL
Mark Andrews - TE - BAL
Jared Goff - QB - DET
Jahmyr Gibbs - RB - DET
Kareem Hunt - RB - KC
A.J. Brown - WR - PHI

In the Super Bowl (points multiplied by 5), you have:​

Patrick Mahomes - QB - KC
Xavier Worthy - WR - KC
Travis Kelce - TE - KC
Jalen Hurts - QB - PHI
Saquon Barkley - RB - PHI
DeVonta Smith - WR - PHI

My first iteration/submission. Likely my last.
 
Comparing the entries so far in terms of number of NFL games picked. That is, how many NFL games need to go the way you predicted in order to avoid taking any zeros?

12 TheWinz
12 joey
11 Ruffrodys05
9* rustycolts
9 Dacomish
9 Scoresman
7 Deamon

* guaranteed to take at least 1 zero (BAL & PIT players both advancing past Wild Card round)

e.g., @Scoresman is relying on PHI, BUF, and BAL to win in the Wild Card round, PHI, DET, KC, and BAL winning in the Divisional round, and KC & PHI winning in the Conference Championships. That adds up to 9 games picked. There are 12 total games in the bracket, so 9 games picked means 3 games not picked. The 3 games not picked are all in the Wild Card round - they are not picking winners in: HOU vs LAC, TB vs WAS, and LAR vs MIN.

(It's possible I've made some errors in these counts.)

I think it's best not to pick more than 9 games, because there's too much chance of taking zeros if you need 10+ games to all go your way, and there's a case for picking fewer. e.g. Scoresman could pick only 8 games if they moved the 3 DET/KC/PHI players that they picked in the Divisional round to the Conference Championship round and took their 3 BAL players in the Divisional round. Then they could avoid taking zeros regardless of who won the BUF vs BAL game, and this wouldn't hurt their scoring much.

(This is not to pick on Scoresman; I think their entry posted here actually has the best chance of winning out of the ones that have been posted so far.)
 
Comparing the entries so far in terms of number of NFL games picked. That is, how many NFL games need to go the way you predicted in order to avoid taking any zeros?

12 TheWinz
12 joey
11 Ruffrodys05
9* rustycolts
9 Dacomish
9 Scoresman
7 Deamon

* guaranteed to take at least 1 zero (BAL & PIT players both advancing past Wild Card round)

e.g., @Scoresman is relying on PHI, BUF, and BAL to win in the Wild Card round, PHI, DET, KC, and BAL winning in the Divisional round, and KC & PHI winning in the Conference Championships. That adds up to 9 games picked. There are 12 total games in the bracket, so 9 games picked means 3 games not picked. The 3 games not picked are all in the Wild Card round - they are not picking winners in: HOU vs LAC, TB vs WAS, and LAR vs MIN.

(It's possible I've made some errors in these counts.)

I think it's best not to pick more than 9 games, because there's too much chance of taking zeros if you need 10+ games to all go your way, and there's a case for picking fewer. e.g. Scoresman could pick only 8 games if they moved the 3 DET/KC/PHI players that they picked in the Divisional round to the Conference Championship round and took their 3 BAL players in the Divisional round. Then they could avoid taking zeros regardless of who won the BUF vs BAL game, and this wouldn't hurt their scoring much.

(This is not to pick on Scoresman; I think their entry posted here actually has the best chance of winning out of the ones that have been posted so far.)
Agree, this was my mindset. Even having 2 teams in the SB, you really have to nail that exact SB to win this thing I would think?

Maybe my strategy is off, but I have all QBs round 1, so should do okay there. R2 is nothing but Chiefs and Ravens as I feel both those 2 teams will be in a round 2 game, so loaded up on the best 6 from those 2 teams.

I'm taking a gamble but feel decent about Detroit and Philly both being in the AFCC, so loaded up on the best 6 from those teams there.

And if Buffalo is in the SB, I should have big points across the board with 5X everyone's points. 5X a buffalo kicker I feel better about than guessing if Det/Phi would be in the SB because being wrong ruins the entry there.
 
Comparing the entries so far in terms of number of NFL games picked. That is, how many NFL games need to go the way you predicted in order to avoid taking any zeros?

12 TheWinz
12 joey
11 Ruffrodys05
9* rustycolts
9 Dacomish
9 Scoresman
7 Deamon

* guaranteed to take at least 1 zero (BAL & PIT players both advancing past Wild Card round)

e.g., @Scoresman is relying on PHI, BUF, and BAL to win in the Wild Card round, PHI, DET, KC, and BAL winning in the Divisional round, and KC & PHI winning in the Conference Championships. That adds up to 9 games picked. There are 12 total games in the bracket, so 9 games picked means 3 games not picked. The 3 games not picked are all in the Wild Card round - they are not picking winners in: HOU vs LAC, TB vs WAS, and LAR vs MIN.

(It's possible I've made some errors in these counts.)

I think it's best not to pick more than 9 games, because there's too much chance of taking zeros if you need 10+ games to all go your way, and there's a case for picking fewer. e.g. Scoresman could pick only 8 games if they moved the 3 DET/KC/PHI players that they picked in the Divisional round to the Conference Championship round and took their 3 BAL players in the Divisional round. Then they could avoid taking zeros regardless of who won the BUF vs BAL game, and this wouldn't hurt their scoring much.

(This is not to pick on Scoresman; I think their entry posted here actually has the best chance of winning out of the ones that have been posted so far.)
Agree, this was my mindset. Even having 2 teams in the SB, you really have to nail that exact SB to win this thing I would think?

Maybe my strategy is off, but I have all QBs round 1, so should do okay there. R2 is nothing but Chiefs and Ravens as I feel both those 2 teams will be in a round 2 game, so loaded up on the best 6 from those 2 teams.

I'm taking a gamble but feel decent about Detroit and Philly both being in the AFCC, so loaded up on the best 6 from those teams there.

And if Buffalo is in the SB, I should have big points across the board with 5X everyone's points. 5X a buffalo kicker I feel better about than guessing if Det/Phi would be in the SB because being wrong ruins the entry there.
The thing I'm most worried about with your team is that you're counting on both DET & PHI to make it to the NFCCG, but you didn't pick either in the Super Bowl.

If it's a BUF-DET Super Bowl you'll have an uphill battle against entries that included some DET players in the Super Bowl round, and if it's a BUF-PHI Super Bowl then you'll have an uphill battle against entries that included some PHI players.

And both of those Super Bowl matchups are likely enough so that there will probably be lots of entries with each of them (more with BUF-DET than with BUF-PHI).
 
Comparing the entries so far in terms of number of NFL games picked. That is, how many NFL games need to go the way you predicted in order to avoid taking any zeros?

12 TheWinz
12 joey
11 Ruffrodys05
9* rustycolts
9 Dacomish
9 Scoresman
7 Deamon

* guaranteed to take at least 1 zero (BAL & PIT players both advancing past Wild Card round)

e.g., @Scoresman is relying on PHI, BUF, and BAL to win in the Wild Card round, PHI, DET, KC, and BAL winning in the Divisional round, and KC & PHI winning in the Conference Championships. That adds up to 9 games picked. There are 12 total games in the bracket, so 9 games picked means 3 games not picked. The 3 games not picked are all in the Wild Card round - they are not picking winners in: HOU vs LAC, TB vs WAS, and LAR vs MIN.

(It's possible I've made some errors in these counts.)

I think it's best not to pick more than 9 games, because there's too much chance of taking zeros if you need 10+ games to all go your way, and there's a case for picking fewer. e.g. Scoresman could pick only 8 games if they moved the 3 DET/KC/PHI players that they picked in the Divisional round to the Conference Championship round and took their 3 BAL players in the Divisional round. Then they could avoid taking zeros regardless of who won the BUF vs BAL game, and this wouldn't hurt their scoring much.

(This is not to pick on Scoresman; I think their entry posted here actually has the best chance of winning out of the ones that have been posted so far.)
Agree, this was my mindset. Even having 2 teams in the SB, you really have to nail that exact SB to win this thing I would think?

Maybe my strategy is off, but I have all QBs round 1, so should do okay there. R2 is nothing but Chiefs and Ravens as I feel both those 2 teams will be in a round 2 game, so loaded up on the best 6 from those 2 teams.

I'm taking a gamble but feel decent about Detroit and Philly both being in the AFCC, so loaded up on the best 6 from those teams there.

And if Buffalo is in the SB, I should have big points across the board with 5X everyone's points. 5X a buffalo kicker I feel better about than guessing if Det/Phi would be in the SB because being wrong ruins the entry there.
The thing I'm most worried about with your team is that you're counting on both DET & PHI to make it to the NFCCG, but you didn't pick either in the Super Bowl.

If it's a BUF-DET Super Bowl you'll have an uphill battle against entries that included some DET players in the Super Bowl round, and if it's a BUF-PHI Super Bowl then you'll have an uphill battle against entries that included some PHI players.

And both of those Super Bowl matchups are likely enough so that there will probably be lots of entries with each of them (more with BUF-DET than with BUF-PHI).
ya true, it is gambling yet playing it safe in a way i suppose. My only point being, it seems like if you don't have all 6 of your round 4 guys actually in the sb, it would be hard to win.
 
Comparing the entries so far in terms of number of NFL games picked. That is, how many NFL games need to go the way you predicted in order to avoid taking any zeros?

12 TheWinz
12 joey
11 Ruffrodys05
9* rustycolts
9 Dacomish
9 Scoresman
7 Deamon

* guaranteed to take at least 1 zero (BAL & PIT players both advancing past Wild Card round)

e.g., @Scoresman is relying on PHI, BUF, and BAL to win in the Wild Card round, PHI, DET, KC, and BAL winning in the Divisional round, and KC & PHI winning in the Conference Championships. That adds up to 9 games picked. There are 12 total games in the bracket, so 9 games picked means 3 games not picked. The 3 games not picked are all in the Wild Card round - they are not picking winners in: HOU vs LAC, TB vs WAS, and LAR vs MIN.

(It's possible I've made some errors in these counts.)

I think it's best not to pick more than 9 games, because there's too much chance of taking zeros if you need 10+ games to all go your way, and there's a case for picking fewer. e.g. Scoresman could pick only 8 games if they moved the 3 DET/KC/PHI players that they picked in the Divisional round to the Conference Championship round and took their 3 BAL players in the Divisional round. Then they could avoid taking zeros regardless of who won the BUF vs BAL game, and this wouldn't hurt their scoring much.

(This is not to pick on Scoresman; I think their entry posted here actually has the best chance of winning out of the ones that have been posted so far.)
Agree, this was my mindset. Even having 2 teams in the SB, you really have to nail that exact SB to win this thing I would think?

Maybe my strategy is off, but I have all QBs round 1, so should do okay there. R2 is nothing but Chiefs and Ravens as I feel both those 2 teams will be in a round 2 game, so loaded up on the best 6 from those 2 teams.

I'm taking a gamble but feel decent about Detroit and Philly both being in the AFCC, so loaded up on the best 6 from those teams there.

And if Buffalo is in the SB, I should have big points across the board with 5X everyone's points. 5X a buffalo kicker I feel better about than guessing if Det/Phi would be in the SB because being wrong ruins the entry there.
The thing I'm most worried about with your team is that you're counting on both DET & PHI to make it to the NFCCG, but you didn't pick either in the Super Bowl.

If it's a BUF-DET Super Bowl you'll have an uphill battle against entries that included some DET players in the Super Bowl round, and if it's a BUF-PHI Super Bowl then you'll have an uphill battle against entries that included some PHI players.

And both of those Super Bowl matchups are likely enough so that there will probably be lots of entries with each of them (more with BUF-DET than with BUF-PHI).
ya true, it is gambling yet playing it safe in a way i suppose. My only point being, it seems like if you don't have all 6 of your round 4 guys actually in the sb, it would be hard to win.
Comparing the entries so far in terms of number of NFL games picked. That is, how many NFL games need to go the way you predicted in order to avoid taking any zeros?

12 TheWinz
12 joey
11 Ruffrodys05
9* rustycolts
9 Dacomish
9 Scoresman
7 Deamon

* guaranteed to take at least 1 zero (BAL & PIT players both advancing past Wild Card round)

e.g., @Scoresman is relying on PHI, BUF, and BAL to win in the Wild Card round, PHI, DET, KC, and BAL winning in the Divisional round, and KC & PHI winning in the Conference Championships. That adds up to 9 games picked. There are 12 total games in the bracket, so 9 games picked means 3 games not picked. The 3 games not picked are all in the Wild Card round - they are not picking winners in: HOU vs LAC, TB vs WAS, and LAR vs MIN.

(It's possible I've made some errors in these counts.)

I think it's best not to pick more than 9 games, because there's too much chance of taking zeros if you need 10+ games to all go your way, and there's a case for picking fewer. e.g. Scoresman could pick only 8 games if they moved the 3 DET/KC/PHI players that they picked in the Divisional round to the Conference Championship round and took their 3 BAL players in the Divisional round. Then they could avoid taking zeros regardless of who won the BUF vs BAL game, and this wouldn't hurt their scoring much.

(This is not to pick on Scoresman; I think their entry posted here actually has the best chance of winning out of the ones that have been posted so far.)
Agree, this was my mindset. Even having 2 teams in the SB, you really have to nail that exact SB to win this thing I would think?

Maybe my strategy is off, but I have all QBs round 1, so should do okay there. R2 is nothing but Chiefs and Ravens as I feel both those 2 teams will be in a round 2 game, so loaded up on the best 6 from those 2 teams.

I'm taking a gamble but feel decent about Detroit and Philly both being in the AFCC, so loaded up on the best 6 from those teams there.

And if Buffalo is in the SB, I should have big points across the board with 5X everyone's points. 5X a buffalo kicker I feel better about than guessing if Det/Phi would be in the SB because being wrong ruins the entry there.
The thing I'm most worried about with your team is that you're counting on both DET & PHI to make it to the NFCCG, but you didn't pick either in the Super Bowl.

If it's a BUF-DET Super Bowl you'll have an uphill battle against entries that included some DET players in the Super Bowl round, and if it's a BUF-PHI Super Bowl then you'll have an uphill battle against entries that included some PHI players.

And both of those Super Bowl matchups are likely enough so that there will probably be lots of entries with each of them (more with BUF-DET than with BUF-PHI).
ya true, it is gambling yet playing it safe in a way i suppose. My only point being, it seems like if you don't have all 6 of your round 4 guys actually in the sb, it would be hard to win.

Too many teams will have Buffalo Det/Phi. Your Bass will be getting smoked by Hurts and Gibbs. Prize pool is only 12 deep. No room to play it safe.

Might work for a Buffalo Rams Bowl
 
On question is whether Zay Flowers will be back at any point during the playoffs. If you have Baltimore playing in the Super Bowl or the conference championship, Flowers could be a differentiator from many other teams who also picked BAL or he could be a zero.
 
Comparing the entries so far in terms of number of NFL games picked. That is, how many NFL games need to go the way you predicted in order to avoid taking any zeros?

12 TheWinz
12 joey
11 Ruffrodys05
9* rustycolts
9 Dacomish
9 Scoresman
7 Deamon

* guaranteed to take at least 1 zero (BAL & PIT players both advancing past Wild Card round)

e.g., @Scoresman is relying on PHI, BUF, and BAL to win in the Wild Card round, PHI, DET, KC, and BAL winning in the Divisional round, and KC & PHI winning in the Conference Championships. That adds up to 9 games picked. There are 12 total games in the bracket, so 9 games picked means 3 games not picked. The 3 games not picked are all in the Wild Card round - they are not picking winners in: HOU vs LAC, TB vs WAS, and LAR vs MIN.

(It's possible I've made some errors in these counts.)

I think it's best not to pick more than 9 games, because there's too much chance of taking zeros if you need 10+ games to all go your way, and there's a case for picking fewer. e.g. Scoresman could pick only 8 games if they moved the 3 DET/KC/PHI players that they picked in the Divisional round to the Conference Championship round and took their 3 BAL players in the Divisional round. Then they could avoid taking zeros regardless of who won the BUF vs BAL game, and this wouldn't hurt their scoring much.

(This is not to pick on Scoresman; I think their entry posted here actually has the best chance of winning out of the ones that have been posted so far.)
Agree, this was my mindset. Even having 2 teams in the SB, you really have to nail that exact SB to win this thing I would think?

Maybe my strategy is off, but I have all QBs round 1, so should do okay there. R2 is nothing but Chiefs and Ravens as I feel both those 2 teams will be in a round 2 game, so loaded up on the best 6 from those 2 teams.

I'm taking a gamble but feel decent about Detroit and Philly both being in the AFCC, so loaded up on the best 6 from those teams there.

And if Buffalo is in the SB, I should have big points across the board with 5X everyone's points. 5X a buffalo kicker I feel better about than guessing if Det/Phi would be in the SB because being wrong ruins the entry there.
The thing I'm most worried about with your team is that you're counting on both DET & PHI to make it to the NFCCG, but you didn't pick either in the Super Bowl.

If it's a BUF-DET Super Bowl you'll have an uphill battle against entries that included some DET players in the Super Bowl round, and if it's a BUF-PHI Super Bowl then you'll have an uphill battle against entries that included some PHI players.

And both of those Super Bowl matchups are likely enough so that there will probably be lots of entries with each of them (more with BUF-DET than with BUF-PHI).
ya true, it is gambling yet playing it safe in a way i suppose. My only point being, it seems like if you don't have all 6 of your round 4 guys actually in the sb, it would be hard to win.
Comparing the entries so far in terms of number of NFL games picked. That is, how many NFL games need to go the way you predicted in order to avoid taking any zeros?

12 TheWinz
12 joey
11 Ruffrodys05
9* rustycolts
9 Dacomish
9 Scoresman
7 Deamon

* guaranteed to take at least 1 zero (BAL & PIT players both advancing past Wild Card round)

e.g., @Scoresman is relying on PHI, BUF, and BAL to win in the Wild Card round, PHI, DET, KC, and BAL winning in the Divisional round, and KC & PHI winning in the Conference Championships. That adds up to 9 games picked. There are 12 total games in the bracket, so 9 games picked means 3 games not picked. The 3 games not picked are all in the Wild Card round - they are not picking winners in: HOU vs LAC, TB vs WAS, and LAR vs MIN.

(It's possible I've made some errors in these counts.)

I think it's best not to pick more than 9 games, because there's too much chance of taking zeros if you need 10+ games to all go your way, and there's a case for picking fewer. e.g. Scoresman could pick only 8 games if they moved the 3 DET/KC/PHI players that they picked in the Divisional round to the Conference Championship round and took their 3 BAL players in the Divisional round. Then they could avoid taking zeros regardless of who won the BUF vs BAL game, and this wouldn't hurt their scoring much.

(This is not to pick on Scoresman; I think their entry posted here actually has the best chance of winning out of the ones that have been posted so far.)
Agree, this was my mindset. Even having 2 teams in the SB, you really have to nail that exact SB to win this thing I would think?

Maybe my strategy is off, but I have all QBs round 1, so should do okay there. R2 is nothing but Chiefs and Ravens as I feel both those 2 teams will be in a round 2 game, so loaded up on the best 6 from those 2 teams.

I'm taking a gamble but feel decent about Detroit and Philly both being in the AFCC, so loaded up on the best 6 from those teams there.

And if Buffalo is in the SB, I should have big points across the board with 5X everyone's points. 5X a buffalo kicker I feel better about than guessing if Det/Phi would be in the SB because being wrong ruins the entry there.
The thing I'm most worried about with your team is that you're counting on both DET & PHI to make it to the NFCCG, but you didn't pick either in the Super Bowl.

If it's a BUF-DET Super Bowl you'll have an uphill battle against entries that included some DET players in the Super Bowl round, and if it's a BUF-PHI Super Bowl then you'll have an uphill battle against entries that included some PHI players.

And both of those Super Bowl matchups are likely enough so that there will probably be lots of entries with each of them (more with BUF-DET than with BUF-PHI).
ya true, it is gambling yet playing it safe in a way i suppose. My only point being, it seems like if you don't have all 6 of your round 4 guys actually in the sb, it would be hard to win.

Too many teams will have Buffalo Det/Phi. Your Bass will be getting smoked by Hurts and Gibbs. Prize pool is only 12 deep. No room to play it safe.

Might work for a Buffalo Rams Bowl
so basically your final round you should pick (and have to nail) both sb teams. Hmm... might swap it to a bigger risk there.
 
Comparing the entries so far in terms of number of NFL games picked. That is, how many NFL games need to go the way you predicted in order to avoid taking any zeros?

12 TheWinz
12 joey
11 Ruffrodys05
9* rustycolts
9 Dacomish
9 Scoresman
7 Deamon

* guaranteed to take at least 1 zero (BAL & PIT players both advancing past Wild Card round)

e.g., @Scoresman is relying on PHI, BUF, and BAL to win in the Wild Card round, PHI, DET, KC, and BAL winning in the Divisional round, and KC & PHI winning in the Conference Championships. That adds up to 9 games picked. There are 12 total games in the bracket, so 9 games picked means 3 games not picked. The 3 games not picked are all in the Wild Card round - they are not picking winners in: HOU vs LAC, TB vs WAS, and LAR vs MIN.

(It's possible I've made some errors in these counts.)

I think it's best not to pick more than 9 games, because there's too much chance of taking zeros if you need 10+ games to all go your way, and there's a case for picking fewer. e.g. Scoresman could pick only 8 games if they moved the 3 DET/KC/PHI players that they picked in the Divisional round to the Conference Championship round and took their 3 BAL players in the Divisional round. Then they could avoid taking zeros regardless of who won the BUF vs BAL game, and this wouldn't hurt their scoring much.

(This is not to pick on Scoresman; I think their entry posted here actually has the best chance of winning out of the ones that have been posted so far.)
Agree, this was my mindset. Even having 2 teams in the SB, you really have to nail that exact SB to win this thing I would think?

Maybe my strategy is off, but I have all QBs round 1, so should do okay there. R2 is nothing but Chiefs and Ravens as I feel both those 2 teams will be in a round 2 game, so loaded up on the best 6 from those 2 teams.

I'm taking a gamble but feel decent about Detroit and Philly both being in the AFCC, so loaded up on the best 6 from those teams there.

And if Buffalo is in the SB, I should have big points across the board with 5X everyone's points. 5X a buffalo kicker I feel better about than guessing if Det/Phi would be in the SB because being wrong ruins the entry there.
The thing I'm most worried about with your team is that you're counting on both DET & PHI to make it to the NFCCG, but you didn't pick either in the Super Bowl.

If it's a BUF-DET Super Bowl you'll have an uphill battle against entries that included some DET players in the Super Bowl round, and if it's a BUF-PHI Super Bowl then you'll have an uphill battle against entries that included some PHI players.

And both of those Super Bowl matchups are likely enough so that there will probably be lots of entries with each of them (more with BUF-DET than with BUF-PHI).
ya true, it is gambling yet playing it safe in a way i suppose. My only point being, it seems like if you don't have all 6 of your round 4 guys actually in the sb, it would be hard to win.
Comparing the entries so far in terms of number of NFL games picked. That is, how many NFL games need to go the way you predicted in order to avoid taking any zeros?

12 TheWinz
12 joey
11 Ruffrodys05
9* rustycolts
9 Dacomish
9 Scoresman
7 Deamon

* guaranteed to take at least 1 zero (BAL & PIT players both advancing past Wild Card round)

e.g., @Scoresman is relying on PHI, BUF, and BAL to win in the Wild Card round, PHI, DET, KC, and BAL winning in the Divisional round, and KC & PHI winning in the Conference Championships. That adds up to 9 games picked. There are 12 total games in the bracket, so 9 games picked means 3 games not picked. The 3 games not picked are all in the Wild Card round - they are not picking winners in: HOU vs LAC, TB vs WAS, and LAR vs MIN.

(It's possible I've made some errors in these counts.)

I think it's best not to pick more than 9 games, because there's too much chance of taking zeros if you need 10+ games to all go your way, and there's a case for picking fewer. e.g. Scoresman could pick only 8 games if they moved the 3 DET/KC/PHI players that they picked in the Divisional round to the Conference Championship round and took their 3 BAL players in the Divisional round. Then they could avoid taking zeros regardless of who won the BUF vs BAL game, and this wouldn't hurt their scoring much.

(This is not to pick on Scoresman; I think their entry posted here actually has the best chance of winning out of the ones that have been posted so far.)
Agree, this was my mindset. Even having 2 teams in the SB, you really have to nail that exact SB to win this thing I would think?

Maybe my strategy is off, but I have all QBs round 1, so should do okay there. R2 is nothing but Chiefs and Ravens as I feel both those 2 teams will be in a round 2 game, so loaded up on the best 6 from those 2 teams.

I'm taking a gamble but feel decent about Detroit and Philly both being in the AFCC, so loaded up on the best 6 from those teams there.

And if Buffalo is in the SB, I should have big points across the board with 5X everyone's points. 5X a buffalo kicker I feel better about than guessing if Det/Phi would be in the SB because being wrong ruins the entry there.
The thing I'm most worried about with your team is that you're counting on both DET & PHI to make it to the NFCCG, but you didn't pick either in the Super Bowl.

If it's a BUF-DET Super Bowl you'll have an uphill battle against entries that included some DET players in the Super Bowl round, and if it's a BUF-PHI Super Bowl then you'll have an uphill battle against entries that included some PHI players.

And both of those Super Bowl matchups are likely enough so that there will probably be lots of entries with each of them (more with BUF-DET than with BUF-PHI).
ya true, it is gambling yet playing it safe in a way i suppose. My only point being, it seems like if you don't have all 6 of your round 4 guys actually in the sb, it would be hard to win.

Too many teams will have Buffalo Det/Phi. Your Bass will be getting smoked by Hurts and Gibbs. Prize pool is only 12 deep. No room to play it safe.

Might work for a Buffalo Rams Bowl
so basically your final round you should pick (and have to nail) both sb teams. Hmm... might swap it to a bigger risk there.
If you pick only 1 SB team, then you're rooting for an upset in the other conference. e.g., If it's a DET-PIT Super Bowl, not many entries will have that SB matchup, so entries with a DET-only SB have a real shot. But if it's DET-KC, then those DET-only entries are probably toast because lots of people are going to have DET-KC. (Though maybe there's an outside chance for a DET-only roster to win, if the game is a blowout win for DET, or if Mahomes is out, or if you have one of the rare Tim Patrick SB rosters and he scores 3 touchdowns, or somesuch.)

With your entry here, if it's BUF-DET or BUF-PHI then lots of other entries will have the exact matchup and not just BUF-only, and if it's something surprising like BUF-WAS then you're taking 3 zeros in the conference championship round so that doesn't really help you.
 

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