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*** Official 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season Thread - Leslie, Milton *** and Helene (9 Viewers)

I bought a little camp stove so I can make tea and eggs in the house. Pulled the cars all under the carport. Cleaned the AC filter covers and put new filters in. Washed all my sheets and towels. Finished my side gig project so it’s not stuck behind no power/internet. Now we wait. I’m 20 miles directly east of Tallahassee. Now we wait.
 
Helene pulled in a little dry air which slowed intensification but it's likely about to rapidly intensify. HWRF and HMON still forecasting sub 940mb on the 12z forecast. HAFS A and B both dropped pressure forecast.
 
PIK95 said:
If it makes landfall during eyeball replacement, that's gotta be a good thing, right? On this live radar I'm seeing now the eye looks like it jogged a bit more east than they are acknowledging. Keep an eye on that. Good luck everyone, hopefully you all left it's path.
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There isn't an eyewall to really replace until perhaps 1 hrs ago. Recon has the eye about 40 miles wide
 
Osaurus said:
Lost a couple of small partial shingles on a ridge vent on the roof in the back of the house. No big deal. Definitely way more wind than just an hour ago here SE of Tampa
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How many shingles do you need to lose to qualify for a new roof via insurance? It's tougher than it used to be and most people have big deductibles.

In Miami, gusts to 54, over 60 in Ft. Lauderdale. The wind field is huge. Now a Cat 3, 120 mpg, 959 mb. Probably won't reach Cat 5 before landfall.
 
SoBeDad said:
Osaurus said:
Lost a couple of small partial shingles on a ridge vent on the roof in the back of the house. No big deal. Definitely way more wind than just an hour ago here SE of Tampa
Click to expand...
How many shingles do you need to lose to qualify for a new roof via insurance? It's tougher than it used to be and most people have big deductibles.

In Miami, gusts to 54, over 60 in Ft. Lauderdale. The wind field is huge. Now a Cat 3, 120 mpg, 959 mb. Probably won't reach Cat 5 before landfall.
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My roof is five years old. These two pieces that came off on the ridge vent weren't glued down very well. It’s still under warranty so yay. We paid for our roof replacement unlike most of my neighbors back then. Still got a 67% homeowner’s insurance premium hike with no claims ever. Always rewarding doing the right thing.
 
Osaurus said:
SoBeDad said:
Osaurus said:
Lost a couple of small partial shingles on a ridge vent on the roof in the back of the house. No big deal. Definitely way more wind than just an hour ago here SE of Tampa
Click to expand...
How many shingles do you need to lose to qualify for a new roof via insurance? It's tougher than it used to be and most people have big deductibles.

In Miami, gusts to 54, over 60 in Ft. Lauderdale. The wind field is huge. Now a Cat 3, 120 mpg, 959 mb. Probably won't reach Cat 5 before landfall.
Click to expand...
My roof is five years old. These two pieces that came off on the ridge vent weren't glued down very well. It’s still under warranty so yay. We paid for our roof replacement unlike most of my neighbors back then. Still got a 67% homeowner’s insurance premium hike with no claims ever. Always rewarding doing the right thing.
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Need more people like you in the world.

Big reason why homeowners in Florida can’t get reasonably priced home insurance or have been dropped entirely were roofing companies and owners gouging them for new roofs after “losing a couple shingles” off of already very old roofs in these storms.
 
Grahamburn said:
Big reason why homeowners in Florida can’t get reasonably priced home insurance or have been dropped entirely were roofing companies and owners gouging them for new roofs after “losing a couple shingles” off of already very old roofs in these storms.
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Yes, there were and will be many roofers scouting houses for fraudulent or inflated insurance claims, with complicit homeowners. OTOH, there are many news stories of insurance claims after Ian struck Ft. Myers Beach in 2022 that remain unpaid. There were about 700,000 claims. Ian was estimated to have caused over $100 billion in damages. The initial projections for Helene are much lower, at this point in time.
 
We've had sustained significant winds (30+mph, 50+ gusts) for 5 or more hours now in Ft Myers. Mildly surprised given how far we are away from the storm. Not much rain.
 
Getting soaked here in NC. Amazing how intense thunderstorms don’t seem to find a route in but these all day soaking rains lead to leads. Starting to see some flooding. This system is just pumping moisture up the Appalachian Mts.
 
Plenty of rain so far here in the midlands of SC. I don't think most of it is coming from Helene though. My biggest concern for my area is when the right front quadrant passes through here during the early morning hours. Very prime for tornadic activity.
 
Looks like another one is likely next week in the gulf which cuts across Florida and then heads up the Southeast coast a bit
 
Here on Hilton Head Island, SC. Rain has been steady all day, but picking up now. About 15 mph winds now but expected to get up to 48 mph by 11 pm. One tornado was sighted in the area earlier today in Bluffton. Wind and rain expected to continue all night, then taper off by tomorrow afternoon late.
 
Starting to slightly lighten up here SE of Tampa. I’m east of I-75 so no storm surge of any kind near me, but the coastal areas everywhere are no bueno.
 
Reporting live from the Upstate of South Carolina (Charlotte for all you rebel mother****ers), started here in earnest about 5am, calling for an inch + of rain over the next 4-5 hours, winds around 30-50 mph. Should be a fun morning.
 
There were storm chasers on Youtube in Perry, FL last night
Yeah it was pretty insane watching them outside in the wall of the storm but I have to say it was eye opening at the same time

After the initial wall passed thru Perry they were driving around in the eye of the storm and the back side of the wall just wasn't as strong.
There were a couple of gas stations that looked pretty damaged, some trees down but it really didn't look that bad

Was there a 20 foot storm surge as they predicted? I didn't see anything actually reported like that on the ground
I don't think anything close to 140 mph winds were reported on the ground

The saving grace for Florida was the speed of the storm traveling almost 25 mph so it didn't stay very long anywhere it hit last night
And it was downgraded from a Cat-4 t a Cat-1 almost immediately after it made landfall

Happy most folks are safe
 
All good for me outside the Tampa Bay Area where I live. St. Pete got predictably wrecked. My sister has flooding outside her place. Area could not take a direct hit, at all.

We had a pre-planned trip to Orlando for a Disney week so it’s been kinda odd hearing from my family while I’m eating Mickey waffles.
 
Brother getting nailed in western North Carolina. If you look at a weather map and see the the center of the storm - he's basically right under that. Lost power. There is a river flood warning and mandatory evacuations yesterday. Lucky for him he built his house up in the mountains so all good there. He's lost trees for sure and they are in the thick of it right now.
 
ChiefD said:
Brother getting nailed in western North Carolina. If you look at a weather map and see the the center of the storm - he's basically right under that. Lost power. There is a river flood warning and mandatory evacuations yesterday. Lucky for him he built his house up in the mountains so all good there. He's lost trees for sure and they are in the thick of it right now.
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Saw videos of Asheville near Biltmore Estates lastnight were cars were driving almost completely under water. Looks really bad there.
 
Looks like the worst flooding on beaches and low lying areas in Tampa/St Pete in memory. Lots of FB videos of ankle to waist deep water in yards, garages, etc. All 3 bridges over Bay are closed. Beaches closed. Damage will be heavy. But at least it’s gone now and sunny.
 
Capella said:
All good for me outside the Tampa Bay Area where I live. St. Pete got predictably wrecked. My sister has flooding outside her place. Area could not take a direct hit, at all.

We had a pre-planned trip to Orlando for a Disney week so it’s been kinda odd hearing from my family while I’m eating Mickey waffles.
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I was going to say it looks like St Pete along 4th Street got wrecked pretty bad, friend had water up to his knees inside the home, that can't be good
I love St Pete, would hate to see it destroyed

-Winds, rain, neither was a major impact but it does seem like the storm surge was the worst part of it after the storm passed.
I can't imagine if St Pete took a direct hit with a Cat-3 or higher, even a Cat-1 would have even more water.
Cedar Key had almost 10 feet, haven't seen a lot of footage from there
 
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steelerfan1 said:
ChiefD said:
Brother getting nailed in western North Carolina. If you look at a weather map and see the the center of the storm - he's basically right under that. Lost power. There is a river flood warning and mandatory evacuations yesterday. Lucky for him he built his house up in the mountains so all good there. He's lost trees for sure and they are in the thick of it right now.
Click to expand...
Saw videos of Asheville near Biltmore Estates lastnight were cars were driving almost completely under water. Looks really bad there.
Click to expand...
Yeah, he's about 45 minutes southeast from there.
 
We lost power at 11:45 last night. No cell service either. We had a bunch of scrub limbs come down but nothing on the house. And old oak tree next door came up and took out our fence. The roots are up in my yard. I drive to the interstate to get cell service and all the tree, power, and national guard guys were staged. They all headed out. So I’m sure we will be back up and running by tomorrow. Our little town wasn’t hit too bad. Hope they rest of you in the path do ok.
 
So lucky that a populated place such as the Tampa area, Panama City, or Pensacola didn't take a direct hit. Helene struck one of the least populated costal areas on the Gulf coast.
 
All good here SE of Tampa. Waiting for roofer to come and replace 2 shingles on a ridge vent. Not a lot of big debris in the neighborhood. Just a lot of small twigs and the like. Prepping for the next hurricane momentarily.
 
Pretty much over here in the Mill, lotta wind, usual downed trees, lotta water that is going to cause some flooding the next few days but should be able to handle it. Power flickered at the house a few times but never lost. There are quite a few in SC & NC without power and probably will be for a bit. All in all, other than the leak in my roof that we knew was going to cause issues, weathered the storm and moving on.

Wishing you all in the line of this thing the best, stay safe folks. Don't go out driving in the water, it ain't that important. We had good Samaritans cutting up a tree that had fell across a road and some knucklehead came around the corner, drove around it and hit them. I've seen a vid of another knuckle dragger that drove through someone's front yard to clear a tree just tearing it up. Don't be a douche.
 
i hope that everyone is safe and doing as well as they can what is nuts to me is that i read about this hurricane and its path in an article earlier this week that said the storm had not formed yet so they knew this baby was going to form and where it was going to go before it happened that is some serious sciencing and that is probably saving lives take that to the bank brohans
 
Ministry of Pain said:
Was there a 20 foot storm surge as they predicted? I didn't see anything actually reported like that on the ground
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I think local LE prevented cars from going to costal ground zero along many roads. That said, the exact coastal surge is dependent on local geography and the amount of time the max winds are in an area. Helene was fast moving. The Tampa region had lower winds but they lasted for a long time.
 
A bunch of tornado warnings for the Raleigh-Durham area this morning, but I haven't heard any reports of actual tornados on the ground. Looks like the western part of the state is getting much worse in the way of rain and flash flooding.
 
steelerfan1 said:
ChiefD said:
Brother getting nailed in western North Carolina. If you look at a weather map and see the the center of the storm - he's basically right under that. Lost power. There is a river flood warning and mandatory evacuations yesterday. Lucky for him he built his house up in the mountains so all good there. He's lost trees for sure and they are in the thick of it right now.
Click to expand...
Saw videos of Asheville near Biltmore Estates lastnight were cars were driving almost completely under water. Looks really bad there.
Click to expand...
Yup. Now they have sent out notice that the water will be cut off. My partner is in Asheville and safe. I'm East but the main interstate is closed in 3-4 locations due to flooding and another from a mudslide. Probably will be a day or two before travel can resume.
 
Preliminary estimates from the Steinhatchee were 15 foot storm surge as predicted. I just heard that from a meteorologist on NPR. Very lucky Helene hit one of the least populated coastal areas in Florida.

www.nbcnews.com

Steinhatchee hit with severe flooding as Hurricane Helene makes landfall

Streets in Steinhatchee, Florida, flooded as Hurricane Helene made landfall as a dangerous Category 4 storm, with maximum sustained wind speeds of 140 mph.
www.nbcnews.com www.nbcnews.com

 
BassNBrew said:
steelerfan1 said:
ChiefD said:
Brother getting nailed in western North Carolina. If you look at a weather map and see the the center of the storm - he's basically right under that. Lost power. There is a river flood warning and mandatory evacuations yesterday. Lucky for him he built his house up in the mountains so all good there. He's lost trees for sure and they are in the thick of it right now.
Click to expand...
Saw videos of Asheville near Biltmore Estates lastnight were cars were driving almost completely under water. Looks really bad there.
Click to expand...
Yup. Now they have sent out notice that the water will be cut off. My partner is in Asheville and safe. I'm East but the main interstate is closed in 3-4 locations due to flooding and another from a mudslide. Probably will be a day or two before travel can resume.
Click to expand...
Are you in Boone or parts in between?
 
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