What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

*** OFFICIAL *** COVID-19 CoronaVirus Thread. Fresh epidemic fears as child pneumonia cases surge in Europe after China outbreak. NOW in USA (10 Viewers)

Status
Not open for further replies.
You know what, why don’t you catch the virus on purpose so you have immunity?
Statistically probably not a bad idea.   If we could control exposure and purposely expose people in waves to limit the strain on hospitals, it would probably be more effective than what we're doing, since we blew it on early testing.

 
another good read on how this spreads vs something like, say, the measles... several days old, so again, apologies if already posted

https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/16/coronavirus-can-become-aerosol-doesnt-mean-doomed/?fbclid=IwAR0zETs8Qf2XJM4yeP71yZfR6yo9TqNuvu20p-LkOyTOXDFIYiFaSdENPNU
Excellent read ... gives the straight dope re:  aerosol transmission. Also explains what “airborne transmission” really is and what happens when viruses really go airborne (R0 figures in the teens).

 
If that's what it takes to not put my family at risk, yes. 
Sorry to break it to you but you put your family at risk everytime you step behind the wheel. 
I was going to accuse you of making a bad analogy, but it's actually a pretty good metaphor for our current situation.

Think of it like this:

We don't expect to eliminate every possible risk on the road. But we can enact safety measures that will reduce the risk to a reasonable level that the majority of people are comfortable with.

In other words, "wiping down groceries" is kind of like the equivalent of "obeying traffic laws while driving cars that pass a basic inspection".

Obviously, not everyone is going to drive a safe car and obey traffic laws. But as long as the vast majority of us do it, then our collective risk will be reduced to a reasonable level.

 
Thanks for responding Jax. Yes, I have a CPAP and I'm worried about the power going down and me being home bound once a shutdown goes into effect. Coincidentally, our power went out today for about 2 hours.
i get it if you're planning for intermittent outages. 

it's just the amount of gas you'd have to store for a widespread grid failure would be large.

that's one of the reasons i never bought one living in hurricane country. i can stand it for 36 to 48 hours. if it's still out. im using that money on a hotel room somewhere.

ETA ...and by 'you' i mean the general population not you personally

 
Last edited by a moderator:
What specifically did NY and Cuomo do?  What did they accomplish?  It looks like they wasted 2 weeks of slowing down the disease....because of red tape and disagreements......but admittedly I’m not there and don’t claim to be the expert on their actions.
March 4th: In an interview with Sean Hannity, Trump calls the WHO’s estimate of the global death rate “false,” describes the coronavirus as “very mild,” and suggests that those infected can get better by “sitting around” and “going to work.

March 7th, NY state declares of state of emergency.  

Cuomo established a containment zone around New Rochelle, he closed SUNY and CUNY colleges, later public gatherings and meetings and the nation has followed that lead at a time when the federal government was downplaying the issue.  

I say this not as a Cuomo fan but I think by acting outside of federal directive, he brought the seriousness of this to light and in so doing probably saved lives in NY and nationally  

 
I was going to accuse you of making a bad analogy, but it's actually a pretty good metaphor for our current situation.

Think of it like this:

We don't expect to eliminate every possible risk on the road. But we can enact safety measures that will reduce the risk to a reasonable level that the majority of people are comfortable with.

In other words, "wiping down groceries" is kind of like the equivalent of "obeying traffic laws while driving cars that pass a basic inspection".

Obviously, not everyone is going to drive a safe car and obey traffic laws. But as long as the vast majority of us do it, then our collective risk will be reduced to a reasonable level.
There's no proof that any of those things will prevent the spread. This is why I called those things super paranoid. Washing hands, covering mouth, etc are proven and similar to wearing seatbelts. 

 
Right.  I'm doing all that.  But nothing about washing or quarantining my mail in another room?
I told my brother to use gloves when handling mail and to not let my dad touch it. Dishwashing gloves work too assuming people haven't realised that and emptied the shelves. I hold mail with a paper towel and once I'm done it's hand washing time. 

 
Right.  I'm doing all that.  But nothing about washing or quarantining my mail in another room?
We wipe down the food packaging with disinfectant wipes and spray the mail with lysol.  And then wash hands after handling.  Like Big League Chew, our son has asthma so we are being extra careful.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
I didn't think it was that big a deal.  I went to the food store today, but that was for groceries for us and an elderly neighbor.  I also stopped at the Ace Hardware store to pick up something to fix our back door screen--need to take on some home improvement projects so I don't lose my mind here, make the most of this indoor time.  I maintained social distance and tried to stay away from everyone.  Yesterday my eldest and I went on a bike ride, we stopped at the Dunkin Donuts and while she waited outside with our bikes, I ran in, stayed away from everyone as much as I could, and picked up 3 donuts for the kids.  

Are those risky behaviors?  I don't know.  I mean, if I'm going to have to go out and make some transactions here and there anyway, as long as I stay away from close contact with anyone, use the wipes/wash my hands like crazy when I get home, I feel like it's OK.

I don't think it's fair to go bananas on the guy for getting a coffee.
Yes. With literally zero doubt they are risky to some degree.  However, two key questions:

1. HOW much risk

- There absolutely is more risk as you increase chance for infection to some degree

- The question is how much is that risk, how much can you mitigate it, and doing what you can to at least lower, if not eliminate that risk

2. What is your TOLERANCE for that risk?

- If someone is in an at-risk group, I'd think they would have very little tolerance. If someone is single, little to know chance to infect someone they know who is in an at-risk group, has insurance (or doesn't care), well, that would result in a much higher tolerance for that risk

- This seems to come down to your concern/fear for getting infected, and also your concern about infecting others, especially those close to you and/or at risk (family, friends, co-workers, folks at a retirement home etc)

I can't speak for you, but my approach changed rather quickly, but still with a progression over the last week. Probably helped that 10 days ago I was in NYC, so I got a glimpse of being 2-3 weeks ahead of Dallas, and LI is my home town, so I am very much on top of day to day life, school issues, restaurants etc from all my friends and facebook etc.

That said, once things began to escalate here I recognized it was time to prepare for the worst, just in case.  Now, just in case seems like a legitimate chance of occurring, so I'm glad those precautions were taken.  To your point, I tried to get all needed excursions done by a three or so days ago. Mind you, at that point there were maybe 15-20 confirmed cases here. Got food and liquor for at least a month, probably over 6 weeks. TP and medicines, Pedialyte and cough stuff. Filled gas tank just to not have to worry about filling it later and if I do need to go out over the coming weeks, keep necessary stops to a minimum.

Ended up having to do a couple last min things a couple days ago. Yesterday switched to doing what I could online and have delivered, with the exception of 30 min out to pick up food at my favorite spot.  Was super cautious but they are my friends so we maintained a nice 6 feet or so other than a paper bag hand of and elbow goodbye.

TL;DR - Yeah, of COURSE there's a risk in going out. Question is how much and how much are you concerned about your health and those of your family and others.

 
This article pretty clearly seems to suggest the risk of getting this from packaging or something picked up from a store is incredibly low.  Lots of quotes throughout.  Here's one:

""While it's possible that the virus gets deposited [on packaging] we have no indication from epidemiology or the literature that this is a risk factor for Covid-19 or other respiratory illnesses," Chapman said. "Even with the millions of cases of influenza each year, packaging isn't something we talk about.""

 
What do you do if your neighbor tosses you a stack of 100s for rent that he just counted out while licking his thumb?
spray the bills with Lysol and hang to dry.

wash hands with soap and water and then as extra precaution,  rinse with Pappy van Winkle.

 
My SIL got tested. She was in close contact with a positive and her 3 month old now has a cold and is on nebulizer as precaution. They told her 5-7 days for results. So ridiculous
Friend in NYC was tested Thursday & told the same thing, 5-7 days. You got pull or making bank, 6 hours.

 
This article pretty clearly seems to suggest the risk of getting this from packaging or something picked up from a store is incredibly low.  Lots of quotes throughout.  Here's one:

""While it's possible that the virus gets deposited [on packaging] we have no indication from epidemiology or the literature that this is a risk factor for Covid-19 or other respiratory illnesses," Chapman said. "Even with the millions of cases of influenza each year, packaging isn't something we talk about.""
We're having our groceries delivered, so our concern is the individuals who have handled the items from collection at the store through delivery at our door.  But again, we are being extra cautious because of our son.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
i get it if you're planning for intermittent outages. 

it's just the amount of gas you'd have to store for a widespread grid failure would be large.

that's one of the reasons i never bought one living in hurricane country. i can stand it for 36 to 48 hours. if it's still out. im using that money on a hotel room somewhere.
Unfortunately, many CPAP users don't have the luxury of riding things out: we could choke to death without it. I do have a gas powered generator with a few cans of gas, but I'm talking about ordering one of those camping/emergency generators that doesn't use gas. The one I'm looking at even charges using a solar panel.

 
I was going to accuse you of making a bad analogy, but it's actually a pretty good metaphor for our current situation.

Think of it like this:

We don't expect to eliminate every possible risk on the road. But we can enact safety measures that will reduce the risk to a reasonable level that the majority of people are comfortable with.

In other words, "wiping down groceries" is kind of like the equivalent of "obeying traffic laws while driving cars that pass a basic inspection".

Obviously, not everyone is going to drive a safe car and obey traffic laws. But as long as the vast majority of us do it, then our collective risk will be reduced to a reasonable level.
There's no proof that any of those things will prevent the spread. This is why I called those things super paranoid. Washing hands, covering mouth, etc are proven and similar to wearing seatbelts. 
:confused:

The CDC has confirmed that there are several methods of cleaning surfaces to help prevent the spread of coronavirus.

We really don't need to wait for a scientific study to see if they are as effective as seatbelts -- especially when the risk/burden of using such products is virtually nil.

 
Yes. With literally zero doubt they are risky to some degree.  However, two key questions:

1. HOW much risk

- There absolutely is more risk as you increase chance for infection to some degree

- The question is how much is that risk, how much can you mitigate it, and doing what you can to at least lower, if not eliminate that risk

2. What is your TOLERANCE for that risk?

- If someone is in an at-risk group, I'd think they would have very little tolerance. If someone is single, little to know chance to infect someone they know who is in an at-risk group, has insurance (or doesn't care), well, that would result in a much higher tolerance for that risk

- This seems to come down to your concern/fear for getting infected, and also your concern about infecting others, especially those close to you and/or at risk (family, friends, co-workers, folks at a retirement home etc)

I can't speak for you, but my approach changed rather quickly, but still with a progression over the last week. Probably helped that 10 days ago I was in NYC, so I got a glimpse of being 2-3 weeks ahead of Dallas, and LI is my home town, so I am very much on top of day to day life, school issues, restaurants etc from all my friends and facebook etc.

That said, once things began to escalate here I recognized it was time to prepare for the worst, just in case.  Now, just in case seems like a legitimate chance of occurring, so I'm glad those precautions were taken.  To your point, I tried to get all needed excursions done by a three or so days ago. Mind you, at that point there were maybe 15-20 confirmed cases here. Got food and liquor for at least a month, probably over 6 weeks. TP and medicines, Pedialyte and cough stuff. Filled gas tank just to not have to worry about filling it later and if I do need to go out over the coming weeks, keep necessary stops to a minimum.

Ended up having to do a couple last min things a couple days ago. Yesterday switched to doing what I could online and have delivered, with the exception of 30 min out to pick up food at my favorite spot.  Was super cautious but they are my friends so we maintained a nice 6 feet or so other than a paper bag hand of and elbow goodbye.

TL;DR - Yeah, of COURSE there's a risk in going out. Question is how much and how much are you concerned about your health and those of your family and others.
There is risk in everything.  There is risk in sitting at my computer; the tree outside could fall and crush this spot.  If we start to fixate on eliminating extraordinarily low risks, we might go mad.  So, of course, the more I interact with other people, the more likelihood of transmission.  But I'm following all of the guidelines I've been given from the government, I'm in essence on lockdown, but for the few times I leave the house either for a walk or bike ride around town with my family for fresh air (allowed, even encouraged, as I understand it) or to stop at a store for something, in which case it's pretty limited, a quick stop, and I try not to touch anything, and I stay distanced from everyone, just as I've been told.

I've been trying to understand where the wiping down the mail and packages thing came from.  I don't see any guidance like that from the government.  The article linked above says it's not any more appreciable risk.  So, just trying to understand this.

And again, I also think not right to kill the guy for getting coffee.  At least based on all this.

 
But, the best way to think about it is to assume that YOU are infected.  Assume you have it and your behavior is potentially passing it onto others.  Stop thinking about where you might be catching it.  When you go out for that bagel or whatever it may be, everything YOU have touched is now a potential to pass onto someone else.  There are untold numbers of people, especially in a place like NYC that have the virus and don't have any symptoms and have no idea.  Every one of those trips outside is a spread.  If any of the people that have passed this on to others knew what they had, they likely would have acted differently.

So, assume you have it and try limiting your exposure to others.  If we ALL do that, we have a chance to slow this down further. 
Well said. People should basically assume they have it and act accordingly. Given the asymptomatic nature of many of those infected and the lack of universal testing we don’t have much choice.

Taking a walk near your house while not contacting any one else seems to be ok by all accounts. Anything more than that starts to come with some risk of infecting not only yourself, but you infecting others is just as likely.

People need to shop for essentials, this should be done judiciously and mostly the measures people seem to be taking (in here at least) seem prudent.

The people who aren’t taking any precautions scare the living daylights out of me because that’s what is going to extend this thing. From the Italy article in the NYT posted above:

“My idea is that if we had shut everything in the beginning, for two weeks, probably now we would be celebrating victory,” he said.”

We aren’t listening. That’s what I can’t understand and why I can’t sleep at night.

 
But, the best way to think about it is to assume that YOU are infected.  Assume you have it and your behavior is potentially passing it onto others.  Stop thinking about where you might be catching it.  When you go out for that bagel or whatever it may be, everything YOU have touched is now a potential to pass onto someone else.  There are untold numbers of people, especially in a place like NYC that have the virus and don't have any symptoms and have no idea.  Every one of those trips outside is a spread.  If any of the people that have passed this on to others knew what they had, they likely would have acted differently.

So, assume you have it and try limiting your exposure to others.  If we ALL do that, we have a chance to slow this down further. 
I think this is a great way to think about it.

 
Well said. People should basically assume they have it and act accordingly. Given the asymptomatic nature of many of those infected and the lack of universal testing we don’t have much choice.

Taking a walk near your house while not contacting any one else seems to be ok by all accounts. Anything more than that starts to come with some risk of infecting not only yourself, but you infecting others is just as likely.

People need to shop for essentials, this should be done judiciously and mostly the measures people seem to be taking (in here at least) seem prudent.

The people who aren’t taking any precautions scare the living daylights out of me because that’s what is going to extend this thing. From the Italy article in the NYT posted above:

“My idea is that if we had shut everything in the beginning, for two weeks, probably now we would be celebrating victory,” he said.”

We aren’t listening. That’s what I can’t understand and why I can’t sleep at night.
I disagree based on what I see outside my window every day.  Most people seem to be listening and doing a pretty good job.  There are some who aren't.  But most are.

 
The problem is hypertension and heart disease can be hereditary and have nothing to do with diet or exercise. My dad is 62, runs 3-4 marathons a year, and is extremely healthy except he has high blood pressure and had a 98% block of the widowmaker a couple years ago.

I am only 38, I exercise daily, 6'1" 165, greatly cut down my sodium intake by not eating any processed foods, and yet I still have 130/85 which is pre-hypertension. I cannot reduce my blood pressure further no matter what I try.

I am not sure if i would fall in the "preexisting" conditions if this got me, but my dad certainly would and it is no fault of his own.
I wasn’t blaming anyone, just making an observation about diseases of affluence. Genetics clearly play a big role in disease.

But I wouldn’t be surprised if a few more lifestyle tweaks would help your BP. Read up on the Ornish diet and association of alcohol intake and hypertension.

 
There is risk in everything.  There is risk in sitting at my computer; the tree outside could fall and crush this spot.  If we start to fixate on eliminating extraordinarily low risks, we might go mad.  So, of course, the more I interact with other people, the more likelihood of transmission.  But I'm following all of the guidelines I've been given from the government, I'm in essence on lockdown, but for the few times I leave the house either for a walk or bike ride around town with my family for fresh air (allowed, even encouraged, as I understand it) or to stop at a store for something, in which case it's pretty limited, a quick stop, and I try not to touch anything, and I stay distanced from everyone, just as I've been told.

I've been trying to understand where the wiping down the mail and packages thing came from.  I don't see any guidance like that from the government.  The article linked above says it's not any more appreciable risk.  So, just trying to understand this.

And again, I also think not right to kill the guy for getting coffee.  At least based on all this.
I believe it's foolish to consider this an "extraordinarily low risk" - if you want to say on a errand by errand basis, the risk is extremely low, i'd suggest the chance of crashing a car when you are a bit drunk (not wasted) on a trip by trip basis is actually pretty darned low.  But tempt fate enough, that is a heightened risk.  I think the same applies here.

I wouldn't kill anyone for going out to get coffee. If you happen to live in some major hot spot, that might be foolish, but as I just stated, I went to pick up an order of food yesterday, Just tried to mitigate the risk on that trip. However, if I had a family I lived with, and/or have to come into contact with anyone at risk, or say need to see my elderly parents, I would either try to eliminate even those trips, and/or self isolate in the case of my parents so as not to come in contact with them for say 14 days after I was exposed to more risk.

But again, that's just me.  We all have a different set of circumstances and different tolerances.

 
There is risk in everything.  There is risk in sitting at my computer; the tree outside could fall and crush this spot.  If we start to fixate on eliminating extraordinarily low risks, we might go mad.  So, of course, the more I interact with other people, the more likelihood of transmission.  But I'm following all of the guidelines I've been given from the government, I'm in essence on lockdown, but for the few times I leave the house either for a walk or bike ride around town with my family for fresh air (allowed, even encouraged, as I understand it) or to stop at a store for something, in which case it's pretty limited, a quick stop, and I try not to touch anything, and I stay distanced from everyone, just as I've been told.

I've been trying to understand where the wiping down the mail and packages thing came from.  I don't see any guidance like that from the government.  The article linked above says it's not any more appreciable risk.  So, just trying to understand this.

And again, I also think not right to kill the guy for getting coffee.  At least based on all this.
I think your first mistake may be using the government as your source of information/tips

 
We're having our groceries delivered, so our concern is the individuals who have handled the items from collection at the store through delivery at our door.  But again, we are being extra cautious because of our son.
Understood, and folks should do whatever makes them comfortable.  This conversation started with people killing a poster who went to a store for food.  Which seemed unreasonable to me.  I also was asking the questions about wiping down packages to understand whether it's something that other of us need to be doing, because we haven't been (because I haven't seen any authority suggesting we should).

To be clear, I'm not suggesting others shouldn't do it.  Of course, do what works for you.

 
I use this thread as a barometer of the steps I need to take.  Will never get to the extremes as some here but do want to be more cautious than general population.

Feel like middle ground is where I need to be. Be sensible that's all.

 
I believe it's foolish to consider this an "extraordinarily low risk" - if you want to say on a errand by errand basis, the risk is extremely low, i'd suggest the chance of crashing a car when you are a bit drunk (not wasted) on a trip by trip basis is actually pretty darned low.  But tempt fate enough, that is a heightened risk.  I think the same applies here.

I wouldn't kill anyone for going out to get coffee. If you happen to live in some major hot spot, that might be foolish, but as I just stated, I went to pick up an order of food yesterday, Just tried to mitigate the risk on that trip. However, if I had a family I lived with, and/or have to come into contact with anyone at risk, or say need to see my elderly parents, I would either try to eliminate even those trips, and/or self isolate in the case of my parents so as not to come in contact with them for say 14 days after I was exposed to more risk.

But again, that's just me.  We all have a different set of circumstances and different tolerances.
What's your basis for that?  There's an article linked above with a doctor in essence saying exactly that.  :shrug:

 
I use this thread as a barometer of the steps I need to take.  Will never get to the extremes as some here but do want to be more cautious than general population.

Feel like middle ground is where I need to be. Be sensible that's all.
That's kind of where I'm trying to be.  Sometimes difficult to figure out where "sensible" is at any given time.

 
I disagree based on what I see outside my window every day.  Most people seem to be listening and doing a pretty good job.  There are some who aren't.  But most are.
I hope so with all of my hope. I work in Nassau county (Great Neck) and while I haven’t been there in 3 weeks I am very glad to hear that. 

While it may sound N.Y. arrogant, I’m actually not surprised that New Yorkers will “get it”. It’s the young folks out drinking and socializing in large groups still that makes me think it’s going to be months until people generally around the country finally “get it”.

 
Went this morning and got some groceries for us and mother-in-law.  The parking lot at Lowes was full.  Then drove by a softball field and there were 50-75 people playing ball and huddled under tents in 32 degree weather.  There are a lot of people not taking this seriously in Ohio.
What city?

Thanks.

 
At the point where I put more money back in the market - I am going to keep a minimum of 5-6 years living cash/short term investments, so there is less possibility of angst over the need for a quick recovery.  

 
Understood, and folks should do whatever makes them comfortable.  This conversation started with people killing a poster who went to a store for food.  Which seemed unreasonable to me.  I also was asking the questions about wiping down packages to understand whether it's something that other of us need to be doing, because we haven't been (because I haven't seen any authority suggesting we should).

To be clear, I'm not suggesting others shouldn't do it.  Of course, do what works for you.
Nobody killed anybody. Somebody suggested that going to bagel shop for "a" bagel and coffee was ill-advised. Which it is, given the gravity and threat of this contagion. Especially, if living in NYC given recent data and reports from doctors.

 
Well said. People should basically assume they have it and act accordingly. Given the asymptomatic nature of many of those infected and the lack of universal testing we don’t have much choice.

Taking a walk near your house while not contacting any one else seems to be ok by all accounts. Anything more than that starts to come with some risk of infecting not only yourself, but you infecting others is just as likely.

People need to shop for essentials, this should be done judiciously and mostly the measures people seem to be taking (in here at least) seem prudent.

The people who aren’t taking any precautions scare the living daylights out of me because that’s what is going to extend this thing. From the Italy article in the NYT posted above:

“My idea is that if we had shut everything in the beginning, for two weeks, probably now we would be celebrating victory,” he said.”

We aren’t listening. That’s what I can’t understand and why I can’t sleep at night.
The general population isn’t going to hole up in their homes for 3 weeks. I think the idea that they are going to do this is naive.

It will have to be enforced.  

 
Status
Not open for further replies.

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top