Terminalxylem
Footballguy
Too many variables. While an omicron specific booster can’t hurt, by the time it’s available, we should be past this surge.Reading between the lines:
Mild cases: boosted, double vaxxed, low risk
Non-mild cases: unvaccinated, waning/poor immunity
If the next variant is of the Omicron lineage, it will repeat this wave - a ton of cases, mostly mild. Less severe infections but higher risk in the breakthrough cases as vaccine immunity wanes.
If the next variant is of the Delta lineage, you can probably disregard what happened in Omicron and protection will depend on immunization and precious non-Omicron infections.
If these studies hold up, the first reaction likely would be to give an Omicron specific booster but I think that would be a mistake. The current vaccines seem to give good protection against severe Omicron infections. We don’t know if the same will be true with an Omicron booster. Give the high risk populations a booster now and the general public in the fall. Maybe by then have a hybrid vaccine that will protect against both major lineages.
Given all the uncertainty, working on a polyvalent vaccine while simultaneously ramping up production of therapeutics seems like the best answer. With respect to the latter, they should probably work on combination antivirals, a la HIV, Hep C, too.
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