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*** Official 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season Thread *** Post Helene and Milton (1 Viewer)

Miami Dade country rain predictions have dropped considerably over the next 48 hours. Maybe .5'-1' rain today and nothing tomorrow. Seems kind of strange considering our proximity to Milton. Wind gusts are going to be under 30 mph as well.
 
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM EDT...1400 UTC...INFORMATION-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.5N 84.5WABOUT 115 MI...185 KM WNW OF THE DRY TORTUGAS
ABOUT 210 MI...340 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...919 MB...27.14 INCHES
 
I’m up south of Jacksonville on I-95 at a rest stop. Didn’t feel like sitting in a dark box listening the wind shrieking for hours tbh.

Current track has Milton making landfall at Sarasota-Bradenton airport. That’s about 41ish miles south of my house. Hope it goes south even more, but I know it will get worse for others.

I have my dog, Beans, with me. We’re bouncing from rest stop to rest stop. Gas was an issue in Daytona, but Buc-ee’s ftw. I’m headed north to Jacksonville and then headed over I-10 to Lake City. I want to get to a rest stop close enough, but safe, to be ready to head back the house as soon as I can tomorrow morning
 
Osaurus said:
I’m up south of Jacksonville on I-95 at a rest stop. Didn’t feel like sitting in a dark box listening the wind shrieking for hours tbh.

Current track has Milton making landfall at Sarasota-Bradenton airport. That’s about 41ish miles south of my house. Hope it goes south even more, but I know it will get worse for others.

I have my dog, Beans, with me. We’re bouncing from rest stop to rest stop. Gas was an issue in Daytona, but Buc-ee’s ftw. I’m headed north to Jacksonville and then headed over I-10 to Lake City. I want to get to a rest stop close enough, but safe, to be ready to head back the house as soon as I can tomorrow morning
Click to expand...
Hows traffic? Google maps showing pretty clear on all the interstates.

Stay safe!
 
Ministry of Pain said:
Mjolnirs said:
Ministry of Pain said:
It's a myth that started in the 70s and unfortunately some Floridians still think it's a good idea. "Hurricane Brochures" back then use to print it, that's how bad things use to be
Click to expand...
Yeh, we used to hear about taping windows growing up. It was supposed to keep shattered glass from flying into the house.
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Hurricane David 1979, I was 5 years old, my parents were from Charleston, WV but I was born in Miami and that's where we lived
We were in our first home maybe a year and my mother was taping the windows exactly how they tell you not to now
I'll never forget that and she did it because the hurricane brochures you get in the grocery stores told people to do it
Click to expand...
I remember David well, I was 15 we lost power, but not for long.
Speaking of those brochures, they used to come with fold out maps that you could track the storms. It used to be you waited for the updates on the news, wrote down the coordinates and updated your map. That's how we kept up with the path. It's also how I knew I was about 5 miles south of 33.00 north, 80.00 west.
 
Osaurus said:
I’m up south of Jacksonville on I-95 at a rest stop. Didn’t feel like sitting in a dark box listening the wind shrieking for hours tbh.

Current track has Milton making landfall at Sarasota-Bradenton airport. That’s about 41ish miles south of my house. Hope it goes south even more, but I know it will get worse for others.

I have my dog, Beans, with me. We’re bouncing from rest stop to rest stop. Gas was an issue in Daytona, but Buc-ee’s ftw. I’m headed north to Jacksonville and then headed over I-10 to Lake City. I want to get to a rest stop close enough, but safe, to be ready to head back the house as soon as I can tomorrow morning
Click to expand...
Do they have beer at the rest stops in Florida?
 
My aunt and uncle live in Englewood and track looks worse for them. They said earlier this week they wouldn’t evacuate and stopped responding to my and my Mom’s texts. My cousins were begging them to leave as well. This is terrifying all around and just hope they come to their senses today.

My brother always does Hurricane relief volunteer type work (usually roofing stuff) and he thinks this thing is going to do what Katrina did to Mississippi (which was honestly worse then New Orleans). Surprised they won’t listen to him given he has seen this stuff before.
 
Osaurus said:
I’m up south of Jacksonville on I-95 at a rest stop. Didn’t feel like sitting in a dark box listening the wind shrieking for hours tbh.

Current track has Milton making landfall at Sarasota-Bradenton airport. That’s about 41ish miles south of my house. Hope it goes south even more, but I know it will get worse for others.

I have my dog, Beans, with me. We’re bouncing from rest stop to rest stop. Gas was an issue in Daytona, but Buc-ee’s ftw. I’m headed north to Jacksonville and then headed over I-10 to Lake City. I want to get to a rest stop close enough, but safe, to be ready to head back the house as soon as I can tomorrow morning
Click to expand...
Safe travels man
 
Redwes25 said:
My aunt and uncle live in Englewood and track looks worse for them. They said earlier this week they wouldn’t evacuate and stopped responding to my and my Mom’s texts. My cousins were begging them to leave as well. This is terrifying all around and just hope they come to their senses today.

My brother always does Hurricane relief volunteer type work (usually roofing stuff) and he thinks this thing is going to do what Katrina did to Mississippi (which was honestly worse then New Orleans). Surprised they won’t listen to him given he has seen this stuff before.
Click to expand...
This is shaping up to be sort of like Katrina in that a late ERC doesn't swallow enough dry air but results in an expanding wind field with no reduction in surge. The track in that situation is not nearly as important as simply the size. For whatever reason people are laser focused on the track and wobbles for some reason, but this thing is sending tornadoes deep into SE Florida as the wind field expands.
 
Uruk-Hai said:
Osaurus said:
I’m up south of Jacksonville on I-95 at a rest stop. Didn’t feel like sitting in a dark box listening the wind shrieking for hours tbh.

Current track has Milton making landfall at Sarasota-Bradenton airport. That’s about 41ish miles south of my house. Hope it goes south even more, but I know it will get worse for others.

I have my dog, Beans, with me. We’re bouncing from rest stop to rest stop. Gas was an issue in Daytona, but Buc-ee’s ftw. I’m headed north to Jacksonville and then headed over I-10 to Lake City. I want to get to a rest stop close enough, but safe, to be ready to head back the house as soon as I can tomorrow morning
Click to expand...
Do they have beer at the rest stops in Florida?
Click to expand...
Didn’t see it, but that might be an issue for some
 
Wingnut said:
Osaurus said:
I’m up south of Jacksonville on I-95 at a rest stop. Didn’t feel like sitting in a dark box listening the wind shrieking for hours tbh.

Current track has Milton making landfall at Sarasota-Bradenton airport. That’s about 41ish miles south of my house. Hope it goes south even more, but I know it will get worse for others.

I have my dog, Beans, with me. We’re bouncing from rest stop to rest stop. Gas was an issue in Daytona, but Buc-ee’s ftw. I’m headed north to Jacksonville and then headed over I-10 to Lake City. I want to get to a rest stop close enough, but safe, to be ready to head back the house as soon as I can tomorrow morning
Click to expand...
Hows traffic? Google maps showing pretty clear on all the interstates.

Stay safe!
Click to expand...
It’s been smooth sailing ever since I left Riverview at 3 am. Went up to Ocala on 75 and over 40 to Daytona
 
Osaurus said:
I’m up south of Jacksonville on I-95 at a rest stop. Didn’t feel like sitting in a dark box listening the wind shrieking for hours tbh.

Current track has Milton making landfall at Sarasota-Bradenton airport. That’s about 41ish miles south of my house. Hope it goes south even more, but I know it will get worse for others.

I have my dog, Beans, with me. We’re bouncing from rest stop to rest stop. Gas was an issue in Daytona, but Buc-ee’s ftw. I’m headed north to Jacksonville and then headed over I-10 to Lake City. I want to get to a rest stop close enough, but safe, to be ready to head back the house as soon as I can tomorrow morning
Click to expand...
Good man. Shout out to Beans. Extra treats.
 
This is awesome. Being able to text land receive alerts during the hurricane and aftermath is pretty amazing.

Musk accelerates Starlink for Hurricane Milton victims, free of charge for those in need​


Tesla and SpaceX patriarch Elon Musk has teamed up with T-Mobile to provide Starlink’s direct-to-cell service for those impacted by Hurricane Milton.

Musk and SpaceX – which powers and operates Starlink – took to X overnight to announce that more than 10,000 Starlink satellite kits have been deployed to provide basic texting functionality.

"We have accelerated the rollout of Starlink direct to cell phone connectivity for areas affected by the hurricanes," Musk wrote.

This is being provided free of charge by SpaceX and [T-Mobile] to help those in need."

SpaceX further clarified that the satellites will provide emergency alerts and texts for all phones and carriers, but T-Mobile phones have already been sent a notification that they can additionally "text loved ones" and 911.

To identify whether a phone is connected to a Starlink satellite, SpaceX says it will have one to two bars of signal and show "T-Mobile SpaceX" in the network name.

"Users may have to manually retry text messages if they don’t go through at first, as this is being delivered on a best-effort basis," SpaceX also wrote on X. "The service works best outdoors, and occasionally works indoors near a window."

www.foxbusiness.com

Musk accelerates Starlink for Hurricane Milton victims, free of charge 'for those in need'

SpaceX and T-Mobile received FCC permission to accelerate Starlink satellite deliveries for areas bracing for Hurricane Milton's impact and provide basic texting functions.
www.foxbusiness.com www.foxbusiness.com
 
Last edited:
Mrs. Rannous said:
GregR said:
Ministry of Pain said:
-How does one describe officials telling everyone to flee 2-3-4 days ahead of time based on a track that was pretty much agreed on by all the models and then a wobble occurs?
Click to expand...

We describe it as them doing their jobs and looking out for human life with the information they have available. To not do so would be negligent.

Seriously MoP, don't go all MoP here. If they don't evacuate early the areas most likely to be devastated, then there isn't time for the number of people involved to get out who need to.
Click to expand...
They are doing their jobs. After Ike, analysis improved how this stuff happens all over. And this is where it all began. It's difficult to overstate just how much Ed Emmett did for disaster prep. We are all used to the idea of a public press conference with multiple officials giving updates in their areas of resposibility. But it wasn't like that in the dark times. It was confusing and sort of like the Keystone Cops were running the show. A nice blueprint for getting stuff done in an orderly manner made everyone safer.

For me locally, our CBS affiliate, KHOU, hired Dr Neil Frank back in 1987. He was the head of the National Hurricane Center before that. He imparted his expertise to the current head of the weather department, David Paul. He always makes sure that people know that the storm could go anywhere in that cone and why. I always know about the steering currents and other nuggets of information so I can make an informed choice. He gets the whole team to provide weather education during the run-up to storms of any kind so all can get a better understanding of what's going on.

Some of y'all have been talking about that wobble thing. Back when Cat 5 Rita was threatening the area, it kept jiggling around like Jello. I wasn't comfortable until Frank made the call about where it would make landfall. Some hurricanes just aren't all that co-operative. Back when the Harvey predictions were coming in, David Paul went to Dr. Frank's house to talk about it. The numbers said FIFTY inches of rain might happen. They looked at each other and said there's no way, but Paul reported it anyway just in case. Good thing, too. You just never know.
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remember this guy when I lived in Houston. High and tight and very serious.
 
Osaurus said:
Can anyone confirm landfall at 8 pm?
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I keep seeing Midnight but maybe things have changed, impact definitely will be felt around that time

-We have active tornadoes on and around Lake Okeechobee, not the most populated sections of Florida but with the more Southern track, we are now getting tornado warnings in Broward, Palm Beach and Martin County already
 
Osaurus said:
I’m up south of Jacksonville on I-95 at a rest stop. Didn’t feel like sitting in a dark box listening the wind shrieking for hours tbh.

Current track has Milton making landfall at Sarasota-Bradenton airport. That’s about 41ish miles south of my house. Hope it goes south even more, but I know it will get worse for others.

I have my dog, Beans, with me. We’re bouncing from rest stop to rest stop. Gas was an issue in Daytona, but Buc-ee’s ftw. I’m headed north to Jacksonville and then headed over I-10 to Lake City. I want to get to a rest stop close enough, but safe, to be ready to head back the house as soon as I can tomorrow morning
Click to expand...
Lake City has some nice areas and right up to the FL-GA border along 441, good local spots
"Ellianos Coffee" is worth the stop, good stuff

Be safe, you were smart to get out, you'll be able to return quickly 🤞
 
Pretty big tornado that has been moving North aiong the Western part of Broward and up into Palm Beach and around Lake Okeechobee

-Here is my big fear now, the track is going in a little further South than what was broadcast say 2 days ago and now you have people that are probably 2nd guessing staying in Ft Myers or SW Florida which looks like it's gonna be pretty bad there, now you have folks driving and they don't realize that far outer bacnds or storms ahead of this Hurricane are already here...

I don't want anyone to have to be on Aliligator Alley which the connector from Ft Laud/Miami to Naples/Ft Myers/West Coast
This could become very dangerous if lots of people start getting on the road to flee at this point

Ft Myers is getting pummeled right now
 
culdeus said:
Redwes25 said:
My aunt and uncle live in Englewood and track looks worse for them. They said earlier this week they wouldn’t evacuate and stopped responding to my and my Mom’s texts. My cousins were begging them to leave as well. This is terrifying all around and just hope they come to their senses today.

My brother always does Hurricane relief volunteer type work (usually roofing stuff) and he thinks this thing is going to do what Katrina did to Mississippi (which was honestly worse then New Orleans). Surprised they won’t listen to him given he has seen this stuff before.
Click to expand...
This is shaping up to be sort of like Katrina in that a late ERC doesn't swallow enough dry air but results in an expanding wind field with no reduction in surge. The track in that situation is not nearly as important as simply the size. For whatever reason people are laser focused on the track and wobbles for some reason, but this thing is sending tornadoes deep into SE Florida as the wind field expands.
Click to expand...

expanding wind field
 
Osaurus said:
Can anyone confirm landfall at 8 pm?
Click to expand...
Updating based on the TV meteorologist in the local South Florida have said perhaps as early as 8pm
I'm guessing the sooner the better
-Also it would appear that this storm is picking up speed meaning hopefully it won't stay long
Moving along at 14-15 mph last I saw
 
I know there was a lot of wobble talk yesterday, but Milton has returned to the centerline of the NHC cone and has been at roughly due north for the past 2 hours.
 
Ministry of Pain said:
Osaurus said:
Can anyone confirm landfall at 8 pm?
Click to expand...
Updating based on the TV meteorologist in the local South Florida have said perhaps as early as 8pm
I'm guessing the sooner the better
-Also it would appear that this storm is picking up speed meaning hopefully it won't stay long
Moving along at 14-15 mph last I saw
Click to expand...
Vector speed matters here. If it's going more east it lands later because of the shape of florida. 14-15 Due north is very different than East.
 
Next two recon missions carry two autonomous hunter drones to be launched and going full yolo for 90 minutes each.
 
Ministry of Pain said:
Ft Myers is getting pummeled right now
Click to expand...

eoMMan said:
Hawks64 said:
They are seeing a lot of tornadic activity in Ft Meyers/Cape Coral area :crying:
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Lovers Key State Park and also in Charlotte county.
Click to expand...

They are absorbing a major outer band and it looks painful right now, lot of tornado activity
Eye witness accounts and video coming in of them touching down, they look a lot bigger than a tornado we would normally see in Florida
 
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