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*** OFFICIAL *** COVID-19 CoronaVirus Thread. Fresh epidemic fears as child pneumonia cases surge in Europe after China outbreak. NOW in USA (18 Viewers)

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I'm sure everyone has discussed this ad nauseum but...20% of Grocery Workers across the country have tested positive for the Coronavirus and obviously not all at once but it shows the place where the risk is greatest. Not surprisingly the next two were restaurants with dine in and get this, gyms?! 

These 3 seems like pretty obvious and magnets for people. Somehow though, malls were not ranked high at all. I think that's because they are mostly empty right now. 

I understand why folks want to go to their gyms, same as I like to play on my Courts, difference is I have copious amounts of fresh air and can socially distance pretty well, gyms are mostly indoors. Up North in the Winter it's gotta be rough with no place to go work out, running or cycling outside isn't really an option in Jan/Feb. 
I’d be interested in seeing a link to these data if you have one. 
 

I saw someone claim the other day that there haven’t been very many proven transmissions through playing sports. Would be great to see a ranked list of what activities are the biggest causes. 

 
I understand why folks want to go to their gyms, same as I like to play on my Courts, difference is I have copious amounts of fresh air and can socially distance pretty well, gyms are mostly indoors. Up North in the Winter it's gotta be rough with no place to go work out, running or cycling outside isn't really an option in Jan/Feb. 
My wife goes to the gym (bootcamp type classes) 4 days a week while we're in Boise. She's the only one that wears a mask the whole time, including the instructors.  Since we're new here, it seems obvious that people kind of avoid her, maybe thinking it's weird. Thankfully, she's not the type to care what people think of her and doesn't need to talk to people. She continues to be shocked that no one else wears one, especially with the crazy spike going on in Idaho.

 
They should just shut supermarkets down period. Go to on-line and phone orders only. The people that are running the registers, interacting with customers and stocking shelves are now back there filling orders. It is car side for everyone. I know logistically some people would struggle with this due to technology constraints or age/disability issues, but maybe you set up kiosks in the parking lot to assist those groups of people. I mean when you drive by Walmart/Safeway now, it is packed to the gills in there. They have given up on monitoring numbers of people coming  in/out or aisle patterns.  This would also assist in limiting people hording items as well. Walmart has a home delivery service, but it is in its infancy at least here. Maybe some kind of collaborative effort with Instacart or Uber to assist in getting groceries delivered? We need to start getting creative.  

Right now the health department is saying in our county of 720k---one in 160 people have this virus and if you, on average in a day, interact with 20 people at your job, the store, etc..you will be in contact with at least one person who is infected that week. Our positivity rate is 13,26% of people getting tested. which is insane. 

I think we either shut it down and hope this vaccine can be distributed quickly or we start to think outside the box (like the idea above) and try and keep this open, which means sacrificing some of the things you might "want" to do.  We need to do something because people, left to their own devices, are too stupid to do it on their own and we are seeing that with the daily numbers that are coming in. 

 
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got my results back NEGATIVE!!! 

My first thought is now that I know 100% I don't have it
glad you probably don't have it.  my understanding is that false negatives are always possible and with some tests and circumstances around the testing, (mainly timing i think), false negatives are quite common.

 
A good friend of mine lives in Nebraska and someone he knows recently died of COVID in a small town. The older gentleman was a long-time bartender at the townie bar that never enforced mask use. The locals plan to memorialize him this coming weekend - with an all-day reception at the bar, complete with drink specials and a potluck. There won't be a mask in sight.

This is consistent with what I keep hearing about small towns in Nebraska and what I've personally seen in rural Minnesota and Iowa. Very little mask use and businesses not caring about any rules (if they exist at all). How can we possibly expect to make any progress?
Public Health Police Powers

 
What you said isn’t true. 20% of the workers in one store in Boston were infected. Not 20% of grocery store workers across the country. The articles title is ridiculously misleading. It even mentions the union with 1.3 million people has had 108 deaths and 16k infections. Both of those figures are less than the national average. I mean, how many grocery stores have no infections. That type of story is borderline reckless because it insinuates that going into a grocery store is ridiculously dangerous when the study is about 1 store where 9% of the workers admitted to not wearing masks in the store and 23% admitted to not wearing masks outside of the store. What if a bunch were friends and hung out together a lot. If 20% of grocery store workers got infected then the union would have 260k cases not 16k. The nationwide average is about 3% (11M in 330M).

 
What you said isn’t true. 20% of the workers in one store in Boston were infected. Not 20% of grocery store workers across the country. The articles title is ridiculously misleading. It even mentions the union with 1.3 million people has had 108 deaths and 16k infections. Both of those figures are less than the national average. I mean, how many grocery stores have no infections. That type of story is borderline reckless because it insinuates that going into a grocery store is ridiculously dangerous when the study is about 1 store where 9% of the workers admitted to not wearing masks in the store and 23% admitted to not wearing masks outside of the store. What if a bunch were friends and hung out together a lot. If 20% of grocery store workers got infected then the union would have 260k cases not 16k. The nationwide average is about 3% (11M in 330M).
Fair Fair but let's not pretend that it's only happening in Boston, my son is a manager at Publix-bog chain in South, you wouldn't believe what goes on behind closed doors. 

 
My wife goes to the gym (bootcamp type classes) 4 days a week while we're in Boise. She's the only one that wears a mask the whole time, including the instructors.  Since we're new here, it seems obvious that people kind of avoid her, maybe thinking it's weird. Thankfully, she's not the type to care what people think of her and doesn't need to talk to people. She continues to be shocked that no one else wears one, especially with the crazy spike going on in Idaho.
Welcome to Idaho GB. 
 

*keep wearing your mask. 

 
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My wife goes to the gym (bootcamp type classes) 4 days a week while we're in Boise. She's the only one that wears a mask the whole time, including the instructors.  Since we're new here, it seems obvious that people kind of avoid her, maybe thinking it's weird. Thankfully, she's not the type to care what people think of her and doesn't need to talk to people. She continues to be shocked that no one else wears one, especially with the crazy spike going on in Idaho.
If she's the only one wearing a mask, that isn't really going to prevent her from getting COVID, especially in an enclosed space with people presumable breathing heavy and whatnot. 

 
Love the seemingly opposite realities in WI.  Just got notifications of the plans to send kids back to school on Jan 19th, mostly due to a lot of pressure from parents.  Meanwhile, WI seems to be getting lit up with cases.   I love the part in the email about the decision stating that they were doing it in Jan because of the worry about flare ups over the holidays.  I guess they don't understand the exponential spread, or that the New Years holiday isn't that far off of when people would be sending kids back.  So we are really seeing increasing cases and we have yet to hit Thanksgiving, Christmas, and New Years.  

On a side note, wife has felt like #### for about 5-6 days.  Usually gets something this time of year, but since she was bad enough to call off of work with symptoms that still could be related, she made an appt to get tested this am.  The other day the kid was coughing and he complained about being cold - sure enough an elevated temp, so he also earned a swab this am.  Probably should get results by Saturday or sooner.  

 
Actually 112 days and the costs were not only financial. Higher mental health requests, domestic violence, drug abuse and suicide.
The uptick of those things for 3.5 months does not justify allowing the disease to spread exponentially for a year + longer.   A deadly disease is going to result in hard decisions and bad outcomes no matter what. With that said--the worst possible way to handle things are to let it explode--kill hundreds of thousands of people, allow your healthcare system to collapse, extend the length of time it will impact people financially and emotionally.   If you think we are handling it better than Australia---I powerfully beg to disagree with you.  

 
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If she's the only one wearing a mask, that isn't really going to prevent her from getting COVID, especially in an enclosed space with people presumable breathing heavy and whatnot. 
:shrug:  She's used to 10-15 classes a week. It's not ideal but it keeps her sane.

 
Love the seemingly opposite realities in WI.  Just got notifications of the plans to send kids back to school on Jan 19th, mostly due to a lot of pressure from parents.  Meanwhile, WI seems to be getting lit up with cases.   I love the part in the email about the decision stating that they were doing it in Jan because of the worry about flare ups over the holidays.  I guess they don't understand the exponential spread, or that the New Years holiday isn't that far off of when people would be sending kids back.  So we are really seeing increasing cases and we have yet to hit Thanksgiving, Christmas, and New Years.  

On a side note, wife has felt like #### for about 5-6 days.  Usually gets something this time of year, but since she was bad enough to call off of work with symptoms that still could be related, she made an appt to get tested this am.  The other day the kid was coughing and he complained about being cold - sure enough an elevated temp, so he also earned a swab this am.  Probably should get results by Saturday or sooner.  
Good luck with the tests.  I’m in Dane county and schools are mostly virtual here with no plans to go to in person anytime soon.

 
Good luck with the tests.  I’m in Dane county and schools are mostly virtual here with no plans to go to in person anytime soon.
I am just across the county border in Columbia Co.  Not surprising- teams from Waunakee and other towns come here to practice (I am assuming stricter rules in Dane?).  My son was going to the rec center here a little bit until that started happening more and more.   This county by county thing is dumb as hell. 

 
Chicago reissues 30 day lockdown

Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot issued a stay-at-home advisory on Thursday after a 36 percent spike in coronavirus cases in the past two weeks, making Chicago the first major U.S. city to reissue a lockdown order

"Chicago has reached a critical point in the second surge of COVID-19, demanding that we undertake this multifaceted and comprehensive effort to stop the virus in its tracks," Lightfoot said at a press briefing.

Chicago has seen a massive rise in coronavirus cases over the past month. As of Wednesday, the city had recorded more than 122,000 confirmed cases, according to the Chicago Department of Public Health. The city has also reported over 10,000 new cases this week alone, and it has a positivity rate of 14.1 percent.

Effective Monday, the 30-day order urges residents to leave their homes only to go to work or school or for essential needs, to practice social distancing and mask wearing at all times, and to avoid all nonessential travel.

Nonessential businesses will be required to close at 11 p.m., and the mayor has ordered Chicagoans not to host gatherings with anyone outside of their household, including "trusted family or friends."

The city will also impose new restrictions on social gatherings, limiting both indoor and outdoor events to no more than 10 people. These limits will also apply to events like weddings, funerals and birthday parties.

Lightfoot also targeted Thanksgiving celebrations. She asked residents to "cancel traditional Thanksgiving gatherings" to help curb the virus's spread.

 
The uptick of those things for 3.5 months does not justify allowing the disease to spread exponentially for a year + longer.   A deadly disease is going to result in hard decisions and bad outcomes no matter what. With that said--the worst possible way to handle things are to let it explode--kill hundreds of thousands of people, allow your healthcare system to collapse, extend the length of time it will impact people financially and emotionally.   If you think we are handling it better than Australia---I powerfully beg to disagree with you.  
I'm just saying that if the justification for a complete 4 to 6 week shutdown is to "be like Australia", people need to realize the length and byproducts of the Australian shutdown. It's not a no-brainer by any means and comes with some severe trade-offs.

 
I'm just saying that if the justification for a complete 4 to 6 week shutdown is to "be like Australia", people need to realize the length and byproducts of the Australian shutdown. It's not a no-brainer by any means and comes with some severe trade-offs.
You don't think depression is going up here--and those depressions numbers will be increasing as the virus spreads more?   You think that kids aren't suffering more having to do virtual learning for months if not a years on end as opposed to opening things back up in weeks?   You don't think the tens of thousands  (if not hundreds of thousands) of lives that Australia saved by eradicating it through quick but painful measures did not more than account for the negatives you mentioned?  This is going to suck for everybody and everybody here knows that any lock down has negative ramifications.  Nothing in my posts have indicated otherwise.   Even with some of the negative ramifications Australia suffered through--they are still looking 100x better than we are right now in regards to negative outcomes. We will end up with more death, more depression, more of a hit to our economy, more unemployment, a defecit like nobody has ever seen, and our healthcare systems and workers will end up being tested to the point they are on the brink of collaps.   It is a no brainer by virtually every measure.  

 
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It can come roaring back in australia with a handful of spreader events.  Only places those lockdowns are going to work are literal islands.  

 
It can come roaring back in australia with a handful of spreader events.  Only places those lockdowns are going to work are literal islands.  
Of course-and the first thing I said in my post previous to this is that I'm not advocating a full lock down.  We should have down a full lockdown earlier when it was controllable--but we're past that.  With that said--and China has proven this:  Localized resurgences of the virus are far easier to contain and control than it spreading like a wildfire everywhere.   Once you control/eradicate it--you implement mandatory quarantines for international travelers coming in, you set up coordinated and organized testing, and you set up organized and nationalized contact tracing measures.   This way you can stomp out any outbreaks before they grow too large.  My only point is this---anybody who looks at how we handled covid and is trying to make the claim that we somehow did things right--is being intellectually dishonest.  We suffered the humanitarian toll through deaths, we suffered the mental tolls through depression and suicide, we suffered great economic losses especially in the small business world, our kids are suffering through the limited capabilities of the education system currently,  and even through suffering all of those thigns--its still running rampid and will be doing so for months to come.  We are the wealthiest country with the most resources--and we somehow decided to handle this worse than most second and third world countries.   

 
My only point is this---anybody who looks at how we handled covid and is trying to make the claim that we somehow did things right--is being intellectually dishonest. 
Nowhere did I make this claim.

My only point was that if we were looking to Australia, then look at the entire case study.

And with that, I'm done.

 
Of course-and the first thing I said in my post previous to this is that I'm not advocating a full lock down.  We should have down a full lockdown earlier when it was controllable--but we're past that.  With that said--and China has proven this:  Localized resurgences of the virus are far easier to contain and control than it spreading like a wildfire everywhere.   Once you control/eradicate it--you implement mandatory quarantines for international travelers coming in, you set up coordinated and organized testing, and you set up organized and nationalized contact tracing measures.   This way you can stomp out any outbreaks before they grow too large.  My only point is this---anybody who looks at how we handled covid and is trying to make the claim that we somehow did things right--is being intellectually dishonest.  We suffered the humanitarian toll through deaths, we suffered the mental tolls through depression and suicide, we suffered great economic losses especially in the small business world, our kids are suffering through the limited capabilities of the education system currently,  and even through suffering all of those thigns--its still running rampid and will be doing so for months to come.  We are the wealthiest country with the most resources--and we somehow decided to handle this worse than most second and third world countries.   
Complete and total lack of leadership. 

 
Actually 112 days and the costs were not only financial. Higher mental health requests, domestic violence, drug abuse and suicide.
The uptick of those things for 3.5 months does not justify allowing the disease to spread exponentially for a year + longer.
Yep. The stuff in red ... it's not being quantified. An "increase" in those things might be a big deal ... or it might barely be a thing at all. Unless the mental health aspects are just going through the roof, a 3.5 month lockdown was almost certainly worth it.

Did the mental health problems et al experience ten-fold increases? Or were they 5% increases? Just reporting "increases" doesn't tell us enough.

 
Yep. The stuff in red ... it's not being quantified. An "increase" in those things might be a big deal ... or it might barely be a thing at all. Unless the mental health aspects are just going through the roof, a 3.5 month lockdown was almost certainly worth it.

Did the mental health problems et al experience ten-fold increases? Or were they 5% increases? Just reporting "increases" doesn't tell us enough.
Since nobody wants to actually read the link

"while demand for mental health services has surged by more than 30%."

 
HellToupee said:
I feel like lockdown 2 prep mania is about to start while simultaneously Christmas shopping 
It is already happening. Many stores are already seeing empty shelves when it comes to paper goods in our area. I am glad we never let up and are well stocked for whatever happens. I am WFH completely until mid-January now at the minimum.  I need my wife's school district to go full virtual so she can also go back to WFH--at least until this latest spike goes down.

 
JaxBill said:
Since nobody wants to actually read the link

"while demand for mental health services has surged by more than 30%."
I understand the concerns on this front, but this is also stuff that we seem to fight over - access to mental health care, a decent stimulus to support people while they can't work, etc..  This should yet again open our eyes to how little we focus on these things as a country.   IMO we should have been better equipped to deal with this side of the equation as well and helped limit those cases.  

 
It is already happening. Many stores are already seeing empty shelves when it comes to paper goods in our area. I am glad we never let up and are well stocked for whatever happens. I am WFH completely until mid-January now at the minimum.  I need my wife's school district to go full virtual so she can also go back to WFH--at least until this latest spike goes down.
Isn't part of the issue people needlessly stocking on 2 months of supplies? 

 
JaxBill said:
Since nobody wants to actually read the link

"while demand for mental health services has surged by more than 30%."
Thanks. IMHO, that sounds acceptable depending on what the baseline was.

 
JaxBill said:
Since nobody wants to actually read the link

"while demand for mental health services has surged by more than 30%."
I went to that Bloomberg link, and it barely loads on my phone due to pop-ups and such. Most of the text won’t load. Any traditional pre-Internet media sources reporting similar?

 
related to the discussion at hand:One in five covid-19 patients are diagnosed with a mental illness within three months

tl;dr:

To see how covid-19 patients compared to those suffering with other issues, the team compared data with six other conditions (including flu and fractures) over the same time period. They found that the likelihood of a covid-19 patient being diagnosed with a mental health issue for the first time was twice that of those with other conditions. Anxiety disorders, insomnia, and dementia were the most common diagnoses.
That's just GREAT for our already crappy overall mental health in this country :sadbanana:

 
culdeus said:
It can come roaring back in australia with a handful of spreader events.  Only places those lockdowns are going to work are literal islands.  
Uhhh, not sure how to break this to you, but Australia is an island. 

;)  

 
What do we think people are doing who are testing positive?  All throwing caution to the wind?
Problem is, by the time most everyone tests positive, they've been contagious for several days.

One of the hardest things about fighting COVID-19 is that "shedding virus" starts days before "showing symptoms". If people instead couldn't really spread COVID without showing symptoms, it would be far less problematic.

...

It occurred to me that you might have meant "How are people still testing positive? All throwing caution to the wind?"

I would answer that as "Yes, chiefly." There's no real way to safely be around a lot of people, indoors, for a sustained period of time. But a lot of people just have to do it, and they'll justify it in all kinds of ways.

People being super-careful and religious about non-pharmaceutical interventions (masks, hand sanitizer, social distancing, sharply reducing out-and-about activities, etc.) are still catching the very occasional COVID infection, but (without a link) I'd bet less than 5% of new cases are among super-careful people. Wouldn't surprised to learn it was more like less than 1%. But I don't have concrete numbers on that.

 
Problem is, by the time most everyone tests positive, they've been contagious for several days.

One of the hardest things about fighting COVID-19 is that "shedding virus" starts days before "showing symptoms". If people instead couldn't really spread COVID without showing symptoms, it would be far less problematic.

...

It occurred to me that you might have meant "How are people still testing positive? All throwing caution to the wind?"

I would answer that as "Yes, chiefly." There's no real way to safely be around a lot of people, indoors, for a sustained period of time. But a lot of people just have to do it, and they'll justify it in all kinds of ways.

People being super-careful and religious about non-pharmaceutical interventions (masks, hand sanitizer, social distancing, sharply reducing out-and-about activities, etc.) are still catching the very occasional COVID infection, but (without a link) I'd bet less than 5% of new cases are among super-careful people. Wouldn't surprised to learn it was more like less than 1%. But I don't have concrete numbers on that.
I am talking about the latter really.  We have been nearly 100% delivery since March.  If I had to go somewhere (Dr., curbside pickup, etc.) I wear a mask.  We have met people outside and maintained distance, but no masks if those folks similarly careful.  I have had to have some work done in my house, and we make them wear masks, we open windows, avoid them, and then spray lysol when they leave.  My MIL has gone to the store, and she wears a mask and face shield and sanitizes hands afterwards -- she is basically the only person we see.  She attended that wedding 3 weeks ago with a mask, so should be clear now.

I just worry that despite caution, are we still susceptible, or are these people getting it the ones going to restaurants, gyms, events, public transit, or just too many family/friends gatherings with people who may not be that cautious?

 
What do we think people are doing who are testing positive?  All throwing caution to the wind?
I don't think this is being driven by people who have tested positive saying F it and moving on with their lives.

It's driven by people that have no inkling they are positive, or are talking themselves into believing they are negative with symptoms and not getting tested.  

While easier to get tested now, it's still not as easy as jumping on a scale to see if you test positive for being a fat ###.

 
I don't think this is being driven by people who have tested positive saying F it and moving on with their lives.

It's driven by people that have no inkling they are positive, or are talking themselves into believing they are negative with symptoms and not getting tested.  

While easier to get tested now, it's still not as easy as jumping on a scale to see if you test positive for being a fat ###.
Sorry that I was being inarticulate.  

I am asking whether the people who are contracting the virus during this huge spike are contracting it due to throwing caution to the wind, or are people being cautious still getting this because it is just so contagious.  Are there really this many people just going out among people without masks, indoors, in crowds, for long periods of time, on numerous occasions??

 
gruecd said:
Not gonna happen. Any nationwide lockdown would need to be accompanied by a huuuuuge aid package, the likes of which would never pass a Senate that’s almost certain (per literally everything I hear) to remain under Republican control. 
Like I said...

 
Sorry that I was being inarticulate.  

I am asking whether the people who are contracting the virus during this huge spike are contracting it due to throwing caution to the wind, or are people being cautious still getting this because it is just so contagious.  Are there really this many people just going out among people without masks, indoors, in crowds, for long periods of time, on numerous occasions??
I mean my feelings on this hasn't changed in 4-5 months.  People, especially US people are not fully informed about what is risky.  

There is for every situation indoors/outdoors mask/nomask where the viral load will add up to a transmission.  We are horribly uninformed about what those look like so they expect us to estimate own risk.  My feeling is that risk is well below "sit in a restaurant for an hour+" so we don't want to really publish that type of info, so here we are.

 
I mean my feelings on this hasn't changed in 4-5 months.  People, especially US people are not fully informed about what is risky.  

There is for every situation indoors/outdoors mask/nomask where the viral load will add up to a transmission.  We are horribly uninformed about what those look like so they expect us to estimate own risk.  My feeling is that risk is well below "sit in a restaurant for an hour+" so we don't want to really publish that type of info, so here we are.
So what do you consider risky and accounting for the sharp rise?

 
So what do you consider risky and accounting for the sharp rise?
Risk of someone getting it is a function of:

  • # of people not in your bubble near you
  • Ventilation
  • Masking (with modifier for mask compliance)
  • Area of effect
  • Mobility within that area.
You could probably set the model parameters such that a 1 = 50% chance if someone is + in your area of effect.

So a restaurant for example would be a "1" at an hour with 20 people in the area with adequate, but not good ventilation.  At two hours it's a 2. and so on.  People are going to weddings where that factor is more like 40.  Yet, they think it's more like going to a restaurant.  That's the disconnect, and that's where the rise is coming from. (Social events unmasked with large gatherings)

 
So what do you consider risky and accounting for the sharp rise?
Risk of someone getting it is a function of:

  • # of people not in your bubble near you
  • Ventilation
  • Masking (with modifier for mask compliance)
  • Area of effect
  • Mobility within that area.
You could probably set the model parameters such that a 1 = 50% chance if someone is + in your area of effect.

So a restaurant for example would be a "1" at an hour with 20 people in the area with adequate, but not good ventilation.  At two hours it's a 2. and so on.  People are going to weddings where that factor is more like 40.  Yet, they think it's more like going to a restaurant.  That's the disconnect, and that's where the rise is coming from. (Social events unmasked with large gatherings)
Social events of all sizes big and small gets my vote.

 
Go into Home Depot last night to get trash bags and a pack of light bulbs.  I counted FOURTEEN employees in the place who either had their mask worn under their chin, or over their mouth but with their nose exposed.  One stocker down the aisle from me took his mask off, blew 3 sneezes on the duct tape, then put it back on.  

Stopped at a gas station this morning, and went inside to the Subway counter to grab a sandwich for lunch today.  Three people behind the counter, all wearing masks over their mouth only.  

Ran into the pharmacy at lunchtime.  Pharmacy tech had hers on under her chin.  Pharmacist in the back had hers on under her nose, but kept grabbing it and pulling it down below her mouth everytime she spoke.  

Whoever is tracking COVID numbers and trying to claim that masks do or don't work, needs to take into account that of the people that do wear them at all, there appears to be a small population of folks that are wearing them correctly.  

 
You could probably set the model parameters such that a 1 = 50% chance if someone is + in your area of effect.

So a restaurant for example would be a "1" at an hour with 20 people in the area with adequate, but not good ventilation.  At two hours it's a 2. and so on.  People are going to weddings where that factor is more like 40.  Yet, they think it's more like going to a restaurant.  That's the disconnect, and that's where the rise is coming from. (Social events unmasked with large gatherings)
Social events of all sizes big and small gets my vote.
"Yep" to both of these.

A lot of people, too, are free with the exceptions they make. They're super-careful 95% of the time, especially out in public in retail space, etc. ... but then the other 5% of the time, they cannot fathom how family and friends can still spread the virus to them just as easily as strangers at the grocery. Actually even more easily, because we treat friends and family as "safe" familiars and get closer to them and often seek physical contact -- that doesn't happen with grocery-store randoms.

 
"Yep" to both of these.

A lot of people, too, are free with the exceptions they make. They're super-careful 95% of the time, especially out in public in retail space, etc. ... but then the other 5% of the time, they cannot fathom how family and friends can still spread the virus to them just as easily as strangers at the grocery. Actually even more easily, because we treat friends and family as "safe" familiars and get closer to them and often seek physical contact -- that doesn't happen with grocery-store randoms.
Well, and this will be taken the wrong way by some.  The use of masks in the grocery stores even half ### is giving a false sense that when not in those environments people are safe.   We seemed in some ways to be doing better without them.

I'm not advocating to stop using masks in public, but we shouldn't assume compliance with those make it safe for us to be around others.  

There is also the nosedicks out there whose impact is hard to quantify.  

 
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